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Uncertainty And Irreversible Investment
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Book Synopsis Investment under Uncertainty by : Robert K. Dixit
Download or read book Investment under Uncertainty written by Robert K. Dixit and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-07-14 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.
Book Synopsis Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment by : Robert S. Pindyck
Download or read book Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment written by Robert S. Pindyck and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Irreversible investment is especially sensitive to such risk factors as volatile exchange rates and uncertainty about tariff structures and future cash flows. If the goal of macroeconomic policy is to stimulate investment, stability and credibility may be more important than tax incentives or interest rates.
Book Synopsis Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment by : Robert S. Pindyck
Download or read book Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment written by Robert S. Pindyck and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most investment expenditures have two important characteristics: First, they are largely irreversible; the firm cannot disinvest, so the expenditures are sunk costs. Second, they can be delayed, allowing the firm to wait for new information about prices, costs, and other market conditions before committing resources. An emerging literature has shown that this has important implications for investment decisions, and for the determinants of investment spending. Irreversible investment is especially sensitive to risk, whether with respect to future cash flows, interest rates, or the ultimate cost of the investment. Thus if a policy goal is to stimulate investment, stability and credibility may be more important than tax incentives or interest rates. This paper presents some simple models of irreversible investment, and shows how optimal investment rules and the valuation of projects and firms can be obtained from contingent claims analysis, or alternatively from dynamic programming. It demonstrates some strengths and limitations of the methodology, and shows how the resulting investment rules depend on various parameters that come from the market environment. It also reviews a number of results and insights that have appeared in the literature recently, and discusses possible policy implications.
Book Synopsis Is the Firm-level Relationship Between Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment Non-linear? by : Yigal Menashe
Download or read book Is the Firm-level Relationship Between Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment Non-linear? written by Yigal Menashe and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory by : Darrell Duffie
Download or read book Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory written by Darrell Duffie and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-01-27 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a thoroughly updated edition of Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory, the standard text for doctoral students and researchers on the theory of asset pricing and portfolio selection in multiperiod settings under uncertainty. The asset pricing results are based on the three increasingly restrictive assumptions: absence of arbitrage, single-agent optimality, and equilibrium. These results are unified with two key concepts, state prices and martingales. Technicalities are given relatively little emphasis, so as to draw connections between these concepts and to make plain the similarities between discrete and continuous-time models. Readers will be particularly intrigued by this latest edition's most significant new feature: a chapter on corporate securities that offers alternative approaches to the valuation of corporate debt. Also, while much of the continuous-time portion of the theory is based on Brownian motion, this third edition introduces jumps--for example, those associated with Poisson arrivals--in order to accommodate surprise events such as bond defaults. Applications include term-structure models, derivative valuation, and hedging methods. Numerical methods covered include Monte Carlo simulation and finite-difference solutions for partial differential equations. Each chapter provides extensive problem exercises and notes to the literature. A system of appendixes reviews the necessary mathematical concepts. And references have been updated throughout. With this new edition, Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory remains at the head of the field.
Book Synopsis Economics of Pessimism and Optimism by : Kiyohiko G. Nishimura
Download or read book Economics of Pessimism and Optimism written by Kiyohiko G. Nishimura and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-13 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first book to investigate individual’s pessimistic and optimistic prospects for the future and their economic consequences based on sound mathematical foundations. The book focuses on fundamental uncertainty called Knightian uncertainty, where the probability distribution governing uncertainty is unknown, and it provides the reader with methods to formulate how pessimism and optimism act in an economy in a strict and unified way. After presenting decision-theoretic foundations for prudent behaviors under Knightian uncertainty, the book applies these ideas to economic models that include portfolio inertia, indeterminacy of equilibria in the Arrow-Debreu economy and in a stochastic overlapping-generations economy, learning, dynamic asset-pricing models, search, real options, and liquidity preferences. The book then proceeds to characterizations of pessimistic (ε-contaminated) and optimistic (ε-exuberant) behaviors under Knightian uncertainty and people’s inherent pessimism (surprise aversion) and optimism (surprise loving). Those characterizations are shown to be useful in understanding several observed behaviors in the global financial crisis and in its aftermath. The book is highly recommended not only to researchers who wish to understand the mechanism of how pessimism and optimism affect economic phenomena, but also to policy makers contemplating effective economic policies whose success delicately hinges upon people’s mindsets in the market. Kiyohiko Nishimura is Professor at the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS) and Professor Emeritus and Distinguished Project Research Fellow of the Center for Advanced Research in Finance at The University of Tokyo. Hiroyuki Ozaki is Professor of Economics at Keio University.
Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment by : Carlo A. Favero
Download or read book Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment written by Carlo A. Favero and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Irreversible Investment by : Ayse E. Sile
Download or read book The Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Irreversible Investment written by Ayse E. Sile and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Investment, Capital Market Imperfections, and Uncertainty by : Robert Lensink
Download or read book Investment, Capital Market Imperfections, and Uncertainty written by Robert Lensink and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2001-01-01 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents an up-to-date overview of the theory as well as the empirics of the relationship between investment, financial imperfections and uncertainty. After reviewing the capital market imperfections literature and the empirical results, the authors discuss both traditional investment models with uncertainty and the more modern option based models. They present an overview of empirical results of the modelling of investment under uncertainty. In these examples the effects of capital market imperfections on investment are carefully considered. The authors conclude that there is overwhelming empirical support for a negative uncertainty-investment relationship. This book should appeal to academics with an interest in investment theory, professionals in the financial sector and students of macroeconomics and finance. "Investment, Capital Market Imperfections, and Uncertainty" assumes only a basic knowledge of mathematics and is easily accessible.
Book Synopsis Irreversible Investment, Uncertainty and Hysteresis by : Matthew Charles Goodson
Download or read book Irreversible Investment, Uncertainty and Hysteresis written by Matthew Charles Goodson and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Impact of Tax Uncertainty on Irreversible Investment by :
Download or read book Impact of Tax Uncertainty on Irreversible Investment written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Effects of Regime-switching Uncertainty on Irreversible Investment Decisions by : Catherine Anne Pattillo
Download or read book The Effects of Regime-switching Uncertainty on Irreversible Investment Decisions written by Catherine Anne Pattillo and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Risk Aversion, Price Uncertainty, and Irreversible Investments by : Rob Willem Jean van den Goorbergh
Download or read book Risk Aversion, Price Uncertainty, and Irreversible Investments written by Rob Willem Jean van den Goorbergh and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper generalizes the theory of irreversible investment under uncertainty by allowing for risk averse investors in the absence of complete markets. Until now, this theory has only been developed in the cases of risk neutrality or risk aversion in combination with complete markets. Within a general setting, we prove the existence of a unique critical output price that distinguishes price regions in which it is optimal for a risk averse investor to invest and price regions in which one should refrain from investing. We use a class of utility functions that exhibit non-increasing absolute risk aversion to examine the effects of risk aversion, price uncertainty, and other parameters on the optimal investment decision. We find that risk aversion reduces investment, particularly if the investment size is large. Moreover, we find that a rise in price uncertainty increases the value of deferring irreversible investments. This effect is stronger for high levels of risk aversion. In addition, we provide, for the first time, closed-form comparative statics formulas for the risk neutral investor.
Book Synopsis The Implications of Parameter Uncertainty for Irreversible Investment Decisions by : Concordia University. Department of Economics
Download or read book The Implications of Parameter Uncertainty for Irreversible Investment Decisions written by Concordia University. Department of Economics and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis On an Irreversible Investment Problem with Two-Factor Uncertainty by : Felix Dammann
Download or read book On an Irreversible Investment Problem with Two-Factor Uncertainty written by Felix Dammann and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Irreversible Investment with Uncertainty and Scale Economies by : Avinash K. Dixit
Download or read book Irreversible Investment with Uncertainty and Scale Economies written by Avinash K. Dixit and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Competition and irreversible investments under uncertainty by : Michele Moretto
Download or read book Competition and irreversible investments under uncertainty written by Michele Moretto and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
