The Discount Rate For Public Policy Over The Distant Future

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The Discount Rate for Public Policy Over the Distant Future

Author : Qingran Li
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis The Discount Rate for Public Policy Over the Distant Future by : Qingran Li

Download or read book The Discount Rate for Public Policy Over the Distant Future written by Qingran Li and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The choice of discount rate has a significant impact on net benefit estimates when costs today have benefits over long time horizons. Standard U.S. government practice for cost-benefit analysis is to bound such analysis using two alternative rates. These rates are meant to represent the rate of return paid by capital investment and the rate received by consumers. Previous work has shown this approach legitimately bounds the analysis--but only when future benefits accrue directly to consumers either in a two-period model or as a perpetuity. We generalize to consider arbitrary patterns of future benefits, accruing either directly to consumers or indirectly through future investment. We derive an expression for the appropriate discount rate and show that it converges to the consumption rate for benefits increasingly far into the future. More generally, the bounding rates depend on the temporal pattern of the undiscounted dollars. As an application, we estimate the appropriate discount rate for climate change damages from carbon dioxide, finding it lies in a narrow range (+/- 0.5 percent) around the consumer rate of interest.

Pricing the Planet's Future

Author : Christian Gollier
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691148767
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Pricing the Planet's Future by : Christian Gollier

Download or read book Pricing the Planet's Future written by Christian Gollier and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today, the judge, the citizen, the politician, and the entrepreneur are concerned with the sustainability of our development.

Valuing Climate Damages

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309454204
Total Pages : 281 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuing Climate Damages by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Valuing Climate Damages written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2017-06-23 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The social cost of carbon (SC-CO2) is an economic metric intended to provide a comprehensive estimate of the net damages - that is, the monetized value of the net impacts, both negative and positive - from the global climate change that results from a small (1-metric ton) increase in carbon-dioxide (CO2) emissions. Under Executive Orders regarding regulatory impact analysis and as required by a court ruling, the U.S. government has since 2008 used estimates of the SC-CO2 in federal rulemakings to value the costs and benefits associated with changes in CO2 emissions. In 2010, the Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases (IWG) developed a methodology for estimating the SC-CO2 across a range of assumptions about future socioeconomic and physical earth systems. Valuing Climate Changes examines potential approaches, along with their relative merits and challenges, for a comprehensive update to the current methodology. This publication also recommends near- and longer-term research priorities to ensure that the SC- CO2 estimates reflect the best available science.

Discounting and Intergenerational Equity

Author : Paul R. Portney
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135892016
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (358 download)

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Book Synopsis Discounting and Intergenerational Equity by : Paul R. Portney

Download or read book Discounting and Intergenerational Equity written by Paul R. Portney and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-10-18 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The full effects of decisions made today about many environmental policies -including climate change and nuclear waste- will not be felt for many years. For issues with long-term ramifications, analysts often employ discount rates to compare present and future costs and benefits. This is reasonable, and discounting has become a procedure that raises few objections. But are the methods appropriate for measuring costs and benefits for decisions that will have impacts 20 to 30 years from now the right ones to employ for a future that lies 200 to 300 years in the future? This landmark book argues that methods reasonable for measuring gains and losses for a generation into the future may not be appropriate when applied to a longer span of time. Paul Portney and John Weyant have assembled some of the world's foremost economists to reconsider the purpose, ethical implications, and application of discounting in light of recent research and current policy concerns. These experts note reasons why conventional calculations involved in discounting are undermined when considering costs and benefits in the distant future, including uncertainty about the values and preferences of future generations, and uncertainties about available technologies. Rather than simply disassemble current methodologies, the contributors examine innovations that will make discounting a more compelling tool for policy choices that influence the distant future. They discuss the combination of a high shout-term with a low long-term diescount rate, explore discounting according to more than one set of anticipated preferences for the future, and outline alternatives involving simultaneous consideration of valuation, discounting and political acceptability.

Discounting for Public Cost-Benefit Analysis

Author : Qingran Li
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Discounting for Public Cost-Benefit Analysis by : Qingran Li

Download or read book Discounting for Public Cost-Benefit Analysis written by Qingran Li and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Standard U.S. practice for public cost-benefit analysis is to bound the discount rate with the interest rate paid by capital investment and rate received by consumers. These bounding cases arise when future benefits accrue to consumers in either a two-period model or as a perpetuity. We generalize to consider benefits paid in any future period. We find that the appropriate discount rate converges to the consumption rate for benefits in the distant future. More generally, the range of rates depends on the temporal pattern. Applied to CO2 damages, we estimate the appropriate discount rates of between 2.6 and 3.4 percent.

The Social Discount Rate

Author : Humberto Lopez
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis The Social Discount Rate by : Humberto Lopez

Download or read book The Social Discount Rate written by Humberto Lopez and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The social discount rate measures the rate at which a society would be willing to trade present for future consumption. As such it is one of the most critical inputs needed for cost-benefit analysis. This paper presents estimates of the social discount rates for nine Latin American countries. It is argued that if the recent track record in terms of growth in the region is indicative of future performance, estimates of the social discount rate would be in the 3-4 percent range. However, to the extent that the region improves on its past performance, the social discount rate to be used in the evaluation of projects would increase to the 5-7 percent range. The paper also argues that if the social planner gives a similar chance to the low and high growth scenario, the discount rate should be dependent on the horizon of the project, declining from 4.4 percent for a 25-year horizon to less than 4 percent for a 100-year horizon.

Valuing the Future

Author : G. M. Heal
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780231113076
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuing the Future by : G. M. Heal

Download or read book Valuing the Future written by G. M. Heal and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Heal presents a coherent framework for understanding the Earth's future from an economic perspective and offers a dynamic new blueprint for comprehending sustainability.

Project Evaluation

Author : Arnold C. Harberger
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226315932
Total Pages : 342 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Project Evaluation by : Arnold C. Harberger

Download or read book Project Evaluation written by Arnold C. Harberger and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1976-07-15 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The collection of papers on social project evaluation.

Stubborn Attachments

Author : Tyler Cowen
Publisher : Stripe Press
ISBN 13 : 1953953352
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (539 download)

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Book Synopsis Stubborn Attachments by : Tyler Cowen

Download or read book Stubborn Attachments written by Tyler Cowen and published by Stripe Press. This book was released on 2018-10-16 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From a bestselling author and economist, a contemporary moral case for economic growth—and a dose of inspiration and optimism about our future possibilities. Growth is good. Through history, economic growth, in particular, has alleviated human misery, improved human happiness and opportunity, and lengthened human lives. Wealthier societies are more stable, offer better living standards, produce better medicines, and ensure greater autonomy, greater fulfillment, and more sources of fun. If we want to continue on our trends of growth, and the overwhelmingly positive outcomes for societies that come with it, every individual must become more concerned with the welfare of those around us. So, how do we proceed? Tyler Cowen, in a culmination of 20 years of thinking and research, provides a roadmap for moving forward. In this new book, Stubborn Attachments: A Vision for a Society of Free, Prosperous, and Responsible Individuals, Cowen argues that our reason and common sense can help free us of the faulty ideas that hold us back as people and as a society. Stubborn Attachments, at its heart, makes the contemporary moral case for economic growth and delivers a great dose of inspiration and optimism about our future possibilities. As a means of practicing the altruism that Stubborn Attachments argues for, Tyler Cowen is donating all earnings from this book to a man he met in Ethiopia earlier this year with aspirations to open his own travel business.

Markets, State, and People

Author : Diane Coyle
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691189315
Total Pages : 372 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Markets, State, and People by : Diane Coyle

Download or read book Markets, State, and People written by Diane Coyle and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-01-14 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A textbook that examines how societies reach decisions about the use and allocation of economic resources While economic research emphasizes the importance of governmental institutions for growth and progress, conventional public policy textbooks tend to focus on macroeconomic policies and on tax-and-spend decisions. Markets, State, and People stresses the basics of welfare economics and the interplay between individual and collective choices. It fills a gap by showing how economic theory relates to current policy questions, with a look at incentives, institutions, and efficiency. How should resources in society be allocated for the most economically efficient outcomes, and how does this sit with society’s sense of fairness? Diane Coyle illustrates the ways economic ideas are the product of their historical context, and how events in turn shape economic thought. She includes many real-world examples of policies, both good and bad. Readers will learn that there are no panaceas for policy problems, but there is a practical set of theories and empirical findings that can help policymakers navigate dilemmas and trade-offs. The decisions faced by officials or politicians are never easy, but economic insights can clarify the choices to be made and the evidence that informs those choices. Coyle covers issues such as digital markets and competition policy, environmental policy, regulatory assessments, public-private partnerships, nudge policies, universal basic income, and much more. Markets, State, and People offers a new way of approaching public economics. A focus on markets and institutions Policy ideas in historical context Real-world examples How economic theory helps policymakers tackle dilemmas and choices

Discounting for Time and Risk in Energy Policy

Author : Robert C. Lind
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135985251
Total Pages : 476 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (359 download)

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Book Synopsis Discounting for Time and Risk in Energy Policy by : Robert C. Lind

Download or read book Discounting for Time and Risk in Energy Policy written by Robert C. Lind and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-10-18 with total page 476 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a collection of theoretical papers, including contributions by Partha Dasgupta and three Nobel prize-winning economists: Kenneth Arrow, Amartya Sen, and Joseph Stiglitz. Originally published in 1982.

Economics and the Future

Author : Pannell, D.J.
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1781007489
Total Pages : 197 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics and the Future by : Pannell, D.J.

Download or read book Economics and the Future written by Pannell, D.J. and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2006-06-27 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economics and the Future tackles the discounting issue from a number of angles, ranging from relatively short-term private financial decisions, to very long-term public issues spanning generations. The authors present differing perspectives and original ideas in a style that remains accessible while addressing some of the more difficult questions about discounting in theory and practice. It reveals that the economic issues regarding time are embedded in a broader social, ethical and philosophical context.

Economic Analysis and Infrastructure Investment

Author : Edward L. Glaeser
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022680058X
Total Pages : 479 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (268 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Analysis and Infrastructure Investment by : Edward L. Glaeser

Download or read book Economic Analysis and Infrastructure Investment written by Edward L. Glaeser and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2021-11-11 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Policy-makers often call for expanding public spending on infrastructure, which includes a broad range of investments from roads and bridges to digital networks that will expand access to high-speed broadband. Some point to near-term macro-economic benefits and job creation, others focus on long-term effects on productivity and economic growth. This volume explores the links between infrastructure spending and economic outcomes, as well as key economic issues in the funding and management of infrastructure projects. It draws together research studies that describe the short-run stimulus effects of infrastructure spending, develop new estimates of the stock of U.S. infrastructure capital, and explore the incentive aspects of public-private partnerships (PPPs). A salient issue is the treatment of risk in evaluating publicly-funded infrastructure projects and in connection with PPPs. The goal of the volume is to provide a reference for researchers seeking to expand research on infrastructure issues, and for policy-makers tasked with determining the appropriate level of infrastructure spending"--

Can We Afford the Future?

Author : Doctor Frank Ackerman
Publisher : Zed Books Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 1848134975
Total Pages : 135 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (481 download)

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Book Synopsis Can We Afford the Future? by : Doctor Frank Ackerman

Download or read book Can We Afford the Future? written by Doctor Frank Ackerman and published by Zed Books Ltd.. This book was released on 2010-08-17 with total page 135 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: According to many scientists, climate change is a growing threat to life as we know it, requiring a large-scale, immediate response. According to many economists, climate change is a moderately important problem; the best policy is a slow, gradual start, to avoid spending too much. They can't both be right. In this book, Frank Ackerman offers a refreshing look at the economics of climate change, explaining how the arbitrary assumptions of conventional theories get in the way of understanding this urgent problem. The benefits of climate protection are vital but priceless, and hence often devalued in cost-benefit calculations. Preparation for the most predictable outcomes of global warming is less important than protection against the growing risk of catastrophic change; massive investment in new, low carbon technologies and industries should be thought of as life insurance for the planet. Ackerman makes an impassioned plea to construct a better economics, arguing that the solutions are affordable and the alternative is unthinkable. If we can't afford the future, what are we saving our money for? Can we Afford the Future? is part of The New Economics series, which uses the ideas behind a new, more human economics to provide a fresh way of looking at major contemporary issues.

Picoeconomics

Author : George Ainslie
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521260930
Total Pages : 462 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (212 download)

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Book Synopsis Picoeconomics by : George Ainslie

Download or read book Picoeconomics written by George Ainslie and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1992-04-24 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dr. Ainslie examines an elementary human paradox: that we are endangered by our own wishes.

Ask a Manager

Author : Alison Green
Publisher : Ballantine Books
ISBN 13 : 0399181822
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (991 download)

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Book Synopsis Ask a Manager by : Alison Green

Download or read book Ask a Manager written by Alison Green and published by Ballantine Books. This book was released on 2018-05-01 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the creator of the popular website Ask a Manager and New York’s work-advice columnist comes a witty, practical guide to 200 difficult professional conversations—featuring all-new advice! There’s a reason Alison Green has been called “the Dear Abby of the work world.” Ten years as a workplace-advice columnist have taught her that people avoid awkward conversations in the office because they simply don’t know what to say. Thankfully, Green does—and in this incredibly helpful book, she tackles the tough discussions you may need to have during your career. You’ll learn what to say when • coworkers push their work on you—then take credit for it • you accidentally trash-talk someone in an email then hit “reply all” • you’re being micromanaged—or not being managed at all • you catch a colleague in a lie • your boss seems unhappy with your work • your cubemate’s loud speakerphone is making you homicidal • you got drunk at the holiday party Praise for Ask a Manager “A must-read for anyone who works . . . [Alison Green’s] advice boils down to the idea that you should be professional (even when others are not) and that communicating in a straightforward manner with candor and kindness will get you far, no matter where you work.”—Booklist (starred review) “The author’s friendly, warm, no-nonsense writing is a pleasure to read, and her advice can be widely applied to relationships in all areas of readers’ lives. Ideal for anyone new to the job market or new to management, or anyone hoping to improve their work experience.”—Library Journal (starred review) “I am a huge fan of Alison Green’s Ask a Manager column. This book is even better. It teaches us how to deal with many of the most vexing big and little problems in our workplaces—and to do so with grace, confidence, and a sense of humor.”—Robert Sutton, Stanford professor and author of The No Asshole Rule and The Asshole Survival Guide “Ask a Manager is the ultimate playbook for navigating the traditional workforce in a diplomatic but firm way.”—Erin Lowry, author of Broke Millennial: Stop Scraping By and Get Your Financial Life Together

Uncertain Futures

Author : Jens Beckert
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192552759
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Futures by : Jens Beckert

Download or read book Uncertain Futures written by Jens Beckert and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-07-12 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertain Futures considers how economic actors visualize the future and decide how to act in conditions of radical uncertainty. It starts from the premise that dynamic capitalist economies are characterized by relentless innovation and novelty and hence exhibit an indeterminacy that cannot be reduced to measurable risk. The organizing question then becomes how economic actors form expectations and make decisions despite the uncertainty they face. This edited volume lays the foundations for a new model of economic reasoning by showing how, in conditions of uncertainty, economic actors combine calculation with imaginaries and narratives to form fictional expectations that coordinate action and provide the confidence to act. It draws on groundbreaking research in economic sociology, economics, anthropology, and psychology to present theoretically grounded empirical case studies. These demonstrate how grand narratives, central bank forward guidance, economic forecasts, finance models, business plans, visions of technological futures, and new era stories influence behaviour and become instruments of power in markets and societies. The market impact of shared calculative devices, social narratives, and contingent imaginaries underlines the rationale for a new form of narrative economics.