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Three Essays On Updating Forecasts In Vector Autoregression Models
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Book Synopsis Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling by : Vladik Kreinovich
Download or read book Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-24 with total page 784 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on structural changes and economic modeling. It presents papers describing how to model structural changes, as well as those introducing improvements to the existing before-structural-changes models, making it easier to later on combine these models with techniques describing structural changes. The book also includes related theoretical developments and practical applications of the resulting techniques to economic problems. Most traditional mathematical models of economic processes describe how the corresponding quantities change with time. However, in addition to such relatively smooth numerical changes, economical phenomena often undergo more drastic structural change. Describing such structural changes is not easy, but it is vital if we want to have a more adequate description of economic phenomena – and thus, more accurate and more reliable predictions and a better understanding on how best to influence the economic situation.
Book Synopsis Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty by : David E. Rapach
Download or read book Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty written by David E. Rapach and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2008-02-29 with total page 691 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting in the presence of structural breaks and model uncertainty are active areas of research with implications for practical problems in forecasting. This book addresses forecasting variables from both Macroeconomics and Finance, and considers various methods of dealing with model instability and model uncertainty when forming forecasts.
Author :Editors : Raj Kapila & Uma Kapila Publisher :Academic Foundation ISBN 13 :9788171883547 Total Pages :330 pages Book Rating :4.8/5 (835 download)
Book Synopsis Economic Developments In India : Monthly Update, Volume -72 Analysis, Reports, Policy Documents by : Editors : Raj Kapila & Uma Kapila
Download or read book Economic Developments In India : Monthly Update, Volume -72 Analysis, Reports, Policy Documents written by Editors : Raj Kapila & Uma Kapila and published by Academic Foundation. This book was released on 2003 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Economic and Budget Outlook, an Update by :
Download or read book The Economic and Budget Outlook, an Update written by and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Var Models in Macroeconomics - New Developments and Applications by : Thomas B. Fomby
Download or read book Var Models in Macroeconomics - New Developments and Applications written by Thomas B. Fomby and published by Emerald Group Publishing Limited. This book was released on 2013-12-18 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in Econometrics publishes original scholarly econometric papers with the intention of expanding the use of developed and emerging econometric techniques by disseminating ideas on the theory and practice of econometrics, throughout the empirical economic, business and social science literature.
Book Synopsis Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran by : Alexander Chudik
Download or read book Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran written by Alexander Chudik and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2022-01-18 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The collection of chapters in Volume 43 Part A of Advances in Econometrics serves as a tribute to one of the most innovative, influential, and productive econometricians of his generation, Professor M. Hashem Pesaran.
Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence and Advanced Analytics for Food Security by : Chandrasekar Vuppalapati
Download or read book Artificial Intelligence and Advanced Analytics for Food Security written by Chandrasekar Vuppalapati and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2023-07-17 with total page 548 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change, increasing population, food-versus-fuel economics, pandemics, etc. pose a threat to food security to unprecedented levels. It has fallen upon the practitioners of agriculture and technologists of the world to innovate and become more productive to address the multi-pronged food security challenges. Agricultural innovation is key to managing food security concerns. The infusion of data science, artificial intelligence (AI), advanced analytics, satellites data, geospatial data, climatology, sensor technologies, and climate modeling with traditional agricultural practices such as soil engineering, fertilizers use, and agronomy are some of the best ways to achieve this. Data science helps farmers to unravel patterns in fertilizer pricing, equipment usage, transportation and storage costs, yield per hectare, and weather trends to better plan and spend resources. AI enables farmers to learn from fellow farmers to apply best techniques that are transferred learning from AI to improve agricultural productivity and to achieve financial sustainability. Sensor technologies play an important role in getting real-time farm field data and provide feedback loops to improve overall agricultural practices and can yield huge productivity gains. Advanced Analytics modeling is essential software technique that codifies farmers’ tacit knowledge such as better seed per soil, better feed for dairy cattle breed, or production practices to match weather pattern that was acquired over years of their hard work to share with worldwide farmers to improve overall production efficiencies, the best antidote to food security issue. In addition to the paradigm shift, economic sustainability of small farms is a major enabler of food security. The book reviews all these technological advances and proposes macroeconomic pricing models that data mines macroeconomic signals and the influence of global economic trends on small farm sustainability to provide actionable insights to farmers to avert any financial disasters due to recurrent economic crises.
Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman
Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Book Synopsis Identifying News Shocks from Forecasts by : Jonathan J. Adams
Download or read book Identifying News Shocks from Forecasts written by Jonathan J. Adams and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-09-29 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a method to identify the anticipated components of macroeconomic shocks in a structural VAR. We include empirical forecasts about each time series in the VAR. This introduces enough linear restrictions to identify each structural shock and to further decompose each one into “news” and “surprise” shocks. We estimate a VAR on US time series using forecast data from the SPF, CBO, Federal Reserve, and asset prices. Unanticipated fiscal stimulus and interest rate shocks we identify have typical effects that match existing evidence. In our news-surprise decomposition, we find that news drives around one quarter of US business cycle volatility. News explains a larger share of the variance due to fiscal shocks than for monetary policy shocks. Finally, we use the news structure of the shocks to estimate counterfactual policy rules, and compare the ability of fiscal and monetary policy to moderate output and inflation. We find that coordinated fiscal and monetary policy are substantially more effective than either tool is individually.
Download or read book EIB Papers written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Papers and Proceedings of the .. Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association by : American Economic Association
Download or read book Papers and Proceedings of the .. Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association written by American Economic Association and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 1002 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting by : James H. Stock
Download or read book Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting written by James H. Stock and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.
Book Synopsis Japan's Economic Challenge by : United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee
Download or read book Japan's Economic Challenge written by United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis International Journal of Forecasting by : International institute of forecasters
Download or read book International Journal of Forecasting written by International institute of forecasters and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Dissertation Abstracts International by :
Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Time-Series Forecasting by : Chris Chatfield
Download or read book Time-Series Forecasting written by Chris Chatfield and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2000-10-25 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space
Book Synopsis Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis by : Lutz Kilian
Download or read book Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis written by Lutz Kilian and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-11-23 with total page 757 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses the econometric foundations of structural vector autoregressive modeling, as used in empirical macroeconomics, finance, and related fields.
