Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498330282
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

IMF Staff papers

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451956770
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1988-01-01 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A central proposition regarding effects of different mechanisms of fi-nancing public expenditures is that, under specific circumstances, it makes no difference to the level of aggregate demand if the government finances its outlays by debt or taxation. This so-called Ricardian equivalence states that, for a given expenditure path, substitution of debt for taxes does not affect private sector wealth and consumption. This paper provides a model illustrating the implications of Ricardian equivalence, surveys the litera-ture, considers effects of relaxing the basic assumptions, provides a frame-work to study implications of various extensions, and critically reviews recent empirical work on Ricardian equivalence.

Changing Patterns of Global Trade

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463973101
Total Pages : 87 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

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Book Synopsis Changing Patterns of Global Trade by : Nagwa Riad

Download or read book Changing Patterns of Global Trade written by Nagwa Riad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-15 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changing Patterns of Global Trade outlines the factors underlying important shifts in global trade that have occurred in recent decades. The emergence of global supply chains and their increasing role in trade patterns allowed emerging market economies to boost their inputs in high-technology exports and is associated with increased trade interconnectedness.The analysis points to one important trend taking place over the last decade: the emergence of China as a major systemically important trading hub, reflecting not only the size of trade but also the increase in number of its significant trading partners.

Macroeconomic Linkage

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226386996
Total Pages : 414 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Linkage by : Takatoshi Ito

Download or read book Macroeconomic Linkage written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-02-15 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume explores East Asia's macroeconomic experience in the 1980s and the economic impact of East Asia's growth on the rest of the world. The authors explore the causes of capital flows, changes in trade balances, and exchange rate fluctuations in East Asia and their effects on other countries. These fourteen papers are organized around four themes: the overall determinants of growth and trading relations in the East Asian region; monetary policies in relation to capital controls and capital accounts; the impact of exchange rate behavior on industrial structure; and the potential for greater regional integration. The contributors examine interactions among exchange rate movements, trade balances, and capital flows; how government monetary policy affects capital flows; the effect of exchange rates on industrial structure, inventories, and prices; and the extent of regional integration in East Asia.

Misalignment of Exchange Rates

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226507254
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (265 download)

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Book Synopsis Misalignment of Exchange Rates by : Richard C. Marston

Download or read book Misalignment of Exchange Rates written by Richard C. Marston and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists writing on flexible exchange rates in the 1960s foresaw neither the magnitude nor the persistence of the changes in real exchange rates that have occurred in the last fifteen years. Unexpectedly large movements in relative prices have lead to sharp changes in exports and imports, disrupting normal trading relations and causing shifts in employment and output. Many of the largest changes are not equilibrium adjustments to real disturbances but represent instead sustained departures from long-run equilibrium levels, with real exchange rates remaining "misaligned" for years at a time. Contributors to Misalignment of Exchange Rates address a series of questions about misalignment. Several papers investigate the causes of misalignment and the extent to which observed movements in real exchange rates can be attributed to misalignment. These studies are conducted both empirically, through the experiences of the United States, Great Britain, Japan, and the countries of the European Monetary System, and theoretically, through models of imperfect competition. Attention is then turned to the effects of misalignment, especially on employment and production, and to detailed estimates of the effects of changes in exchange rates on several industries, including the U.S. auto industry. In response to the contention that there is significant "hysteresis" in the adjustment of employment and production to changes in exchange rates, contributors also attempt to determine whether the effects of misalignment can be reversed once exchange rates return to earlier levels. Finally, the issue of how to avoid—or at least control—misalignment through macroeconomic policy is confronted.

Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484330609
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies by : Camila Casas

Download or read book Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies written by Camila Casas and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-22 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most trade is invoiced in very few currencies. Despite this, the Mundell-Fleming benchmark and its variants focus on pricing in the producer’s currency or in local currency. We model instead a ‘dominant currency paradigm’ for small open economies characterized by three features: pricing in a dominant currency; pricing complementarities, and imported input use in production. Under this paradigm: (a) the terms-of-trade is stable; (b) dominant currency exchange rate pass-through into export and import prices is high regardless of destination or origin of goods; (c) exchange rate pass-through of non-dominant currencies is small; (d) expenditure switching occurs mostly via imports, driven by the dollar exchange rate while exports respond weakly, if at all; (e) strengthening of the dominant currency relative to non-dominant ones can negatively impact global trade; (f) optimal monetary policy targets deviations from the law of one price arising from dominant currency fluctuations, in addition to the inflation and output gap. Using data from Colombia we document strong support for the dominant currency paradigm.

Eurocurrencies and the International Monetary System

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Author :
Publisher : American Enterprise Institute Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Eurocurrencies and the International Monetary System by : Carl H. Stem

Download or read book Eurocurrencies and the International Monetary System written by Carl H. Stem and published by American Enterprise Institute Press. This book was released on 1976 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate Economics

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134838220
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642456413
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Structural exchange rate modeling has proven extremely difficult during the recent post-1973 float. The disappointment climaxed with the papers of Meese and Rogoff (1983a, 1983b), who showed that a "naive" random walk model distinctly dominated received theoretical models in terms of predictive performance for the major dollar spot rates. One purpose of this monograph is to seek the reasons for this failure by exploring the temporal behavior of seven major dollar exchange rates using nonstructural time-series methods. The Meese-Rogoff finding does not mean that exchange rates evolve as random walks; rather it simply means that the random walk is a better stochastic approximation than any of their other candidate models. In this monograph, we use optimal model specification techniques, including formal unit root tests which allow for trend, and find that all of the exchange rates studied do in fact evolve as random walks or random walks with drift (to a very close approximation). This result is consistent with efficient asset markets, and provides an explanation for the Meese-Rogoff results. Far more subtle forces are at work, however, which lead to interesting econometric problems and have implications for the measurement of exchange rate volatility and moment structure. It is shown that all exchange rates display substantial conditional heteroskedasticity. A particularly reasonable parameterization of this conditional heteroskedasticity, which captures the observed clustering of prediction error variances, is developed in Chapter 2.

The Foreign Exchange Market

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521396905
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (969 download)

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Book Synopsis The Foreign Exchange Market by : Richard T. Baillie

Download or read book The Foreign Exchange Market written by Richard T. Baillie and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1989 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The flotation of exchange rates in the early 1970s saw a significant increase in the importance of foreign exchange markets and in the interest shown in them. Apart from the consequent institutional changes, this period also witnessed a revolution in macroeconomic analysis and finance theory based on the concept of rational expectations. This book provides an integrated approach to recent developments in the understanding of foreign exchange markets. It begins by charting the institutional background and looks at the recent history of movements in some of the major exchange rates. The theoretical sections focus on the economic and finance theory of the asset market approach, the macroeconomic models developed from this approach, and on interest rate parity theory. The empirical chapters draw on the authors' own research from a high quality set of exchange rate and interest rate data. The statistical properties of exchange rates are analysed; the relationship between spot and forward rates is examined; and the modelling and impact of new information on the forward and spot relationship is considered. The final chapter is devoted to the estimation and testing of exchange rate models.

Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513560972
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports by : Swarnali Ahmed

Download or read book Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports written by Swarnali Ahmed and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-11-30 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes how the formation of Global Value Chains (GVCs) has affected the exchange rate elasticity of exports. Using a panel framework covering 46 countries over the period 1996-2012, we first find some suggestive evidence that the elasticity of real manufacturing exports to the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) has decreased over time. We then examine whether the formation of supply chains has affected this elasticity using different measures of GVC integration. Intuitively, as countries are more integrated in global production processes, a currency depreciation only improves competitiveness of a fraction of the value of final good exports. In line with this intuition, we find evidence that GVC participation reduces the REER elasticity of manufacturing exports by 22 percent, on average.

Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291319626
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs by : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico

Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Trade and the Dollar

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148432885X
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trade and the Dollar by : Ms.Emine Boz

Download or read book Global Trade and the Dollar written by Ms.Emine Boz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-13 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We document that the U.S. dollar exchange rate drives global trade prices and volumes. Using a newly constructed data set of bilateral price and volume indices for more than 2,500 country pairs, we establish the following facts: 1) The dollar exchange rate quantitatively dominates the bilateral exchange rate in price pass-through and trade elasticity regressions. U.S. monetary policy induced dollar fluctuations have high pass-through into bilateral import prices. 2) Bilateral non-commodities terms of trade are essentially uncorrelated with bilateral exchange rates. 3) The strength of the U.S. dollar is a key predictor of rest-of-world aggregate trade volume and consumer/producer price inflation. A 1 percent U.S. dollar appreciation against all other currencies in the world predicts a 0.6–0.8 percent decline within a year in the volume of total trade between countries in the rest of the world, controlling for the global business cycle. 4) Using a novel Bayesian semiparametric hierarchical panel data model, we estimate that the importing country’s share of imports invoiced in dollars explains 15 percent of the variance of dollar pass-through/elasticity across country pairs. Our findings strongly support the dominant currency paradigm as opposed to the traditional Mundell-Fleming pricing paradigms.

A Practical Guide to Trade Policy Analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789287038128
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (381 download)

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Book Synopsis A Practical Guide to Trade Policy Analysis by : Marc Bacchetta

Download or read book A Practical Guide to Trade Policy Analysis written by Marc Bacchetta and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Trade flows and trade policies need to be properly quantified to describe, compare, or follow the evolution of policies between sectors or countries or over time. This is essential to ensure that policy choices are made with an appropriate knowledge of the real conditions. This practical guide introduces the main techniques of trade and trade policy data analysis. It shows how to develop the main indexes used to analyze trade flows, tariff structures, and non-tariff measures. It presents the databases needed to construct these indexes as well as the challenges faced in collecting and processing these data, such as measurement errors or aggregation bias. Written by experts with practical experience in the field, A Practical Guide to Trade Policy Analysis has been developed to contribute to enhance developing countries' capacity to analyze and implement trade policy. It offers a hands-on introduction on how to estimate the distributional effects of trade policies on welfare, in particular on inequality and poverty. The guide is aimed at government experts engaged in trade negotiations, as well as students and researchers involved in trade-related study or research. An accompanying DVD contains data sets and program command files required for the exercises. Copublished by the WTO and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development

The Exchange Rate, International Trade and the Balance of Payments

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 338 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Exchange Rate, International Trade and the Balance of Payments by : Reserve Bank of Australia. Economic Group

Download or read book The Exchange Rate, International Trade and the Balance of Payments written by Reserve Bank of Australia. Economic Group and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557750655
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (56 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1984-07-08 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In View of the continuation of substantial movements in exchange rate relationships among major currencies, the recent increase in protectionist pressures, and the disappointing performance of world trade, renewed concern has been expressed about the possible adverse effects of exchange rate variability on trade. Against the background of this concern, the following decision was reached at the ministerial meeting of the General Agreement of Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in November 1982.

Exchange Rate Movements and Their Impact on Trade and Investment in the APEC Region

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557756008
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (56 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Movements and Their Impact on Trade and Investment in the APEC Region by : Mr.Tamim Bayoumi

Download or read book Exchange Rate Movements and Their Impact on Trade and Investment in the APEC Region written by Mr.Tamim Bayoumi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-12-04 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 18 members of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (APEC) encompass not only a wide geographic area but also broad differences in stages of economic development, including among them some of the fastest- growing economies in the world. Such rapid growth has been ficilitated by high levels of investment and trade, international linkages, and, in most APEC economies, macroeconomic policies that have sustained growth while not sparking excessive inflation. This study offers insights about how medium and long-term changes in real exchange rates have affected international (and intra-APEC) trade and investment in the region.