The Theory Of Gambling And Statistical Logic

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The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic

Author : Richard A. Epstein
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 012397870X
Total Pages : 466 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (239 download)

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Book Synopsis The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic by : Richard A. Epstein

Download or read book The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic written by Richard A. Epstein and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2012-12-28 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Early in his rise to enlightenment, man invented a concept that has since been variously viewed as a vice, a crime, a business, a pleasure, a type of magic, a disease, a folly, a weakness, a form of sexual substitution, an expression of the human instinct. He invented gambling. Recent advances in the field, particularly Parrondo's paradox, have triggered a surge of interest in the statistical and mathematical theory behind gambling. This interest was acknowledge in the motion picture, "21," inspired by the true story of the MIT students who mastered the art of card counting to reap millions from the Vegas casinos. Richard Epstein's classic book on gambling and its mathematical analysis covers the full range of games from penny matching to blackjack, from Tic-Tac-Toe to the stock market (including Edward Thorp's warrant-hedging analysis). He even considers whether statistical inference can shed light on the study of paranormal phenomena. Epstein is witty and insightful, a pleasure to dip into and read and rewarding to study. The book is written at a fairly sophisticated mathematical level; this is not "Gambling for Dummies" or "How To Beat The Odds Without Really Trying." A background in upper-level undergraduate mathematics is helpful for understanding this work. - Comprehensive and exciting analysis of all major casino games and variants - Covers a wide range of interesting topics not covered in other books on the subject - Depth and breadth of its material is unique compared to other books of this nature Richard Epstein's website: www.gamblingtheory.net

The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic

Author : Richard A. Epstein
Publisher : Gulf Professional Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9780122407611
Total Pages : 476 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic by : Richard A. Epstein

Download or read book The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic written by Richard A. Epstein and published by Gulf Professional Publishing. This book was released on 1995 with total page 476 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Covering all aspects of gambling, The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic is mathematically sophisticated, but can be read for what it says about the games and strategies, skipping the technicalities. The material is fascinating and detailed, and the analysis is masterful.

Games, Gambling, and Probability

Author : David G. Taylor
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000400204
Total Pages : 516 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Games, Gambling, and Probability by : David G. Taylor

Download or read book Games, Gambling, and Probability written by David G. Taylor and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-06-22 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many experiments have shown the human brain generally has very serious problems dealing with probability and chance. A greater understanding of probability can help develop the intuition necessary to approach risk with the ability to make more informed (and better) decisions. The first four chapters offer the standard content for an introductory probability course, albeit presented in a much different way and order. The chapters afterward include some discussion of different games, different "ideas" that relate to the law of large numbers, and many more mathematical topics not typically seen in such a book. The use of games is meant to make the book (and course) feel like fun! Since many of the early games discussed are casino games, the study of those games, along with an understanding of the material in later chapters, should remind you that gambling is a bad idea; you should think of placing bets in a casino as paying for entertainment. Winning can, obviously, be a fun reward, but should not ever be expected. Changes for the Second Edition: New chapter on Game Theory New chapter on Sports Mathematics The chapter on Blackjack, which was Chapter 4 in the first edition, appears later in the book. Reorganization has been done to improve the flow of topics and learning. New sections on Arkham Horror, Uno, and Scrabble have been added. Even more exercises were added! The goal for this textbook is to complement the inquiry-based learning movement. In my mind, concepts and ideas will stick with the reader more when they are motivated in an interesting way. Here, we use questions about various games (not just casino games) to motivate the mathematics, and I would say that the writing emphasizes a "just-in-time" mathematics approach. Topics are presented mathematically as questions about the games themselves are posed. Table of Contents Preface 1. Mathematics and Probability 2. Roulette and Craps: Expected Value 3. Counting: Poker Hands 4. More Dice: Counting and Combinations, and Statistics 5. Game Theory: Poker Bluffing and Other Games 6. Probability/Stochastic Matrices: Board Game Movement 7. Sports Mathematics: Probability Meets Athletics 8. Blackjack: Previous Methods Revisited 9. A Mix of Other Games 10. Betting Systems: Can You Beat the System? 11. Potpourri: Assorted Adventures in Probability Appendices Tables Answers and Selected Solutions Bibliography Biography Dr. David G. Taylor is a professor of mathematics and an associate dean for academic affairs at Roanoke College in southwest Virginia. He attended Lebanon Valley College for his B.S. in computer science and mathematics and went to the University of Virginia for his Ph.D. While his graduate school focus was on studying infinite dimensional Lie algebras, he started studying the mathematics of various games in order to have a more undergraduate-friendly research agenda. Work done with two Roanoke College students, Heather Cook and Jonathan Marino, appears in this book! Currently he owns over 100 different board games and enjoys using probability in his decision-making while playing most of those games. In his spare time, he enjoys reading, cooking, coding, playing his board games, and spending time with his six-year-old dog Lilly.

Rules of Play

Author : Katie Salen Tekinbas
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262240451
Total Pages : 680 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (44 download)

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Book Synopsis Rules of Play by : Katie Salen Tekinbas

Download or read book Rules of Play written by Katie Salen Tekinbas and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2003-09-25 with total page 680 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An impassioned look at games and game design that offers the most ambitious framework for understanding them to date. As pop culture, games are as important as film or television—but game design has yet to develop a theoretical framework or critical vocabulary. In Rules of Play Katie Salen and Eric Zimmerman present a much-needed primer for this emerging field. They offer a unified model for looking at all kinds of games, from board games and sports to computer and video games. As active participants in game culture, the authors have written Rules of Play as a catalyst for innovation, filled with new concepts, strategies, and methodologies for creating and understanding games. Building an aesthetics of interactive systems, Salen and Zimmerman define core concepts like "play," "design," and "interactivity." They look at games through a series of eighteen "game design schemas," or conceptual frameworks, including games as systems of emergence and information, as contexts for social play, as a storytelling medium, and as sites of cultural resistance. Written for game scholars, game developers, and interactive designers, Rules of Play is a textbook, reference book, and theoretical guide. It is the first comprehensive attempt to establish a solid theoretical framework for the emerging discipline of game design.

Luck, Logic, and White Lies

Author : Jörg Bewersdorff
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 100037209X
Total Pages : 498 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Luck, Logic, and White Lies by : Jörg Bewersdorff

Download or read book Luck, Logic, and White Lies written by Jörg Bewersdorff and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-04-28 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for the First Edition "Luck, Logic, and White Lies teaches readers of all backgrounds about the insight mathematical knowledge can bring and is highly recommended reading among avid game players, both to better understand the game itself and to improve one’s skills." – Midwest Book Review "The best book I've found for someone new to game math is Luck, Logic and White Lies by Jörg Bewersdorff. It introduces the reader to a vast mathematical literature, and does so in an enormously clear manner. . ." – Alfred Wallace, Musings, Ramblings, and Things Left Unsaid "The aim is to introduce the mathematics that will allow analysis of the problem or game. This is done in gentle stages, from chapter to chapter, so as to reach as broad an audience as possible . . . Anyone who likes games and has a taste for analytical thinking will enjoy this book." – Peter Fillmore, CMS Notes Luck, Logic, and White Lies: The Mathematics of Games, Second Edition considers a specific problem—generally a game or game fragment and introduces the related mathematical methods. It contains a section on the historical development of the theories of games of chance, and combinatorial and strategic games. This new edition features new and much refreshed chapters, including an all-new Part IV on the problem of how to measure skill in games. Readers are also introduced to new references and techniques developed since the previous edition. Features Provides a uniquely historical perspective on the mathematical underpinnings of a comprehensive list of games Suitable for a broad audience of differing mathematical levels. Anyone with a passion for games, game theory, and mathematics will enjoy this book, whether they be students, academics, or game enthusiasts Covers a wide selection of topics at a level that can be appreciated on a historical, recreational, and mathematical level. Jörg Bewersdorff (1958) studied mathematics from 1975 to 1982 at the University of Bonn and earned his PhD in 1985. In the same year, he started his career as game developer and mathematician. He served as the general manager of the subsidiaries of Gauselmann AG for more than two decades where he developed electronic gaming machines, automatic payment machines, and coin-operated Internet terminals. Dr. Bewersdorff has authored several books on Galois theory (translated in English and Korean), mathematical statistics, and object-oriented programming with JavaScript.

The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, Revised Edition

Author : Richard A. Epstein
Publisher : Gulf Professional Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0080571840
Total Pages : 467 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, Revised Edition by : Richard A. Epstein

Download or read book The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, Revised Edition written by Richard A. Epstein and published by Gulf Professional Publishing. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 467 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: [Man] invented a concept that has since been variously viewed as a vice, a crime, a business, a pleasure, a type of magic, a disease, a folly, a weakness, a form of sexual substitution, an expression of the human instinct. He invented gambling.Richard Epstein's classic book on gambling and its mathematical analysis covers the full range of games from penny matching, to blackjack and other casino games, to the stock market (including Black-Scholes analysis). He even considers what light statistical inference can shed on the study of paranormal phenomena. Epstein is witty and insightful, a pleasure to dip into and read and rewarding to study.

Gambling Theory and Other Topics

Author : Mason Malmuth
Publisher : Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
ISBN 13 : 9781880685037
Total Pages : 420 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Gambling Theory and Other Topics by : Mason Malmuth

Download or read book Gambling Theory and Other Topics written by Mason Malmuth and published by Two Plus Two Publishing LLC. This book was released on 1999 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Absolutely must reading for all serious gamblers. Most people who gamble are basically attracted by the action and the excitement that this form of entertainment offers. But a small number of people are quite successful at it. How is this so? What helps these few to make decisions that devastate their opponents? And what do you need to do to become successful at this extremely challenging occupation? This text attempts to answer these questions. You will be introduced to the dynamic concept of non-self-weighting strategies and shown how these strategies apply not only at the "very exciting gaming tables" but in real life as well. In addition, risk and fluctuations are discussed in terms of the standard deviation and their relationship to each other and to your bankroll. Some of the other topics addressed are bankroll requirements, win-rate accuracy, free bets, which blackjack count is best, lottery fallacies, dangerous ideas, poker tournament strategies (including when it is correct to rebuy), settling up in tournaments, pai gow poker, super pan nine, the world's greatest gamblers, and building pyramids.

Principles for a Free Society

Author : Richard A. Epstein
Publisher : Basic Books (AZ)
ISBN 13 : 9780738208299
Total Pages : 360 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (82 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles for a Free Society by : Richard A. Epstein

Download or read book Principles for a Free Society written by Richard A. Epstein and published by Basic Books (AZ). This book was released on 2002 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The country's leading libertarian scholar sets forth the essential principles for a legal system that best balances individual liberty versus the common good.

The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference

Author : Henry E. Kyburg Jr.
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401021759
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference by : Henry E. Kyburg Jr.

Download or read book The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference written by Henry E. Kyburg Jr. and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Everyone knows it is easy to lie with statistics. It is important then to be able to tell a statistical lie from a valid statistical inference. It is a relatively widely accepted commonplace that our scientific knowledge is not certain and incorrigible, but merely probable, subject to refinement, modifi cation, and even overthrow. The rankest beginner at a gambling table understands that his decisions must be based on mathematical ex pectations - that is, on utilities weighted by probabilities. It is widely held that the same principles apply almost all the time in the game of life. If we turn to philosophers, or to mathematical statisticians, or to probability theorists for criteria of validity in statistical inference, for the general principles that distinguish well grounded from ill grounded generalizations and laws, or for the interpretation of that probability we must, like the gambler, take as our guide in life, we find disagreement, confusion, and frustration. We might be prepared to find disagreements on a philosophical and theoretical level (although we do not find them in the case of deductive logic) but we do not expect, and we may be surprised to find, that these theoretical disagreements lead to differences in the conclusions that are regarded as 'acceptable' in the practice of science and public affairs, and in the conduct of business.

The Mathematics of Gambling

Author : Edward Thorp
Publisher : Lyle Stuart
ISBN 13 : 9780897460194
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (61 download)

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Book Synopsis The Mathematics of Gambling by : Edward Thorp

Download or read book The Mathematics of Gambling written by Edward Thorp and published by Lyle Stuart. This book was released on 1984 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Trading Bases

Author : Joe Peta
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0451415175
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (514 download)

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Book Synopsis Trading Bases by : Joe Peta

Download or read book Trading Bases written by Joe Peta and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2014-03-04 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An ex–Wall Street trader improved on Moneyball’s famed sabermetrics and beat the Vegas odds with his own betting methods. Here is the story of how Joe Peta turned fantasy baseball into a dream come true. Joe Peta turned his back on his Wall Street trading career to pursue an ingenious—and incredibly risky—dream. He would apply his risk-analysis skills to Major League Baseball, and treat the sport like the S&P 500. In Trading Bases, Peta takes us on his journey from the ballpark in San Francisco to the trading floors and baseball bars of New York and the sportsbooks of Las Vegas, telling the story of how he created a baseball “hedge fund” with an astounding 41 percent return in his first year. And he explains the unique methods he developed. Along the way, Peta provides insight into the Wall Street crisis he managed to escape: the fragility of the midnineties investment model; the disgraced former CEO of Lehman Brothers, who recruited Peta; and the high-adrenaline atmosphere where million-dollar sports-betting pools were common.

An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic

Author : Ian Hacking
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521775014
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (75 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic by : Ian Hacking

Download or read book An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic written by Ian Hacking and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-07-02 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introductory 2001 textbook on probability and induction written by a foremost philosopher of science.

Mathematics in Games, Sports, and Gambling

Author : Ronald J. Gould
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498719538
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematics in Games, Sports, and Gambling by : Ronald J. Gould

Download or read book Mathematics in Games, Sports, and Gambling written by Ronald J. Gould and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-10-28 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematics in Games, Sports, and Gambling: The Games People Play, Second Edition demonstrates how discrete probability, statistics, and elementary discrete mathematics are used in games, sports, and gambling situations. With emphasis on mathematical thinking and problem solving, the text draws on numerous examples, questions, and problems to expla

The Logic Of Sports Betting

Author : Matthew Davidow
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781096805724
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis The Logic Of Sports Betting by : Matthew Davidow

Download or read book The Logic Of Sports Betting written by Matthew Davidow and published by . This book was released on 2019-05-17 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How do sportsbooks make their lines? Which types of bets are the best? Can you beat the house? The Logic Of Sports Betting answers all these questions and more with a dash of humor and a whole lot of real talk about how it all works. Peek behind the counter and learn how sportsbooks operate. Combine that insider knowledge with why-didn't-I-think-of-that sports betting logic, and you have the winning formula. Ed Miller is a best-selling (over 300,000 copies sold) author of books on poker and gambling. This is his first book on sports betting, but maybe his favorite book to write so far. Matthew Davidow is a sports modeler, using proprietary methods to beat major sports betting markets for over 15 years, and co-founding two leading private sports analytics firms along the way. What people are saying about The Logic Of Sports Betting "Matt and Ed are two of the smartest minds in sports betting." - Rufus Peabody, professional sports bettor "As a sportsbook employee for 30-plus years, I find it difficult to read or watch anything about sports betting. But I could not put The Logic Of Sports Betting down. It's that good." - Robert Walker, Las Vegas bookmaker

Understanding Probability

Author : Henk Tijms
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139511076
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (395 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Probability by : Henk Tijms

Download or read book Understanding Probability written by Henk Tijms and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-06-14 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding Probability is a unique and stimulating approach to a first course in probability. The first part of the book demystifies probability and uses many wonderful probability applications from everyday life to help the reader develop a feel for probabilities. The second part, covering a wide range of topics, teaches clearly and simply the basics of probability. This fully revised third edition has been packed with even more exercises and examples and it includes new sections on Bayesian inference, Markov chain Monte-Carlo simulation, hitting probabilities in random walks and Brownian motion, and a new chapter on continuous-time Markov chains with applications. Here you will find all the material taught in an introductory probability course. The first part of the book, with its easy-going style, can be read by anybody with a reasonable background in high school mathematics. The second part of the book requires a basic course in calculus.

Bernoulli's Fallacy

Author : Aubrey Clayton
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231553358
Total Pages : 641 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Bernoulli's Fallacy by : Aubrey Clayton

Download or read book Bernoulli's Fallacy written by Aubrey Clayton and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2021-08-03 with total page 641 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a logical flaw in the statistical methods used across experimental science. This fault is not a minor academic quibble: it underlies a reproducibility crisis now threatening entire disciplines. In an increasingly statistics-reliant society, this same deeply rooted error shapes decisions in medicine, law, and public policy with profound consequences. The foundation of the problem is a misunderstanding of probability and its role in making inferences from observations. Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it. He highlights how influential nineteenth- and twentieth-century figures developed a statistical methodology they claimed was purely objective in order to silence critics of their political agendas, including eugenics. Clayton provides a clear account of the mathematics and logic of probability, conveying complex concepts accessibly for readers interested in the statistical methods that frame our understanding of the world. He contends that we need to take a Bayesian approach—that is, to incorporate prior knowledge when reasoning with incomplete information—in order to resolve the crisis. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli’s Fallacy explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data—and how to fix it.

Philosophical Theories of Probability

Author : Donald Gillies
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134672454
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (346 download)

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Book Synopsis Philosophical Theories of Probability by : Donald Gillies

Download or read book Philosophical Theories of Probability written by Donald Gillies and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-09-10 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Twentieth Century has seen a dramatic rise in the use of probability and statistics in almost all fields of research. This has stimulated many new philosophical ideas on probability. Philosophical Theories of Probability is the first book to present a clear, comprehensive and systematic account of these various theories and to explain how they relate to one another. Gillies also offers a distinctive version of the propensity theory of probability, and the intersubjective interpretation, which develops the subjective theory.