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The Dynamics Of Spillover Effects During The European Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Spillover Effects During the European Sovereign Debt Crisis by : Adrian Alter
Download or read book The Dynamics of Spillover Effects During the European Sovereign Debt Crisis written by Adrian Alter and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we develop empirical measures for the strength of spillover effects. Modifying and extending the framework by Diebold and Yilmaz (2011), we quantify spillovers between sovereign credit markets and banks in the euro area. Spillovers are estimated recursively from a vector autoregressive model of daily CDS spread changes, with exogenous common factors. We account for interdependencies between sovereign and bank CDS spreads and we derive generalised impulse response functions. Specifically, we assess the systemic effect of an unexpected shock to the creditworthiness of a particular sovereign or country-specific bank index to other sovereign or bank CDSs between October 2009 and July 2012. Channels of transmission from or to sovereigns and banks are aggregated as a Contagion Index (CI). This index is disentangled into four components, the average potential spillover: i) amongst sovereigns, ii) amongst banks, iii) from sovereigns to banks, and iv) vice-versa. We highlight the impact of policy-related events along the different components of the contagion index. The systemic contribution of each sovereign or banking group is quantified as the net spillover weight in the total net-spillover measure. Finally, the captured time-varying interdependence between banks and sovereigns emphasises the evolution of their strong nexus.
Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Spillover Effects During the European Sovereign Debt Turmoil by : Adrian Alter
Download or read book The Dynamics of Spillover Effects During the European Sovereign Debt Turmoil written by Adrian Alter and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The European Sovereign Debt Crisis and Its Impacts on Financial Markets by : Go Tamakoshi
Download or read book The European Sovereign Debt Crisis and Its Impacts on Financial Markets written by Go Tamakoshi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-02-11 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis saw many Eurozone countries bearing excessive public debt. This led the government bond yields of some peripheral countries to rise sharply, resulting in the outbreak of the European sovereign debt crisis. The debt crisis is characterized by its immediate spread from Greece, the country of origin, to its neighbouring countries and the connection between the Eurozone banking sector and the public sector debt. Addressing these interesting features, this book sheds light on the impacts of the crisis on various financial markets in Europe. This book is among the first to conduct a thorough empirical analysis of the European sovereign debt crisis. It analyses, using advanced econometric methodologies, why the crisis escalated so prominently, having significant impacts on a wide range of financial markets, and was not just limited to government bond markets. The book also allows one to understand the consequences and the overall impact of such a debt crisis, enabling investors and policymakers to formulate diversification strategies, and create suitable regulatory frameworks.
Book Synopsis The Effects of the Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis by : Christian Schweiger
Download or read book The Effects of the Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis written by Christian Schweiger and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-10-02 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book analyses the emerging centre-periphery divisions within the European Union which result from the unprecedented conditions created by the 2008-09 global financial crisis and the subsequent Eurozone sovereign debt crisis. The multiple layers of policy coordination which emerged in response to the crisis have initiated a process by which the EU is increasingly divided in terms of the level of vertical integration between the Eurozone core group and differentiated peripheries amongst the outsiders. At the same time the sovereign debt crisis has created a periphery of predominantly Southern European countries within the Eurozone that became dependent on external financial support from the other member states. The contributions in this book critically examine various aspects of the emerging internal post-crisis constellation of the EU. The main focus lies on national and supranational governance issues, national dynamics and dynamics in the Eurozone core as well as in the periphery. This book was originally published as a special issue of Perspectives on European Politics and Society.
Book Synopsis Sovereign Rating News and Financial Markets Spillovers by : Bertrand Candelon
Download or read book Sovereign Rating News and Financial Markets Spillovers written by Bertrand Candelon and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the spillover effects of sovereign rating news on European financial markets during the period 2007-2010. Our main finding is that sovereign rating downgrades have statistically and economically significant spillover effects both across countries and financial markets. The sign and magnitude of the spillover effects depend both on the type of announcements, the source country experiencing the downgrade and the rating agency from which the announcements originates. However, we also find evidence that downgrades to near speculative grade ratings for relatively large economies such as Greece have a systematic spillover effects across Euro zone countries. Rating-based triggers used in banking regulation, CDS contracts, and investment mandates may help explain these results.
Book Synopsis The World Scientific Handbook of Futures Markets by : Anastasios G. E. T. Al MALLIARIS
Download or read book The World Scientific Handbook of Futures Markets written by Anastasios G. E. T. Al MALLIARIS and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2015-08-06 with total page 844 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The World Scientific Handbook of Futures Markets serves as a definitive source for comprehensive and accessible information in futures markets. The emphasis is on the unique characteristics of futures markets that make them worthy of a special volume. In our judgment, futures markets are currently undergoing remarkable changes as trading is shifting from open outcry to electronic and as the traditional functions of hedging and speculation are extended to include futures as an alternative investment vehicle in traditional portfolios. The unique feature of this volume is the selection of five classic papers that lay the foundations of the futures markets and the invitation to the leading academics who do work in the area to write critical surveys in a dozen important topics."--$cProvided by publisher.
Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts by : Mr.Francisco Roch
Download or read book The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts written by Mr.Francisco Roch and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-07-11 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the recent European debt crisis, this paper investigates the scope for a bailout guarantee in a sovereign debt crisis. Defaults may arise from negative income shocks, government impatience or a "sunspot"-coordinated buyers strike. We introduce a bailout agency, and characterize the minimal actuarially fair intervention that guarantees the no-buyers-strike fundamental equilibrium, relying on the market for residual financing. The intervention makes it cheaper for governments to borrow, inducing them borrow more, leaving default probabilities possibly rather unchanged. The maximal backstop will be pulled precisely when fundamentals worsen.
Book Synopsis The Debt Crisis in the Eurozone by : Nikos Petropoulos
Download or read book The Debt Crisis in the Eurozone written by Nikos Petropoulos and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2014-06-02 with total page 550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the past four years, the countries of the European periphery – the so-called PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain) – have been experiencing an economic-financial crisis that can only be compared to the Great Depression. To solve the crisis, the EU and the IMF instituted bailout programs for the debit countries on conditions of austerity and structural reforms. In this volume 20 social scientists, using both theoretical and empirical tools, delve into the causes and the social impacts of this crisis. The volume also provides an excellent background for a better comprehension of the dynamics of structural and political changes now taking place within the European Union. The social impacts cover a range of consequences, including poverty, unemployment, anti-migrant attitudes, a decline of welfare and health indicators, post-traumatic stress disorders, national humiliation, political alienation and social protest. The authors analyse the “international” and the “domestic” causes of the crisis, while some of them underline the importance of both factors. In the concluding chapter, the editors undertake a synthesis of the previous chapters, and extract a number of policy recommendations that – if adopted – could transform the current financial crisis into a growth-opportunity for the European Union and its member states.
Book Synopsis The European Sovereign Debt Crisis by : Phoebus L. Athanassiou
Download or read book The European Sovereign Debt Crisis written by Phoebus L. Athanassiou and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-08-23 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European Sovereign Debt Crisis: Breaking the Vicious Circle between Sovereigns and Banks explains why the euro area’s progress towards reining in the risks arising from the well-documented bi-directional financial contagion transmission mechanism that links sovereigns to commercial banks has been more prominent compared to the channel of contagion moving from banks to sovereigns. Providing an analysis of the legal and regulatory measures that Europe and the euro area have taken to mitigate the exposure of sovereigns to financial crises generated by commercial banks, this book draws attention to areas where improvements to the arsenal of tools hitherto introduced are either desirable or necessary. Chapters further explain – with recourse to economic and legal arguments – why the channel of contagion moving from sovereigns to commercial banks has proven harder to close, and explores ways in which progress could be made in the direction of closing it so as to avert the risk of future banking sector crises. This work provides essential reading for students, researchers and practitioners with an interest in sovereign debt crises and the euro-area banking system.
Book Synopsis Sovereign Risk Spillover Effects and the Role of Systemically Important Financial Institutions by : Haoshen Hu
Download or read book Sovereign Risk Spillover Effects and the Role of Systemically Important Financial Institutions written by Haoshen Hu and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyse two-way spillover effects between sovereign ratings and bank ratings across 17 Eurozone countries for the period 2002-2013. We show that sovereign rating actions including watchlist placements and outlooks have a significant impact on bank ratings. During the financial crisis, downgrade spillovers from sovereigns to systematically important financial institutions (SIFIs) are stronger than spillovers to non-SIFIs. Moreover, we provide evidence on the existence of a bank-to-sovereign rating transmission channel. Downgrades of SIFIs increase the probability of multiple-notch downgrades of sovereign ratings. Dividing the sample into PIIGS and non-PIIGS subsets, we find bank-to-sovereign spillovers to exist only in the PIIGS subsample.
Book Synopsis Essays on International Financial Spillovers and Sovereign Default Risk by : Hamid Reza Tabarraei
Download or read book Essays on International Financial Spillovers and Sovereign Default Risk written by Hamid Reza Tabarraei and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The goal of this thesis is to present theoretical and empirical investigations of mechanisms through which sovereign crises propagate across countries. In particular, I analyze the spillover effects of the European debt cri sis on emerging economies and on the banking system in Europe. The thesis includes four chapters in which the transmission mechanisms are analyzed from different angles. Chapter 1 and chapter \2 present theoretical models of sovereign contagion risk and sovereign default risk based on the literature of global games. Chapter 3 analyses empirically the role of international banking flows in propagating the Euro debt crisis t emerging economies. Finally, chapter 4 presents a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium mod (DSGE) to examine the impact of sovereign default risk on the banking system and the role of banks as financial intermediaries in transmitting shocks to the real economy.
Book Synopsis Spillovers in Financial Markets and the Systemic Risk Feedback Loop in Eurozone by : Theodore D. Bratis
Download or read book Spillovers in Financial Markets and the Systemic Risk Feedback Loop in Eurozone written by Theodore D. Bratis and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial and the European debt crises categorized as Minsky's moments present the physical laboratory for studying spillover effects cross country and cross market. Our research based on the twin sovereign-banking crisis evolution of the euro debt crisis era, focuses on addressing the mitigation of credit risk measured by Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads in both banking and sovereign sectors within Eurozone in conjunction with the UK/US cases. We evaluate spillovers cross-country and cross-market. Furthermore we research the volatility feedback loop hypothesis in terms of the informational flow among financial markets.
Book Synopsis The European Sovereign Debt Crisis and Its Impact on Bond and Stock Markets by : Sophia Koch
Download or read book The European Sovereign Debt Crisis and Its Impact on Bond and Stock Markets written by Sophia Koch and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We take advantage of the historical onetime event of the European sovereign debt crisis and investigate the impact of European sovereign downgrades and negative watches on the European government bond and stock market including the partial default of Greece in March 2012. Results are based on an unprecedented large sample of 159 rating events on industrial countries covering 10 years of data from 2002 to 2012. While European government bond and stock markets react significantly negative upon bad rating news, it is especially government bonds with longer times to maturity that suffer the most. This implies that the current European sovereign debt crisis is considered a long term crisis. Analyzing each country separately, we find no reaction on the respective government bond markets for any country, but significantly negative effects on the national stock indices of Greece, Portugal, Spain, and Slovenia. The partial default of Greece does not create negative spillover effects on bond and stock markets of the whole Eurozone or the group of troubled southern economies, but rather positive spillover effects on the northern European countries.
Book Synopsis Sovereign Spreads by : Miguel A. Segoviano Basurto
Download or read book Sovereign Spreads written by Miguel A. Segoviano Basurto and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-05-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past year, euro area sovereign spreads have exhibited an unprecedented degree of volatility. This paper explores how much of these large movements reflected shifts in (i) global risk aversion (ii) country-specific risks, directly from worsening fundamentals, or indirectly from spillovers originating in other sovereigns. The analysis shows that earlier in the crisis, the surge in global risk aversion was a significant factor influencing sovereign spreads, while recently country-specific factors have started playing a more important role. The perceived source of contagion itself has changed: previously, it could be found among those sovereigns hit hard by the financial crisis, such as Austria, the Netherlands, and Ireland, whereas lately the countries putting pressure on euro area government bonds have been primarily Greece, Portugal, and Spain, as the emphasis has shifted towards short-term refinancing risk and long-term fiscal sustainability. The paper concludes that debt sustainability and appropriate management of sovereign balance sheets are necessary conditions for preventing sovereign risk from feeding back into broader financial stability concerns.
Book Synopsis Financial Illness and Political Virus by : Elias Kampouris
Download or read book Financial Illness and Political Virus written by Elias Kampouris and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the volatility spillover effects from the southern to northern part of the Eurozone during the sovereign debt crisis. Focusing on different phases of the crises, we propose using the dynamic conditional correlation model and the BEKK model to identify possible linkages during the period of 2005-2015. The findings showed that both models behave satisfactorily and are flexible in presenting spillover effects. However, regarding conditional correlations, the asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation model seems to fit better. Additionally, Spain and Italy can significantly damage all strong northern economies, while Greece's negative shocks are capable of co-moving the French index. Finally, France is the most correlated country within the southern Eurozone.
Book Synopsis Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Download or read book Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.
Book Synopsis The Dark Side of Bank Wholesale Funding by : Mr.Lev Ratnovski
Download or read book The Dark Side of Bank Wholesale Funding written by Mr.Lev Ratnovski and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Banks increasingly use short-term wholesale funds to supplement traditional retail deposits. Existing literature mainly points to the "bright side" of wholesale funding: sophisticated financiers can monitor banks, disciplining bad but refinancing good ones. This paper models a "dark side" of wholesale funding. In an environment with a costless but noisy public signal on bank project quality, short-term wholesale financiers have lower incentives to conduct costly monitoring, and instead may withdraw based on negative public signals, triggering inefficient liquidations. Comparative statics suggest that such distortions of incentives are smaller when public signals are less relevant and project liquidation costs are higher, e.g., when banks hold mostly relationship-based small business loans.
