Predicting the Next President

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Author :
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (818 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting the Next President by : Allan J. Lichtman

Download or read book Predicting the Next President written by Allan J. Lichtman and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2024-07-01 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!

Race of a Lifetime

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Publisher : Penguin UK
ISBN 13 : 0141961341
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Race of a Lifetime by : John Heilemann

Download or read book Race of a Lifetime written by John Heilemann and published by Penguin UK. This book was released on 2011-10-06 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forget everything you think you know about the making of the most powerful man on the planet. President Barack Obama's triumph was not inevitable: it was the end product of a brilliant, calculated, convention-defying political campaign. In a race that will be talked about for years to come, he faced down his rivals with ruthless focus and efficiency. Race of a Lifetime is the gripping inside story of those thrilling months: from the meteoric rise of Obama and the collapsing House of Clinton to the erratic John McCain and the bewildering Sarah Palin. Brimming with exclusive revelations, this compulsively readable book lays bare the characters of the candidates, warts and all; exposes the inner workings of their operations; and charts the true path to the White House. It's a tour de force: the sometimes shocking, often funny, and ultimately definitive account of the campaign of a lifetime.

Presidents

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Publisher : innovative KIDS
ISBN 13 : 9781584766070
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (66 download)

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Book Synopsis Presidents by : Jesse Jarnow

Download or read book Presidents written by Jesse Jarnow and published by innovative KIDS. This book was released on 2008-03 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The glimpse at the history and how-to of presidential elections in the United States comes just in time for the 2008 U.S. presidential race. An activity sheet helps kids track the current election. A 48-piece puzzle of U.S. presidents gives kids a chance to piece together history. May the best candidate win! Great for school or home! Grades 1 and up.

Paint the White House Black

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Publisher : Stanford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0804785570
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Paint the White House Black by : Michael P. Jeffries

Download or read book Paint the White House Black written by Michael P. Jeffries and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 2013-02-13 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Barack Obama's election as the first black president in American history forced a reconsideration of racial reality and possibility. It also incited an outpouring of discussion and analysis of Obama's personal and political exploits. Paint the White House Black fills a significant void in Obama-themed debate, shifting the emphasis from the details of Obama's political career to an understanding of how race works in America. In this groundbreaking book, race, rather than Obama, is the central focus. Michael P. Jeffries approaches Obama's election and administration as common cultural ground for thinking about race. He uncovers contemporary stereotypes and anxieties by examining historically rooted conceptions of race and nationhood, discourses of "biracialism" and Obama's mixed heritage, the purported emergence of a "post-racial society," and popular symbols of Michelle Obama as a modern black woman. In so doing, Jeffries casts new light on how we think about race and enables us to see how race, in turn, operates within our daily lives. Race is a difficult concept to grasp, with outbursts and silences that disguise its relationships with a host of other phenomena. Using Barack Obama as its point of departure, Paint the White House Black boldly aims to understand race by tracing the web of interactions that bind it to other social and historical forces.

The Black History of the White House

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Author :
Publisher : City Lights Books
ISBN 13 : 0872866114
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (728 download)

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Book Synopsis The Black History of the White House by : Clarence Lusane

Download or read book The Black History of the White House written by Clarence Lusane and published by City Lights Books. This book was released on 2013-01-23 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Black History of the White House presents the untold history, racial politics, and shifting significance of the White House as experienced by African Americans, from the generations of enslaved people who helped to build it or were forced to work there to its first black First Family, the Obamas. Clarence Lusane juxtaposes significant events in White House history with the ongoing struggle for democratic, civil, and human rights by black Americans and demonstrates that only during crises have presidents used their authority to advance racial justice. He describes how in 1901 the building was officially named the “White House” amidst a furious backlash against President Roosevelt for inviting Booker T. Washington to dinner, and how that same year that saw the consolidation of white power with the departure of the last black Congressmember elected after the Civil War. Lusane explores how, from its construction in 1792 to its becoming the home of the first black president, the White House has been a prism through which to view the progress and struggles of black Americans seeking full citizenship and justice. “Clarence Lusane is one of America’s most thoughtful and critical thinkers on issues of race, class and power.”—Manning Marable "Barack Obama may be the first black president in the White House, but he's far from the first black person to work in it. In this fascinating history of all the enslaved people, workers and entertainers who spent time in the president's official residence over the years, Clarence Lusane restores the White House to its true colors."—Barbara Ehrenreich "Reading The Black History of the White House shows us how much we DON'T know about our history, politics, and culture. In a very accessible and polished style, Clarence Lusane takes us inside the key national events of the American past and present. He reveals new dimensions of the black presence in the US from revolutionary days to the Obama campaign. Yes, 'black hands built the White House'—enslaved black hands—but they also built this country's economy, political system, and culture, in ways Lusane shows us in great detail. A particularly important feature of this book its personal storytelling: we see black political history through the experiences and insights of little-known participants in great American events. The detailed lives of Washington's slaves seeking freedom, or the complexities of Duke Ellington's relationships with the Truman and Eisenhower White House, show us American racism, and also black America's fierce hunger for freedom, in brand new and very exciting ways. This book would be a great addition to many courses in history, sociology, or ethnic studies courses. Highly recommended!"—Howard Winant "The White House was built with slave labor and at least six US presidents owned slaves during their time in office. With these facts, Clarence Lusane, a political science professor at American University, opens The Black History of the White House(City Lights), a fascinating story of race relations that plays out both on the domestic front and the international stage. As Lusane writes, 'The Lincoln White House resolved the issue of slavery, but not that of racism.' Along with the political calculations surrounding who gets invited to the White House are matters of musical tastes and opinionated first ladies, ingredients that make for good storytelling."—Boston Globe Dr. Clarence Lusane has published in The Washington Post, The Miami Herald, The Baltimore Sun, Oakland Tribune, Black Scholar, and Race and Class. He often appears on PBS, BET, C-SPAN, and other national media.

Hillary Clinton's Race for the White House

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781588266705
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (667 download)

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Book Synopsis Hillary Clinton's Race for the White House by : Regina G. Lawrence

Download or read book Hillary Clinton's Race for the White House written by Regina G. Lawrence and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Senator Hillary Clinton won 18 million votes in 2008 - nearly twice that of any presidential contender in recent history - yet she failed to secure the Democratic nomination. In this look at Clinton's historic candidacy, Regina Lawrence and Melody Rose explore how she came so close to breaking the ultimate glass ceiling in US politics, why she fell short, and what her experience portends for future female candidates in the media-saturated game of presidential politics." --Book Jacket.

Race to the White House

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780931993008
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Race to the White House by : Gina Capaldi

Download or read book Race to the White House written by Gina Capaldi and published by . This book was released on 2016-02 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Contains everything children need to make learning about the elections an easy, exciting, and meaningful experience. It includes up-to-date information from the most recent 2012 election and explores the lessons from the unusual and historic 2000 election, including its implications for the future. Also addressed in the book are the changes in the number of state representatives and in the electoral votes."--Provided by publisher.

The First Campaign

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Publisher : Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 9780374155032
Total Pages : 348 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (55 download)

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Book Synopsis The First Campaign by : Garrett M. Graff

Download or read book The First Campaign written by Garrett M. Graff and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2007-11-27 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Combining vivid campaign-trail reporting with a provocative argument about the state of American politics, Graff makes clear that whichever party best meets the challenges of globalization will win the election--and put America back on course.

Our White House

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Publisher : National Geographic Books
ISBN 13 : 0763646091
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (636 download)

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Book Synopsis Our White House by : N.C.B.L.A.

Download or read book Our White House written by N.C.B.L.A. and published by National Geographic Books. This book was released on 2010-09-14 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More than one hundred leading authors and illustrators donate their talents in a creative tour de force that is making history. Conceived and co-created by the National Children’s Book and Literary Alliance, this outstanding collection of essays, personal accounts, historical fiction, and poetry melds with an equally stunning array of original art to offer a look at America’s history through the prism of the White House. Starting with a 1792 call for designers and continuing through the present day, these highly engaging writings and illustrations, expressing varied viewpoints and interwoven with key historical events, are a vital resource for family and classroom sharing — and a stirring reminder that the story of the White House is the story of every American. Back matter includes source notes, notes on contributor, and an index.

The Race for the White House 2008

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Author :
Publisher : Strategic Book Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1606935283
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (69 download)

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Book Synopsis The Race for the White House 2008 by : T K White

Download or read book The Race for the White House 2008 written by T K White and published by Strategic Book Publishing. This book was released on 2009-03 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both John McCain and Barack Obama have background stories resplendent with courage and success-stories that highlight all that is best about America. In The Race for the White House 2008, author T.K. White looks at these two very different men and their quests for the highest office in the land. This is an insider's view of the Republican and Democratic strategies that have defined the 2008 campaigns and the role that political consultants have played in shaping politics and public policy. It is a case study of the troubles of the McCain campaign, the problems of its own making as well as those caused by forces beyond the campaign's control, including a deeply troubled economy that sharply drove up home foreclosures in many states. And it provides vivid evidence of the Obama campaign's success in using its money and organizational skills to put Republicans on the defensive in once-safe states. In this election, unlike so many others, the traditional pattern of focusing on the opponent and using underhanded methods has failed.This is a presidential campaign in which various forces including luck, natural political skill, the right-leaning slant of the country and political outmaneuvering have come together to form the most diverse and controversial campaign of our time. White's account provides an original narrative of the behind-the-scenes machinations of the past two years as well as the strategies, the causes and the consequences of The Race for the White House 2008.

What It Takes

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Publisher : Open Road Media
ISBN 13 : 1453219641
Total Pages : 1712 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (532 download)

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Book Synopsis What It Takes by : Richard Ben Cramer

Download or read book What It Takes written by Richard Ben Cramer and published by Open Road Media. This book was released on 2011-08-02 with total page 1712 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Before Game Change there was What It Takes, a ride along the 1988 campaign trail and “possibly the best [book] ever written about an American election” (NPR). Written by Pulitzer Prize–winning journalist and New York Times–bestselling author Richard Ben Cramer, What It Takes is “a perfect-pitch rendering of the emotions, the intensity, the anguish, and the emptiness of what may have been the last normal two-party campaign in American history” (Time). An up-close, in-depth look at six candidates—George H. W. “Poppy” Bush, Bob Dole, Joe Biden, Michael Dukakis, Richard Gephardt, and Gary Hart—this account of the 1988 US presidential campaign explores a unique moment in history, with details on everything from Bush at the Astrodome to Hart’s Donna Rice scandal. Cramer also addresses the question we find ourselves pondering every four years: How do presumably ordinary people acquire that mixture of ambition, stamina, and pure shamelessness that allows them to throw their hat in the ring as a candidate for leadership of the free world? Exhaustively researched from thousands of hours of interviews, What It Takes creates powerful portraits of these Republican and Democratic contenders, and the consultants, donors, journalists, handlers, and hangers-on who surround them, as they meet, greet, and strategize their way through primary season chasing the nomination, resulting in “a hipped-up amalgam of Teddy White, Tom Wolfe, and Norman Mailer” (Los Angeles Times Book Review). With timeless insight that helps us understand the current state of the nation, this “ultimate insider’s book on presidential politics” explores what helps these people survive, what makes them prosper, what drives them, and ultimately, what drives our government—human beings, in all their flawed glory (San Francisco Chronicle).

Campaign

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Author :
Publisher : University of Arkansas Press
ISBN 13 : 1610757629
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Campaign by : Mary Ann Barton

Download or read book Campaign written by Mary Ann Barton and published by University of Arkansas Press. This book was released on 1993-07-01 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This fascinating record chronicles Governor Bill Clinton’s 1992 bid for the presidency by gathering editorial cartoons from some of the nation’s premier magazines and newspapers. His meteoric rise from obscure origins as governor of a small southern state to his current position as the world’s most powerful head of state presents political cartoonists with a unique challenge. For many people, in the United States and abroad, the dramas of the campaign created the character of Clinton. From the Gennifer Flowers debacle to Clinton’s resurrection at the Democratic National Convention and the triumph of the election win, the incisive cartoons in this collection capture Clinton’s emerging image in a way that no written word can. The forty-five contributing artists use these cartoons to depict the breathtaking and colorful events that only a presidential campaign can produce and offer hours of entertainment for any reader.

The Race to the White House

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The Race to the White House by : Patrick Luciani

Download or read book The Race to the White House written by Patrick Luciani and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On November 4, 2008, Americans will choose their forty-fourth president. The wide-open primaries and presidential campaign have thus far revolved around two of the most historically contentious issues in U.S. politics: race and the use of American power abroad. Is America ready to elect a black president? Or, for that matter, a woman? How will both parties re-imagine America's role in the world in the aftermath of the botched occupation of Iraq? And what are the implications for Canada of a Democratic or Republican victory? The Grano Speakers Series has invited Camille Paglia, Shelby Steele, James Carville, and David Gergen to debate these issues and other in the 2007-8 series. The Race to the White House offers a written record of the talks they gave, completed with the spirited, probing question and answer periods that followed.

See How They Run

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Publisher : Bloomsbury USA Childrens
ISBN 13 : 1599901714
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (999 download)

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Book Synopsis See How They Run by : Susan E. Goodman

Download or read book See How They Run written by Susan E. Goodman and published by Bloomsbury USA Childrens. This book was released on 2008-05-13 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to the presidential election process shows how the electoral college works and how the United States got to where it is today, as well as highlighting some funny stories about the founding fathers.

A House Built by Slaves

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Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 1538161818
Total Pages : 289 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (381 download)

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Book Synopsis A House Built by Slaves by : Jonathan W. White

Download or read book A House Built by Slaves written by Jonathan W. White and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2022-02-12 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Readers of American history and books on Abraham Lincoln will appreciate what Los Angeles Review of Books deems an "accessible book" that "puts a human face — many human faces — on the story of Lincoln’s attitudes toward and engagement with African Americans" and Publishers Weekly calls "a rich and comprehensive account." Widely praised and winner of the 2023 Gilder Lehrman Lincoln Prize, this book illuminates why Lincoln’s unprecedented welcoming of African American men and women to the White House transformed the trajectory of race relations in the United States. From his 1862 meetings with Black Christian ministers, Lincoln began inviting African Americans of every background into his home, from ex-slaves from the Deep South to champions of abolitionism such as Frederick Douglass and Sojourner Truth. More than a good-will gesture, the president conferred with his guests about the essential issues of citizenship and voting rights. Drawing from an array of primary sources, White reveals how African Americans used the White House as a national stage to amplify their calls for equality. Even more than 160 years after the signing of the Emancipation Proclamation, Lincoln’s inclusion of African Americans remains a necessary example in a country still struggling from racial divisions today.

The Signal and the Noise

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Author :
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0143125087
Total Pages : 577 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (431 download)

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Book Synopsis The Signal and the Noise by : Nate Silver

Download or read book The Signal and the Noise written by Nate Silver and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2015-02-03 with total page 577 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "One of the more momentous books of the decade." —The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good—or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary—and dangerous—science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read.

The Race for the White House from Reagan to Clinton

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137268603
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (372 download)

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Book Synopsis The Race for the White House from Reagan to Clinton by : A. Bennett

Download or read book The Race for the White House from Reagan to Clinton written by A. Bennett and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-02-06 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Race for the White House from Reagan to Clinton provides a foundation for how the presidential nomination process and the presidential election process have changed over the past three decades by addressing a number of important questions about the nomination and electoral processes.