The Appropriate Measure Of The Social Discount Rate And Its Role In The Analysis Of Policies With Long Run Consequences

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The Appropriate Measure of the Social Discount Rate and Its Role in the Analysis of Policies with Long-Run Consequences

Author : David Burgess
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Appropriate Measure of the Social Discount Rate and Its Role in the Analysis of Policies with Long-Run Consequences by : David Burgess

Download or read book The Appropriate Measure of the Social Discount Rate and Its Role in the Analysis of Policies with Long-Run Consequences written by David Burgess and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The appropriate measure of the social discount rate is the social opportunity cost of borrowed funds (a weighted average of the rates of return on displaced investment, postponed consumption, and incremental foreign funding), which ensures that a proposed policy produces a potential Pareto improvement. The approach yields a discount rate in the order of 7 percent per annum for the United States using national income accounts data, with no evidence of any secular decline in the rate over the past half century. Using a lower discount rate equal to the social rate of time preference requires either (1) abandoning a basic tenet of benefit-cost analysis that worthy projects must improve allocative efficiency, or (2) assuming that the government must balance the budget each period (no debt financing at the margin), debt reduction is not an option, and the marginal tax instrument is a nondistortionary tax that impacts only consumption. Neither option seems reasonable.

The Social Discount Rate

Author : Humberto Lopez
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Social Discount Rate by : Humberto Lopez

Download or read book The Social Discount Rate written by Humberto Lopez and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: The social discount rate measures the rate at which a society would be willing to trade present for future consumption. As such it is one of the most critical inputs needed for cost-benefit analysis. This paper presents estimates of the social discount rates for nine Latin American countries. It is argued that if the recent track record in terms of growth in the region is indicative of future performance, estimates of the social discount rate would be in the 3-4 percent range. However, to the extent that the region improves on its past performance, the social discount rate to be used in the evaluation of projects would increase to the 5-7 percent range. The paper also argues that if the social planner gives a similar chance to the low and high growth scenario, the discount rate should be dependent on the horizon of the project, declining from 4.4 percent for a 25-year horizon to less than 4 percent for a 100-year horizon.

Valuing Climate Damages

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309454204
Total Pages : 281 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuing Climate Damages by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Valuing Climate Damages written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2017-06-23 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The social cost of carbon (SC-CO2) is an economic metric intended to provide a comprehensive estimate of the net damages - that is, the monetized value of the net impacts, both negative and positive - from the global climate change that results from a small (1-metric ton) increase in carbon-dioxide (CO2) emissions. Under Executive Orders regarding regulatory impact analysis and as required by a court ruling, the U.S. government has since 2008 used estimates of the SC-CO2 in federal rulemakings to value the costs and benefits associated with changes in CO2 emissions. In 2010, the Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases (IWG) developed a methodology for estimating the SC-CO2 across a range of assumptions about future socioeconomic and physical earth systems. Valuing Climate Changes examines potential approaches, along with their relative merits and challenges, for a comprehensive update to the current methodology. This publication also recommends near- and longer-term research priorities to ensure that the SC- CO2 estimates reflect the best available science.

Non-Paternalistic Social Discounting

Author : Antony Millner
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Non-Paternalistic Social Discounting by : Antony Millner

Download or read book Non-Paternalistic Social Discounting written by Antony Millner and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The long-run social discount rate sets the rate of return a public project with long-term consequences must earn to be welfare improving, and is thus a critical input to the cost benefit analysis of policies such as climate change mitigation, nuclear waste management, and infrastructure investments. Economists have had persistent disagreements about the appropriate values of the welfare parameters that determine this quantity, leading to substantial disagreements on the benefits of policies with long-run consequences. I present a model in which public decision-makers have heterogeneous opinions about the normative inputs to social discounting formulae, but their preferences are non-paternalistic, i.e. they do not impose their own views on others when evaluating future social wellbeing. I show that non-paternalism causes all decision-makers to agree on the long-run social discount rate. While surveys suggest that the 5-95% range of economists' recommended values for the social discount rate is 1-7%/yr in common growth scenarios, non-paternalism could reduce this to a range of 3.2-3.3%/yr for projects with a maturity of 50 years, with even greater consensus emerging for longer maturities.

Pricing the Planet's Future

Author : Christian Gollier
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691148767
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Pricing the Planet's Future by : Christian Gollier

Download or read book Pricing the Planet's Future written by Christian Gollier and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today, the judge, the citizen, the politician, and the entrepreneur are concerned with the sustainability of our development.

The Discount Rate for Public Policy Over the Distant Future

Author : Qingran Li
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis The Discount Rate for Public Policy Over the Distant Future by : Qingran Li

Download or read book The Discount Rate for Public Policy Over the Distant Future written by Qingran Li and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The choice of discount rate has a significant impact on net benefit estimates when costs today have benefits over long time horizons. Standard U.S. government practice for cost-benefit analysis is to bound such analysis using two alternative rates. These rates are meant to represent the rate of return paid by capital investment and the rate received by consumers. Previous work has shown this approach legitimately bounds the analysis--but only when future benefits accrue directly to consumers either in a two-period model or as a perpetuity. We generalize to consider arbitrary patterns of future benefits, accruing either directly to consumers or indirectly through future investment. We derive an expression for the appropriate discount rate and show that it converges to the consumption rate for benefits increasingly far into the future. More generally, the bounding rates depend on the temporal pattern of the undiscounted dollars. As an application, we estimate the appropriate discount rate for climate change damages from carbon dioxide, finding it lies in a narrow range (+/- 0.5 percent) around the consumer rate of interest.

Basic Methods of Policy Analysis and Planning

Author : Carl Patton
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317350006
Total Pages : 481 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (173 download)

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Book Synopsis Basic Methods of Policy Analysis and Planning by : Carl Patton

Download or read book Basic Methods of Policy Analysis and Planning written by Carl Patton and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-08-26 with total page 481 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Updated in its 3rd edition, Basic Methods of Policy Analysis and Planning presents quickly applied methods for analyzing and resolving planning and policy issues at state, regional, and urban levels. Divided into two parts, Methods which presents quick methods in nine chapters and is organized around the steps in the policy analysis process, and Cases which presents seven policy cases, ranging in degree of complexity, the text provides readers with the resources they need for effective policy planning and analysis. Quantitative and qualitative methods are systematically combined to address policy dilemmas and urban planning problems. Readers and analysts utilizing this text gain comprehensive skills and background needed to impact public policy.

For the Benefit of All: Fiscal Policies and Equity-Efficiency Trade-offs in the Age of Automation

Author : Mr. Andrew Berg
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513592963
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis For the Benefit of All: Fiscal Policies and Equity-Efficiency Trade-offs in the Age of Automation by : Mr. Andrew Berg

Download or read book For the Benefit of All: Fiscal Policies and Equity-Efficiency Trade-offs in the Age of Automation written by Mr. Andrew Berg and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-07-16 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many studies predict massive job losses and real wage decline as a result of the ongoing widespread automation of production, a trend that may be further aggravated by the COVID-19 crisis. Yet automation is also expected to raise productivity and output. How can we share the gains from automation more widely, for the benefit of all? And what are the attendant equity-efficiency trade-offs? We analyze this issue by considering the effects of fiscal policies that seek to redistribute the gains from automation and address income inequality. We use a dynamic general equilibrium model with monopolistic competition, including a novel specification linking corporate power to automation. While fiscal policy cannot eliminate the classic equity-efficiency trade-offs, it can help improve them, reducing inequality at small or no loss of output. This is particularly so when policy takes advantage of novel, less distortive transmission channels of fiscal policy created by the empirically observed link between corporate market power and automation.

Project Evaluation

Author : Arnold C. Harberger
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226315932
Total Pages : 342 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Project Evaluation by : Arnold C. Harberger

Download or read book Project Evaluation written by Arnold C. Harberger and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1976-07-15 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The collection of papers on social project evaluation.

Economic Evaluation in Education

Author : Henry M. Levin
Publisher : SAGE Publications
ISBN 13 : 148338179X
Total Pages : 377 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (833 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Evaluation in Education by : Henry M. Levin

Download or read book Economic Evaluation in Education written by Henry M. Levin and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2017-06-15 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decade has seen increased attention to cost-effectiveness and benefit-cost analysis in education as administrators are being asked to accomplish more with the same or even fewer resources, philanthropists are keen to calculate their "return on investment" in social programs, and the general public is increasingly scrutinizing how resources are allocated to schools and colleges. Economic Evaluation in Education: Cost-Effectiveness and Benefit-Cost Analysis (titled Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: Methods and Applications in its previous editions) is the only full-length book to provide readers with the step-by-step methods they need to plan and implement a benefit-cost analysis in education. Authors Henry M. Levin, Patrick J. McEwan, Clive Belfield, Alyshia Brooks Bowden, and Robert Shand examine a range of issues, including how to identify, measure, and distribute costs; how to measure effectiveness, utility, and benefits; and how to incorporate cost evaluations into the decision-making process. The updates to the Third Edition reflect the considerable methodological development in the evaluation literature, and the greater empiricism practiced by education researchers, to help readers learn to apply more advanced methods to their own analyses.

Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498344658
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-20 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores how fiscal policy can affect medium- to long-term growth. It identifies the main channels through which fiscal policy can influence growth and distills practical lessons for policymakers. The particular mix of policy measures, however, will depend on country-specific conditions, capacities, and preferences. The paper draws on the Fund’s extensive technical assistance on fiscal reforms as well as several analytical studies, including a novel approach for country studies, a statistical analysis of growth accelerations following fiscal reforms, and simulations of an endogenous growth model.

Encyclopedia of Energy, Natural Resource, and Environmental Economics

Author :
Publisher : Newnes
ISBN 13 : 0080964524
Total Pages : 1056 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Energy, Natural Resource, and Environmental Economics by :

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Energy, Natural Resource, and Environmental Economics written by and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-03-29 with total page 1056 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Every decision about energy involves its price and cost. The price of gasoline and the cost of buying from foreign producers; the price of nuclear and hydroelectricity and the costs to our ecosystems; the price of electricity from coal-fired plants and the cost to the atmosphere. Giving life to inventions, lifestyle changes, geopolitical shifts, and things in-between, energy economics is of high interest to Academia, Corporations and Governments. For economists, energy economics is one of three subdisciplines which, taken together, compose an economic approach to the exploitation and preservation of natural resources: energy economics, which focuses on energy-related subjects such as renewable energy, hydropower, nuclear power, and the political economy of energy resource economics, which covers subjects in land and water use, such as mining, fisheries, agriculture, and forests environmental economics, which takes a broader view of natural resources through economic concepts such as risk, valuation, regulation, and distribution Although the three are closely related, they are not often presented as an integrated whole. This Encyclopedia has done just that by unifying these fields into a high-quality and unique overview. The only reference work that codifies the relationships among the three subdisciplines: energy economics, resource economics and environmental economics. Understanding these relationships just became simpler! Nobel Prize Winning Editor-in-Chief (joint recipient 2007 Peace Prize), Jason Shogren, has demonstrated excellent team work again, by coordinating and steering his Editorial Board to produce a cohesive work that guides the user seamlessly through the diverse topics This work contains in equal parts information from and about business, academic, and government perspectives and is intended to serve as a tool for unifying and systematizing research and analysis in business, universities, and government

Cost-Benefit Analysis for Development

Author : Asian Development Bank
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9290929588
Total Pages : 367 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis Cost-Benefit Analysis for Development by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book Cost-Benefit Analysis for Development written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2013-01-01 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has been continuously undertaking measures to enhance the effectiveness of its operations. To improve projects both at the preparation and implementation stages, ADB issued the Guidelines for Economic Analysis of Projects in 1997 as a means to enhancing project quality at entry. The conduct of proper economic analysis helps ensure the efficient use of development funds and public resources and thereby increase aid effectiveness. This practical guide is a supplement to the Guidelines for the Economic Analysis of Projects. It provides an overview of recent methodological developments in cost-benefit analysis as well as suggested improvements in the economic analysis of projects in selected sectors through case studies. These case studies illustrate the application of suggested methodologies, taking into account sector-specific needs, as well as difficulties faced by practitioners in terms of data and time constraints during project processing. It also aims to contribute to ADB’s capacity building initiatives as this will be the main reference material for conduct of economic analysis.

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions

Author : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780894991967
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (919 download)

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Book Synopsis The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions by : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Download or read book The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions written by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Model Rules of Professional Conduct

Author : American Bar Association. House of Delegates
Publisher : American Bar Association
ISBN 13 : 9781590318737
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (187 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Rules of Professional Conduct by : American Bar Association. House of Delegates

Download or read book Model Rules of Professional Conduct written by American Bar Association. House of Delegates and published by American Bar Association. This book was released on 2007 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Model Rules of Professional Conduct provides an up-to-date resource for information on legal ethics. Federal, state and local courts in all jurisdictions look to the Rules for guidance in solving lawyer malpractice cases, disciplinary actions, disqualification issues, sanctions questions and much more. In this volume, black-letter Rules of Professional Conduct are followed by numbered Comments that explain each Rule's purpose and provide suggestions for its practical application. The Rules will help you identify proper conduct in a variety of given situations, review those instances where discretionary action is possible, and define the nature of the relationship between you and your clients, colleagues and the courts.

The Social Rate of Time Preference and the Social Discount Rate

Author : Mark Moore
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Social Rate of Time Preference and the Social Discount Rate by : Mark Moore

Download or read book The Social Rate of Time Preference and the Social Discount Rate written by Mark Moore and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explains the conceptual basis for the social rate of time preference (STP) and why it is the appropriate method of choosing the social discount rate (SDR), compared to the most prominent alternative method: the social opportunity cost of capital (SOC). We recommend that for intragenerational projects in the United States, a rate of 3.5 percent is appropriate. For long-term intergenerational effects, we recommend using declining rates. Obtaining the SDR is intrinsically a normative exercise in a second-best world. Policymakers should maximize a social welfare function that equals the present value of current and future utility from per capita consumption. In the presence of economic growth, there will be greater future consumption possibilities. Given the assumption of diminishing marginal utility of income, the consumption of a wealthier, future society should be discounted. Displaced private investment should be accounted for by first multiplying by the shadow price of capital, but this will not generally be necessary as most government interventions mainly affect consumption. Systematic risk should be handled by conversion of expected net benefits into certainty equivalents before discounting at the risk-free SDR, but empirically this effect is typically too small to matter. Among governments there is increased adoption of both the STP method and the use of time-declining rates. Even governments using other approaches are lowering their rates, and most OECD countries now apply rates in the 3 to 5.5 percent range.

Discounting and Intergenerational Equity

Author : Paul R. Portney
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135892016
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (358 download)

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Book Synopsis Discounting and Intergenerational Equity by : Paul R. Portney

Download or read book Discounting and Intergenerational Equity written by Paul R. Portney and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-10-18 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The full effects of decisions made today about many environmental policies -including climate change and nuclear waste- will not be felt for many years. For issues with long-term ramifications, analysts often employ discount rates to compare present and future costs and benefits. This is reasonable, and discounting has become a procedure that raises few objections. But are the methods appropriate for measuring costs and benefits for decisions that will have impacts 20 to 30 years from now the right ones to employ for a future that lies 200 to 300 years in the future? This landmark book argues that methods reasonable for measuring gains and losses for a generation into the future may not be appropriate when applied to a longer span of time. Paul Portney and John Weyant have assembled some of the world's foremost economists to reconsider the purpose, ethical implications, and application of discounting in light of recent research and current policy concerns. These experts note reasons why conventional calculations involved in discounting are undermined when considering costs and benefits in the distant future, including uncertainty about the values and preferences of future generations, and uncertainties about available technologies. Rather than simply disassemble current methodologies, the contributors examine innovations that will make discounting a more compelling tool for policy choices that influence the distant future. They discuss the combination of a high shout-term with a low long-term diescount rate, explore discounting according to more than one set of anticipated preferences for the future, and outline alternatives involving simultaneous consideration of valuation, discounting and political acceptability.