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Author : Gavan Duffy
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book The Economics of South Africa's Public Debt Problem written by Gavan Duffy and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484387724
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book South Africa written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-11 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper estimates the potential growth rate for South Africa using different methodologies. In line with existing studies and findings for other emerging markets, the paper finds that South Africa’s potential growth rate has declined in the post global financial crisis period. Though there is substantial uncertainty, South Africa’s potential growth is estimated to have fallen from an average of 3.5 to 4 percent during 2000–08 to 2.25 to 2.50 percent in 2010–14, implying that the output gap in 2014 would be between –0.5 and –1.3 percent of GDP.
Author : Stephen Gelb
Publisher : Zed Books
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book South Africa's Economic Crisis written by Stephen Gelb and published by Zed Books. This book was released on 1991 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475568614
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)
Download or read book South Africa written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-07-07 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes South Africa’s economic development and challenges. South Africa has made considerable economic and social progress over the past two decades, but faces substantial challenges. Global transitions—China’s slowdown and rebalancing, weak commodity prices, and U.S. monetary policy normalization—are taking a heavy toll on South Africa. Growth and employment, which were already low, are faltering and continue to underperform peer countries. Vulnerabilities remain elevated and have increased in the real and fiscal sectors. Boosting growth and job creation, thus reducing extremely high unemployment and inequality, and promoting social transformation remain South Africa’s key challenges.
Author : Mr.Magnus Saxegaard
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498399436
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)
Download or read book Safe Debt and Uncertainty in Emerging Markets written by Mr.Magnus Saxegaard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-19 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a methodology for estimating a safe public debt level that would allow countries to remain below a maximum sustainable debt limit, taking into account the impact of uncertainty. Our analysis implies that fiscal policy should target a debt level well below the debt ceiling to allow space to absorb shocks that are likely to hit the economy. To illustrate our findings we apply the methodology to estimate a safe debt level for South Africa. Our results suggest that South Africa’s debt ceiling is around 60 percent of GDP, although uncertainty is high. Simulations suggest targeting a debt-to-GDP ratio of 40 percent of GDP would allow South Africa to remain below this debt ceiling over the medium-term with a high degree of confidence.
Author : Alfred Greiner
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642017452
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (42 download)
Download or read book Public Debt and Economic Growth written by Alfred Greiner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-07-24 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Starting point of this book is the observation that an increase in public debt must be accompanied by a rise in the primary surplus of the government to guarantee sustainability of public debt. The book first elaborates on that principle from a theoretical point of view and then tests whether empirical evidence for that rule can be found. Additional tests are implemented to gain further evidence on sustainability of public debt. In order to allow for time varying coefficients penalized spline estimations are performed. The theoretical chapters present endogenous growth models and assume that the primary surplus rises as public debt increases so that sustainability of public debt is given. Implications of public deficits and debt are studied assuming full employment and for unemployment. The conclusion summarizes the findings and compares the results of the different models. Finally, policy implications are given showing how governments should deal with high public debt to GDP ratios.
Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451840942
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book South Africa written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-10-05 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper highlights that cautious monetary and fiscal polices of South Africa during 1997 resulted in a return of financial investor confidence and capital inflows during 1997 and through April 1998. These policies helped the South African economy emerge successfully from the exchange market pressures of 1996 and weather the contagion from the East Asian crisis in the second half of 1997. Throughout 1997 and up until May 1998, inflation and market interest rates fell considerably, net international reserves increased, and the net open forward position of the Reserve Bank was reduced sharply.
Author : M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)
Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
Author : S. Ali Abbas
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192591398
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (925 download)
Download or read book Sovereign Debt written by S. Ali Abbas and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-10-21 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The last time global sovereign debt reached the level seen today was at the end of the Second World War, and this shaped a generation of economic policymaking. International institutions were transformed, country policies were often draconian and distortive, and many crises ensued. By the early 1970s, when debt fell back to pre-war levels, the world was radically different. It is likely that changes of a similar magnitude -for better and for worse - will play out over coming decades. Sovereign Debt: A Guide for Economists and Practitioners is an attempt to build some structure around the issues of sovereign debt to help guide economists, practitioners and policymakers through this complicated, but not intractable, subject. Sovereign Debt brings together some of the world's leading researchers and specialists in sovereign debt to cover a range of sub-disciplines within this vast topic. It explores debt management with debt sustainability; debt reduction policies with crisis prevention policies; and the history with the conjuncture. It is a foundation text for all those interested in sovereign debt, with a particular focus real world examples and issues.
Author : Theshne Kisten
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789292673840
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (738 download)
Download or read book Macro-financial Implications of Public Debt in South Africa written by Theshne Kisten and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the role of financial frictions in the public debt-growth nexus, documenting that a public debt shock has different macro-financial implications dependent on the state of financial markets in South Africa. A non-linear vector autoregression model is estimated which allows the transmission mechanism to be characterized by two distinct financial regimes: stressful versus normal. The empirical results suggest that a public debt shock has a broadly insignificant impact on economic growth over the full sample, reflecting the ineffectiveness of government borrowing in stimulating the economy, and could suggest that the high and growing debt service costs faced by the government reduces funds available for investment purposes. Debt shocks are found to be deflationary in both regimes, lending support to the precautionary savings effect and the existence of a well-developed financial market, while interest rates decline with the immediate impact being moderately larger in the stress regime, providing evidence of the accommodative stance between fiscal policy and monetary policy. In response to a public debt shock, financial conditions show an immediate and transitory improvement in the high-stress regime; however, in the low-stress regime there is an immediate yet negligible improvement in financial conditions. Lastly, the responses evolve over time, with fiscal policy being less effective in stimulating the economy in the post-crisis period, but it has been effective in reducing financial stress in the high-stress regime.
Author : James Oppong-Gyebi
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783346850898
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (58 download)
Download or read book Public Debt Sustainability in Africa written by James Oppong-Gyebi and published by . This book was released on 2023-03-31 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2022 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.3, University of Siegen (Faculty 3), course: MSc Economic Policy, language: English, abstract: This study assesses the sustainability of public debt in Africa by estimating a fiscal reaction function using the feasible fixed effects generalized least squares estimator with panel data from 40 African countries and annual time series from 2001 to 2021. I find evidence in support of public debt sustainability in Africa, with low-debt African countries exerting a greater fiscal effort in maintaining sustainable debt levels than high-debt African countries. The research questions are: Is public debt in Africa sustainable? Has public debt sustainability in Africa been weaker following the global financial crisis? Which debt group has exerted a stronger fiscal effort toward maintaining sustainable public debt levels? Is Nigeria's public debt to GDP ratio unsustainable compared to Ghana, South Africa, Ethiopia, Algeria, Tunisia, and Egypt? The rising levels of public debt within the continent indicate the possibility of a debt crisis among African countries if not carefully managed. The latest Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) under the Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF) for Low-Income Countries (LIC) jointly published by the IMF and World Bank affirms this fear as 25 African countries are either already in or at high risk of debt distress. . The report further indicates that 13 other African countries are at moderate risk of debt distress. Thus, with memories of the recent Greek debt crisis still fresh in mind, African countries are presented with a scenario of the destructive impact of a debt crisis if not expertly handled. It is therefore of great importance that African countries display robust fiscal discipline and pursue sound policies so as not to be at the risk of debt distress. Given the evidence of rising public debt levels and the possibility of debt distress in several Afri
Author : J. J. Stadler
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Government Participation in the South African Economy written by J. J. Stadler and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 9780415004411
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (44 download)
Download or read book The African Debt Crisis written by and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 1989-01-01 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Barry Eichengreen
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0197577911
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (975 download)
Download or read book In Defense of Public Debt written by Barry Eichengreen and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-08-11 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A dive into the origins, management, and uses and misuses of sovereign debt through the ages. Public debts have exploded to levels unprecedented in modern history as governments responded to the Covid-19 pandemic and ensuing economic crisis. Their dramatic rise has prompted apocalyptic warnings about the dangers of heavy debtsabout the drag they will place on economic growth and the burden they represent for future generations. In Defense of Public Debt offers a sharp rejoinder to this view, marshaling the entire history of state-issued public debt to demonstrate its usefulness. Authors Barry Eichengreen, Asmaa El-Ganainy, Rui Esteves, and Kris James Mitchener argue that the ability of governments to issue debt has played a critical role in addressing emergenciesfrom wars and pandemics to economic and financial crises, as well as in funding essential public goods and services such as transportation, education, and healthcare. In these ways, the capacity to issue debt has been integral to state building and state survival. Transactions in public debt securities have also contributed to the development of private financial markets and, through this channel, to modern economic growth. None of this is to deny that debt problems, debt crises, and debt defaults occur. But these dramatic events, which attract much attention, are not the entire story. In Defense of Public Debt redresses the balance. The authors develop their arguments historically, recounting two millennia of public debt experience. They deploy a comprehensive database to identify the factors behind rising public debts and the circumstances under which high debts are successfully stabilized and brought down. Finally, they bring the story up to date, describing the role of public debt in managing the Covid-19 pandemic and recession, suggesting a way forward once governmentsnow more heavily indebted than beforefinally emerge from the crisis.
Author : Jaejoon Woo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455201855
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)
Download or read book Public Debt and Growth written by Jaejoon Woo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the impact of high public debt on long-run economic growth. The analysis, based on a panel of advanced and emerging economies over almost four decades, takes into account a broad range of determinants of growth as well as various estimation issues including reverse causality and endogeneity. In addition, threshold effects, nonlinearities, and differences between advanced and emerging market economies are examined. The empirical results suggest an inverse relationship between initial debt and subsequent growth, controlling for other determinants of growth: on average, a 10 percentage point increase in the initial debt-to-GDP ratio is associated with a slowdown in annual real per capita GDP growth of around 0.2 percentage points per year, with the impact being somewhat smaller in advanced economies. There is some evidence of nonlinearity with higher levels of initial debt having a proportionately larger negative effect on subsequent growth. Analysis of the components of growth suggests that the adverse effect largely reflects a slowdown in labor productivity growth mainly due to reduced investment and slower growth of capital stock.
Author : Cyrus Rustomjee
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)
Download or read book South Africa's Pathway Through Financial Crisis written by Cyrus Rustomjee and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When apartheid ended in South Africa in 1994, the incoming democratic administration inherited a political system, economy, and social system in profound crisis, as well as an external financial crisis. A decade later, these crises have receded, the economy and financial system are more resilient and less vulnerable to exogenous shocks, the country is exhibiting macroeconomic stability, low budget deficits, enduring confidence in government's ability to manage the public finances, a unified exchange rate, and a level of inflation lower and a rate of growth of GDP higher than at any time in two decades. The government debt to GDP ratio is declining, gross domestic fixed investment expenditure has revived, and the government has established a track record of social service delivery which in some sectors - notably electrification, clean water provision, and sanitation - approximates international best practice. The paper examines how South Africa dealt with a quadruple economic crisis in 1994, and how the combination of social, political and economic measures undertaken in the immediate aftermath of 1994, in the absence of IMF or World Bank assistance, has helped the country shift away from the financial and economic legacy of apartheid.
Author : World Bank
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498333281
Total Pages : 106 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)
Download or read book Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative and Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) - Status of Implementation written by World Bank and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-10-15 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report provides an update on the status of implementation, impact and costs of the enhanced Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) Initiative and the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) since mid-2006. It also discusses the status of creditor participation in both initiatives and the issue of litigation of commercial creditors against HIPCs.
