The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stabilization Policy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stabilization Policy by : Michael Sampson

Download or read book The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stabilization Policy written by Michael Sampson and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stablilization Policies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (896 download)

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Book Synopsis The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stablilization Policies by : Michael Sampson

Download or read book The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stablilization Policies written by Michael Sampson and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainty for Stabilization Policy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainty for Stabilization Policy by : Michael Sampson

Download or read book The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainty for Stabilization Policy written by Michael Sampson and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainity for Stabilization Policy

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainity for Stabilization Policy by : Concordia University (Montréal, Québec). Department of Economics

Download or read book The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainity for Stabilization Policy written by Concordia University (Montréal, Québec). Department of Economics and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821370855
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth by : Guillermo E. Perry

Download or read book Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth written by Guillermo E. Perry and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007-10-19 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fiscal policy in Latin America has been guided primarily by short-term liquidity targets whose observance was taken as the main exponent of fiscal prudence, with attention focused almost exclusively on the levels of public debt and the cash deficit. Very little attention was paid to the effects of fiscal policy on growth and on macroeconomic volatility over the cycle. Important issues such as the composition of public expenditures (and its effects on growth), the ability of fiscal policy to stabilize cyclical fluctuations, and the currency composition of public debt were largely neglected. As a result, fiscal policy has often amplified cyclical volatility and dampened growth. 'Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth' explores the conduct of fiscal policy in Latin America and its consequences for macroeconomic stability and long-term growth. In particular, the book highlights the procyclical and anti-investment biases embedded in the region's fiscal policies, explores their causes and macroeconomic consequences, and asesses their possible solutions.

Volatility, Growth, and Large Welfare Gains from Stabilization Policies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility, Growth, and Large Welfare Gains from Stabilization Policies by : Pengfei Wang

Download or read book Volatility, Growth, and Large Welfare Gains from Stabilization Policies written by Pengfei Wang and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper proposes a simple endogenous-fluctuations growth model to show: (1) long-run growth and short-run fluctuations can be intimately linked; in particular, the rate of long run growth can be negatively affected by volatilities; (2) imperfect competition can cause endogenous fluctuations, and it reduces not only the level of output but also its mean growth rate by amplifying the volatility of the economy; and (3) the welfare gain of stabilization policy can be enormous (e.g., as high as 25% of annual consumption when calibrated to the U.S. data) because policies designed to reduce sunspots-driven fluctuations can generate permanently higher rates of growth"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.

Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth by : Steven P. Cassou

Download or read book Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth written by Steven P. Cassou and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates a variety of objectives that are commonly used to motivate government fiscal action. These include welfare maximization, stabilization and growth maximization. The policies are compared on the basis of their implications for welfare, volatility and growth. We show that stabilization policies can produce welfare levels that are nearly identical to those of welfare maximization policies and that both welfare maximization and stabilization policies yield large welfare gains and modest growth losses relative to growth maximization policies. We also show that there are side issues to stabilization polices. In particular: 1) It is not possible to stabilize all macroeconomic variables simultaneously, even when the number of policy instruments is equal to the number of shocks; 2) stabilizing a particular variable requires increased volatility of some other variable; 3) stabilization requires some flexibility regarding the government's budget constraint; and 4) stabilization requires the government to respond in a precise and immediate way to exogenous shocks which hit the economy.

Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth by : Steven P. Cassou

Download or read book Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth written by Steven P. Cassou and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates a variety of objectives that are commonly used to motivate government fiscal action. These include, welfare maximization, stabilization and growth maximization. The policies are compared on the basis of their implications for welfare, volatility and growth. We show that stabilization policies can produce welfare levels that are nearly identical to those of welfare maximization policies and that both welfare maximization and stabilization policies yield large welfare gains and modest growth losses relative to growth maximization policies. We also show that there are side issues to stabilization polices. In particular: (1) It is not possible to stabilize all macroeconomic variables simultaneously, even when the number of policy instruments is equal to the number of shocks; (2) stabilizing a particular variable requires increased volatility of some other variable; (3) stabilization requires some flexibility regarding the government's budget constraint; and, (4) stabilization requires the government to respond in a precise and immediate way to exogenous shocks which hit the economy.

Robustness

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691170975
Total Pages : 453 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Robustness by : Lars Peter Hansen

Download or read book Robustness written by Lars Peter Hansen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 453 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.

Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498344658
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-20 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores how fiscal policy can affect medium- to long-term growth. It identifies the main channels through which fiscal policy can influence growth and distills practical lessons for policymakers. The particular mix of policy measures, however, will depend on country-specific conditions, capacities, and preferences. The paper draws on the Fund’s extensive technical assistance on fiscal reforms as well as several analytical studies, including a novel approach for country studies, a statistical analysis of growth accelerations following fiscal reforms, and simulations of an endogenous growth model.

Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589065130
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (651 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth by : Mr.James Daniel

Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth written by Mr.James Daniel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-08-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pamphlet (which updates the 1995 Guidelines for Fiscal Adjustment) presents the IMF’s approach to fiscal adjustment, and focuses on the role that sound government finances play in promoting macroeconomic stability and growth. Structured around five practical questions—when to adjust, how to assess the fiscal position, what makes for successful adjustment, how to carry out adjustment, and which institutions can help—it covers topics such as tax policies, debt sustainability, fiscal responsibility laws, and transparency.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513536990
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Hysteresis and Business Cycles by : Ms.Valerie Cerra

Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Policy Uncertainty in Japan

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302362
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Uncertainty in Japan by : Ms.Elif C Arbatli

Download or read book Policy Uncertainty in Japan written by Ms.Elif C Arbatli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-30 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that contain certain terms pertaining to the economy, policy matters and uncertainty. Our overall EPU index co-varies positively with implied volatilities for Japanese equities, exchange rates and interest rates and with a survey-based measure of political uncertainty. The EPU index rises around contested national elections and major leadership transitions in Japan, during the Asian Financial Crisis and in reaction to the Lehman Brothers failure, U.S. debt downgrade in 2011, Brexit referendum, and Japan’s recent decision to defer a consumption tax hike. Our uncertainty indices for fiscal, monetary, trade and exchange rate policy co-vary positively but also display distinct dynamics. VAR models imply that upward EPU innovations foreshadow deteriorations in Japan’s macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our study adds to evidence that credible policy plans and strong policy frameworks can favorably influence macroeconomic performance by, in part, reducing policy uncertainty.

Macroeconomic Theory and Stabilization Policy

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Publisher : Manchester University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780719029929
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (299 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Theory and Stabilization Policy by : Willem H. Buiter

Download or read book Macroeconomic Theory and Stabilization Policy written by Willem H. Buiter and published by Manchester University Press. This book was released on 1989 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Inflation Expectations

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World

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Publisher : Cato Institute
ISBN 13 : 194864715X
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (486 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World by : James A. Dorn

Download or read book Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World written by James A. Dorn and published by Cato Institute. This book was released on 2018-08-07 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ten years after the 2008 financial crisis we are again facing the possibility of economic turmoil as the Fed and other central banks exit their unconventional monetary policies by raising interest rates and shrinking their balance sheets. This book brings together leading scholars and former policymakers to draw lessons from the decade of unconventional monetary policies relied upon to stimulate the global economy in the aftermath of the financial crisis. The articles included in this book combine historical perspectives and forward-looking views of the Fed’s exit strategy and monetary normalization, along with the arguments for a rules-based monetary policy both at the domestic and international levels.

Long-Run Effects of Short-Run Stabilization Policy

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349063495
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis Long-Run Effects of Short-Run Stabilization Policy by : Lars Calmfors

Download or read book Long-Run Effects of Short-Run Stabilization Policy written by Lars Calmfors and published by Springer. This book was released on 1983-06-18 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: