Contagion! Systemic Risk in Financial Networks

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319339303
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Contagion! Systemic Risk in Financial Networks by : T. R. Hurd

Download or read book Contagion! Systemic Risk in Financial Networks written by T. R. Hurd and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-25 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents a unified mathematical framework for the transmission channels for damaging shocks that can lead to instability in financial systems. As the title suggests, financial contagion is analogous to the spread of disease, and damaging financial crises may be better understood by bringing to bear ideas from studying other complex systems in our world. After considering how people have viewed financial crises and systemic risk in the past, it delves into the mechanics of the interactions between banking counterparties. It finds a common mathematical structure for types of crises that proceed through cascade mappings that approach a cascade equilibrium. Later chapters follow this theme, starting from the underlying random skeleton graph, developing into the theory of bootstrap percolation, ultimately leading to techniques that can determine the large scale nature of contagious financial cascades.

Handbook on Systemic Risk

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107023432
Total Pages : 993 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook on Systemic Risk by : Jean-Pierre Fouque

Download or read book Handbook on Systemic Risk written by Jean-Pierre Fouque and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-05-23 with total page 993 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook on Systemic Risk, written by experts in the field, provides researchers with an introduction to the multifaceted aspects of systemic risks facing the global financial markets. The Handbook explores the multidisciplinary approaches to analyzing this risk, the data requirements for further research, and the recommendations being made to avert financial crisis. The Handbook is designed to encourage new researchers to investigate a topic with immense societal implications as well as to provide, for those already actively involved within their own academic discipline, an introduction to the research being undertaken in other disciplines. Each chapter in the Handbook will provide researchers with a superior introduction to the field and with references to more advanced research articles. It is the hope of the editors that this Handbook will stimulate greater interdisciplinary academic research on the critically important topic of systemic risk in the global financial markets.

Extreme and Systemic Risk Analysis

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811526893
Total Pages : 166 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (115 download)

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Book Synopsis Extreme and Systemic Risk Analysis by : Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler

Download or read book Extreme and Systemic Risk Analysis written by Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-04-06 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about how extreme and systemic risk can be analyzed in an integrated way. Risk analysis is understood to include measurement, assessment as well as management aspects. Integration is understood as being able to perform risk analysis for extreme and systemic events simultaneously. The presented approach is based on Sklar's theorem, which states that a multivariate distribution can be separated into two parts – one describing the marginal distributions and the other describing the dependency between the distributions using a so-called copula. It is suggested to reinterpret Sklar's theorem from a system or network perspective, treating copulas as a network property and individual, including extreme, risk as elements within the network. In that way, extreme and systemic risk can be analyzed independently as well as jointly across several scales. The book is intended for a large audience, and all techniques presented are guided with examples and applications with a special focus on natural disaster events. Furthermore, an extensive literature and discussion of it are given in each chapter for the interested reader.

Taming Financial Development to Reduce Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498314074
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Taming Financial Development to Reduce Crises by : Mr.Sami Ben Naceur

Download or read book Taming Financial Development to Reduce Crises written by Mr.Sami Ben Naceur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-08 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses whether and how financial development triggers the occurrence of banking crises. It builds on a database that includes financial development as well as financial access, depth and efficiency for almost 100 countries. Through estimation of a dynamic logit panel model, it appears that financial development, from an institutional dimension and to a lesser extent from a market dimension, triggers financial instability within a one- to two-year horizon. Additionally, whereas financial access is destabilizing for advanced countries, it is stabilizing for emerging and low income ones. Both results have important implications for macroprudential policies and financial regulations.

Systemic Risk: a Network Approach

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (122 download)

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Book Synopsis Systemic Risk: a Network Approach by : Jean-Baptiste Hasse

Download or read book Systemic Risk: a Network Approach written by Jean-Baptiste Hasse and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Systemic Risk Modeling: How Theory Can Meet Statistics

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513536176
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Systemic Risk Modeling: How Theory Can Meet Statistics by : Mr.Raphael A Espinoza

Download or read book Systemic Risk Modeling: How Theory Can Meet Statistics written by Mr.Raphael A Espinoza and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-03-13 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a framework to link empirical models of systemic risk to theoretical network/ general equilibrium models used to understand the channels of transmission of systemic risk. The theoretical model allows for systemic risk due to interbank counterparty risk, common asset exposures/fire sales, and a “Minsky" cycle of optimism. The empirical model uses stock market and CDS spreads data to estimate a multivariate density of equity returns and to compute the expected equity return for each bank, conditional on a bad macro-outcome. Theses “cross-sectional" moments are used to re-calibrate the theoretical model and estimate the importance of the Minsky cycle of optimism in driving systemic risk.

Systemic Risk

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199544492
Total Pages : 147 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis Systemic Risk by : Prasanna Gai

Download or read book Systemic Risk written by Prasanna Gai and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2013-03-28 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book applies some of the lessons from network disciplines - such as ecology, epidemiology, and engineering - to study and measure how small probability events can lead to contagion and banking crises on a global scale.

Quantifying Systemic Risk

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226921964
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantifying Systemic Risk by : Joseph G. Haubrich

Download or read book Quantifying Systemic Risk written by Joseph G. Haubrich and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the federal government has pursued significant regulatory reforms, including proposals to measure and monitor systemic risk. However, there is much debate about how this might be accomplished quantitatively and objectively—or whether this is even possible. A key issue is determining the appropriate trade-offs between risk and reward from a policy and social welfare perspective given the potential negative impact of crises. One of the first books to address the challenges of measuring statistical risk from a system-wide persepective, Quantifying Systemic Risk looks at the means of measuring systemic risk and explores alternative approaches. Among the topics discussed are the challenges of tying regulations to specific quantitative measures, the effects of learning and adaptation on the evolution of the market, and the distinction between the shocks that start a crisis and the mechanisms that enable it to grow.

SYSTEMIC RISK IN BANKING

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Publisher : American Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1631816659
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis SYSTEMIC RISK IN BANKING by : Lorenzo Pagliaro

Download or read book SYSTEMIC RISK IN BANKING written by Lorenzo Pagliaro and published by American Academic Press. This book was released on 2020-01-28 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Shortly after the financial crisis of 2007-2008 many authors began to write about certain “huge institutions” potentially able to damage the entire financial system through negative shocks, approaching the issue of systemic risk in banking through the evaluation of the so called “Too-Big-to-Fail” actors. While the size of a bank is certainly a factor of risk when considering systemic implications, this book also explores the properties of some deeply interconnected institutions. The author’s main intuition is based on the renowned work by Mark Granovetter on “The Strength of Weak Ties” and “Economic Action and Social Structure: The Problem of Embeddedness”: dangerous flows, like financial shocks, may travel very quickly through networks in unexpectedly efficient ways thanks to “Weak Ties”. The existence of weaker yet longer ties implies a naturally “robust yet fragile” network where even distant actors are closely interconnected, sharing both opportunities and risks. As a consequence, some nodes may act as key actors under the structural perspective. It is therefore critical for the central authority to identify and closely monitor said institutions. Thanks to a journey through the history of Social Network Analysis this book offers a complete overview on the evolution of the methodology and the most recent applications to systemic risk assessment, which are completed by a critical approach towards the “Too-Interconnected-to-Fail” perspective.

Measuring Systemic Risk-Adjusted Liquidity (SRL)

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505590
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring Systemic Risk-Adjusted Liquidity (SRL) by : Andreas Jobst

Download or read book Measuring Systemic Risk-Adjusted Liquidity (SRL) written by Andreas Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Little progress has been made so far in addressing—in a comprehensive way—the externalities caused by impact of the interconnectedness within institutions and markets on funding and market liquidity risk within financial systems. The Systemic Risk-adjusted Liquidity (SRL) model combines option pricing with market information and balance sheet data to generate a probabilistic measure of the frequency and severity of multiple entities experiencing a joint liquidity event. It links a firm’s maturity mismatch between assets and liabilities impacting the stability of its funding with those characteristics of other firms, subject to individual changes in risk profiles and common changes in market conditions. This approach can then be used (i) to quantify an individual institution’s time-varying contribution to system-wide liquidity shortfalls and (ii) to price liquidity risk within a macroprudential framework that, if used to motivate a capital charge or insurance premia, provides incentives for liquidity managers to internalize the systemic risk of their decisions. The model can also accommodate a stress testing approach for institution-specific and/or general funding shocks that generate estimates of systemic liquidity risk (and associated charges) under adverse scenarios.

Network Theory and Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811383197
Total Pages : 458 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Network Theory and Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance by : Anindya S. Chakrabarti

Download or read book Network Theory and Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance written by Anindya S. Chakrabarti and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-10-23 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the latest findings on network theory and agent-based modeling of economic and financial phenomena. In this context, the economy is depicted as a complex system consisting of heterogeneous agents that interact through evolving networks; the aggregate behavior of the economy arises out of billions of small-scale interactions that take place via countless economic agents. The book focuses on analytical modeling, and on the econometric and statistical analysis of the properties emerging from microscopic interactions. In particular, it highlights the latest empirical and theoretical advances, helping readers understand economic and financial networks, as well as new work on modeling behavior using rich, agent-based frameworks. Innovatively, the book combines observational and theoretical insights in the form of networks and agent-based models, both of which have proved to be extremely valuable in understanding non-linear and evolving complex systems. Given its scope, the book will capture the interest of graduate students and researchers from various disciplines (e.g. economics, computer science, physics, and applied mathematics) whose work involves the domain of complexity theory.

Network Models of Financial Systemic Risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Network Models of Financial Systemic Risk by : Fabio Caccioli

Download or read book Network Models of Financial Systemic Risk written by Fabio Caccioli and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial system can be represented as a large complex network in which banks, hedge funds and other financial institutions are interconnected to each other through visible and invisible financial linkages. Recently, a lot of attention has been paid to the understanding of the mechanisms that can lead to a breakdown of this network. This can happen when the existing financial links turn from being a means of risk diversification to channels for the propagation of risk across financial institutions. In this review article, we summarize recent developments in the modeling of financial systemic risk. We focus in particular on network approaches, such as models of default cascades due to bilateral exposures or to overlapping portfolios, and we also report on recent findings on the empirical structure of interbank networks. The current review provides a landscape of the newly arising interdisciplinary field lying at the intersection of several disciplines, such as network science, physics, engineering, economics, and ecology.

The Effect of the Interbank Network Structure on Contagion and Common Shocks

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effect of the Interbank Network Structure on Contagion and Common Shocks by : Co-Pierre Georg

Download or read book The Effect of the Interbank Network Structure on Contagion and Common Shocks written by Co-Pierre Georg and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a dynamic multi-agent model of a banking system with central bank. Banks optimize a portfolio of risky investments and riskless excess reserves according to their risk, return, and liquidity preferences. They are linked via interbank loans and face stochastic deposit supply. Evidence is provided that the central bank stabilizes interbank markets in the short-run only. Comparing different interbank network structures, it is shown that money-center networks are more stable than random networks. Systemic risk via contagion is compared to common shocks and it is shown that both forms of systemic risk require different optimal policy responses.

Risk Topography

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022609264X
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Topography by : Markus Brunnermeier

Download or read book Risk Topography written by Markus Brunnermeier and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2014-10-17 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent financial crisis and the difficulty of using mainstream macroeconomic models to accurately monitor and assess systemic risk have stimulated new analyses of how we measure economic activity and the development of more sophisticated models in which the financial sector plays a greater role. Markus Brunnermeier and Arvind Krishnamurthy have assembled contributions from leading academic researchers, central bankers, and other financial-market experts to explore the possibilities for advancing macroeconomic modeling in order to achieve more accurate economic measurement. Essays in this volume focus on the development of models capable of highlighting the vulnerabilities that leave the economy susceptible to adverse feedback loops and liquidity spirals. While these types of vulnerabilities have often been identified, they have not been consistently measured. In a financial world of increasing complexity and uncertainty, this volume is an invaluable resource for policymakers working to improve current measurement systems and for academics concerned with conceptualizing effective measurement.

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190216832
Total Pages : 857 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks by : Yann Bramoullé

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks written by Yann Bramoullé and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016-03-01 with total page 857 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks represents the frontier of research into how and why networks they form, how they influence behavior, how they help govern outcomes in an interactive world, and how they shape collective decision making, opinion formation, and diffusion dynamics. From a methodological perspective, the contributors to this volume devote attention to theory, field experiments, laboratory experiments, and econometrics. Theoretical work in network formation, games played on networks, repeated games, and the interaction between linking and behavior is synthesized. A number of chapters are devoted to studying social process mediated by networks. Topics here include opinion formation, diffusion of information and disease, and learning. There are also chapters devoted to financial contagion and systemic risk, motivated in part by the recent financial crises. Another section discusses communities, with applications including social trust, favor exchange, and social collateral; the importance of communities for migration patterns; and the role that networks and communities play in the labor market. A prominent role of networks, from an economic perspective, is that they mediate trade. Several chapters cover bilateral trade in networks, strategic intermediation, and the role of networks in international trade. Contributions discuss as well the role of networks for organizations. On the one hand, one chapter discusses the role of networks for the performance of organizations, while two other chapters discuss managing networks of consumers and pricing in the presence of network-based spillovers. Finally, the authors discuss the internet as a network with attention to the issue of net neutrality.

Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455200662
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems by : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau

Download or read book Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2008/9 financial crisis highlighted the importance of evaluating vulnerabilities owing to interconnectedness, or Too-Connected-to-Fail risk, among financial institutions for country monitoring, financial surveillance, investment analysis and risk management purposes. This paper illustrates the use of balance sheet-based network analysis to evaluate interconnectedness risk, under extreme adverse scenarios, in banking systems in mature and emerging market countries, and between individual banks in Chile, an advanced emerging market economy.

Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475557531
Total Pages : 93 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis by : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst

Download or read book Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis written by Mr.Andreas A. Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-02-27 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent global financial crisis has forced a re-examination of risk transmission in the financial sector and how it affects financial stability. Current macroprudential policy and surveillance (MPS) efforts are aimed establishing a regulatory framework that helps mitigate the risk from systemic linkages with a view towards enhancing the resilience of the financial sector. This paper presents a forward-looking framework ("Systemic CCA") to measure systemic solvency risk based on market-implied expected losses of financial institutions with practical applications for the financial sector risk management and the system-wide capital assessment in top-down stress testing. The suggested approach uses advanced contingent claims analysis (CCA) to generate aggregate estimates of the joint default risk of multiple institutions as a conditional tail expectation using multivariate extreme value theory (EVT). In addition, the framework also helps quantify the individual contributions to systemic risk and contingent liabilities of the financial sector during times of stress.