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The Sustainability Of African Debt
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Book Synopsis The Sustainability of African Debt by : Daniel Cohen
Download or read book The Sustainability of African Debt written by Daniel Cohen and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: July 1996 The role of debt forgiveness is to alleviate what is known as debt overhang. This concept is the core idea of the Brady deals, and it now comes to the African debt crisis. How can one gauge the hypothesis of the debt overhang? To what extent can one attribute the growth slowdown of the 1990s to the debt crisis of the 1980s? Using data from the past decade, the author finds that debt variables play a significant role in that slowdown. In one exercise, he finds that more than half the growth slowdown of the large debtor countries in the 1980s could be attributed to the debt crisis. To what reasonable debt ratio should African debt be written down? Most exercises set the threshold of sustainability of debt at about 200 percent. The easiest way to rationalize such a threshold is first to measure the average value of debt-to-export ratios reached at the time of the first rescheduling of debt in a given country. Using Latin America as a benchmark, one finds an average threshold of 248 percent. However short-sighted such a ratio might be, it goes a long way toward rationalizing the view that a debt-to-export ratio between 200 and 300 percent is a strong signal of a forthcoming crisis. This naive approach takes no account of the changing environment (growth and interest rates) a country must confront. A more subtle approach should allow for the prospect of a country's growth to assess the sustainability of the debt it inherits. With the author's formula for so doing, Africa's debt-to-export ratio should be brought to 198 percent. Another way to assess the sustainability of debt is to look at the secondary market, which allows one to estimate the prospect of repayment expected by market participants. Few African debts are actually quoted on secondary markets, but the author presents a formula for reconstructing estimates of repayment prospects econometrically. By that method, Africa's debt-to-export ratio should be 210 percent, suggesting that a threshold between 200 and 250 percent is about right.
Book Synopsis The Sustainability of African Debt by : Cohen
Download or read book The Sustainability of African Debt written by Cohen and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Sustainability of African Debt by : Daniel Cohen
Download or read book The Sustainability of African Debt written by Daniel Cohen and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 1 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of debt forgiveness is to alleviate what is known as quot;debt overhang.quot; This concept is the core idea of the Brady deals, and it now comes to the African debt crisis. How can one gauge the hypothesis of the debt overhang? To what extent can one attribute the growth slowdown of the 1990s to the debt crisis of the 1980s? Using data from the past decade, the author finds that debt variables play a significant role in that slowdown. In one exercise, he finds that more than half the growth slowdown of the large debtor countries in the 1980s could be attributed to the debt crisis. To what reasonable debt ratio should African debt be written down? Most exercises set the threshold of sustainability of debt at about 200 percent. The easiest way to rationalize such a threshold is first to measure the average value of debt-to-export ratios reached at the time of the first rescheduling of debt in a given country. Using Latin America as a benchmark, one finds an average threshold of 248 percent. However short-sighted such a ratio might be, it goes a long way toward rationalizing the view that a debt-to-export ratio between 200 and 300 percent is a strong signal of a forthcoming crisis. This naive approach takes no account of the changing environment (growth and interest rates) a country must confront. A more subtle approach should allow for the prospect of a country's growth to assess the sustainability of the debt it inherits. With the author's formula for so doing, Africa's debt-to-export ratio should be brought to 198 percent. Another way to assess the sustainability of debt is to look at the secondary market, which allows one to estimate the prospect of repayment expected by market participants. Few African debts are actually quoted on secondary markets, but the author presents a formula for reconstructing estimates of repayment prospects econometrically. By that method, Africa's debt-to-export ratio should be 210 percent, suggesting that a threshold between 200 and 250 percent is about right.
Book Synopsis Where Credit is Due by : Gregory Smith
Download or read book Where Credit is Due written by Gregory Smith and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-12-01 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Borrowing is a crucial source of financing for governments all over the world. If they get it wrong, then debt crises can bring progress to a halt. But if it's done right, investment happens and conditions improve. African countries are seeking calmer capital, to raise living standards and give their economies a competitive edge. The African debt landscape has changed radically in the first two decades of the twenty-first century. Since the clean slate of extensive debt relief, states have sought new borrowing opportunities from international capital markets and emerging global powers like China. The new debt composition has increased risk, exacerbated by the 2020 coronavirus pandemic: richer countries borrowed at rock-bottom interest rates, while Africa faced an expensive jump in indebtedness. The escalating debt burden has provoked calls by the G20 for suspension of debt payments. But Africa's debt today is highly complex, and owed to a wider range of lenders. A new approach is needed, and could turn crisis into opportunity. Urgent action by both lenders and borrowers can reduce risk, while carefully preserving market access; and smart deployment of private finance can provide the scale of investment needed to achieve development goals and tackle the climate emergency.
Book Synopsis Debt Relief and Sustainable Development in Sub-Saharan Africa by : George C. Abbott
Download or read book Debt Relief and Sustainable Development in Sub-Saharan Africa written by George C. Abbott and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1993 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sub-Saharan Africa is facing a debt crisis of major international significance. Not only have debt levels risen sharply, but output and exports have stagnated. Standards of living have fallen drastically, and in many cases have been reduced to the level of the early 1960s. This important book argues that it is impossible for Sub-Saharan African countries to resolve the debt crisis without outside assistance. The conventional methods of debt consolidation are inappropriate and of limited use in their case. The SSA countries need to undertake major structural reforms if they are to get out of debt and achieve long term sustainable growth and development. The book provides an integrated debt-development strategy for achieving both these goals. Debt Relief and Sustainable Development in Sub-Saharan Africamakes a significant contribution to an important but hitherto relatively neglected area of the international debt crisis. It will be essential reading for development economists as well as all those with an interest in contemporary Africa.
Book Synopsis African Debt and Sustainable Development by : Haider Khan
Download or read book African Debt and Sustainable Development written by Haider Khan and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Public Debt Sustainability in Africa by : James Oppong-Gyebi
Download or read book Public Debt Sustainability in Africa written by James Oppong-Gyebi and published by . This book was released on 2023-03-31 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2022 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.3, University of Siegen (Faculty 3), course: MSc Economic Policy, language: English, abstract: This study assesses the sustainability of public debt in Africa by estimating a fiscal reaction function using the feasible fixed effects generalized least squares estimator with panel data from 40 African countries and annual time series from 2001 to 2021. I find evidence in support of public debt sustainability in Africa, with low-debt African countries exerting a greater fiscal effort in maintaining sustainable debt levels than high-debt African countries. The research questions are: Is public debt in Africa sustainable? Has public debt sustainability in Africa been weaker following the global financial crisis? Which debt group has exerted a stronger fiscal effort toward maintaining sustainable public debt levels? Is Nigeria's public debt to GDP ratio unsustainable compared to Ghana, South Africa, Ethiopia, Algeria, Tunisia, and Egypt? The rising levels of public debt within the continent indicate the possibility of a debt crisis among African countries if not carefully managed. The latest Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) under the Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF) for Low-Income Countries (LIC) jointly published by the IMF and World Bank affirms this fear as 25 African countries are either already in or at high risk of debt distress. . The report further indicates that 13 other African countries are at moderate risk of debt distress. Thus, with memories of the recent Greek debt crisis still fresh in mind, African countries are presented with a scenario of the destructive impact of a debt crisis if not expertly handled. It is therefore of great importance that African countries display robust fiscal discipline and pursue sound policies so as not to be at the risk of debt distress. Given the evidence of rising public debt levels and the possibility of debt distress in several Afri
Book Synopsis Public Debt Sustainability in Africa by : Zuzana Brixiova
Download or read book Public Debt Sustainability in Africa written by Zuzana Brixiova and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The heightened interest of African countries to access international capital markets has put public debt sustainability once again high on the continent's policy agenda. Applying the 'stabilizing primary balance approach' to sustainability shows that the primary balances exceeded those required to keep public debt at the 2007 level in about half of the countries studied. In several cases with higher debt burdens, the balances were also above those needed to reduce public debt-to-GDP to sustainable thresholds. However, in most countries the main driver of sustainability has been the interest rate - growth differential (IRGD), underscoring the importance of maintaining and even accelerating growth as well as utilizing the borrowing space for growth-enhancing outlays. Fiscal policies will need to play a greater role in maintaining debt sustainability in the future, especially since the IRGDs are likely to narrow over the longer term.
Book Synopsis Africa's Odious Debts by : Léonce Ndikumana
Download or read book Africa's Odious Debts written by Léonce Ndikumana and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2011-10-13 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Africa's Odious Debts, Boyce and Ndikumana reveal the shocking fact that, contrary to the popular perception of Africa being a drain on the financial resources of the West, the continent is actually a net creditor to the rest of the world. The extent of capital flight from sub-Saharan Africa is remarkable: more than $700 billion in the past four decades. But Africa's foreign assets remain private and hidden, while its foreign debts are public, owed by the people of Africa through their governments. Léonce Ndikumana and James K. Boyce reveal the intimate links between foreign loans and capital flight. Of the money borrowed by African governments in recent decades, more than half departed in the same year, with a significant portion of it winding up in private accounts at the very banks that provided the loans in the first place. Meanwhile, debt-service payments continue to drain scarce resources from Africa, cutting into funds available for public health and other needs. Controversially, the authors argue that African governments should repudiate these 'odious debts' from which their people derived no benefit, and that the international community should assist in this effort. A vital book for anyone interested in Africa, its future and its relationship with the West.
Download or read book Economic Development in Africa written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Addresses the debt problems of African countries in the context of achieving the Millennium Development Goals by 2015.
Book Synopsis The Debt Trap in Nigeria by : Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala
Download or read book The Debt Trap in Nigeria written by Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala and published by Africa World Press. This book was released on 2003 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first major study to put the debt question in perspective, this book is the outcome of a historic conference held in May 2001 to debate Nigeria's future in the context of the debt overhang. The book captures the highlights of all presentations, and presents the recommendations and consensus reached concerning reducing the debt burden, strengthening the institutional framework for debt and resource management, and resuming sustainable development, ultimately demanding that Nigeria and the international community refocus their resources on fighting poverty.
Book Synopsis Africa and the Sustainable Development Goals by : Maano Ramutsindela
Download or read book Africa and the Sustainable Development Goals written by Maano Ramutsindela and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-06-13 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book draws upon the expertise and international research collaborations forged by the Worldwide Universities Network Global Africa Group to critically engage with the intersection, in theory and practice, of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and Africa’s development agendas and needs. Further, it argues that – and demonstrates how – the SDGs should be understood as an aspirational blueprint for development with multiple meanings that are situated in dynamic and contested terrains. As the SDGs have substantial implications for development policy and resourcing at both the macro and micro levels, their relevance is not only context-specific but should also be assessed in terms of the aspirations and needs of ordinary citizens across the continent. Drawing on analyses and evidence from both the natural and social sciences, the book demonstrates that progress towards the SDGs must meet demands for improving human well-being under diverse and challenging socio-economic, political and environmental conditions. Examples include those from the mining industry, public health, employment and the media. In closing, it highlights how international collaboration in the form of research networks can enhance the production of critical knowledge on and engagement with the SDGs in Africa.
Book Synopsis Kenya by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Kenya written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-01-08 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report of the Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) indicates that the envisaged strategy of a partial substitution of domestic debt by increased inflows of external grants and concessional loans, as well as a rescheduling of external debt by the Paris and London Clubs, would facilitate the achievement of debt sustainability. The DSA also confirms that such a debt rescheduling could constitute an appropriate exit strategy for Kenya. The DSA also shows that debt sustainability would improve significantly with a concessional rescheduling, particularly under the Naples terms.
Book Synopsis Public Debt Sustainability in Africa by : Mthuli Ncube
Download or read book Public Debt Sustainability in Africa written by Mthuli Ncube and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Fiscal Sustainability in African HIPC Countries by : Alina Kudina
Download or read book Fiscal Sustainability in African HIPC Countries written by Alina Kudina and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-09-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper looks at the link between fiscal policy and debt sustainability in a number of African countries participating in the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative. The paper finds that, on the basis of current fiscal policies, debt levels will remain unsustainable even after these countries graduate from the HIPC Initiative. This finding has important policy implications. By the very requirements of the HIPC Initiative, these countries are expected to increase significantly their poverty-reducing expenditure-possibly resulting in weaker fiscal primary balances and worsening debt sustainability outlook. As offsetting fiscal tightening may not be viable, ensuring debt sustainability may thus require increased availability of (nondebt-creating) grants. Otherwise, debt sustainability in HIPC countries may prove elusive in the long term.
Book Synopsis Economic Development in Africa by : Barry Leonard
Download or read book Economic Development in Africa written by Barry Leonard and published by . This book was released on 2005-01-01 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Report by the UN Conf. on Trade & Dev't. Contents: (1) Africa's debt overhang & HIPC debt relief; The genesis & nature of the African debt crisis; & Issues arising in the implementation of the enhanced HIPC Initiative; (2) Analysis of eligibil. & debt sustain. criteria of the HIPC Initiative: Objectivity of HIPC eligibil. criteria; Examples of alternative debt sustain. criteria; & Non-HIPC debt-distressed African countries; (3) How sustain. is African HIPCs' debt after debt relief?: Post-HIPC debt sustain.; Do HIPCs actually save on debt service?; & Is HIPC debt relief additional to traditional aid?; & (4) New approaches to attaining sustain. debt levels: Alternatives for delivering sustain. debt; Resource requirements. Charts & tables.
Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Management by : Rosa Lastra
Download or read book Sovereign Debt Management written by Rosa Lastra and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2014-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most authoritative and comprehensive book available on sovereign debt management written by practitioners and scholars of world renown.
