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Structural Estimation Of Real Options Models
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Book Synopsis Structural Estimation of Real Options Models by : Andrea Gamba
Download or read book Structural Estimation of Real Options Models written by Andrea Gamba and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a numerical approach for structural estimation of a class of Discrete (Markov) Decision Processes emerging in real options applications. The approach is specifically designed to account for two typical features of aggregate data sets in real options: the endogeneity of firms' decisions; the unobserved heterogeneity of firms. The approach extends the Nested Fixed Point algorithm by Rust (1987,1988) because both the nested optimization algorithm and the integration over the distribution of the unobserved heterogeneity are accommodated using a simulation method based on a polynomial approximation of the value function and on recursive least squares estimation of the coefficients. The Monte Carlo study shows that omitting unobserved heterogeneity produces a significant estimation bias because the model can be highly non-linear with respect to the parameters.
Book Synopsis Real Options Theory by : Jeffrey J. Reuer
Download or read book Real Options Theory written by Jeffrey J. Reuer and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2007-07-05 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examines the ways in which real options theory can contribute to strategic management. This volume offers conceptual pieces that trace out pathways for the theory to move forward and presents research on the implications of real options for strategic investment, organization, and firm performance.
Book Synopsis Real Options Analysis by : Johnathan Mun
Download or read book Real Options Analysis written by Johnathan Mun and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-07-02 with total page 603 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Mun demystifies real options analysis and delivers a powerful, pragmatic guide for decision-makers and practitioners alike. Finally, there is a book that equips professionals to easily recognize, value, and seize real options in the world around them." --Jim Schreckengast, Senior VP, R&D Strategy, Gemplus International SA, France Completely revised and updated to meet the challenges of today's dynamic business environment, Real Options Analysis, Second Edition offers you a fresh look at evaluating capital investment strategies by taking the strategic decision-making process into consideration. This comprehensive guide provides both a qualitative and quantitative description of real options; the methods used in solving real options; why and when they are used; and the applicability of these methods in decision making.
Book Synopsis Real Options Analysis Course by : Johnathan Mun
Download or read book Real Options Analysis Course written by Johnathan Mun and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-04-15 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Real Options Analysis Course "Dr. Mun's latest book is a logical extension of the theory and application presented in Real Options Analysis. More specifically, the Real Options Analysis Course presents numerous real options examples and provides the reader with step-by-step problem-solving techniques. After having read the book, readers will better understand the underlying theory and the opportunities for applying real option theory in corporate decision-making." -Chris D. Treharne, President, Gibraltar Business Appraisals, Inc. "This text provides an excellent follow up to Dr. Mun's first book, Real Options Analysis. The cases in Real Options Analysis Course provide numerous examples of how the use of real options and the Real Options Analysis Toolkit software can assist in the valuation of strategic and managerial flexibility in a variety of arenas." -Charles T. Hardy, PhD, Chief Financial Officer & Director of Business Development, Panorama Research, Inc. "Most of us come to real options from the perspective of our own areas of expertise. Mun's great skill with this book is in making real options analysis understandable, relevant, and immediately applicable to the field within which you are working." -Robert Fourt, Partner, Gerald Eve (UK) "Mun provides a practical step-by-step guide to applying simulation and real options analysis-invaluable to those of us who are no longer satisfied with conventional valuation approaches alone." -Fred Kohli, Head of Portfolio Management, Syngenta Crop Protection Ltd. (Switzerland)
Book Synopsis Option Pricing and Estimation of Financial Models with R by : Stefano M. Iacus
Download or read book Option Pricing and Estimation of Financial Models with R written by Stefano M. Iacus and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-02-23 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents inference and simulation of stochastic process in the field of model calibration for financial times series modelled by continuous time processes and numerical option pricing. Introduces the bases of probability theory and goes on to explain how to model financial times series with continuous models, how to calibrate them from discrete data and further covers option pricing with one or more underlying assets based on these models. Analysis and implementation of models goes beyond the standard Black and Scholes framework and includes Markov switching models, Lévy models and other models with jumps (e.g. the telegraph process); Topics other than option pricing include: volatility and covariation estimation, change point analysis, asymptotic expansion and classification of financial time series from a statistical viewpoint. The book features problems with solutions and examples. All the examples and R code are available as an additional R package, therefore all the examples can be reproduced.
Book Synopsis Empirical Testing of Real Option Pricing Models by : Laura J. Quigg
Download or read book Empirical Testing of Real Option Pricing Models written by Laura J. Quigg and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Real Options Valuation by : Marcus Schulmerich
Download or read book Real Options Valuation written by Marcus Schulmerich and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-08-03 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After the ?rst edition of this book was published in early 2005, the world has changed dramatically and at a pace never seen before. The changes that - curred in 2008 and 2009 were completely unthinkable two years before. These changes took place not only in the Finance sector, the origin of the crisis, but also, as a result, in other economic sectors like the automotive sector. Governments now own substantial parts, if not majorities, in banks or other companies which recorded losses of double digit billions of USD in 2008. 2008 saw the collapse of leading stand-alone U. S. investment banks. In many co- tries interest rates fell close to zero. What has happend? While the economy showed strong growth in 2004 to 2006, the Subprime or Credit Crisis changed the picture completely. What started in the U. S. ho- ing market in late 2006 became a full-?edged global ?nancial crisis and has a?ected ?nancial markets around the world. A decline in U. S. house prices and increasing interest rates caused a higher rate of subprime mortgage delinqu- cies in the U. S. and, due to the wide distribution of securitized assets, had a negative e?ect on other markets. As a result, markets realized that risks had been underestimated and volatility increased. This development culminated in the bankruptcy of the investment bank Lehman Brothers in mid September 2008.
Book Synopsis Estimating Parameters of Short-Term Real Interest Rate Models by : Mr.Vadim Khramov
Download or read book Estimating Parameters of Short-Term Real Interest Rate Models written by Mr.Vadim Khramov and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-17 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper sheds light on a narrow but crucial question in finance: What should be the parameters of a model of the short-term real interest rate? Although models for the nominal interest rate are well studied and estimated, dynamics of the real interest rate are rarely explored. Simple ad hoc processes for the short-term real interest rate are usually assumed as building blocks for more sophisticated models. In this paper, parameters of the real interest rate model are estimated in the broad class of single-factor interest rate diffusion processes on U.S. monthly data. It is shown that the elasticity of interest rate volatility—the relationship between the volatility of changes in the interest rate and its level—plays a crucial role in explaining real interest rate dynamics. The empirical estimates of the elasticity of the real interest rate volatility are found to be about 0.5, much lower than that of the nominal interest rate. These estimates show that the square root process, as in the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, provides a good characterization of the short-term real interest rate process.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Models and Structural Estimation in Corporate Finance by : Ilya A. Strebulaev
Download or read book Dynamic Models and Structural Estimation in Corporate Finance written by Ilya A. Strebulaev and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 159 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We review the last two decades of research in dynamic corporate finance, focusing on capital structure and the financing of investment. We first cover continuous time contingent claims models, starting with real options models, and working through static and dynamic capital structure models. We then move on to corporate financing models based on discrete-time dynamic investment problems. We cover the basic model with no financing, as well as more elaborate models that include features such as costly external finance, cash holding, and both safe and risky debt. For all the models, we offer a minimalist, simplified presentation with a great deal of intuition. Throughout, we show how these models can answer questions concerning the effects of financial constraints on investment, the level of corporate leverage, the speed of adjustment of leverage to its target, and market timing, among others. Finally, we review and explain structural estimation of corporate finance models.
Book Synopsis The Hazard Rate of Foreign Direct Investment by : Carlo Altomonte
Download or read book The Hazard Rate of Foreign Direct Investment written by Carlo Altomonte and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The hazard rate of investment is derived within a real option model, and its properties are analyzed in order to directly study the relation between uncertainty and investment. Maximum likelihood estimates of the hazard are calculated using a sample of MNEs that have invested in Central and Eastern Europe over the period 1990-1998. Employing a standard, non-parametric specification of the hazard, our measure of uncertainty has a negative effect on investment, but the reduced-form model is unable to control for nonlinearities in the relationship. The structural estimation of the option-based hazard is instead able to account for the non-linearities and exhibits a significant value of waiting, though the latter is independent from our measure of uncertainty. This finding supports the existence of alternative channels through which uncertainty can affect investment.
Book Synopsis Real Options and Investment Under Uncertainty by : Eduardo S. Schwartz
Download or read book Real Options and Investment Under Uncertainty written by Eduardo S. Schwartz and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 890 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of investment under uncertainty was stagnant for several decades until developments in real options revitalized the field. The topics covered in this book include the reasons behind the under-investment programme.
Book Synopsis Volatility Surface and Term Structure by : Kin Keung Lai
Download or read book Volatility Surface and Term Structure written by Kin Keung Lai and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-09-11 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides different financial models based on options to predict underlying asset price and design the risk hedging strategies. Authors of the book have made theoretical innovation to these models to enable the models to be applicable to real market. The book also introduces risk management and hedging strategies based on different criterions. These strategies provide practical guide for real option trading. This book studies the classical stochastic volatility and deterministic volatility models. For the former, the classical Heston model is integrated with volatility term structure. The correlation of Heston model is considered to be variable. For the latter, the local volatility model is improved from experience of financial practice. The improved local volatility surface is then used for price forecasting. VaR and CVaR are employed as standard criterions for risk management. The options trading strategies are also designed combining different types of options and they have been proven to be profitable in real market. This book is a combination of theory and practice. Users will find the applications of these financial models in real market to be effective and efficient.
Book Synopsis Monte Carlo Estimation of Project Volatility for Real Options Analysis by : Pedro Godinho
Download or read book Monte Carlo Estimation of Project Volatility for Real Options Analysis written by Pedro Godinho and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volatility is a fundamental parameter for option valuation. Real options models require project volatility, which is very hard to estimate accurately because there is usually no historical data for the underlying asset. I analyze the procedures for applying the Monte Carlo method, and conclude that these procedures lead to an upward bias in the volatility estimate. I propose different procedures that will provide better results. I also discuss the business consequences of using upwardly biased volatility estimates in real options analysis.
Author :Johnathan Mun Publisher :Createspace Independent Publishing Platform ISBN 13 :9781530075119 Total Pages :694 pages Book Rating :4.0/5 (751 download)
Book Synopsis Real Options Analysis (Third Edition) by : Johnathan Mun
Download or read book Real Options Analysis (Third Edition) written by Johnathan Mun and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2016-01-30 with total page 694 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tools and Techniques for Valuing Strategic Investments and Decisions with Integrated Risk Management and Advanced Quantitative Decision Analytics
Book Synopsis Deep Structural Estimation: with an Application to Option Pricing by : Hui Chen
Download or read book Deep Structural Estimation: with an Application to Option Pricing written by Hui Chen and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Comparative Study of Real Options Valuation Methods by : Shuichi Masunaga (S.M.)
Download or read book A Comparative Study of Real Options Valuation Methods written by Shuichi Masunaga (S.M.) and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It has been expected that the option valuation theory will play a much more significant role in the real estate analysis. However, potentially because of the need for understanding the advanced financial theories, the real options analysis has not been fully used in the real world. In order to attack this problem, it is highly desired to create a more practical and easily understandable calculation model for valuing flexibility. With the increasing computational power of today, an interesting approach to valuing flexibility arises from the field of engineering systems. This approach does not require the understanding of advanced financial theories, and aims to assess the value of flexibility built into the project design. Although the perspective of this approach may be slightly different from that of traditional real options valuation approach, this approach might be an alternative method as a simpler model for valuing flexibility. The comparative study of the economics-based approach and the engineering-based approach revealed that the latter approach has one critical problem in estimating the value of flexibility; the usage of a single risk-adjusted discount rate leads to either underestimation or overestimation of the real options value. Based on the results of a case study, this thesis proposes to use the engineering-based approach together with the economics-based approach. With its ability of comprehensive analysis and graphic presentation, the engineering-based approach has a great probability to make it easier for average practitioners to intuitively understand the value of flexibility.
