Uncertainty x Design

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316512967
Total Pages : 191 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (165 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty x Design by : Ronald A. Beghetto

Download or read book Uncertainty x Design written by Ronald A. Beghetto and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2023-11-02 with total page 191 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides insights, scenarios, and applications to help students embrace uncertainty and become creative authors of their own futures.

Uncertainty by Design

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Author :
Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 1501762478
Total Pages : 188 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty by Design by : Limor Samimian-Darash

Download or read book Uncertainty by Design written by Limor Samimian-Darash and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2022-04-15 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Uncertainty by Design Limor Samimian-Darash presents cases of the use of scenario technology in the fields of security and emergency preparedness, energy, and health by analyzing scenario narratives and practices at the National Emergency Management Authority in Israel, the World Health Organization's Regional Office for Europe, and the World Energy Council. Humankind has long struggled with the uncertainty of the future, with how to foresee the future, imagine alternatives, or prepare for and guard against undesirable eventualities. Scenario—or scenario planning—emerged in recent decades to become a widespread means through which states, large corporations, and local organizations imagine and prepare for the future. The scenario technology cases examined in Uncertainty by Design provide a useful lens through which to view contemporary efforts to engage in an overall journey of discovering the future, along with the modality of governing involved in these endeavors to face future uncertainties. Collectively, they enable us to understand in depth how scenarios express a new governing modality.

Uncertainty by Design

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Author :
Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 1501762486
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty by Design by : Limor Samimian-Darash

Download or read book Uncertainty by Design written by Limor Samimian-Darash and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2022-04-15 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Uncertainty by Design Limor Samimian-Darash presents cases of the use of scenario technology in the fields of security and emergency preparedness, energy, and health by analyzing scenario narratives and practices at the National Emergency Management Authority in Israel, the World Health Organization's Regional Office for Europe, and the World Energy Council. Humankind has long struggled with the uncertainty of the future, with how to foresee the future, imagine alternatives, or prepare for and guard against undesirable eventualities. Scenario—or scenario planning—emerged in recent decades to become a widespread means through which states, large corporations, and local organizations imagine and prepare for the future. The scenario technology cases examined in Uncertainty by Design provide a useful lens through which to view contemporary efforts to engage in an overall journey of discovering the future, along with the modality of governing involved in these endeavors to face future uncertainties. Collectively, they enable us to understand in depth how scenarios express a new governing modality.

Probabilistic and Randomized Methods for Design under Uncertainty

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1846280958
Total Pages : 454 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (462 download)

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Book Synopsis Probabilistic and Randomized Methods for Design under Uncertainty by : Giuseppe Calafiore

Download or read book Probabilistic and Randomized Methods for Design under Uncertainty written by Giuseppe Calafiore and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-03-06 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probabilistic and Randomized Methods for Design under Uncertainty is a collection of contributions from the world’s leading experts in a fast-emerging branch of control engineering and operations research. The book will be bought by university researchers and lecturers along with graduate students in control engineering and operational research.

Design Decisions Under Uncertainty with Limited Information

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781138115095
Total Pages : 538 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Design Decisions Under Uncertainty with Limited Information by : Efstratios Nikolaidis

Download or read book Design Decisions Under Uncertainty with Limited Information written by Efstratios Nikolaidis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-06-16 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's business environment involves design decisions with significant uncertainty. To succeed, decision-makers should replace deterministic methods with a risk-based approach that accounts for the decision maker¿s risk tolerance. In many problems, it is impractical to collect data because rare or one-time events are involved. Therefore, we need a methodology to model uncertainty and make choices when we have limited information. This methodology must use all available information and rely only on assumptions that are supported by evidence. This book explains theories and tools to represent uncertainty using both data and expert judgment. It teaches the reader how to make design or business decisions when there is limited information with these tools. Readers will learn a structured, risk-based approach, which is based on common sense principles, for design and business decisions. These decisions are consistent with the decision-maker¿s risk attitude. The book is exceptionally suited as educational material because it uses everyday language and real-life examples to elucidate concepts. It demonstrates how these concepts touch our lives through many practical examples, questions and exercises. These are designed to help students learn that first they should understand a problem and then establish a strategy for solving it, instead of using trial-and-error approaches. This volume is intended for undergraduate and graduate courses in mechanical, civil, industrial, aerospace, and ocean engineering and for researchers and professionals in these disciplines. It will also benefit managers and students in business administration who want to make good decisions with limited information.

Design Decisions under Uncertainty with Limited Information

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0203834984
Total Pages : 538 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Design Decisions under Uncertainty with Limited Information by : Efstratios Nikolaidis

Download or read book Design Decisions under Uncertainty with Limited Information written by Efstratios Nikolaidis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2011-02-18 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's business environment involves design decisions with significant uncertainty. To succeed, decision-makers should replace deterministic methods with a risk-based approach that accounts for the decision maker‘s risk tolerance. In many problems, it is impractical to collect data because rare or one-time events are involved. Therefore, we need a

Needs and Opportunities for Uncertainty-Based Multidisciplinary Design Methods for Aerospace Vehicles

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (317 download)

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Book Synopsis Needs and Opportunities for Uncertainty-Based Multidisciplinary Design Methods for Aerospace Vehicles by :

Download or read book Needs and Opportunities for Uncertainty-Based Multidisciplinary Design Methods for Aerospace Vehicles written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Uncertainty in Games

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262527537
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Games by : Greg Costikyan

Download or read book Uncertainty in Games written by Greg Costikyan and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-01-30 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How uncertainty in games—from Super Mario Bros. to Rock/Paper/Scissors—engages players and shapes play experiences. In life, uncertainty surrounds us. Things that we thought were good for us turn out to be bad for us (and vice versa); people we thought we knew well behave in mysterious ways; the stock market takes a nosedive. Thanks to an inexplicable optimism, most of the time we are fairly cheerful about it all. But we do devote much effort to managing and ameliorating uncertainty. Is it any wonder, then, asks Greg Costikyan, that we have taken this aspect of our lives and transformed it culturally, making a series of elaborate constructs that subject us to uncertainty but in a fictive and nonthreatening way? That is: we create games. In this concise and entertaining book, Costikyan, an award-winning game designer, argues that games require uncertainty to hold our interest, and that the struggle to master uncertainty is central to their appeal. Game designers, he suggests, can harness the idea of uncertainty to guide their work. Costikyan explores the many sources of uncertainty in many sorts of games—from Super Mario Bros. and Dungeons & Dragons to Rock/Paper/Scissors, from Monopoly to CityVille, from FPS Deathmatch play to Chess. He describes types of uncertainty, including performative uncertainty, analytic complexity, and narrative anticipation. And he suggests ways that game designers who want to craft novel game experiences can use an understanding of game uncertainty in its many forms to improve their designs.

Robust Design Methodology for Reliability

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 047074880X
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Robust Design Methodology for Reliability by : Bo Bergman

Download or read book Robust Design Methodology for Reliability written by Bo Bergman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-08-18 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on deep theoretical as well as practical experience in Reliability and Quality Sciences, Robust Design Methodology for Reliability constructively addresses practical reliability problems. It offers a comprehensive design theory for reliability, utilizing robust design methodology and six sigma frameworks. In particular, the relation between un-reliability and variation and uncertainty is explored and reliability improvement measures in early product development stages are suggested. Many companies today utilise design for Six Sigma (DfSS) for strategic improvement of the design process, but often without explicitly describing the reliability perspective; this book explains how reliability design can relate to and work with DfSS and illustrates this with real–world problems. The contributors advocate designing for robustness, i.e. insensitivity to variation in the early stages of product design development. Methods for rational treatment of uncertainties in model assumptions are also presented. This book promotes a new approach to reliability thinking that addresses the design process and proneness to failure in the design phase via sensitivity to variation and uncertainty; includes contributions from both academics and industry practitioners with a broad scope of expertise, including quality science, mathematical statistics and reliability engineering; takes the innovative approach of promoting the study of variation and uncertainty as a basis for reliability work; includes case studies and illustrative examples that translate the theory into practice. Robust Design Methodology for Reliability provides a starting point for new thinking in practical reliability improvement work that will appeal to advanced designers and reliability specialists in academia and industry including fatigue engineers, product development and process/ quality professionals, especially those interested in and/ or using the DfSS framework.

Site Matters

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429514433
Total Pages : 391 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (295 download)

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Book Synopsis Site Matters by : Andrea Kahn

Download or read book Site Matters written by Andrea Kahn and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-12-21 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the era of the Anthropocene, site matters are more pressing than ever. Building on the concepts, theories, and multi-disciplinary approaches raised in the first edition, this publication strives to address the changes that have taken place over the last 15 years with new material to complement and re-position the initial volume. Reaching across design disciplines, this highly illustrated anthology assembles essays from architects, landscape architects, urban designers, planners, historians, and artists to explore ways to physically and conceptually engage site. Thoughtful discourse and empirically grounded pieces combine to provide the language and theory to contextualize the meanings of site in the built environment. The increasingly complex hybridity of constructed environments today demands new tools for thinking about and working with site. Drawing contributions from outside and within the traditional design disciplines, this edition will trace important developments in site thinking with new essays on topics such as climate change, landscape as infrastructure, shifts from global to planetary urbanization debates, and the proliferation of participatory site transformation practices. Edited by two leading practitioners and academics, Site Matters juxtaposes timeless contributions from individuals including Elizabeth Meyer, Robert Beauregard, and Robin Dripps with original new writings from Peter Marcuse, Jane Wolff, Neil Brenner, and Thaisa Way, amongst others, to recontextualize and reignite the debate around site. An ideal text for students, academics, and researchers interested in site and design theory.

Uncertainty Quantification using R

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031177851
Total Pages : 768 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (311 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Quantification using R by : Eduardo Souza de Cursi

Download or read book Uncertainty Quantification using R written by Eduardo Souza de Cursi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-02-22 with total page 768 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a rigorous but practical presentation of the techniques of uncertainty quantification, with applications in R and Python. This volume includes mathematical arguments at the level necessary to make the presentation rigorous and the assumptions clearly established, while maintaining a focus on practical applications of uncertainty quantification methods. Practical aspects of applied probability are also discussed, making the content accessible to students. The introduction of R and Python allows the reader to solve more complex problems involving a more significant number of variables. Users will be able to use examples laid out in the text to solve medium-sized problems. The list of topics covered in this volume includes linear and nonlinear programming, Lagrange multipliers (for sensitivity), multi-objective optimization, game theory, as well as linear algebraic equations, and probability and statistics. Blending theoretical rigor and practical applications, this volume will be of interest to professionals, researchers, graduate and undergraduate students interested in the use of uncertainty quantification techniques within the framework of operations research and mathematical programming, for applications in management and planning.

Advances in Uncertainty Quantification and Optimization Under Uncertainty with Aerospace Applications

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030805425
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Uncertainty Quantification and Optimization Under Uncertainty with Aerospace Applications by : Massimiliano Vasile

Download or read book Advances in Uncertainty Quantification and Optimization Under Uncertainty with Aerospace Applications written by Massimiliano Vasile and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-01-27 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2020 International Conference on Uncertainty Quantification & Optimization gathered together internationally renowned researchers in the fields of optimization and uncertainty quantification. The resulting proceedings cover all related aspects of computational uncertainty management and optimization, with particular emphasis on aerospace engineering problems. The book contributions are organized under four major themes: Applications of Uncertainty in Aerospace & Engineering Imprecise Probability, Theory and Applications Robust and Reliability-Based Design Optimisation in Aerospace Engineering Uncertainty Quantification, Identification and Calibration in Aerospace Models This proceedings volume is useful across disciplines, as it brings the expertise of theoretical and application researchers together in a unified framework.

Topics in Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 5

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461465648
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Topics in Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 5 by : Todd Simmermacher

Download or read book Topics in Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 5 written by Todd Simmermacher and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-05-30 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Topics in Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume : Proceedings of the 31st IMAC, A Conference and Exposition on Structural Dynamics, 2013, the fifth volume of seven from the Conference, brings together contributions to this important area of research and engineering. The collection presents early findings and case studies on fundamental and applied aspects of Structural Dynamics, including papers on: Uncertainty Quantification & Propagation in Structural Dynamics Robustness to Lack of Knowledge in Design Model Validation

Adaptive Control of Dynamic Systems with Uncertainty and Quantization

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000487784
Total Pages : 202 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Adaptive Control of Dynamic Systems with Uncertainty and Quantization by : Jing Zhou

Download or read book Adaptive Control of Dynamic Systems with Uncertainty and Quantization written by Jing Zhou and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-12-15 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a series of innovative technologies and research results on adaptive control of dynamic systems with quantization, uncertainty, and nonlinearity, including the theoretical success and practical development such as the approaches for stability analysis, the compensation of quantization, the treatment of subsystem interactions, and the improvement of system tracking and transient performance. Novel solutions by adopting backstepping design tools to a number of hotspots and challenging problems in the area of adaptive control are provided. In the first three chapters, the general design procedures and stability analysis of backstepping controllers and the basic descriptions and properties of quantizers are introduced as preliminary knowledge for this book. In the remainder of this book, adaptive control schemes are introduced to compensate for the effects of input quantization, state quantization, both input and state/output quantization for uncertain nonlinear systems and are applied to helicopter systems and DC Microgrid. Discussion remarks are provided in each chapter highlighting new approaches and contributions to emphasize the novelty of the presented design and analysis methods. Simulation results are also given in each chapter to show the effectiveness of these methods. This book is helpful to learn and understand the fundamental backstepping schemes for state feedback control and output feedback control. It can be used as a reference book or a textbook on adaptive quantized control for students with some background in feedback control systems. Researchers, graduate students, and engineers in the fields of control, information, and communication, electrical engineering, mechanical engineering, computer science, and others will benefit from this book.

Uncertainty Analysis of Instrument Calibration and Application

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (317 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Analysis of Instrument Calibration and Application by : John S. Tripp

Download or read book Uncertainty Analysis of Instrument Calibration and Application written by John S. Tripp and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Uncertainty and Possibility

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000184293
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Possibility by : Yoko Akama

Download or read book Uncertainty and Possibility written by Yoko Akama and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-06-08 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty and possibility are emerging as both theoretical concepts and fields of empirical investigation, as scholars and practitioners seek new creative, hopeful and speculative modes of understanding and intervening in a world of crisis.This book offers new perspectives on the central issues of uncertainty and possibility, and identifies new research methods which take advantage of disruptive and experimental techniques. Advancing a practical agenda for future making, it reveals how uncertainty can be engaged as a generative ‘technology’ for understanding, researching and intervening in the world. Drawing on key themes in creative methodologies, such as making, essaying, inhabiting and attuning, chapters explore contemporary sites of practice. The book looks at maker spaces and technology design, the imaginaries of architectural design, the temporalities of built cultural heritage, and interdisciplinary making and performing. Based on the authors' own academic work and their applied research with a range of different organizations, Uncertainty and Possibility outlines new opportunities for research and intervention. It is essential reading for students, scholars and practitioners in design anthropology and human-centred design.

Uncertainty, Modeling, and Decision Making in Geotechnics

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1003801250
Total Pages : 521 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty, Modeling, and Decision Making in Geotechnics by : Kok-Kwang Phoon

Download or read book Uncertainty, Modeling, and Decision Making in Geotechnics written by Kok-Kwang Phoon and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2023-12-11 with total page 521 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty, Modeling, and Decision Making in Geotechnics shows how uncertainty quantification and numerical modeling can complement each other to enhance decision-making in geotechnical practice, filling a critical gap in guiding practitioners to address uncertainties directly. The book helps practitioners acquire a working knowledge of geotechnical risk and reliability methods and guides them to use these methods wisely in conjunction with data and numerical modeling. In particular, it provides guidance on the selection of realistic statistics and a cost-effective, accessible method to address different design objectives, and for different problem settings, and illustrates the value of this to decision-making using realistic examples. Bringing together statistical characterization, reliability analysis, reliability-based design, probabilistic inverse analysis, and physical insights drawn from case studies, this reference guide from an international team of experts offers an excellent resource for state-of-the-practice uncertainty-informed geotechnical design for specialist practitioners and the research community.