The Economic Impact Of Conflicts And The Refugee Crisis In The Middle East And North Africa

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The Economic Impact of Conflicts and the Refugee Crisis in the Middle East and North Africa

Author : Mr.Bjoern Rother
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475535783
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic Impact of Conflicts and the Refugee Crisis in the Middle East and North Africa by : Mr.Bjoern Rother

Download or read book The Economic Impact of Conflicts and the Refugee Crisis in the Middle East and North Africa written by Mr.Bjoern Rother and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-16 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent decades, the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA) has experienced more frequent and severe conflicts than in any other region of the world, exacting a devastating human toll. The region now faces unprecedented challenges, including the emergence of violent non-state actors, significant destruction, and a refugee crisis bigger than any since World War II. This paper raises awareness of the economic costs of conflicts on the countries directly involved and on their neighbors. It argues that appropriate macroeconomic policies can help mitigate the impact of conflicts in the short term, and that fostering higher and more inclusive growth can help address some of the root causes of conflicts over the long term. The paper also highlights the crucial role of external partners, including the IMF, in helping MENA countries tackle these challenges.

Economic Impact of Selected Conflicts in the Middle East

Author : MissRanda Sab
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498310893
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Impact of Selected Conflicts in the Middle East by : MissRanda Sab

Download or read book Economic Impact of Selected Conflicts in the Middle East written by MissRanda Sab and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-11 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using narrative-based country-case studies, war episodes in the Middle East were examined to assess their economic impact on conflict and neighboring economies. The paper found that conflicts led to a contraction in growth, higher inflation, large fiscal and current account deficits, loss of reserves, and a weakened financial system. Post-conflict recovery depended on the economic and institutional development of the country, economic structure, duration of the war, international engagement, and prevailing security conditions. The net economic impact on neighboring countries varied according to their initial economic conditions, number and income level of refugees they hosted, economic integration, and external assistance.

The Economic Consequences of Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author : Xiangming Fang
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781513559667
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (596 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic Consequences of Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Xiangming Fang

Download or read book The Economic Consequences of Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Xiangming Fang and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2020-10-30 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sub-Saharan Africa has been marred by conflicts during the past several decades. While the intensity of conflicts in recent years is lower than that observed in the 1990s, the region remains prone to conflicts, with around 30 percent of the countries affected in 2019. In addition to immeasurable human suffering, conflicts impose large economic costs. On average, annual growth in countries in intense conflicts is about 2.5 percentage points lower, and the cumulative impact on per capita GDP increases over time. Furthermore, conflicts pose significant strains on countries’ public finances, lowering revenue, raising military spending, and shifting resources away from development and social spending.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2019, Sub-Saharan Africa

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498304117
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Regional Economic Outlook, April 2019, Sub-Saharan Africa by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Download or read book Regional Economic Outlook, April 2019, Sub-Saharan Africa written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-04-12 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The economic recovery in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to continue, but at a slower pace than envisaged in October 2018. This weaker outlook reflects domestic and external challenges. On the external side, the global expansion is losing momentum, including in China and the euro area, trade tensions remain elevated, global financial conditions have tightened, and commodity prices are expected to remain low. On the domestic front, security challenges, climate shocks, and policy uncertainty are hampering investment and weighing on economic prospects in several countries. Under current policies, medium-term average growth for the region is expected to continue to fall well short of what is needed to absorb the new entrants to the labor force and to deliver limited gains in living standards.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia

Author : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148431252X
Total Pages : 125 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia by : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Download or read book Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-27 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan region (MENAP) are continuing to adjust to lower oil prices, which have dampened growth and contributed to large fiscal and external deficits.

Regional Economic Outlook, November 2018, Middle East and Central Asia

Author : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484375386
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Regional Economic Outlook, November 2018, Middle East and Central Asia by : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Download or read book Regional Economic Outlook, November 2018, Middle East and Central Asia written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-10-24 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As in other regions in the world, countries in MENAP and CCA regions are exposed to tightening in global financing conditions and ongoing global trade tensions. The former has already begun to impact several emerging market economies in MENAP and could have more severe implications should financial market sentiment suddenly deteriorate. Escalating global trade tensions will have a limited direct and immediate impact on these regions but could impart significant strains over time through negative effects on trading partners and through market confidence effects.

Societies Emerging from Conflict

Author : Dennis B. Klein
Publisher : Cambridge Scholars Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1527510417
Total Pages : 237 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (275 download)

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Book Synopsis Societies Emerging from Conflict by : Dennis B. Klein

Download or read book Societies Emerging from Conflict written by Dennis B. Klein and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2018-04-18 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does the proliferation of post-atrocity remedies over the past 25-plus years—the human rights movement, reparations and other justice schemes, and memorials and counter-memorials—suggest promising alternatives to retributive criminal proceedings? Or does it mean that very little so far is working? This collection of essays, written by scholars with ties to Bangladesh, Bulgaria, Canada, Ghana, Indonesia, Iraq, and the United States, argues that a new post-atrocity framework is taking root. In search for a more reliably favorable post-atrocity succession, the volume’s contributors weigh the merits of practices circumventing the state, whose anemic performance has failed to manage large-scale violence and restore confidence in social stability and security. This ascendant phase includes citizen activism, historical dialogues, and witnesses’ accounts. Into the breach where state actors prevailed, citizens “from below” are seizing opportunities for independent intervention. While all transitional frameworks are vulnerable, this volume provides a thoughtful, requisite evaluation of citizen activism for scholars, non-governmental organization practitioners, government and think-tank policymakers, and teachers at all levels.

The Postcolonial Age of Migration

Author : Ranabir Samaddar
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000071405
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Postcolonial Age of Migration by : Ranabir Samaddar

Download or read book The Postcolonial Age of Migration written by Ranabir Samaddar and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2020-05-11 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book critically examines the question of migration that appears at the intersection of global neo-liberal transformation, postcolonial politics, and economy. It analyses the specific ways in which colonial relations are produced and reproduced in global migratory flows and their consequences for labour, human rights, and social justice. The postcolonial age of migration not only indicates a geopolitical and geo-economic division of the globe between countries of the North and those of the South marked by massive and mixed population flows from the latter to the former, but also the production of these relations within and among the countries of the North. The book discusses issues such as transborder flows among countries of the South; migratory movements of the internally displaced; growing statelessness leading to forced migration; border violence; refugees of partitions; customary and local practices of care and protection; population policies and migration management (both emigration and immigration); the protracted nature of displacement; labour flows and immigrant labour; and the relationships between globalisation, nationalism, citizenship, and migration in postcolonial regions. It also traces colonial and postcolonial histories of migration and justice to bear on the present understanding of local experiences of migration as well as global social transformations while highlighting the limits of the fundamental tenets of humanitarianism (protection, assistance, security, responsibility), which impact the political and economic rights of vast sections of moving populations. Topical and an important intervention in contemporary global migration and refugee studies, the book offers new sources, interpretations, and analyses in understanding postcolonial migration. It will be useful to scholars and researchers of migration studies, refugee studies, border studies, political studies, political sociology, international relations, human rights and law, human geography, international politics, and political economy. It will also interest policymakers, legal practitioners, nongovernmental organisations, and activists.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2016, Middle East and Central Asia

Author : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475546580
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Regional Economic Outlook, October 2016, Middle East and Central Asia by : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Download or read book Regional Economic Outlook, October 2016, Middle East and Central Asia written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-10-20 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This issue focuses on the ongoing adjustment to cheaper oil and subdued economic activity for oil-producing countries, as well as the weak and fragile recovery in the Caucasus and Central Asia region. It also discusses global spillovers from China’s rebalancing and the growth of fiscal deficits.

The Impact of Conflict and Political Instability on Banking Crises in Developing Countries

Author : Ali Compaoré
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513530054
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Conflict and Political Instability on Banking Crises in Developing Countries by : Ali Compaoré

Download or read book The Impact of Conflict and Political Instability on Banking Crises in Developing Countries written by Ali Compaoré and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-28 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While there is an extensive literature examining the economic impact of conflict and political instability, surprisingly there have been few studies on their impact on the probability of banking crises. This paper therefore investigates whether rising conflict and political instability globally over the past several decades led to increased occurrence of banking crises in developing countries. The paper provides strong evidence that conflicts and political instability are indeed associated with higher probability of systemic banking crises. Unsurprisingly, the duration of a conflict is positively associated with rising probability of a banking crisis. Interestingly, the paper also finds that conflicts and political instability in one country can have negative spillover effects on neighboring countries’ banking systems. The paper provides evidence that the primary channel of transmission is the occurrence of fiscal crises following a conflict or political instability.

Opportunity for All

Author : MissCatriona Purfield
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148436855X
Total Pages : 123 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Opportunity for All by : MissCatriona Purfield

Download or read book Opportunity for All written by MissCatriona Purfield and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-17 with total page 123 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication brings together a set of IMF papers that prepared as backgrounds for the various sessions of the conference and will help put into broader dissemination channels the results of this important conference. An official IMF publication is well disseminated into academic and institutional libraries and book channels. The IMF metadata will also make the conference papers more discoverable online.

The Impact of International Migration on Inclusive Growth: A Review

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513571966
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of International Migration on Inclusive Growth: A Review by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book The Impact of International Migration on Inclusive Growth: A Review written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-19 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International migration is an important channel of material improvement for individuals and their offspring. The movement of people across country borders, especially from less developed to richer countries, has a substantial impact in several dimensions. First, it affects the migrants themselves by allowing them to achieve higher income as a result of their higher productivity in the destination country. It also increases the expected income for their offspring. Second, it affects the destination country through the impact on labor markets, productivity, innovation, demographic structure, fiscal balance, and criminality. Third, it can have a significant impact on the countries of origin. It may lead to loss of human capital, but it also creates a flow of remittances and increases international connections in the form of trade, FDI, and technological transfers. This paper surveys our understanding of how migration affects growth and inequality through the impact on migrants themselves as well as on the destination and origin countries.

World Economic Outlook, October 2016

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513599542
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, October 2016 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, October 2016 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-10-04 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: According to the October 2016 "World Economic Outlook," global growth is projected to slow to 3.1 percent in 2016 before recovering to 3.4 percent in 2017. The forecast, revised down by 0.1 percentage point for 2016 and 2017 relative to April’s report, reflects a more subdued outlook for advanced economies following the June U.K. vote in favor of leaving the European Union (Brexit) and weaker-than-expected growth in the United States. These developments have put further downward pressure on global interest rates, as monetary policy is now expected to remain accommodative for longer. Although the market reaction to the Brexit shock was reassuringly orderly, the ultimate impact remains very unclear, as the fate of institutional and trade arrangements between the United Kingdom and the European Union is uncertain. Financial market sentiment toward emerging market economies has improved with expectations of lower interest rates in advanced economies, reduced concern about China’s near-term prospects following policy support to growth, and some firming of commodity prices. But prospects differ sharply across countries and regions, with emerging Asia in general and India in particular showing robust growth and sub-Saharan Africa experiencing a sharp slowdown. In advanced economies, a subdued outlook subject to sizable uncertainty and downside risks may fuel further political discontent, with anti-integration policy platforms gaining more traction. Several emerging market and developing economies still face daunting policy challenges in adjusting to weaker commodity prices. These worrisome prospects make the need for a broad-based policy response to raise growth and manage vulnerabilities more urgent than ever.

The Macroeconomic Impact of Social Unrest

Author : Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513582577
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Impact of Social Unrest by : Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov

Download or read book The Macroeconomic Impact of Social Unrest written by Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-07 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the macroeconomic impact of social unrest, using a novel index based on news reports. The findings are threefold. First, unrest has an adverse effect on economic activity, with GDP remaining on average 0.2 percentage points below the pre-shock baseline six quarters after a one-standard deviation increase in the unrest index. This is driven by sharp contractions in manufacturing and services (sectoral dimension), and consumption (demand dimension). Second, unrest lowers confidence and raises uncertainty; however, its adverse effect on GDP can be mitigated by strong institutions and by a country’s policy space. Third, an unrest “event”, which is captured by a large change in the unrest index, is associated with a 1 percentage point reduction in GDP six quarters after the event. Impacts differ by type of event: episodes motivated by socio-economic reasons result in sharper GDP contractions compared to those associated with politics/elections, and events triggered by a combination of both factors lead to sharpest contractions. Results are not driven by countries with adverse growth trajectories prior to unrest events or by fiscal consolidations, and are robust to instrumenting via regional unrest.

Global Shocks Unfolding: Lessons from Fragile and Conflict-affected States

Author : Jocelyn Boussard
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Shocks Unfolding: Lessons from Fragile and Conflict-affected States by : Jocelyn Boussard

Download or read book Global Shocks Unfolding: Lessons from Fragile and Conflict-affected States written by Jocelyn Boussard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-10-04 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the consequences of global shocks on a sample of low- and lower-middle-income countries with a particular focus on fragile and conflict-affected states (FCS). FCS are a group of countries that display institutional weakness and/or are negatively affected by active conflict, thereby facing challenges in macroeconomic policy management. Examining different global shocks associated with commodity prices, external demand, and financing conditions, this paper establishes that FCS economies are more vulnerable to these shocks compared to non-FCS peers. The higher sensitivity of FCS economies is mainly driven by procyclical fiscal responses, aggravated by the lack of effective spending controls and timely access to financial sources. External financing serves as a source of stability, partially mitigating the adverse impact of global shocks. This paper contributes to a better understanding of how conditions of fragility, which are on the rise in many parts of the world today, can amplify the effects of negative exogenous shocks. Its results highlight the diverse nature of underlying sources of vulnerabilities, spanning from fiscal and external buffers to institutional quality and economic structure, with lessons applicable to a broader set of countries. Efficient and timely external financial support from external partners, including international financial institutions, should help countries’ counter-cyclical responses to mitigate adverse shocks and achieve macroeconomic stability.

Syrian Crisis, Syrian Refugees

Author : Juline Beaujouan
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030350169
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Syrian Crisis, Syrian Refugees by : Juline Beaujouan

Download or read book Syrian Crisis, Syrian Refugees written by Juline Beaujouan and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-12-18 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited volume investigates the political and socioeconomic impact of the Syrian refugee crisis on Lebanon and Jordan, and these countries’ mechanisms to cope with the rapid influx of refugees. The sudden population increase has resulted in severe pressures on infrastructures and services, as well as growing social tensions between the refugees and host communities. These chapters use a transdisciplinary approach to analyse the repercussions of the humanitarian tragedy at three different levels: 1) the changing governmental policies of the two countries towards the crisis; 2) the different perceptions of the Jordanian and Lebanese local communities on the Syrian refugees; and 3) the role played by NGOs and the civil society in both countries in dealing with protracted humanitarian emergencies.

Lebanon

Author : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475570864
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Lebanon by : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Download or read book Lebanon written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-25 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper analyzes the impact of the Syrian crisis on Lebanon’s economy. Output growth in Lebanon has fallen sharply since the onset of the Syrian crisis and is too low to accommodate new job seekers, or to address the needs of Lebanon’s more vulnerable population. Moreover, low growth is taking a toll on public debt dynamics, raising the prospect of higher borrowing costs and constrained social and investment spending—both are much needed to improve the quality of public spending and direct it toward more useful and productive uses. The authorities have presented an ambitious proposal to the international community, which centers on a multiyear effort to stimulate growth and employment through a targeted series of investment initiatives.