Uncertainty Modeling And Analysis In Civil Engineering

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Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780849331084
Total Pages : 534 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1997-12-29 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the expansion of new technologies, materials, and the design of complex systems, the expectations of society upon engineers are becoming larger than ever. Engineers make critical decisions with potentially high adverse consequences. The current political, societal, and financial climate requires engineers to formally consider the factors of uncertainty (e.g., floods, earthquakes, winds, environmental risks) in their decisions at all levels. Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering provides a thorough report on the immediate state of uncertainty modeling and analytical methods for civil engineering systems, presenting a toolbox for solving problems in real-world situations. Topics include Neural networks Genetic algorithms Numerical modeling Fuzzy sets and operations Reliability and risk analysis Systems control Uncertainty in probability estimates This compendium is a considerable reference for civil engineers as well as for engineers in other disciplines, computer scientists, general scientists, and students.

Uncertainty Analysis in Engineering and Sciences: Fuzzy Logic, Statistics, and Neural Network Approach

Author : Bilal Ayyub
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792380306
Total Pages : 414 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (83 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Analysis in Engineering and Sciences: Fuzzy Logic, Statistics, and Neural Network Approach by : Bilal Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Analysis in Engineering and Sciences: Fuzzy Logic, Statistics, and Neural Network Approach written by Bilal Ayyub and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1997-10-31 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty has been of concern to engineers, managers and . scientists for many centuries. In management sciences there have existed definitions of uncertainty in a rather narrow sense since the beginning of this century. In engineering and uncertainty has for a long time been considered as in sciences, however, synonymous with random, stochastic, statistic, or probabilistic. Only since the early sixties views on uncertainty have ~ecome more heterogeneous and more tools to model uncertainty than statistics have been proposed by several scientists. The problem of modeling uncertainty adequately has become more important the more complex systems have become, the faster the scientific and engineering world develops, and the more important, but also more difficult, forecasting of future states of systems have become. The first question one should probably ask is whether uncertainty is a phenomenon, a feature of real world systems, a state of mind or a label for a situation in which a human being wants to make statements about phenomena, i. e. , reality, models, and theories, respectively. One cart also ask whether uncertainty is an objective fact or just a subjective impression which is closely related to individual persons. Whether uncertainty is an objective feature of physical real systems seems to be a philosophical question. This shall not be answered in this volume.

Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420011456
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2006-05-25 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Engineers and scientists often need to solve complex problems with incomplete information resources, necessitating a proper treatment of uncertainty and a reliance on expert opinions. Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences prepares current and future analysts and practitioners to understand the fundamentals of knowledge a

Uncertainty Modelling and Analysis

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : Elsevier Publishing Company
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 568 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modelling and Analysis by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Modelling and Analysis written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by Elsevier Publishing Company. This book was released on 1994 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Vital information on machine intelligence and pattern recognition is provided by this publication. In particular, the 31 papers discuss the ways in which uncertainty modelling and analysis are becoming an integral part of system definition and modelling in many fields. Contributions are sourced from an international base of researchers, scientists and engineers working on theoretical developments and diversified applications in engineering systems. The book is divided into two main parts. The first, Uncertainty Models and Measures, includes chapters on theoretical studies and developments carried out on uncertainty (including cognitive uncertainty and how it relates to information and intelligence), information, fuzzy logic, expert systems and neural networks. There are also chapters on modelling uncertainty in the reliability assessment of complex systems, linguistic connectives, the principle of maximum buoyancy, uncertain evidence, inductive learning, convex modelling, new uncertainty measures and information and uncertainty.The larger second part, Applications to Engineering Systems, contains application-oriented studies in fields related to civil, electrical, energy and general engineering systems. The papers cover studies on general uncertainty types in structural engineering, bridges, transmission structures, structural reliability, structural identification, system life cycle analysis, control, construction activities, decision analysis, signal detection, risk management, product quality, military command and control, data bases, long-term projections and predictions and assessment of insurance indices.The book conveys the excitement, advances and promises that all these fields offer to our expanding information-based technological society. It also hopes to stimulate the interest of other researchers around the world who are facing the challenge of new theoretical studies and innovative technological changes.

Hydrosystems Engineering Uncertainty Analysis

Author : Yeou-Koung Tung
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071467084
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (714 download)

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Book Synopsis Hydrosystems Engineering Uncertainty Analysis by : Yeou-Koung Tung

Download or read book Hydrosystems Engineering Uncertainty Analysis written by Yeou-Koung Tung and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2005-04-14 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Failure of hydrosystems, such as dams, levees, storm sewers, or pollution control systems, pose threats to the public safety and health as well as potentially inflict enormous damages on properties and environments. Many failures of hydrosystems are mainly attributed by the existence of various uncertainties, including inherent natural randomness and the lack of complete understanding of involved geophysical processes. It is therefore essential to systematically quantify the degree of uncertainty for the problem in hand so that reliability assessment and risk-based design of hydrosystems can be made. The conventional approach of frequency analysis of heavy rainfalls or large floods consider only portion of the uncertainties involved in hydrosystem engineering problems. Over the past two decades or so, there has been a steady growth on the development and application of uncertainty analysis techniques in hydrosystems engineering and other disciplines. The aim of this book is to bring together these uncertainty analysis techniques in one book and to demonstrate their applications and limitations for a wide variety of hydrosystem engineering problems.

Analyzing Uncertainty in Civil Engineering

Author : Wolfgang Fellin
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540268472
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Analyzing Uncertainty in Civil Engineering by : Wolfgang Fellin

Download or read book Analyzing Uncertainty in Civil Engineering written by Wolfgang Fellin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-19 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume addresses the issue of uncertainty in civil engineering from design to construction. Failures do occur in practice. Attributing them to a residual system risk or a faulty execution of the project does not properly cover the range of causes. A closer scrutiny of the adopted design, the engineering model, the data, the soil-construction-interaction and the model assumptions is required. Usually, the uncertainties in initial and boundary conditions are abundant. Current engineering practice often leaves these issues aside, despite the fact that new scientific tools have been developed in the past decades that allow a rational description of uncertainties of all kinds, from model uncertainty to data uncertainty. It is the aim of this volume to have a critical look at current engineering risk concepts in order to raise awareness of uncertainty in numerical computations, shortcomings of a strictly probabilistic safety concept, geotechnical models of failure mechanisms and their implications for construction management, execution, and the juristic question of responsibility. In addition, a number of the new procedures for modelling uncertainty are explained. The book is a result of a collaborate effort of mathematicians, engineers and construction managers who met regularly in a post graduate seminar at the University of Innsbruck during the past years.

Uncertainty Modeling in Vibration, Control and Fuzzy Analysis of Structural Systems

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9810231342
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling in Vibration, Control and Fuzzy Analysis of Structural Systems by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling in Vibration, Control and Fuzzy Analysis of Structural Systems written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1997 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives an overview of the current state of uncertainty modeling in vibration, control, and fuzzy analysis of structural and mechanical systems. It is a coherent compendium written by leading experts and offers the reader a sampling of exciting research areas in several fast-growing branches in this field. Uncertainty modeling and analysis are becoming an integral part of system definition and modeling in many fields. The book consists of ten chapters that report the work of researchers, scientists and engineers on theoretical developments and diversified applications in engineering systems. They deal with modeling for vibration, control, and fuzzy analysis of structural and mechanical systems under uncertain conditions. The book designed for readers who are familiar with the fundamentals and wish to study a particular topic or use the book as an authoritative reference. It gives readers a sophisticated toolbox for tackling modeling problems in mechanical and structural systems in real-world situations. The book is part of a series on Stability, Vibration and Control of Structures, and provides vital information in these areas.

Solutions Manual for Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : Chapman & Hall
ISBN 13 : 9781584886563
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (865 download)

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Book Synopsis Solutions Manual for Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Solutions Manual for Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by Chapman & Hall. This book was released on 2006-01 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Sensitivity & Uncertainty Analysis, Volume 1

Author : Dan G. Cacuci
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1135442983
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (354 download)

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Book Synopsis Sensitivity & Uncertainty Analysis, Volume 1 by : Dan G. Cacuci

Download or read book Sensitivity & Uncertainty Analysis, Volume 1 written by Dan G. Cacuci and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2003-05-28 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As computer-assisted modeling and analysis of physical processes have continued to grow and diversify, sensitivity and uncertainty analyses have become indispensable investigative scientific tools in their own right. While most techniques used for these analyses are well documented, there has yet to appear a systematic treatment of the method based on adjoint operators, which is applicable to a much wider variety of problems than methods traditionally used in control theory. This book fills that gap, focusing on the mathematical underpinnings of the Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Procedure (ASAP) and the use of deterministically obtained sensitivities for subsequent uncertainty analysis.

Probability, Statistics, and Reliability for Engineers and Scientists, Second Edition

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781584882862
Total Pages : 660 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (828 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability, Statistics, and Reliability for Engineers and Scientists, Second Edition by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Probability, Statistics, and Reliability for Engineers and Scientists, Second Edition written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2002-06-26 with total page 660 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Virtually every engineer and scientist needs to be able to collect, analyze, interpret, and properly use vast arrays of data. This means acquiring a solid foundation in the methods of data analysis and synthesis. Understanding the theoretical aspects is important, but learning to properly apply the theory to real-world problems is essential. The second edition of this bestselling text introduces probability, statistics, reliability, and risk methods with an ideal balance of theory and applications. Clearly written and firmly focused on the practical use of these methods, it places increased emphasis on simulation, particularly as a modeling tool, applying it progressively with projects that continue in each chapter. It also features expanded discussions of the analysis of variance including single- and two-factor analyses and a thorough treatment of Monte Carlo simulation. The authors clearly establish the limitations, advantages, and disadvantages of each method, but also show that data analysis is a continuum rather than the isolated application of different methods. Probability, Statistics, and Reliability for Engineers and Scientists, Second Edition, was designed as both a reference and as a textbook, and it serves each purpose well. Ultimately, readers will find its content of great value in problem solving and decision making, particularly in practical applications.

Uncertainty Modeling with Applications to Multidimensional Civil Engineering Systems

Author : Ove Ditlevsen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling with Applications to Multidimensional Civil Engineering Systems by : Ove Ditlevsen

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling with Applications to Multidimensional Civil Engineering Systems written by Ove Ditlevsen and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fuzzy Randomness

Author : Bernd Möller
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3662073587
Total Pages : 351 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Fuzzy Randomness by : Bernd Möller

Download or read book Fuzzy Randomness written by Bernd Möller and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: sections dealing with fuzzy functions and fuzzy random functions are certain to be of special interest. The reader is expected to be in command of the knowledge gained in a basic university mathematics course, with the inclusion of stochastic elements. A specification of uncertainty in any particular case is often difficult. For this reason Chaps. 3 and 4 are devoted solely to this problem. The derivation of fuzzy variables for representing informal and lexical uncertainty reflects the subjective assessment of objective conditions in the form of a membership function. Techniques for modeling fuzzy random variables are presented for data that simultaneously exhibit stochastic and nonstochastic properties. The application of fuzzy randomness is demonstrated in three fields of civil engineering and computational mechanics: structural analysis, safety assessment, and design. The methods of fuzzy structural analysis and fuzzy probabilistic structural analysis developed in Chap. 5 are applicable without restriction to arbitrary geometrically and physically nonlinear problems. The most important forms of the latter are the Fuzzy Finite Element Method (FFEM) and the Fuzzy Stochastic Finite Element Method (FSFEM).

Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management

Author : Jim W. Hall
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780784413609
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (136 download)

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Book Synopsis Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management by : Jim W. Hall

Download or read book Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management written by Jim W. Hall and published by . This book was released on with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management (ICVRAM) and the Sixth International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis (ISUMA), held in Liverpool, UK, July 13-16, 2014. Sponsored by the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty and the Virtual Engineering Centre of the University of Liverpool, the Environmental Change Institute of the University of Oxford, and the Council on Disaster Risk Management of ASCE. Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management, CDRM 9, contains 290 peer-reviewed papers that build upon recent significant advances in the quantification, mitigation, and management of risk and uncertainty. These papers focus on decision making and multi-disciplinary developments to address the demands and challenges evolving from the rapidly growing complexity of real-world problems. Topics include: risk assessment and management of critical infrastructure projects; performance-based and reliability-based structural optimization under uncertainty; verified and stochastic approaches to modeling and simulation under uncertainty; risk management for floods, tsunamis, earthquakes, and other natural hazards; risk and uncertainty modeling in transportation and logistics; and geotechnical risk, uncertainty, and decision making. These papers will be valuable to experts, decision-makers, and others involved in assessing, planning responses to, and managing vulnerability and risk.

Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling

Author : José Eduardo Souza De Cursi
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030536696
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling by : José Eduardo Souza De Cursi

Download or read book Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling written by José Eduardo Souza De Cursi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-19 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proceedings book discusses state-of-the-art research on uncertainty quantification in mechanical engineering, including statistical data concerning the entries and parameters of a system to produce statistical data on the outputs of the system. It is based on papers presented at Uncertainties 2020, a workshop organized on behalf of the Scientific Committee on Uncertainty in Mechanics (Mécanique et Incertain) of the AFM (French Society of Mechanical Sciences), the Scientific Committee on Stochastic Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification of the ABCM (Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences) and the SBMAC (Brazilian Society of Applied Mathematics).

Uncertainty Modeling in Finite Element, Fatigue and Stability of Systems

Author : Achintya Haldar
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9810231288
Total Pages : 437 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling in Finite Element, Fatigue and Stability of Systems by : Achintya Haldar

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling in Finite Element, Fatigue and Stability of Systems written by Achintya Haldar and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1997 with total page 437 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The functionality of modern structural, mechanical and electrical or electronic systems depends on their ability to perform under uncertain conditions. Consideration of uncertainties and their effect on system behavior is an essential and integral part of defining systems. In eleven chapters, leading experts present an overview of the current state of uncertainty modeling, analysis and design of large systems in four major areas: finite and boundary element methods (common structural analysis techniques), fatigue, stability analysis, and fault-tolerant systems. The content of this book is unique; it describes exciting research developments and challenges in emerging areas, and provide a sophisticated toolbox for tackling uncertainty modeling in real systems.

Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk

Author : ASCE Council on Disaster Risk Management
Publisher : Amer Society of Civil Engineers
ISBN 13 : 9780784411704
Total Pages : 1003 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (117 download)

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Book Synopsis Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk by : ASCE Council on Disaster Risk Management

Download or read book Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk written by ASCE Council on Disaster Risk Management and published by Amer Society of Civil Engineers. This book was released on 2011 with total page 1003 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection contains 119 peer-reviewed papers presented at the International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management and the International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, held in Hyattsville, Maryland, April 11-13, 2011.

Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling

Author : Dorota Kurowicka
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470863080
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling by : Dorota Kurowicka

Download or read book Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling written by Dorota Kurowicka and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-10-02 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical models are used to simulate complex real-world phenomena in many areas of science and technology. Large complex models typically require inputs whose values are not known with certainty. Uncertainty analysis aims to quantify the overall uncertainty within a model, in order to support problem owners in model-based decision-making. In recent years there has been an explosion of interest in uncertainty analysis. Uncertainty and dependence elicitation, dependence modelling, model inference, efficient sampling, screening and sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic inversion are among the active research areas. This text provides both the mathematical foundations and practical applications in this rapidly expanding area, including: An up-to-date, comprehensive overview of the foundations and applications of uncertainty analysis. All the key topics, including uncertainty elicitation, dependence modelling, sensitivity analysis and probabilistic inversion. Numerous worked examples and applications. Workbook problems, enabling use for teaching. Software support for the examples, using UNICORN - a Windows-based uncertainty modelling package developed by the authors. A website featuring a version of the UNICORN software tailored specifically for the book, as well as computer programs and data sets to support the examples. Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling offers a comprehensive exploration of a new emerging field. It will prove an invaluable text for researches, practitioners and graduate students in areas ranging from statistics and engineering to reliability and environmetrics.