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The Synthesis Of Forecasting Models In Decision Analysis
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Book Synopsis The Synthesis of Forecasting Models in Decision Analysis by : Derek W. Bunn
Download or read book The Synthesis of Forecasting Models in Decision Analysis written by Derek W. Bunn and published by Birkhäuser. This book was released on 1978 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Predicting Human Decision-Making by : Ariel Rosenfeld
Download or read book Predicting Human Decision-Making written by Ariel Rosenfeld and published by Morgan & Claypool Publishers. This book was released on 2018-01-22 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human decision-making often transcends our formal models of "rationality." Designing intelligent agents that interact proficiently with people necessitates the modeling of human behavior and the prediction of their decisions. In this book, we explore the task of automatically predicting human decision-making and its use in designing intelligent human-aware automated computer systems of varying natures—from purely conflicting interaction settings (e.g., security and games) to fully cooperative interaction settings (e.g., autonomous driving and personal robotic assistants). We explore the techniques, algorithms, and empirical methodologies for meeting the challenges that arise from the above tasks and illustrate major benefits from the use of these computational solutions in real-world application domains such as security, negotiations, argumentative interactions, voting systems, autonomous driving, and games. The book presents both the traditional and classical methods as well as the most recent and cutting edge advances, providing the reader with a panorama of the challenges and solutions in predicting human decision-making.
Book Synopsis Decision Making and Forecasting by : Kneale T. Marshall
Download or read book Decision Making and Forecasting written by Kneale T. Marshall and published by McGraw-Hill Science, Engineering & Mathematics. This book was released on 1995 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses how to design the most important features of realistic decision problems into analytical models that reveal their structure and give insight. Emphasis is on model formulation using graphical techniques with influence diagrams and decision trees. Decision Making and Forecasting shows how forecasting must be integrated with decision making in a coherent manner and makes frequent use of the economic value of forecasts.
Book Synopsis The Handbook of Behavioral Operations by : Karen Donohue
Download or read book The Handbook of Behavioral Operations written by Karen Donohue and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-11-06 with total page 688 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive review of behavioral operations management that puts the focus on new and trending research in the field The Handbook of Behavioral Operations offers a comprehensive resource that fills the gap in the behavioral operations management literature. This vital text highlights best practices in behavioral operations research and identifies the most current research directions and their applications. A volume in the Wiley Series in Operations Research and Management Science, this book contains contributions from an international panel of scholars from a wide variety of backgrounds who are conducting behavioral research. The handbook provides succinct tutorials on common methods used to conduct behavioral research, serves as a resource for current topics in behavioral operations research, and as a guide to the use of new research methods. The authors review the fundamental theories and offer frameworks from a psychological, systems dynamics, and behavioral economic standpoint. They provide a crucial grounding for behavioral operations as well as an entry point for new areas of behavioral research. The handbook also presents a variety of behavioral operations applications that focus on specific areas of study and includes a survey of current and future research needs. This important resource: Contains a summary of the methodological foundations and in-depth treatment of research best practices in behavioral research. Provides a comprehensive review of the research conducted over the past two decades in behavioral operations, including such classic topics as inventory management, supply chain contracting, forecasting, and competitive sourcing. Covers a wide-range of current topics and applications including supply chain risk, responsible and sustainable supply chain, health care operations, culture and trust. Connects existing bodies of behavioral operations literature with related fields, including psychology and economics. Provides a vision for future behavioral research in operations. Written for academicians within the operations management community as well as for behavioral researchers, The Handbook of Behavioral Operations offers a comprehensive resource for the study of how individuals make decisions in an operational context with contributions from experts in the field.
Book Synopsis Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies by : National Research Council
Download or read book Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2010-02-15 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.
Book Synopsis Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science by : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan
Download or read book Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science written by Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-07-13 with total page 735 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inspired by the Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Second Edition, this volume presents the tools and techniques that are essential for carrying out best practices in the modern business world The collection and analysis of quantitative data drives some of the most important conclusions that are drawn in today's business world, such as the preferences of a customer base, the quality of manufactured products, the marketing of products, and the availability of financial resources. As a result, it is essential for individuals working in this environment to have the knowledge and skills to interpret and use statistical techniques in various scenarios. Addressing this need, Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science serves as a single, one-of-a-kind resource that guides readers through the use of common statistical practices by presenting real-world applications from the fields of business, economics, finance, operations research, and management science. Uniting established literature with the latest research, this volume features classic articles from the acclaimed Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Second Edition along with brand-new contributions written by today's leading academics and practitioners. The result is a compilation that explores classic methodology and new topics, including: Analytical methods for risk management Statistical modeling for online auctions Ranking and selection in mutual funds Uses of Black-Scholes formula in finance Data mining in prediction markets From auditing and marketing to stock market price indices and banking, the presented literature sheds light on the use of quantitative methods in research relating to common financial applications. In addition, the book supplies insight on common uses of statistical techniques such as Bayesian methods, optimization, simulation, forecasting, mathematical modeling, financial time series, and data mining in modern research. Providing a blend of traditional methodology and the latest research, Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science is an excellent reference for researchers, managers, consultants, and students in the fields of business, management science, operations research, supply chain management, mathematical finance, and economics who must understand statistical literature and carry out quantitative practices to make smart business decisions in their everyday work.
Book Synopsis Lecture Notes in Computational Intelligence and Decision Making by : Volodymyr Lytvynenko
Download or read book Lecture Notes in Computational Intelligence and Decision Making written by Volodymyr Lytvynenko and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-07-23 with total page 729 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Information and computer technologies for data analysis and processing in various fields of data mining and machine learning generates the conditions for increasing the effectiveness of information processing by making it faster and more accurate. The book includes 49 scientific papers presenting the latest research in the fields of data mining, machine learning and decision-making. Divided into three sections: “Analysis and Modeling of Complex Systems and Processes”; “Theoretical and Applied Aspects of Decision-Making Systems”; and “Computational Intelligence and Inductive Modeling”, the book is of interest to scientists and developers in the field.
Book Synopsis A Selected Annotated Bibliography on the Analysis of Water Resource Systems by : Daniel P. Loucks
Download or read book A Selected Annotated Bibliography on the Analysis of Water Resource Systems written by Daniel P. Loucks and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Selected Annotated Bibliography on the Analysis of Water Resource Systems by :
Download or read book A Selected Annotated Bibliography on the Analysis of Water Resource Systems written by and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Selected Annotated Bibliography on the Analysis of Water Resource Systems by : Water Resources Scientific Information Center
Download or read book A Selected Annotated Bibliography on the Analysis of Water Resource Systems written by Water Resources Scientific Information Center and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Energy Abstracts for Policy Analysis by :
Download or read book Energy Abstracts for Policy Analysis written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Lecture Notes in Computational Intelligence and Decision Making by : Sergii Babichev
Download or read book Lecture Notes in Computational Intelligence and Decision Making written by Sergii Babichev and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-25 with total page 743 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book includes 46 scientific papers presented at the conference and reflecting the latest research in the fields of data mining, machine learning and decision-making. The international scientific conference “Intellectual Systems of Decision-Making and Problems of Computational Intelligence” was held in the Kherson region, Ukraine, from May 25 to 29, 2020. The papers are divided into three sections: “Analysis and Modeling of Complex Systems and Processes,” “Theoretical and Applied Aspects of Decision-Making Systems” and “Computational Intelligence and Inductive Modeling.” The book will be of interest to scientists and developers specialized in the fields of data mining, machine learning and decision-making systems.
Book Synopsis Financial Management Excellence: Strategies for Sustainable Growth by : Dr Nidhi Srivastava
Download or read book Financial Management Excellence: Strategies for Sustainable Growth written by Dr Nidhi Srivastava and published by Inkbound Publishers. This book was released on 2022-10-08 with total page 548 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Achieve sustainable growth with excellence in financial management. This book covers essential strategies and practices for managing finances effectively, making it a valuable resource for financial professionals and business leaders.
Book Synopsis Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau
Download or read book Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-04 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.
Download or read book Management written by and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis NASA SP-7500 by : United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Download or read book NASA SP-7500 written by United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 814 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Forecasting in Business and Economics by : C. W. J. Granger
Download or read book Forecasting in Business and Economics written by C. W. J. Granger and published by Academic Press Incorporated. This book was released on 1989-04-28 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Describes the major techniques of forecasting used in economics and business. This book focuses on the forecasting of economic data and covers a range of topics, including the description of the Box-Jenkins single series modeling techniques; forecasts from purely statistical and econometric models; nonstationary and nonlinear models; and more.