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Author : David L. Yazujian
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book The Computer Modelling of a Complex Decision Making Process written by David L. Yazujian and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319079867
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)
Download or read book Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks written by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-06-16 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computer simulation-based education and training is a multi-billion dollar industry. With the increased complexity of organizational decision making, projected demand for computer simulation-based decisional aids is on the rise. The objective of this book is to enhance systematically our understanding of and gain insights into the general process by which human facilitated ILEs are effectively designed and used in improving users’ decision making in dynamic tasks. This book is divided into four major parts. Part I serves as an introduction to the subject of “decision making in dynamic tasks”, its importance and its complexity. Part II provides background material, drawing upon the relevant literature, for the development of an integrated process model on the effectiveness of human facilitated ILEs in improving decision making in dynamic tasks. Part III focuses on the design, development and application of Fish Bank ILE, in laboratory experiments, to gather empirical evidence for the validity of the process model. Finally, part IV presents a comprehensive analysis of the gathered data to provide a powerful basis for understating important phenomena of training with human facilitated simulation-based learning environments, thereby, help to drive critical lessons to be learned. This book provides the reader with both a comprehensive understanding of the phenomena encountered in decision making with human facilitated ILEs and a unique way of studying the effects of these phenomena on people’s ability to make better decision in complex, dynamic tasks. This book is intended to be of use to managers and practitioners, researchers and students of dynamic decision making. The background material of Part II provides a solid base to understand and organize the existing experimental research literature and approaches.
Author : Stuart Berry
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319554174
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)
Download or read book Guide to Computational Modelling for Decision Processes written by Stuart Berry and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-04-13 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This interdisciplinary reference and guide provides an introduction to modeling methodologies and models which form the starting point for deriving efficient and effective solution techniques, and presents a series of case studies that demonstrate how heuristic and analytical approaches may be used to solve large and complex problems. Topics and features: introduces the key modeling methods and tools, including heuristic and mathematical programming-based models, and queueing theory and simulation techniques; demonstrates the use of heuristic methods to not only solve complex decision-making problems, but also to derive a simpler solution technique; presents case studies on a broad range of applications that make use of techniques from genetic algorithms and fuzzy logic, tabu search, and queueing theory; reviews examples incorporating system dynamics modeling, cellular automata and agent-based simulations, and the use of big data; supplies expanded descriptions and examples in the appendices.
Author : Tamar Kugler
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 038777131X
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)
Download or read book Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments written by Tamar Kugler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-07-20 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text examines new research at the interface of operations research, behavioral and cognitive sciences, and decision analysis. From the cognitive behaviorist who collects empirical evidence as to how people make decisions to the engineer and economist who are the consumers of such understanding, the reader encounters the familiar Traveling Salesman Problem and Prisoner's dilemma, how agricultural decisions are made in Argentina's Pampas region, and some social goals that come into play as an element of rational decision-making. In these 14 self-contained chapters, broad topics covered include the integration of decision analysis and behavioral models, innovations in behavioral models, exploring descriptive behavior models, and experimental studies.
Author : Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309523893
Total Pages : 433 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (95 download)
Download or read book Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior written by Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-08-14 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simulations are widely used in the military for training personnel, analyzing proposed equipment, and rehearsing missions, and these simulations need realistic models of human behavior. This book draws together a wide variety of theoretical and applied research in human behavior modeling that can be considered for use in those simulations. It covers behavior at the individual, unit, and command level. At the individual soldier level, the topics covered include attention, learning, memory, decisionmaking, perception, situation awareness, and planning. At the unit level, the focus is on command and control. The book provides short-, medium-, and long-term goals for research and development of more realistic models of human behavior.
Author : Nolberto Munier
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030823474
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)
Download or read book Mathematical Modelling of Decision Problems written by Nolberto Munier and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-10-19 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is intended as a guide to and manual on modeling complex problems in Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). It encourages practitioners to consider the practicalities of real-world scenarios when modeling, while at the same time providing tips and examples of how to incorporate these realities into the initial decision matrix. The goal is to help readers build a decision matrix that replicates reality as closely as possible. Once this matrix has been constructed, the Decision Maker (DM) can select from more than a hundred MCDM methods the one that best fits the requirements and conditions of the matrix. The book features cases taken from real-world scenarios, which deal with various fields, aspects, and characteristics, and are solved using the SIMUS (Sequential Interactive Modeling for Urban Systems) method. This book is a valuable tool for practitioners, researchers and students dealing with MCDM problems.
Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309110009
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Models in Environmental Regulatory Decision Making written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2007-08-25 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many regulations issued by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) are based on the results of computer models. Models help EPA explain environmental phenomena in settings where direct observations are limited or unavailable, and anticipate the effects of agency policies on the environment, human health and the economy. Given the critical role played by models, the EPA asked the National Research Council to assess scientific issues related to the agency's selection and use of models in its decisions. The book recommends a series of guidelines and principles for improving agency models and decision-making processes. The centerpiece of the book's recommended vision is a life-cycle approach to model evaluation which includes peer review, corroboration of results, and other activities. This will enhance the agency's ability to respond to requirements from a 2001 law on information quality and improve policy development and implementation.
Author : Marina V. Sokolova
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642255442
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)
Download or read book Decision Making in Complex Systems written by Marina V. Sokolova and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-01-13 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of complex systems attracts the attention of many researchers in diverse fields. Complex systems are characterized by a high number of entities and a high degree of interactions. One of the most important features is that they do not involve a central organizing authority, but the various elements that make up the systems are self-organized. Moreover, some complex systems possess an emergency priority: climate change and sustainable development research, studies of public health, ecosystem habitats, epidemiology, and medicine, among others. Unfortunately, a great number of today’s overlapping approaches fail to meet the needs of decision makers when managing complex domains. Indeed, the design of complex systems often requires the integration of a number of artificial intelligence tools and techniques. The problem can be viewed in terms of goals, states, and actions, choosing the best action to move the system toward its desired state or behavior. This is why agent-based approaches are used to model complex systems. The main objective of this book is to bring together existing methods for decision support systems creation within a coherent agent-based framework and to provide an interdisciplinary and flexible methodology for modeling complex and systemic domains.
Author : Chee Peng Lim
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642136397
Total Pages : 539 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)
Download or read book Handbook on Decision Making written by Chee Peng Lim and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-09-07 with total page 539 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision making arises when we wish to select the best possible course of action from a set of alternatives. With advancements of the digital technologies, it is easy, and almost instantaneous, to gather a large volume of information and/or data pertaining to a problem that we want to solve. For instance, the world-wi- web is perhaps the primary source of information and/or data that we often turn to when we face a decision making problem. However, the information and/or data that we obtain from the real world often are complex, and comprise various kinds of noise. Besides, real-world information and/or data often are incomplete and ambiguous, owing to uncertainties of the environments. All these make decision making a challenging task. To cope with the challenges of decision making, - searchers have designed and developed a variety of decision support systems to provide assistance in human decision making processes. The main aim of this book is to provide a small collection of techniques stemmed from artificial intelligence, as well as other complementary methodo- gies, that are useful for the design and development of intelligent decision support systems. Application examples of how these intelligent decision support systems can be utilized to help tackle a variety of real-world problems in different - mains, e. g. business, management, manufacturing, transportation and food ind- tries, and biomedicine, are also presented. A total of twenty chapters, which can be broadly divided into two parts, i. e.
Author : Ali Guidara
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030626288
Total Pages : 140 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)
Download or read book Policy Decision Modeling with Fuzzy Logic written by Ali Guidara and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-18 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces the concept of policy decision emergence and its dynamics at the sub systemic level of the decision process. This level constitutes the breeding ground of the emergence of policy decisions but remains unexplored due to the absence of adequate tools. It is a nonlinear complex system made of several entities that interact dynamically. The behavior of such a system cannot be understood with linear and deterministic methods. The book presents an innovative multidisciplinary approach that results in the development of a Policy Decision Emergence Simulation Model (PODESIM). This computational model is a multi-level fuzzy inference system that allows the identification of the decision emergence levers. This development represents a major advancement in the field of public policy decision studies. It paves the way for decision emergence modeling and simulation by bridging complex systems theory, multiple streams theory, and fuzzy logic theory.
Author : Patrick J. Driscoll
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119901405
Total Pages : 580 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)
Download or read book Decision Making in Systems Engineering and Management written by Patrick J. Driscoll and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2023 with total page 580 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Systems engineering is an interdisciplinary field of engineering and engineering management that focuses on how to design, integrate, and manage complex systems over their life cycles. At its core, systems engineering utilizes systems thinking principles to organize this body of knowledge."--
Author : Michael Doumpos
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118522494
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)
Download or read book Multicriteria Decision Aid and Artificial Intelligence written by Michael Doumpos and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-02-01 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents recent advances in both models and systems for intelligent decision making. Organisations often face complex decisions requiring the assessment of large amounts of data. In recent years Multicriteria Decision Aid (MCDA) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques have been applied with considerable success to support decision making in a wide range of complex real-world problems. The integration of MCDA and AI provides new capabilities relating to the structuring of complex decision problems in static and distributed environments. These include the handling of massive data sets, the modelling of ill-structured information, the construction of advanced decision models, and the development of efficient computational optimization algorithms for problem solving. This book covers a rich set of topics, including intelligent decision support technologies, data mining models for decision making, evidential reasoning, evolutionary multiobjective optimization, fuzzy modelling, as well as applications in management and engineering. Multicriteria Decision Aid and Artificial Intelligence: Covers all of the recent advances in intelligent decision making. Includes a presentation of hybrid models and algorithms for preference modelling and optimisation problems. Provides illustrations of new intelligent technologies and architectures for decision making in static and distributed environments. Explores the general topics on preference modelling and learning, along with the coverage of the main techniques and methodologies and applications. Is written by experts in the field. This book provides an excellent reference tool for the increasing number of researchers and practitioners interested in the integration of MCDA and AI for the development of effective hybrid decision support methodologies and systems. Academics and post-graduate students in the fields of operational research, artificial intelligence and management science or decision analysis will also find this book beneficial.
Author : Witold Pedrycz
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319168290
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)
Download or read book Granular Computing and Decision-Making written by Witold Pedrycz and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-04-21 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is devoted to interactive and iterative processes of decision-making– I2 Fuzzy Decision Making, in brief. Decision-making is inherently interactive. Fuzzy sets help realize human-machine communication in an efficient way by facilitating a two-way interaction in a friendly and transparent manner. Human-centric interaction is of paramount relevance as a leading guiding design principle of decision support systems. The volume provides the reader with an updated and in-depth material on the conceptually appealing and practically sound methodology and practice of I2 Fuzzy Decision Making. The book engages a wealth of methods of fuzzy sets and Granular Computing, brings new concepts, architectures and practice of fuzzy decision-making providing the reader with various application studies. The book is aimed at a broad audience of researchers and practitioners in numerous disciplines in which decision-making processes play a pivotal role and serve as a vehicle to produce solutions to existing problems. Those involved in operations research, management, various branches of engineering, social sciences, logistics, and economics will benefit from the exposure to the subject matter. The book may serve as a useful and timely reference material for graduate students and senior undergraduate students in courses on decision-making, Computational Intelligence, operations research, pattern recognition, risk management, and knowledge-based systems.
Author : Walayat Hussain
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000993957
Total Pages : 127 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (9 download)
Download or read book Advances in Complex Decision Making written by Walayat Hussain and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2023-12-08 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The rapidly evolving business and technology landscape demands sophisticated decision-making tools to stay ahead of the curve. Advances in Complex Decision Making: Using Machine Learning and Tools for Service-Oriented Computing is a cutting-edge technical guide exploring the latest decision-making technology advancements. This book provides a comprehensive overview of machine learning algorithms and examines their applications in complex decision-making systems in a service-oriented framework. The authors also delve into service-oriented computing and how it can be used to build complex systems that support decision making. Many real-world examples are discussed in this book to provide a practical insight into how discussed techniques can be applied in various domains, including distributed computing, cloud computing, IoT and other online platforms. For researchers, students, data scientists and technical practitioners, this book offers a deep dive into the current developments of machine learning algorithms and their applications in service-oriented computing. This book discusses various topics, including Fuzzy Decisions, ELICIT, OWA aggregation, Directed Acyclic Graph, RNN, LSTM, GRU, Type-2 Fuzzy Decision, Evidential Reasoning algorithm and robust optimisation algorithms. This book is essential for anyone interested in the intersection of machine learning and service computing in complex decision-making systems.
Author : Charles L. Smith Sr.
Publisher : Praeger
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Computer-Supported Decision Making written by Charles L. Smith Sr. and published by Praeger. This book was released on 1998-04-23 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a tide of competitiveness rising across the sea of business. The issues being faced by the business commanders of today are rapidly becoming more complex. Veritable waves of information are crashing down on organizational decision makers. While the environment is becoming more complex, it is getting tougher to discern the relevant information from among the flood of available data. The demand for accurate, rapid decision making is impelling today's decision makers to wonder about the existence of some sort of job-preserving assistance. These decision makers are often awash in political controversy as well as technical, economic, social, and legal considerations. Relief from this sea of troubles may come from a behaviorally-responsive decision support system (DSS) in the form of computer assistance that considers the decision maker's cognitive and emotional needs. This book describes a DSS that will meet the needs of modern organization decision makers.
Author : Michael M. Resch
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319557629
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)
Download or read book The Science and Art of Simulation I written by Michael M. Resch and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-04-07 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The new book series “The Science and Art of Simulation” (SAS) addresses computer simulations as a scientific activity and engineering artistry (in the sense of a technē). The first volume is devoted to three topics: 1. The Art of Exploring Computer Simulations Philosophy began devoting attention to computer simulations at a relatively early stage. Since then, the unquestioned point of view has been that computer simulation is a new scientific method; the philosophy of simulation is therefore part of the philosophy of science. The first section of this volume discusses this implicit, unchallenged assumption by addressing, from different perspectives, the question of how to explore (and how not to explore) research on computer simulations. Scientists discuss what is still lacking or considered problematic, while philosophers draft new directions for research, and both examine the art of exploring computer simulations. 2. The Art of Understanding Computer Simulations The results of computer simulations are integrated into both political and social decisions. It is implicitly assumed that the more detailed, and consequently more realistic, a computer simulation is, the more useful it will be in decision-making. However, this idea is by no means justified. Different types of computer simulations have to be differentiated, which in turn requires the specific skill of understanding computer simulation results. The articles in this section examine the capabilities and limits of simulation results in political and social contexts, exploring the art of understanding computer simulation results. 3. The Art of Knowing through Computer Simulations? The advent of computer simulation in today’s scientific practices challenges the order of science. What kind of knowledge is gained through computer simulations is the key question in this section. Computer simulations are often compared to experiments or to arguments, and the transformation of our traditional scientific notions might be more challenging than expected – these Ideas are put forward in the third section to conceptualize the art of knowing through computer simulations.
Author : Richard Fujimoto
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319585444
Total Pages : 138 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)
Download or read book Research Challenges in Modeling and Simulation for Engineering Complex Systems written by Richard Fujimoto and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-08-18 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This illuminating text/reference presents a review of the key aspects of the modeling and simulation (M&S) life cycle, and examines the challenges of M&S in different application areas. The authoritative work offers valuable perspectives on the future of research in M&S, and its role in engineering complex systems. Topics and features: reviews the challenges of M&S for urban infrastructure, healthcare delivery, automated vehicle manufacturing, deep space missions, and acquisitions enterprise; outlines research issues relating to conceptual modeling, covering the development of explicit and unambiguous models, communication and decision-making, and architecture and services; considers key computational challenges in the execution of simulation models, in order to best exploit emerging computing platforms and technologies; examines efforts to understand and manage uncertainty inherent in M&S processes, and how these can be unified under a consistent theoretical and philosophical foundation; discusses the reuse of models and simulations to accelerate the simulation model development process. This thought-provoking volume offers important insights for all researchers involved in modeling and simulation across the full spectrum of disciplines and applications, defining a common research agenda to support the entire M&S research community.
