Three Essays on Sovereign Default and Collateral Constraints

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 129 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (844 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Sovereign Default and Collateral Constraints by : Michael Grill

Download or read book Three Essays on Sovereign Default and Collateral Constraints written by Michael Grill and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Sovereign Default

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 78 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (853 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Sovereign Default by :

Download or read book Essays on Sovereign Default written by and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of three independent essays on sovereign default. In the first chapter, I develop a quantitative general equilibrium model of sovereign default to account for spillover of default risk across countries. When the collateral constraint for investors binds due to a decrease in the value of collateral, triggered by a high default risk for one country, credit constrained investors ask for liquidity premiums even to countries with normal fundamentals. This increase in the cost of borrowing increases incentives to default for the other countries with normal fundamentals, further constraining investors in obtaining credit through a decrease in the value of collateral. The quantitative results show that this model can generate spillover of default risk across countries. The essay in the second chapter introduces endogenous capital accumulation to a quantitative model of sovereign default based on Eaton and Gersovitz (1981). With a production technology in the model, output and interest rates are jointly determined by the interaction between a sovereign government who can optimally default and foreign creditors taking into account default risk. Adding investment enables the model to generate unique economic dynamics similar to those observed around emerging economies' default crises: (1) Emerging economies' debt crises display a boom-bust pattern. (2) A non-negligible fraction of sovereign defaults occur in good times. The essay in the third chapter explains why emerging economies borrow abroad in foreign currency. We present a two-period model in which foreign lenders offer a small open economy an optimal self-enforcing contract in which borrowing is denominated in borrowers' currency. Taking into account the government's incentive to inflate away the debt, the optimal lending contract provides consumption insurance for the economy in that the contract allows the economy for inflation in bad times but asks for deflation in good times. As the variance of income shocks for the economy increases, it gets more difficult for the contract to satisfy the incentive compatible constraints at the good income state. The numerical results are consistent with the fact that emerging economies with high income volatility suffer from "Original Sin".

Essays on Sovereign Default

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (86 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Sovereign Default by : JungJae Park

Download or read book Essays on Sovereign Default written by JungJae Park and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of three independent essays on sovereign default. In the first chapter, I develop a quantitative general equilibrium model of sovereign default to account for spillover of default risk across countries. When the collateral constraint for investors binds due to a decrease in the value of collateral, triggered by a high default risk for one country, credit constrained investors ask for liquidity premiums even to countries with normal fundamentals. This increase in the cost of borrowing increases incentives to default for the other countries with normal fundamentals, further constraining investors in obtaining credit through a decrease in the value of collateral. The quantitative results show that this model can generate spillover of default risk across countries. The essay in the second chapter introduces endogenous capital accumulation to a quantitative model of sovereign default based on Eaton and Gersovitz (1981). With a production technology in the model, output and interest rates are jointly determined by the interaction between a sovereign government who can optimally default and foreign creditors taking into account default risk. Adding investment enables the model to generate unique economic dynamics similar to those observed around emerging economies' default crises: (1) Emerging economies' debt crises display a boom-bust pattern. (2) A non-negligible fraction of sovereign defaults occur in good times. The essay in the third chapter explains why emerging economies borrow abroad in foreign currency. We present a two-period model in which foreign lenders offer a small open economy an optimal self-enforcing contract in which borrowing is denominated in borrowers' currency. Taking into account the government's incentive to inflate away the debt, the optimal lending contract provides consumption insurance for the economy in that the contract allows the economy for inflation in bad times but asks for deflation in good times. As the variance of income shocks for the economy increases, it gets more difficult for the contract to satisfy the incentive compatible constraints at the good income state. The numerical results are consistent with the fact that emerging economies with high income volatility suffer from "Original Sin".

Three Essays on Sovereign Default, Self-Control and Policy Implications

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (133 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Sovereign Default, Self-Control and Policy Implications by : LI. LI

Download or read book Three Essays on Sovereign Default, Self-Control and Policy Implications written by LI. LI and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis investigates the role of self-control problems in various macroeconomic environments. I adapt the Gul and Persendorfer preferences to model self-control. The first two chapters focus on sovereign defaults in emerging market economies. The third chapter studies personal finance in a credit constrained asset market. Conventional sovereign default models cannot explain some main features of the Argentine economy. They include a large sovereign debt-to-GDP ratio (31%) and a large, volatile interest rate spread (10% on average). In these conventional models, low exogenous output is the only driving force of default. These models cannot generate enough defaults without sacrificing the way data matches with those main features. The cost of default is also set too low compared to the observed data. The statistical match is especially poor during economic booms. In Chapter 1, I introduce self-control preferences into the standard setup. The sovereign faces a temptation to consume the entire wealth and save nothing for the future due to a lack of self-control. As a result, the sovereign has an incentive to incur a higher level of debt than normal. If the sovereign decides not to default, it would choose a larger repayment to reduce the temptation cost. But the larger repayment comes at the cost of a higher probability of default. As compensation, the international loan market charges a higher interest rate. This self-control model matches the data much better than the conventional models. Observational equivalence between the lack of self-control model and the low discount factor model is a concern. To answer this question, I show that the latter cannot generate the observed interest rate spreads. Introducing self-control preferences also adds computational difficulties. I develop a new computational algorithm to handle non-local approximations of the value functions. This algorithm is much more precise, and at the same time more efficient than the standard algorithms. In Chapter 2, I investigate the welfare effects of raising consumption tax on sovereign default. In a conventional sovereign default model, a consumption tax with a lump-sum rebate is neutral. In contrast, if the sovereign lacks self-control, a consumption tax can improve welfare. Calibrating the model by using Argentina's data, welfare is hump-shaped over consumption tax. The optimal tax rate is 41%, and if Argentina changes to this tax rate, the default probability reduces from 10% to 5.32%. Chapter 3 concerns the effects of raising borrowing limit in a credit-constrained setting. A rational agent cannot be worse off with an increased borrowing limit. In this case, there is no ground for imposing a credit limit to the agent. But if the decision maker lacks self-control, the reverse conclusion is true. I study two cases. In the first case, the decision maker has a non-binding credit constraint. Welfare decreases as the credit constraint relaxes, which leads to a larger temptation cost. In the second case, the decision maker has a binding credit constraint. In this case, relaxing the binding credit constraint creates a positive effect. It also offsets the increase in temptation cost. The net effect can only be positive at the margins if the decision maker's discount factor is low relative to the market.

Essays on Sovereign Debt and Monetary Economics

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Sovereign Debt and Monetary Economics by : Diego J. Perez

Download or read book Essays on Sovereign Debt and Monetary Economics written by Diego J. Perez and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation contains three essays on Sovereign Debt and Monetary Economics. The first chapter, entitled 'Sovereign Debt, Domestic Banks and the Provision of Public Liquidity' studies the effect of a sovereign default in the domestic economy and its implications for the government's incentives to repay its debt. I explore two mechanisms through which a sovereign default can disrupt the domestic economy via its banking system. First, a sovereign default creates a negative balance-sheet effect on banks, which reduces their ability to raise funds and prevents the flow of resources to productive investments. Second, default undermines internal liquidity as banks replace government securities with less productive investments. I quantify the model using Argentinean data and find that these two mechanisms can generate a deep and persistent fall in output post-default, which accounts for the government's commitment necessary to explain observed levels of external public debt. The balance-sheet effect is more important because it generates a larger output cost of default and a stronger ex-ante commitment for the government. Post-default bailouts of the banking system, although desirable ex-post, are welfare reducing ex-ante since they weaken government's commitment. Imposing a minimum public debt requirement on banks is welfare improving as it enhances commitment by increasing the output cost of default. The second chapter, entitled 'Sovereign Debt Maturity Structure Under Asymmetric Information' studies the optimal choice of sovereign debt maturity when investors are unaware of the government's willingness to repay. Under a pooling equilibrium there is a wedge between the borrower's true default risk and the default risk priced in debt, and the size of this wedge differs with the maturity of debt. Long-term debt becomes less attractive for safe borrowers since it pools more default risk that is not inherent to them. In response, safe borrowers issue low levels of debt with a shorter maturity profile -relative to the optimal choice under perfect information- and risky borrowers mimic the behavior of safe borrowers to preclude the market from identifying their type. In times of financial distress, the default risk wedge of long-term debt relative to short-term debt increases which makes borrowers reduce the amount of debt issuance and shorten its maturity profile. I present empirical evidence on sovereign debt maturity choices and sovereign spreads for a panel of emerging economies that is consistent with the model's implications. The third chapter, entitled 'Price Setting Under Uncertainty About Inflation', is based on a working paper coauthored with Andres Drenik. This chapter provides an empirical assessment of the effects of the availability of public information about inflation on price setting. We exploit an event in which economic agents lost access to information about the inflation rate: starting in 2007 the Argentinean government began to misreport the national inflation rate. Our difference-in-difference analysis reveals that this policy led to an increase in the coefficient of variation of prices of 18% with respect to its mean. This effect is analyzed in the context of a general equilibrium model in which agents make use of publicly available information about the inflation rate to set prices. We quantify the model and use it to further explore the effects of higher uncertainty about inflation on the effectiveness of monetary policy and aggregate welfare. We find that monetary policy becomes more effective in a context of higher uncertainty about inflation and that not reporting accurate measures of the CPI entails significant welfare losses.

Three Essays on Sovereign Default and International Lending

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Sovereign Default and International Lending by : Lewis Suverkrop Alexander

Download or read book Three Essays on Sovereign Default and International Lending written by Lewis Suverkrop Alexander and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays on Sovereign Debt and Financial Markets

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 94 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (775 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Sovereign Debt and Financial Markets by : Mauro Alessandro

Download or read book Three Essays on Sovereign Debt and Financial Markets written by Mauro Alessandro and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation analyzes different aspects of the actions of borrowing and repaying debts by governments in both domestic and international financial markets. In Chapter 1, which is co-authored with Guido Sandleris and Alejandro Van der Ghote, we use a unique dataset on sovereign bond issuances and syndicated bank loans to study the duration and determinants of the periods of exclusion from international credit markets that usually follow governments' defaults. Among other results, we find that countries either reaccess the markets in the first years after a default or have to wait much longer to do it, and that political stability significantly increases the chances of reaccessing the market. We present a political economy model of endogenous sovereign borrowing and market reaccess that matches these two features of the data. In Chapter 2, 1 study the relation between the domestic financial system's market structure, the allocation of government debt and the cost of credit for the government. The fact that governments are less likely to repudiate their debts when there are more domestic agents among their creditors creates an externality: when domestic investors demand government bonds, they reduce the probability of default and improve the situation of every other bondholder. The concentration of investment decisions in fewer financial institutions increases the degree of internalization of this effect, expands the demand for government bonds by domestic agents and reduces the cost of credit for the government. In Chapter 3, I propose a mechanism that can explain the observed positive correlation between public and private spreads, taking into account that domestic banks tend to be heavily exposed to sovereign debt. Firms have private information about the results of their projects, information that can be obtained by domestic banks, as long as they pay a verification cost, but not by foreign creditors. A sovereign default has a negative impact on domestic banks, reduces their verification capacity and increases the incentives for firms to declare themselves insolvent. Consequently, risks of sovereign and private defaults are positively correlated.

Three Essays on Sovereign Debt and Stagnation Economics

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Sovereign Debt and Stagnation Economics by : Matthias Schlegl

Download or read book Three Essays on Sovereign Debt and Stagnation Economics written by Matthias Schlegl and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays on Sovereign Default

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Sovereign Default by : Jinwook Nam

Download or read book Three Essays on Sovereign Default written by Jinwook Nam and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first chapter examines the cyclicality of debt in standard quantitative sovereign default model, the strategic default model. The standard strategic default model has been a canonical model to explain high consumption volatility in emerging markets with default risks, such as Argentina in 2001. These emerging markets with high default risks can be characterized by exhibiting procyclical debt behavior and high level of mean and volatility of interest rate spreads. However, the notion of only emerging markets default has changed, since the Southern European debt crisis starting in 2010. Greece defaulted and other countries such as Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Ireland had debt crisis. Unlike the emerging market economies, these countries exhibited countercyclical debt and consumption less volatile than income. Then, can a standard strategic default model explain the default in advanced economies? We choose Greece as a reference country and attempt to match the Greek data leading up to a debt crisis. We find that the standard strategic default model is not capable of generating a countercyclical debt, therefore, leading to consumption more volatile than income. The experiment results suggest that the only way to make debt countercyclical in the standard strategic model is to raise the magnitude of patience parameter. However, doing so leads to very little borrowing and close to no defaults generated by the model, which would not be an appropriate model for explaining default events. The second chapter studies the sovereign default risk with stochastic risk-free interest rate. The vast majority of sovereign default literature assumes a constant risk-free interest rate, an innocuous assumption given stable US t-bill yields or German Bund yields that are often used as a proxy for risk-free rate. However, with highly inflationary environment and contractionary monetary policy in the US and the EMU, these risk-free interest rates have recently been increasing. We incorporate stochastic risk-free interest rate with the excusable default model that is used to explain defaults in advanced economy. We examine the effect of interest rates fluctuating on accumulation of debt and possibility of default. We find that the sovereign accumulates less debt and relatively at slower rate, when risk-free interest rate is high, lowering the probability of default. However, given high level of debt, an increase in risk-free interest rate leads to an increase in probability of default, because of a fall in ability to pay. In general, the increase in volatility of risk-free interest rates increases the probability of default. This result alarms many countries with high level of debt, given the level of interest rates around the world has been rising. The third chapter examines the stabilization policy in two sovereign default models with downward sticky wages. During recession, aggregate demand falls, but the real wage does not fall enough due to downward sticky wage, especially in countries that adopt a fixed exchange rate or are in monetary union. With the absence of monetary policy, involuntary unemployment arises due to the sticky wage. The governments can stimulate the economy by borrowing and making transfers to households. However, rising debt level increases the probability of default. We find that the strategic default model with downward sticky wage does not stabilize the economy, due to the risk of default. In the strategic default model, declaring default entails costs arising from no commitment to repay. This behavior is consistent with the default case of emerging markets, Argentina in 2001 that exhibited procyclical government debt issuance prior to default. On the other hand, the excusable default model with downward sticky wage stabilizes the economy despite of default of risk. In recession, the sovereign increases borrowing to stimulate the economy, leading to lower the unemployment level. However, if recession continues, the increased borrowing leads to default, which is consistent with the default case in Greece.

Essays in Sovereign Debt and Default

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (116 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Sovereign Debt and Default by : Ming Qiu

Download or read book Essays in Sovereign Debt and Default written by Ming Qiu and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three papers on sovereign debt and default. Chapter 1 studies public provision of liquidity in a model of public and private linkages that allows partial sovereign default. Entrepreneurs use their holdings of domestic bonds as liquidity stock to carry out investment and the bond default risk arises from the government's trade-off between private consumption and public expenditure. The model features a feedback loop between aggregate investment and debt sustainability. An adverse productivity shock reduces the government's tax base and hence its ability to repay. The initial decrease in bond price shrinks the economy's liquidity stock and leads to more projects being liquidated. Lower tax base, in turn, reduces bond price further. Chapter 2 analyses the impact of disaster risk on risk premium of debt issued by emerging economies. I distinguish between "natural" and "economic" disasters based on the output dynamics prior to disaster occurrence. My empirical estimation results show that a sample of thirteen emerging countries are subject to economic disasters and the probabilities of disaster occurrence in those economies are positively correlated with their interest spreads. This is consistent with the theoretical prediction of a model constructed to compare economies with natural and economic disaster risks. Chapter 3 relaxes an assumption made in previous works on optimal policy that the government has perfect knowledge of states in the economy and considers a model of optimal provision of liquidity when the government only has partial information. I present solutions to the full information and partial information cases.

Three Essays in Macro-finance

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays in Macro-finance by : Annukka Ristiniemi

Download or read book Three Essays in Macro-finance written by Annukka Ristiniemi and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of three essays that examine the role of sovereign debt in the economy. The first of the essays explores the question of optimal debt through liquidity and finds that as long as debt is below a sustainability threshold, increasing debt is beneficial. Increasing debt levels encourages buyers to enter the market improving liquidity and lowering yields. The result is built by combining two strands of literature, market thinness and default probabilities in a unified search-theoretic model of over the counter traded debt. The model also predicts that liquidity and yields in smaller countries that are not able to issue much debt, suffer more from shocks to income. A panel VAR with data on Eurozone countries confirms this prediction. In the second chapter I present a search theoretic model of over-the-counter debt with quantitative easing that explains why interest rates fall more in some countries than others. The study is motivated by our finding that the higher rated a Eurozone country was, the more yields fell. Since the central banks purchase similar amounts in each Eurozone country, it cannot explain the difference in impact on yields. We explain the differential through two channels. Firstly, in markets for highly rated bonds, there are more preferred habitat investors and subsequently fewer sellers. Sellers therefore have a higher bargaining power and can negotiate a higher price. Those preferred habitat investors' have a less elastic demand for bonds, and wil continue to buy them even though it becomes harder to find sellers and their bargaining power diminishes. This excess demand due to market tightness has an additional positive impact on the price. Finally, central bank purchases initially improve liquidity, especially in high risk countries where the measure of buyers is small, but as it tapers the purchases, liquidity is reduced well below pre-purchase levels especially in those countries, that is the cost of quantitative easing. We estimate the share of preferred habitat investors in each Eurozone country from the ECB's Securities and Holdings Statistics and confirm the differential impact on yields with a panel VAR and an event study. The third chapter examines credit ratings and their impact on sovereign debt crises and yields. The results show that credit ratings are poor predictors of sovereign debt crises. A parsimonious model of fundamentals is better at predicting Emerging Market debt crises than credit ratings. Furthermore, rating changes tend to lag events significantly. Investors should therefore ignore rating changes given that they do not contain new information. Estimating the impact of rating changes on yields, we find evidence of contrary, yields react especially strongly to downgrades of non-investment grade debt. This can be due to regulatory constraints where a downgrade reduces the value of debt as a collateral.

Essays on Sovereign Default and the Link with the Domestic Economy

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (851 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Sovereign Default and the Link with the Domestic Economy by : Eugenia Andreasen

Download or read book Essays on Sovereign Default and the Link with the Domestic Economy written by Eugenia Andreasen and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis studies the causes and consequences of sovereign defaults focusing on non traditional links between sovereign default and the domestic economy: the impact of sovereign defaults on the external financial conditions for the private sector; and the ex-ante implications of the redistributive effects of default and repayment on the political support that the government requires to implement either of these decisions. In the first chapter of my thesis I analyze the worsening of the external financial conditions for the private sector that follows sovereign defaults. To explore the issue I develop a signaling model in which sovereign defaults reveal negative information to foreign lenders regarding the institutional quality in the country. Foreign lenders care about institutional quality because it affects the expected repayment of loans. Therefore, if foreign lenders receive negative information on the institutional quality from the sovereign default they worsen the financial conditions they offer to local firms triggering a sharp reduction in credit and investment (updating effect). The model can rationalize the worsened financial conditions in international capital markets for the private sector observed after default episodes. In the second chapter, a joint work with Guido Sandleris and Alejandro Van der Ghote, we analyze how the presence of political constraints affects sovereign governmentsborrowing and default decisions. We do so in a standard DSGE model with endogenous default risk where we introduce two novel features: heterogeneous agents in the domestic private sector and a requirement that the government obtains some of their support to implement the fiscal program needed to repay the debt. In this framework, we demonstrate that sovereign default can also arise due to insufficient political support and we explore the implications of different income distribution, political systems and tax systems over the repayment decision.

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505531
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt agreements with the Paris Club. We present new stylized facts on the outcome and process of debt restructurings, including on the size of haircuts, creditor participation, and legal aspects. In addition, the paper summarizes the relevant empirical literature, analyzes recent restructuring episodes, and discusses ongoing debates on crisis resolution mechanisms, credit default swaps, and the role of collective action clauses.

Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484359623
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia

Download or read book Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.

The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475533241
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts by : Mr.Francisco Roch

Download or read book The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts written by Mr.Francisco Roch and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-06 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the recent European debt crisis, this paper investigates the scope for a bailout guarantee in a sovereign debt crisis. Defaults may arise from negative income shocks, government impatience or a "sunspot"-coordinated buyers strike. We introduce a bailout agency, and characterize the minimal actuarially fair intervention that guarantees the no-buyers-strike fundamental equilibrium, relying on the market for residual financing. The intervention makes it cheaper for governments to borrow, inducing them borrow more, leaving default probabilities possibly rather unchanged. The maximal backstop will be pulled precisely when fundamentals worsen.

Banks, Government Bonds, and Default

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498391990
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Banks, Government Bonds, and Default by : Nicola Gennaioli

Download or read book Banks, Government Bonds, and Default written by Nicola Gennaioli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-08 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze holdings of public bonds by over 20,000 banks in 191 countries, and the role of these bonds in 20 sovereign defaults over 1998-2012. Banks hold many public bonds (on average 9% of their assets), particularly in less financially-developed countries. During sovereign defaults, banks increase their exposure to public bonds, especially large banks and when expected bond returns are high. At the bank level, bondholdings correlate negatively with subsequent lending during sovereign defaults. This correlation is mostly due to bonds acquired in pre-default years. These findings shed light on alternative theories of the sovereign default-banking crisis nexus.

Three Essays in Emerging Market Post-crisis Recovery

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Publisher : Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays in Emerging Market Post-crisis Recovery by : Pritha Mitra

Download or read book Three Essays in Emerging Market Post-crisis Recovery written by Pritha Mitra and published by Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International. This book was released on 2005 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: