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The Quality Of Analysts Cash Flow Forecasts
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Book Synopsis The Quality of Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts by : Dan Givoly
Download or read book The Quality of Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts written by Dan Givoly and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines properties of analysts' cash flow forecasts and compares these properties with those exhibited by analysts' earnings forecasts. Our results indicate that analysts' cash flow forecasts are of a considerable lower quality than their earnings forecasts. They are less accurate and improve at a slower rate during the forecast period. Further, analysts' cash flow forecasts appear to be, in essence, a naiuml;ve extension of their earnings forecasts and provide no incremental information on expected changes in firms' working capital. Consistent with their low quality and in contrast to their earnings forecasts, analysts' forecasts of cash flows are of limited information content and are only weakly associated with stock price movements. Finally, a measure of expected accruals based on the difference between analysts' earnings and cash flow forecasts has a very low power in detecting earnings management.
Book Synopsis Are Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Associated with Improved Earnings Quality? Australian Evidence by : Jeffrey Coulton
Download or read book Are Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Associated with Improved Earnings Quality? Australian Evidence written by Jeffrey Coulton and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the extent to which the provision by sell side analysts of cash flow forecasts incremental to earnings forecasts has an impact on the quality of Australian firms' financial reporting. Using two separate and distinct indicators of earnings quality, we consistently fail to find evidence of any improvement in the quality of financial reporting following analysts' provision of cash flow forecasts. Our results contrast with the argument by Healy and Palepu (2001) that sell side analysts play an important role in monitoring the quality of financial reporting but are consistent with the claim that sell side analysts' cash flow forecasts lack sophistication (Givoly et al. 2009).
Book Synopsis To Beat Or Not to Beat? The Importance of Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts by : Lawrence D. Brown
Download or read book To Beat Or Not to Beat? The Importance of Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts written by Lawrence D. Brown and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the implications of firms' benchmark-beating pattern with respect to analysts' quarterly cash flow forecasts for current capital market valuation and future firm performance. We contend that nonnegative earnings surprises are more likely to be supported by real operating performance and signal higher earnings quality if they are achieved via higher than expected cash flows or lower than expected accruals. We show that firms beating analyst earnings forecasts experience larger positive capital market reactions and larger earnings response coefficients if they beat analyst cash flow forecasts or report lower than expected accruals. We show that superior future firm performance provides an economic justification for the more favorable capital market response obtained by these firms. Our findings suggest that firms' ability to beat analyst cash flow forecasts is informative regarding the quality of earnings surprises.
Book Synopsis Do Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Improve the Accuracy of Their Target Prices? by : Noor Hashim
Download or read book Do Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Improve the Accuracy of Their Target Prices? written by Noor Hashim and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Current evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts is ambiguous. For example, Call et al. (2009) show that issuing cash flow forecasts has important benefits for analysts' earnings forecasts, while Givoly et al. (2009) question the validity of this result, arguing that analysts' cash flow forecasts are simple extrapolations of their earnings forecasts and provide limited incremental information. More recently, Mohanram (2014) and Radhakrishnan and Wu (2014) show that the increasing incidence of cash flow forecasts has helped mitigate accruals mispricing. We contribute to the debate on the usefulness of analysts' cash flow forecasts and their effect on capital market outcomes by examining whether cash flow forecasts have incremental benefits over earnings for analysts' valuation outcomes. We find that analysts who are better at forecasting cash flows are better at forecasting target prices, even after controlling for the quality of their earnings forecasts. Our study provides confirmatory evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts.
Book Synopsis Discussion of Investor Protection and Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Around the World by : Luzi Hail
Download or read book Discussion of Investor Protection and Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Around the World written by Luzi Hail and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: DeFond and Hung (2007) test the conjecture whether financial analysts, due to demand-side pressure, compensate for the limited usefulness of reported earnings by issuing cash flow forecasts. They find that analysts supplement their earnings forecasts more frequently with cash flow forecasts in countries where antidirector rights and legal enforcement quality are poor. In my discussion, I examine their hypothesis development and empirical research design and try to extend their arguments to a time-series setting. As it turns out, the paper's main contention critically hinges on two assumptions: (1) investors' unsatisfied demand for accounting information and (2) their willingness to rely on cash flow forecasts as valuable information signals. The descriptive validity of these assumptions in an international context is a priori not obvious. I then test whether substantial changes in investor protection and/or earnings quality relate to changes in the frequency of cash flow forecasts. My analyses show that analysts' propensity to issue cash flow forecasts increases after the first prosecution under insider trading laws, after non-U.S. firms have cross-listed their shares on a U.S. exchange, or after firms have voluntarily replaced their domestic accounting standards with IFRS or U.S. GAAP. Thus, I conclude that the reasoning behind the levels results does not simply extend to a changes setting.
Book Synopsis An Empirical Analysis of Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts by : Mark L. DeFond
Download or read book An Empirical Analysis of Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts written by Mark L. DeFond and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the relatively recent and growing trend in analysts making operating cash flow forecasts. We find that cash flow forecasts are made for companies with accounting, operating and financing characteristics that are likely to make cash flows more helpful in interpreting earnings and assessing firm viability. Specifically, consistent with our expectations, we find that cash flow forecasts are more likely to be made for firms: (1) in industries with greater accounting choice heterogeneity; (2) with forecasted earnings losses;(3) with shorter operating cycles; (4) with greater capital intensity; and (5) with higher leverage. These findings suggest that market participants demand cash flow forecasts when cash flows are relatively more useful in assessing firm value. Supporting this explanation, we also find that analysts make cash flow forecasts when current cash flows have greater ability, and earnings have less ability, to predict future cash flows; when annual earnings have a lower association with stock returns; and when cash flow forecast errors are associated with stock returns around the earnings announcement date, but earnings forecast errors are not.
Book Synopsis Are Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Useful? by : Sung Hwan Jung
Download or read book Are Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Useful? written by Sung Hwan Jung and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study provides evidence that the cost of equity capital decreases with the number of analysts who issue both cash flow and earnings forecasts (cash analysts). The evidence also shows that cash analysts reduce information asymmetry and predict long-term earnings more accurately than analysts who issue only earnings forecasts. Taken together, these findings suggest that cash analysts provide market participants with high-quality information and, as a result, firms benefit from cash analyst coverage in the form of a reduced cost of equity capital.
Book Synopsis Cash Flow Analysis and Forecasting by : Timothy Jury
Download or read book Cash Flow Analysis and Forecasting written by Timothy Jury and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-05-03 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the definitive guide to cash flow statement analysis and forecasting. It takes the reader from an introduction about how cash flows move within a business, through to a detailed review of the contents of a cash flow statement. This is followed by detailed guidance on how to restate cash flows into a template format. The book shows how to use the template to analyse the data from start up, growth, mature and declining companies, and those using US GAAP and IAS reporting. The book includes real world examples from such companies as Black and Decker (US), Fiat (Italy) and Tesco (UK). A section on cash flow forecasting includes full coverage of spreadsheet risk and good practice. Complete with chapters of particular interest to those involved in credit markets as lenders or counter-parties, those running businesses and those in equity investing, this book is the definitive guide to understanding and interpreting cash flow data.
Book Synopsis Cash Flow Forecasting by : Andrew Fight
Download or read book Cash Flow Forecasting written by Andrew Fight and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2005-10-12 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Budgets are like road maps -- they provide a direction for a corporates financial management. Balance sheets and statements of revenues also provide insights into how well a company is following that direction. But cash flow and cash flow forecasts are what guide the day-to-day itinerary for an organization. Budgets and cash flow are dynamic -- adjustments and changes can and should occur. If you understand what you are looking at, you can use cash flow to create better budgets and thus more accurate cash flow forecasting. Cash Flow Forecasting outlines the techniques required to undertake a detailed analysis of the cash flow dynamics of the business from both a historical and forward looking perspective. Cash Flow Forecasting explains how to: * Determine appropriate cash flow figures from pro forma financial statements * Interpret detailed cash flow forecasts and understand the difference between profit and cash flow * Conserve or generate cash in the short term * Evaluate different methods of project evaluation * Recognize the limitations of accounting information in valuing companies *Inspired by basic entry level training courses that have been developed by major international banks worldwide * Will enable students and those already in the finance profession to gain an understanding of the basic information and principles of cash flow forecasting * Includes questions with answers, study topics, practical "real world" examples and extensive bibliography
Book Synopsis Firms' Propensity to Meet Or Miss Analysts' Forecasts of Cash Flows and Earnings by : Lawrence D. Brown
Download or read book Firms' Propensity to Meet Or Miss Analysts' Forecasts of Cash Flows and Earnings written by Lawrence D. Brown and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate firms' propensity to meet analysts' forecasts of cash flows and earnings, and identify factors pertaining to market valuation, financial analysts, and firms' financial condition to explain why firms sometimes meet cash flow forecasts but miss earnings forecasts. Firms meet cash flow forecasts but miss earnings forecasts nearly 75 percent as often as they meet earnings forecasts but miss cash flow forecasts. Firms are more likely to meet cash flow forecasts but miss earnings forecasts when: (1) the adverse valuation consequences of doing so are less severe; (2) analyst following of cash flows vis-a-vis earnings is large; (3) analysts forecast extreme positive accruals; (4) analysts downwardly revise cash flow but not earnings forecasts; (5) firms are in financial distress; (6) firms have inflated balance sheets; and (7) firms report decreases in earnings but not cash flows. We contribute to the literature exploring the importance of analysts' cash flow forecasts.
Book Synopsis Analysts' Selective Provisions of Cash Flow Forecasts Between Good and Bad News Earnings Forecasts by : Choong-Yuel Yoo
Download or read book Analysts' Selective Provisions of Cash Flow Forecasts Between Good and Bad News Earnings Forecasts written by Choong-Yuel Yoo and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thesis, I examine the factors associated with analysts' voluntary practice of issuing cash flow forecasts and earnings forecasts on the same day. I draw on Hughes and Pae's (2004) management partial disclosure equilibrium and predict how an analyst decides to issue a cash flow forecast revision along with and according to her bad news and good news earnings forecast revision. In particular, I predict that analysts strategically choose to supplement earnings forecasts with positive cash flow news when they deliver bad news earnings forecasts. Consistent with my prediction, I find that analysts are more likely to issue cash flow forecast revisions in the opposite direction to their earnings forecast revisions when they issue downward earnings forecast revisions than when they issue upward earnings forecast revisions. The results suggest that analysts may not make their decisions to issue cash flow forecasts as objectively as they ought to do in their role as independent information intermediaries. Rather, analyst decisions to issue cash flow forecasts are akin to managers' strategic decisions to voluntarily disclose supplemental information to affect investors' confidence in their primary news (earnings forecasts).
Book Synopsis The usefulness of accounting measures in predicting future cash flow by : Nikolay Draganov
Download or read book The usefulness of accounting measures in predicting future cash flow written by Nikolay Draganov and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2021-08-10 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2021 in the subject Business economics - Accounting and Taxes, grade: 1,0, University of Cologne, language: English, abstract: The primary aim of this study is to empirically examine the relative ability of accounting earnings and cash flow to predict future cash flow. Moreover, the role of accruals in cash flow predictions is called into question. One of the major purposes of financial reporting consists in ensuring an informational basis that helps investors, creditors and other users of accounting data to overcome the uncertainty associated with the future cash flows of enterprises their financial activity relates to. At the same time, the accrual concept prevails in modern accounting, since it is theorized to mitigate the mismatching and timing problems of the unrefined cash ba-sis accounting. Hence, recognizing revenues and expenses in the period when they have occurred, and not when cash was received or paid out, should create a more relevant framework for decision making. The use of accrual accounting earnings as a summary measure of financial performance instead of the more primitive cash flows is therefore advocated by accounting standard setters. For instance, the Financial Accounting Stand-ard Board claims that: “Information about enterprise earnings and its components measured by accrual accounting generally provides a better indica-tion of enterprise performance than information about current cash receipts and pay-ments”. The FASB’s statement led to a rising discussion in the financial research on whether accounting earnings provide a more reliable picture of a company’s future operating cash flows than current operating cash flows themselves do. Hence, a major implication of the above quotation refers to the incremental power of accruals and its components in predicting future cash flows beyond the one contained into current operating cash flows. This debate represents a cornerstone in evaluating the information quality offered by the accrual accounting concept.
Book Synopsis Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts and the Predictive Ability and Pricing of Operating Cash Flows by : Andrew C. Call
Download or read book Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts and the Predictive Ability and Pricing of Operating Cash Flows written by Andrew C. Call and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I examine the association between analysts' cash flow forecasts and the predictive ability and pricing of operating cash flows. I argue that when analysts issue cash flow forecasts, they serve a monitoring role over the firm's reported cash flow information. Consistent with this idea, I find the ability of current cash flows to predict future cash flows is greater for firms whose analysts issue cash flow forecasts, and improves when analysts begin forecasting cash flows, suggesting analysts' cash flow forecasts discipline managers to report cash flow information that is more informative about future firm prospects. Furthermore, I find the incremental weight investors assign to operating cash flows is greater for firms with a cash flow forecast than for firms without a cash flow forecast, and increases in the years immediately after analysts begin issuing cash flow forecasts. As a result, the anomalous underpricing of operating cash flows is eliminated for firms whose analysts issue cash flow forecasts. These results suggest analysts' cash flow forecasts have implications for both the reporting and pricing of cash flow information.
Book Synopsis New Determinants of Analysts’ Earnings Forecast Accuracy by : Tanja Klettke
Download or read book New Determinants of Analysts’ Earnings Forecast Accuracy written by Tanja Klettke and published by Springer Science & Business. This book was released on 2014-04-28 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial analysts provide information in their research reports and thereby help forming expectations of a firm’s future business performance. Thus, it is essential to recognize analysts who provide the most precise forecasts and the accounting literature identifies characteristics that help finding the most accurate analysts. Tanja Klettke detects new relationships and identifies two new determinants of earnings forecast accuracy. These new determinants are an analyst’s “general forecast effort” and the “number of supplementary forecasts”. Within two comprehensive empirical investigations she proves these measures’ power to explain accuracy differences. Tanja Klettke’s research helps investors and researchers to identify more accurate earnings forecasts.
Book Synopsis Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series) Vol. 17 by : Cheng F.Lee
Download or read book Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series) Vol. 17 written by Cheng F.Lee and published by Center for PBBEFR & Ainosco Press. This book was released on 2020-01-01 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series) is an annual publication designed to disseminate developments in the quantitative analysis of finance and accounting. The publication is a forum for statistical and quantitative analyses of issues in finance and accounting as well as applications of quantitative methods to problems in financial management, financial accounting, and business management. The objective is to promote interaction between academic research in finance and accounting and applied research in the financial community and the accounting profession.
Book Synopsis Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts and the Decline of the Accruals Anomaly by : Partha S. Mohanram
Download or read book Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts and the Decline of the Accruals Anomaly written by Partha S. Mohanram and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The accruals anomaly, demonstrated by Sloan (1996), generated significant excess returns consistently for over four decades until 2002, but has apparently weakened in the subsequent period. In this paper, I argue that one factor responsible for this decline is the increasing incidence of analysts' cash flow forecasts that provides markets with forecasts of future accruals. The negative relationship between accruals and future returns is significantly weaker in the presence of cash flow forecasts. This anomalous relationship becomes weaker with the initiation cash flow forecasts but continues after cash flow forecasts are terminated. Further, the mitigating effect of cash flow forecasts is greater for forecasts that are more accurate. The results are incremental to explanations based on the improved accrual quality, reduced manipulation of special items and restructuring charges and greater investment in accruals strategies by hedge funds and highlight the increasing importance of analysts' cash flow forecasts in the appropriate valuation of stocks.
Book Synopsis Investor Protection and Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Around the World by : Mark L. DeFond
Download or read book Investor Protection and Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Around the World written by Mark L. DeFond and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find that analysts are more likely to provide cash flow forecasts in countries with weak investor protection. This finding is consistent with our hypothesis that market participants demand (and analysts supply) cash flow information when weak investor protection results in earnings that are less likely to reflect underlying economic performance. Our results suggest that information intermediaries respond to market-based incentives to attenuate the adverse effects of country-level institutional factors on earnings' usefulness. These findings contribute to the literature by shedding light on the institutional determinants of analysts' research activities, and on the nature of the financial information they generate.
