The Logic of Political Survival

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Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262261774
Total Pages : 602 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis The Logic of Political Survival by : Bruce Bueno De Mesquita

Download or read book The Logic of Political Survival written by Bruce Bueno De Mesquita and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005-01-14 with total page 602 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors of this ambitious book address a fundamental political question: why are leaders who produce peace and prosperity turned out of office while those who preside over corruption, war, and misery endure? Considering this political puzzle, they also answer the related economic question of why some countries experience successful economic development and others do not. The authors construct a provocative theory on the selection of leaders and present specific formal models from which their central claims can be deduced. They show how political leaders allocate resources and how institutions for selecting leaders create incentives for leaders to pursue good and bad public policy. They also extend the model to explain the consequences of war on political survival. Throughout the book, they provide illustrations from history, ranging from ancient Sparta to Vichy France, and test the model against statistics gathered from cross-national data. The authors explain the political intuition underlying their theory in nontechnical language, reserving formal proofs for chapter appendixes. They conclude by presenting policy prescriptions based on what has been demonstrated theoretically and empirically.

The Logic of Political Survival

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Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262524407
Total Pages : 556 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (244 download)

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Book Synopsis The Logic of Political Survival by : Bruce Bueno De Mesquita

Download or read book The Logic of Political Survival written by Bruce Bueno De Mesquita and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005-01-14 with total page 556 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors of this ambitious book address a fundamental political question: why are leaders who produce peace and prosperity turned out of office while those who preside over corruption, war, and misery endure? Considering this political puzzle, they also answer the related economic question of why some countries experience successful economic development and others do not. The authors construct a provocative theory on the selection of leaders and present specific formal models from which their central claims can be deduced. They show how political leaders allocate resources and how institutions for selecting leaders create incentives for leaders to pursue good and bad public policy. They also extend the model to explain the consequences of war on political survival. Throughout the book, they provide illustrations from history, ranging from ancient Sparta to Vichy France, and test the model against statistics gathered from cross-national data. The authors explain the political intuition underlying their theory in nontechnical language, reserving formal proofs for chapter appendixes. They conclude by presenting policy prescriptions based on what has been demonstrated theoretically and empirically.

The Logic of Political Survival

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Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262524406
Total Pages : 551 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis The Logic of Political Survival by : Bruce Bueno De Mesquita

Download or read book The Logic of Political Survival written by Bruce Bueno De Mesquita and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005-01-14 with total page 551 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors of this ambitious book address a fundamental political question: why are leaders who produce peace and prosperity turned out of office while those who preside over corruption, war, and misery endure? Considering this political puzzle, they also answer the related economic question of why some countries experience successful economic development and others do not. The authors construct a provocative theory on the selection of leaders and present specific formal models from which their central claims can be deduced. They show how political leaders allocate resources and how institutions for selecting leaders create incentives for leaders to pursue good and bad public policy. They also extend the model to explain the consequences of war on political survival. Throughout the book, they provide illustrations from history, ranging from ancient Sparta to Vichy France, and test the model against statistics gathered from cross-national data. The authors explain the political intuition underlying their theory in nontechnical language, reserving formal proofs for chapter appendixes. They conclude by presenting policy prescriptions based on what has been demonstrated theoretically and empirically.

The Logic of Political Survival in Turkey

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Author :
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 1793627258
Total Pages : 229 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (936 download)

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Book Synopsis The Logic of Political Survival in Turkey by : Çaglar Ezikoglu

Download or read book The Logic of Political Survival in Turkey written by Çaglar Ezikoglu and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2021-02-15 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book aims at exploring the logic of political survival in Turkish politics studying the case of the AKP and using evidence from elite interviews, party documents, public speeches, and developments and changes for exploring AKP’s political survival in the chapters. These evidences indicate that there are four independent variables of dependent variable which is AKP’s political survival; -- the legitimization of AKP’s conservatism (2002-2007), AKP’s power struggle with Kemalist elites (2007-2011), AKP’s populism and authoritarianism (2011-2014) and the instrumentalization of Islamism and nationalism under Erdogan’s leadership (2014-2018) -- within the AKP’s four terms. In other words, this research offers a cause-and-effect mechanism between the four different policy approaches of the AKP’s four periods and the AKP’s political survival. Indeed, the AKP has been the most successful political party at the point of ensuring political survival throughout its 16-year rule. In the literature, there are few studies analyzing the 16-year rule of AKP government integrally. As a result of this limitation, the original contribution of this research is that it offers a holistic approach of the AKP government between 2002 and 2018 with using the concept of political survival which is not explored for the AKP case in the literature.

The Dictator's Handbook

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Author :
Publisher : Public Affairs
ISBN 13 : 161039044X
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Dictator's Handbook by : Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

Download or read book The Dictator's Handbook written by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and published by Public Affairs. This book was released on 2011-09-27 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explains the theory of political survival, particularly in cases of dictators and despotic governments, arguing that political leaders seek to stay in power using any means necessary, most commonly by attending to the interests of certain coalitions.

Systems of Survival

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Author :
Publisher : Vintage
ISBN 13 : 0525432884
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (254 download)

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Book Synopsis Systems of Survival by : Jane Jacobs

Download or read book Systems of Survival written by Jane Jacobs and published by Vintage. This book was released on 2016-08-17 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With intelligence and clarity of observation, the author of The Death and Life of Great American Cities addresses the moral values that underpin working life. In Systems of Survival, Jane Jacobs identifies two distinct moral syndromes—one governing commerce, the other, politics—and explores what happens when these two syndromes collide. She looks at business fraud and criminal enterprise, government’s overextended subsidies to agriculture, and transit police who abuse the system the are supposed to enforce, and asks us to consider instances in which snobbery is a virtue and industry a vice. In this work of profound insight and elegance, Jacobs gives us a new way of seeing all our public transactions and encourages us towards the best use of our natural inclinations.

The Political Logic of Poverty Relief

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107140285
Total Pages : 259 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis The Political Logic of Poverty Relief by : Alberto Diaz-Cayeros

Download or read book The Political Logic of Poverty Relief written by Alberto Diaz-Cayeros and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Political Logic of Poverty Relief places electoral politics and institutional design at the core of poverty alleviation. The authors develop a theory with applications to Mexico about how elections shape social programs aimed at aiding the poor. They also assess whether voters reward politicians for targeted poverty alleviation programs.

The Logic of Violence in Civil War

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 113945692X
Total Pages : 20 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis The Logic of Violence in Civil War by : Stathis N. Kalyvas

Download or read book The Logic of Violence in Civil War written by Stathis N. Kalyvas and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-05-01 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: By analytically decoupling war and violence, this book explores the causes and dynamics of violence in civil war. Against the prevailing view that such violence is an instance of impenetrable madness, the book demonstrates that there is logic to it and that it has much less to do with collective emotions, ideologies, and cultures than currently believed. Kalyvas specifies a novel theory of selective violence: it is jointly produced by political actors seeking information and individual civilians trying to avoid the worst but also grabbing what opportunities their predicament affords them. Violence, he finds, is never a simple reflection of the optimal strategy of its users; its profoundly interactive character defeats simple maximization logics while producing surprising outcomes, such as relative nonviolence in the 'frontlines' of civil war.

Ethnic Politics and State Power in Africa

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107176077
Total Pages : 419 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Ethnic Politics and State Power in Africa by : Philip Roessler

Download or read book Ethnic Politics and State Power in Africa written by Philip Roessler and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-12-15 with total page 419 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book models the trade-off that rulers of weak, ethnically-divided states face between coups and civil war. Drawing evidence from extensive field research in Sudan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo combined with statistical analysis of most African countries, it develops a framework to understand the causes of state failure.

Why Communism Did Not Collapse

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107035538
Total Pages : 391 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Communism Did Not Collapse by : Martin K. Dimitrov

Download or read book Why Communism Did Not Collapse written by Martin K. Dimitrov and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-07-31 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Addresses the durability of communist autocracies in Eastern Europe and Asia, the longest-lasting type of non-democratic regime to emerge after World War I.

Democracy, Dictatorship, and Default

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108875319
Total Pages : 211 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Democracy, Dictatorship, and Default by : Cameron Ballard-Rosa

Download or read book Democracy, Dictatorship, and Default written by Cameron Ballard-Rosa and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-08-13 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that, in the coming years, more than fifty countries are at risk of default. Yet we understand little about the political determinants of this decision to renege on promises to international creditors. This book develops and tests a unified theory of how domestic politics explains sovereign default across dictatorships and democracies. Professor Ballard-Rosa argues that both democratic and autocratic governments will choose to default when it is necessary for political survival; however, regime type has a significant impact on what specific kinds of threats leaders face. While dictatorships are concerned with avoiding urban riots, democratic governments are concerned with losing elections, in particular the support of rural voting blocs. Using cross-national data and historical case studies, Ballard-Rosa shows that leaders under each regime type are more likely to default when doing so allows them to keep funding costly policies supporting critical bases of support.

Expert Political Judgment

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400888816
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Expert Political Judgment by : Philip E. Tetlock

Download or read book Expert Political Judgment written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.

The Social Logic of Politics

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Author :
Publisher : Temple University Press
ISBN 13 : 9781592131495
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis The Social Logic of Politics by : Alan S. Zuckerman

Download or read book The Social Logic of Politics written by Alan S. Zuckerman and published by Temple University Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Re-establishes the connection between social life and political behavior.

Punishing the Prince

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691136073
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Punishing the Prince by : Fiona McGillivray

Download or read book Punishing the Prince written by Fiona McGillivray and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2008-07-21 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examines how the targeting of punishments against individual leaders, rather than the nation they represent, shapes the dynamics between interstate relations and leadership turnover and the moderating influence of domestic political institutions.

How Dictatorships Work

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107115825
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis How Dictatorships Work by : Barbara Geddes

Download or read book How Dictatorships Work written by Barbara Geddes and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-08-23 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explains how dictatorships rise, survive, and fall, along with why some but not all dictators wield vast powers.

The Predictioneer's Game

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Author :
Publisher : Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN 13 : 081297977X
Total Pages : 290 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Predictioneer's Game by : Bruce Bueno De Mesquita

Download or read book The Predictioneer's Game written by Bruce Bueno De Mesquita and published by Random House Trade Paperbacks. This book was released on 2010-10-12 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major business firms, have an amazing 90 percent accuracy rate, and in this dazzling and revelatory book he shares his startling methods and lets you play along in a range of high-stakes negotiations and conflicts. Revealing the origins of game theory and the advances made by John Nash, the Nobel Prize—winning scientist perhaps best known from A Beautiful Mind, Bueno de Mesquita details the controversial and cold-eyed system of calculation that he has since created, one that allows individuals to think strategically about what their opponents want, how much they want it, and how they might react to every move. From there, Bueno de Mesquita games such events as the North Korean disarmament talks and the Middle East peace process and recalls, among other cases, how he correctly predicted which corporate clients of the Arthur Andersen accounting firm were most likely engaged in fraudulent activity (hint: one of them started with an E). And looking as ever to the future, Bueno de Mesquita also demonstrates how game theory can provide successful strategies to combat both global warming (instead of relying on empty regulations, make nations compete in technology) and terror (figure out exactly how much U.S. aid will make Pakistan fight the Taliban). But as Bueno de Mesquita shows, game theory isn’t just for saving the world. It can help you in your own life, whether you want to succeed in a lawsuit (lawyers argue too much the merits of the case and question too little the motives of their opponents), elect the CEO of your company (change the system of voting on your board to be more advantageous to your candidate), or even buy a car (start by knowing exactly what you want, call every dealer in a fifty-mile radius, and negotiate only over the phone). Savvy, provocative, and shockingly effective, The Predictioneer’s Game will change how you understand the world and manage your future. Life’s a game, and how you play is whether you win or lose.

Principles of International Politics

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Author :
Publisher : CQ Press
ISBN 13 : 9780872895980
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (959 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of International Politics by : Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

Download or read book Principles of International Politics written by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and published by CQ Press. This book was released on 2009-06-15 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Click here to read the introduction.Click here to watch Bruce Bueno de Mesquita’s TED Talk about the future of Iran’s leadership and nuclear program! A little revolution now and again is a good thing. The scientific approach to international relations has transformed the field. And now, thanks to a revolutionary revision, Principles of International Politics offers a crisp and clear introduction to international relations from the strategic point of view. Responding to user feedback and classroom testing, Principles has been completely recast so that the book is focused squarely on the central insights of the strategic perspective. Honing in on two key ideas—winning coalitions and selectorate size—the book delivers the fundamental lessons of the theory more easily than ever, giving students even better access to the most powerful way of thinking about IR today. Not only will students find the text easier to follow, they’ll also find the book shorter—almost half the length of the previous edition. Streamlining places the take-away points front and center, and the basic tools of the model are delivered in clear step-by-step language, allowing beginning students to grasp the theory’s powerful insights. What hasn’t changed: Bueno de Mesquita’s commitment to covering the fundamentals of IR. You’ll find a full examination of security problems, with special attention to theories of war, an exploration of the democratic peace, the problems of terrorism, military intervention, the role of foreign aid, democratization, international political economy, globalization, international organizations, alliances, and international law. Helpful pedagogical features allow students to master the principles, including: chapter-opener overviews, bolded key terms, “Try This” feature boxes, a full glossary, and appendixes (a survey of world history and a primer on the scientific method).