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Time Varying Conditional Skewness And The Market Risk Premium
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Book Synopsis Time-Varying Conditional Skewness and the Market Risk Premium by : Akhtar R. Siddique
Download or read book Time-Varying Conditional Skewness and the Market Risk Premium written by Akhtar R. Siddique and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Single factor asset pricing models face two major hurdles: the problematic time-series properties of the ex ante market risk premium and the inability of the risk measure to account for a substantial degree of the cross-sectional variation of expected excess returns. We provide an explanation for the first failure using the following intuition: if investors know that the asset returns have conditional skewness given the information known today, the expected excess returns should include rewards for accepting skewness. We formalize this intuition with an asset pricing model which incorporates conditional skewness. We decompose the expected excess returns into components due to conditional variance and skewness. Our results show that conditional skewness is important and, when combined with the economy-wide reward for skewness, helps explain the time-variation of the ex ante market risk premiums. Conditional skewness has greater success in explaining the ex ante risk premium for the world portfolio than for the U.S. portfolio.
Book Synopsis How Should We Interpret Evidence of Time Varying Conditional Skewness? by : Anthony S. Tay
Download or read book How Should We Interpret Evidence of Time Varying Conditional Skewness? written by Anthony S. Tay and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several recent articles report evidence of predictability in the skewness of equity returns, raising hopes that predictability in third moments will be useful for forecasting the probability of tail events. The evidence is unfortunately difficult to interpret, partly because they were obtained mainly from parametric models of time-varying conditional skewness, and because little is known about the behavior of such models, for instance, when there are outliers. We investigate a non-parametric approach to testing for predictability in skewness. Specifically, we explore the size and power of a Runs tests, and compare this approach with other tests. A re-examination of daily market returns reveals mild evidence of predictability in skewness. Incorporating this conditional heteroskewness into standard volatility models hardly improves out-of-sample forecasts of tail probabilities.
Book Synopsis Recent estimates of time-variation in the conditional variance and in the exchange risk premium by : Jeffrey A. Frankel
Download or read book Recent estimates of time-variation in the conditional variance and in the exchange risk premium written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting by : Cheng-Few Lee
Download or read book Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting written by Cheng-Few Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2004 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Annotation. Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting is an annual publication designed to disseminate developments in the quantitative analysis of finance and accounting. The publication is a forum for statistical and quantitative analyses of issues in finance and accounting as well as applications of quantitative methods to problems in financial management, financial accounting, and business management. The objective is to promote interaction between academic research in finance and accounting and applied research in the financial community and the accounting profession.The papers in this volume cover a wide range of topics including default risk premiums, multi-period contracts, stock market, impact of earnings change on stock price, bank regulation, dividend effect of closed-end mutual funds, income smoothing, and inflation accounting.
Book Synopsis Financial Markets Theory by : Emilio Barucci
Download or read book Financial Markets Theory written by Emilio Barucci and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 473 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A presentation of classical asset pricing theory, this textbook is the only one to address the economic foundations of financial markets theory from a mathematically rigorous standpoint and to offer a self-contained critical discussion based on empirical results. Tools for understanding the economic analysis are provided, and mathematical models are presented in discrete time/finite state space for simplicity. Examples and exercises included.
Book Synopsis Recent Estimates of Time-variation in the Conditional Variance and in the Exchange Risk Premium by :
Download or read book Recent Estimates of Time-variation in the Conditional Variance and in the Exchange Risk Premium written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Time-varying Risk Premia, Sources of Macroeconomic Risk, and Aggregate Stock Market Behavior by : Massimiliano De Santis
Download or read book Time-varying Risk Premia, Sources of Macroeconomic Risk, and Aggregate Stock Market Behavior written by Massimiliano De Santis and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models by : Emmanuel Jurczenko
Download or read book Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models written by Emmanuel Jurczenko and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-10-02 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While mainstream financial theories and applications assume that asset returns are normally distributed and individual preferences are quadratic, the overwhelming empirical evidence shows otherwise. Indeed, most of the asset returns exhibit “fat-tails” distributions and investors exhibit asymmetric preferences. These empirical findings lead to the development of a new area of research dedicated to the introduction of higher order moments in portfolio theory and asset pricing models. Multi-moment asset pricing is a revolutionary new way of modeling time series in finance which allows various degrees of long-term memory to be generated. It allows risk and prices of risk to vary through time enabling the accurate valuation of long-lived assets. This book presents the state-of-the art in multi-moment asset allocation and pricing models and provides many new developments in a single volume, collecting in a unified framework theoretical results and applications previously scattered throughout the financial literature. The topics covered in this comprehensive volume include: four-moment individual risk preferences, mathematics of the multi-moment efficient frontier, coherent asymmetric risks measures, hedge funds asset allocation under higher moments, time-varying specifications of (co)moments and multi-moment asset pricing models with homogeneous and heterogeneous agents. Written by leading academics, Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models offers a unique opportunity to explore the latest findings in this new field of research.
Book Synopsis On the Conditional Forecast of the Market Risk Premium and Its Economic Significance from a Long Time Series Perspective by : Zhuoming Peng
Download or read book On the Conditional Forecast of the Market Risk Premium and Its Economic Significance from a Long Time Series Perspective written by Zhuoming Peng and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Cross-Sectional Variation of Skewness Risk Premia by : Kai Wang
Download or read book The Cross-Sectional Variation of Skewness Risk Premia written by Kai Wang and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates skewness risk premia on individual stocks using synthetic skew swaps and shows that there is a considerably large variation of monthly realized skewness risk premia across a representative set of portfolios which are sorted by skewness risk premium payoffs in the prior period. It then focuses on investigating the determinants of such cross-sectional variation and documents that consumption risk does not seem to be priced with respect to skewness risk premia. The market excess return and, especially, the market variance risk premium are shown to be key risk factors that drive the cross-sectional variation of skewness risk premium payoffs. The market variance risk premium factor is significantly priced with respect to skewness risk premia even if I allow for potential model misspecification. The success of the market variance risk premium factor can be potentially explained by the very different risk exposures of skewness risk premium-based portfolios to the risk proxied by the market variance risk premium. I further show that the higher the exposure of the skewness risk premium-based portfolio to such a risk, the larger skewness risk premium payoff is required in the cross section.
Book Synopsis Consumption Volatility Ambiguity and Risk Premium's Time-Variation by : Janis Müller
Download or read book Consumption Volatility Ambiguity and Risk Premium's Time-Variation written by Janis Müller and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a consumption based asset pricing model one can calculate the volatility of (log-)consumption-growth from the expected market return and from the risk-free rate. We propose to use the difference between these estimates to measure ambiguity about consumption volatility. Using a long dataset we show that this measure explains up to 69% of post-war variation in the market risk premium.
Download or read book Volatility written by Robert A. Jarrow and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by a number of authors, this text is aimed at market practitioners and applies the latest stochastic volatility research findings to the analysis of stock prices. It includes commentary and analysis based on real-life situations.
Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics by : Cheng-Few Lee
Download or read book Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics written by Cheng-Few Lee and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-28 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics provides, in four volumes and over 100 chapters, a comprehensive overview of the primary methodologies in econometrics and statistics as applied to financial research. Including overviews of key concepts by the editors and in-depth contributions from leading scholars around the world, the Handbook is the definitive resource for both classic and cutting-edge theories, policies, and analytical techniques in the field. Volume 1 (Parts I and II) covers all of the essential theoretical and empirical approaches. Volumes 2, 3, and 4 feature contributed entries that showcase the application of financial econometrics and statistics to such topics as asset pricing, investment and portfolio research, option pricing, mutual funds, and financial accounting research. Throughout, the Handbook offers illustrative case examples and applications, worked equations, and extensive references, and includes both subject and author indices.
Book Synopsis Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting by : Halbert White
Download or read book Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting written by Halbert White and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.
Book Synopsis Arbitrage Pricing Theory, Conditional Coskewness and Volatility Shocks and Time Varying Coskewness and Its Value to Investors by : Marie Denise Racine
Download or read book Arbitrage Pricing Theory, Conditional Coskewness and Volatility Shocks and Time Varying Coskewness and Its Value to Investors written by Marie Denise Racine and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Dynamic Beta, Time-Varying Risk Premium, and Momentum by : Hong Zhang
Download or read book Dynamic Beta, Time-Varying Risk Premium, and Momentum written by Hong Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article proposes a rational model to demonstrate that firm-specific risks can be priced in the equilibrium and can generate asset pricing anomalies such as momentum. In general, business risks at both the market level and firm level can affect a firm's investment decisions, and a firm usually has certain ability to forecast firm-level risks, such as demand changes or technology innovations. When a firm dynamically adjusts its business according to forecasted firm-level risks, investors face a beta risk (which proxies for firm-level risks) in addition to the market risk. These two risks jointly create a nonlinear risk premium, which simultaneously explains momentum and the Fama and French (1993) three-factor model. In other words, momentum profits and the size (value) premium in this model reflect reasonable rewards to compensate investors for the two risks. Empirically, the estimated risk premium contributes a large portion (in many cases a leading portion) of stock momentum profits and helps identify stocks likely to generate more momentum profits. Market-to-book, size, or two proxies of mispricing do not absorb the latter effect.
