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The Puzzle Of Brazils High Interest Rates
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Book Synopsis The Puzzle of Brazil's High Interest Rates by : Mr.Alex Segura-Ubiergo
Download or read book The Puzzle of Brazil's High Interest Rates written by Mr.Alex Segura-Ubiergo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-02-01 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper highlights that real interest rates in Brazil have declined substantially over time, but are still well above the average of emerging market inflation targeting regimes. The adoption of an inflation-targeting regime and better economic fundamentals (reduction in inflation volatility and improvements in the fiscal and external positions) has helped Brazil sustain significantly lower real interest rates than in the past. Going forward, the paper shows that Brazil can converge towards lower equilibrium real interest rates if domestic savings increase to the level of other emerging market countries. The effect is particularly pronounced if the increase in domestic savings is achieved through higher levels of public savings. Still, econometric results suggest that, controlling for everything else in the model, real interest rates in Brazil are about two full percentage points higher than in other countries in the sample, suggesting that there are still Brazil-specific factors that have not been captured by the empirical analysis. Some of these factors may include credit market segmentation and inflation inertia generated by still pervasive indexation practices.
Book Synopsis Is Brazil Different? Risk, Dollarization, and Interest Rates in Emerging Markets by : Edmar L. Bacha
Download or read book Is Brazil Different? Risk, Dollarization, and Interest Rates in Emerging Markets written by Edmar L. Bacha and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-12 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the role of financial dollarization in the determination of real interest rates in emerging economies. In a simple analytical model, we show that a strategy of "dedollarizing" the economy, if it fails to address fundamental macroeconomic risks, leads to higher domestic real interest rates. We confirm this prediction in an empirical model, but find that the effect is small after controlling for the risks of dilution and default. Brazil provides a natural case study given its low degree of financial dollarization and very high real interest rates. The estimated model is unable to explain the high interest rate levels in the aftermath of Brazil's 1994 inflation stabilization. However, since the adoption in 1999 of inflation targeting and floating exchange rates, Brazil's real interest rates are gradually converging to the model's predicted values. The estimation also shows that further drops in Brazil's real interest rates could be achieved more effectively through improvements in fundamentals that lead to investment-grade status rather than through financial dollarization.
Book Synopsis Why are Brazil's Interest Rates So High? by : Carlo A. Favero
Download or read book Why are Brazil's Interest Rates So High? written by Carlo A. Favero and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Why are Policy Real Interest Rates So High in Brazil? by : Thereza Balliester Reis
Download or read book Why are Policy Real Interest Rates So High in Brazil? written by Thereza Balliester Reis and published by . This book was released on 19?? with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Is Brazil Different? Risk, Dollarization, and Interest Rates in Emerging Markets by : Fernando M. Goncalves
Download or read book Is Brazil Different? Risk, Dollarization, and Interest Rates in Emerging Markets written by Fernando M. Goncalves and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the role of financial dollarization in the determination of real interest rates in emerging economies. In a simple analytical model, we show that a strategy of de-dollarizing the economy, if it fails to address fundamental macroeconomic risks, leads to higher domestic real interest rates. We confirm this prediction in an empirical model, but find that the effect is small after controlling for the risks of dilution and default. Brazil provides a natural case study given its low degree of financial dollarization and very high real interest rates. The estimated model is unable to explain the high interest rate levels in the aftermath of Brazil's 1994 inflation stabilization. However, since the adoption in 1999 of inflation targeting and floating exchange rates, Brazil's real interest rates are gradually converging to the model's predicted values. The estimation also shows that further drops in Brazil's real interest rates could be achieved more effectively through improvements in fundamentals that lead to investment-grade status rather than through financial dollarization.
Book Synopsis High interest rates in brazil: a theoretical approach by :
Download or read book High interest rates in brazil: a theoretical approach written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Esta dissertação visa propor e analisar, no contexto de modelos dinâmicosestocásticos de equilíbrio geral com rigidez de preços, possíveis explicações parao fato estilizado de que o juro no Brasil é excessivamente alto. As implicaçõesde diferentes hipóteses aplicadas aos modelos serão analisadas através de funçõesde resposta a impulso (FRIs). Será analisada, quando possível, a evidênciaempírica disponível na literatura a favor ou contra cada hipótese, e as FRIsmostrarão o comportamento dinâmico da economia calibrada sob cada hipótese. São compatíveis com um juro real básico mais alto por um período prolongado asseguintes hipóteses: alta taxa subjetiva de desconto intertemporal, alta indexaçãode preços, baixa potência da política monetária, e diminuição da credibilidade doBanco Central frente o crescimento da dívida pública (um caso de dominânciafiscal).
Book Synopsis Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting by : Olivier J. Blanchard
Download or read book Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting written by Olivier J. Blanchard and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A standard proposition in open-economy macroeconomics is that a central-bank-engineered increase in the real interest rate makes domestic government debt more attractive and leads to a real appreciation. If, however, the increase in the real interest rate also increases the probability of default on the debt, the effect may be instead to make domestic government debt less attractive, and to lead to a real depreciation. That outcome is more likely the higher the initial level of debt, the higher the proportion of foreign-currency-denominated debt, and the higher the price of risk. Under that outcome, inflation targeting can clearly have perverse effects: An increase in the real interest in response to higher inflation leads to a real depreciation. The real depreciation leads in turn to a further increase in inflation. In this case, fiscal policy, not monetary policy, is the right instrument to decrease inflation. This paper argues that this is the situation the Brazilian economy found itself in in 2002 and 2003. It presents a model of the interaction between the interest rate, the exchange rate, and the probability of default, in a high-debt high-risk-aversion economy such as Brazil during that period. It then estimates the model, using Brazilian data. It concludes that, in 2002, the level and the composition of public debt in Brazil, and the general level of risk aversion in world financial markets, were indeed such as to imply perverse effects of the interest rate on the exchange rate and on inflation"--NBER website
Book Synopsis High Lending Interest Rates in Brazil: Cost Or Concentration? by : Thiago Trafane Oliveira Santos
Download or read book High Lending Interest Rates in Brazil: Cost Or Concentration? written by Thiago Trafane Oliveira Santos and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Brazil's Long-Term Growth Performance -Trying to Explain the Puzzle by : Ricardo Adrogué
Download or read book Brazil's Long-Term Growth Performance -Trying to Explain the Puzzle written by Ricardo Adrogué and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-12 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses Brazil's growth performance from a long-term perspective, using crosscountry and panel estimation techniques, building on the vast empirical literature on growth. The empirical evidence presented in this paper confirms that macroeconomic stability and several reforms have helped raise per capita growth in Brazil since the mid-1990s. The results also show that some long-standing structural weaknesses continue to weigh negatively on per capita growth. Reducing the high level of government consumption would help lower the overall consumption level in the economy and lower its intertemporal price-the real interest rate-thus helping to foster investment and growth.
Download or read book Strategic Forum written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Brazil written by Michael Reid and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2014-06-10 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Experts believe that Brazil, the world’s fifth largest country and its seventh largest economy, will be one of the most important global powers by the year 2030. Yet far more attention has been paid to the other rising behemoths Russia, India, and China. Often ignored and underappreciated, Brazil, according to renowned, award-winning journalist Michael Reid, has finally begun to live up to its potential, but faces important challenges before it becomes a nation of substantial global significance. After decades of military rule, the fourth most populous democracy enjoyed effective reformist leadership that tamed inflation, opened the country up to trade, and addressed poverty and other social issues, enabling Brazil to become more of an essential participant in global affairs. But as it prepares to host the 2014 soccer World Cup and 2016 Olympics, Brazil has been rocked by mass protest. This insightful volume considers the nation’s still abundant problems—an inefficient state, widespread corruption, dysfunctional politics, and violent crime in its cities—alongside its achievements to provide a fully rounded portrait of a vibrant country about to take a commanding position on the world stage.
Book Synopsis Brazil by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Brazil written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-07-20 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues Paper discusses the macroeconomic implications of pension reforms in Brazil. It assesses empirically the relationship between fiscal policy and the real effective exchange rate in emerging markets and draws policy implications. It reviews the current status of local capital markets in the country, the key challenges, and policy options for further development. The paper also provides a detailed description of consumer credit developments and analyzes recent indicators of household financial distress associated with the credit expansion that has taken place in the last couple of years.
Book Synopsis The New Brazilian Economy by : Elias C. Grivoyannis
Download or read book The New Brazilian Economy written by Elias C. Grivoyannis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-12-12 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited collection provides a thorough historical, statistical, and institutional description of the current Brazilian economy and the previous economic structure from which it is emerging. The contributions explore the institutional economic and cultural forces shaping the current development of the Brazilian economy and discuss how they will influence future progress. Together, the chapters form a picture of the international implications of Brazil’s emergence as a major world economic power. Topics covered include the growth and shrinkage of industry, the consumption boom and the financial crisis, sustainable financial growth and public debt management, the evolution of antitrust policy and the privatization of state-owned firms, and more. Academics and researchers of BRICS countries and Latin American and Caribbean studies will find these contributions a valuable addition to their research.
Book Synopsis Brazil’s Capital Market by : Mr.Joonkyu Park
Download or read book Brazil’s Capital Market written by Mr.Joonkyu Park and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-09-01 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Capital market development in Brazil is a key policy issue going forward to foster savings, investment and absorptive capacity in a context of prospects for sizable capital flows in the medium term. During the last decade, Brazil has achieved substantial progress in capital market development. The menu of available financial instruments has been expanded, market infrastructure has been reformed and strengthened, and a diversified investor base has been built. Nonetheless, Brazil’s capital markets are still facing a number of challenges including prevalent short-term indexation, investors’ risk aversion to long-term fixed rate bonds, still low liquidity in the secondary market, and managing the role of BNDES. A shift to a lower yield curve environment should continue to gradually take place. But further progress will require continued policy effort to assure macro stability and financial sector reforms to promote the development of longer-term private finance.
Book Synopsis Politics, Poverty, and Microfinance by : Brian Warby
Download or read book Politics, Poverty, and Microfinance written by Brian Warby and published by Lexington Books. This book was released on 2015-12-29 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes the affect that government institutions have on whether or not microfinance contributes to poverty alleviation in the context of Latin America. It concludes that political and economic stability, as well as and law order, have a statistically significant impact on microfinance effectiveness. The conditions that promote poverty alleviation are not entirely the same as those upon which major microfinance investors base their funding decisions. The result is that much microfinance funding is going to the wrong places. This means that not only is microfinance not helping the poor, but under the wrong conditions it actually exacerbates poverty. The author arrives at these conclusions through a mixed methods approach, using both statistical analysis and case studies.
Book Synopsis Inequality, Democracy, and Growth in Brazil by : Marcos Mendes
Download or read book Inequality, Democracy, and Growth in Brazil written by Marcos Mendes and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-11-19 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In terms accessible to non-economists, Marcos José Mendes describes the ways democracy and inequality produce low growth in the short and medium terms. In the longer term, he argues that Brazil has two paths in front of it. One is to create the conditions necessary to boost economic performance and drive the country toward a high level of development. The other is to fail in untying the political knot that blocks growth, leaving it a middle-income country. The source of his contrasting futures for Brazil is inequality, which he demonstrates is a relevant variable in any discussion of economic growth. Inequality illuminates causes of seemingly-unconnected problems. This book, which includes freely-accessible documents and datasets, is the first in-depth analysis of an issue that promises to become increasingly prominent. - Contrasting visions of Brazil's future described in economic terms - Easy-to-understand graphs and tables illustrate analytical arguments - All Excel-based data available on a freely-accessible website
Book Synopsis The Puzzle of Latin American Economic Development by : Patrice M. Franko
Download or read book The Puzzle of Latin American Economic Development written by Patrice M. Franko and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2007 with total page 716 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides the basic economic tools for students to understand the problems in the countries of Latin America. This third edition analyzes challenges to the neoliberal model of development and highlights macroeconomic changes in the region. It explores the contradictions of growth, and focuses on factors of competitiveness.