State Dependence in Brand, Store, and Category Choice

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (138 download)

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Book Synopsis State Dependence in Brand, Store, and Category Choice by : Julia Levine

Download or read book State Dependence in Brand, Store, and Category Choice written by Julia Levine and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Across a wide variety of contexts, people who have experienced an event are more likely toexperience that event in the future. This empirical regularity, hereafter referred to as state dependence, has two explanations, each with its own set of policy and managerial implications. One explanation, known as structural state dependence, is that the experience of an event alters the preferences or constraints that an individual would hold for that event in the future. A second explanation, spurious state dependence, is that people differ along some unobservable propensity to experience an event. For example, people that become unemployed once are more likely to be unemployed in the future. The structural explanation for this phenomenon is that unemployment has a sustained effect on the probability of future unemployment, while the spurious explanation argues that individuals vary on some unobservable variable, such as work ethic or skill set, that affects their probability of becoming unemployed at any time. These explanations have different implications: if state dependence is structural, short-term policies reducing unemployment can have large long-run effects. This dissertation aims to explore the effects of structural state dependence in three contexts: brand choice, store choice, and category consumption. Using techniques in causal inference and structural modelling, and a rich database of transactiondata, I find that structural state dependence 1) has no effect on brand choice in consumer packaged goods, 2) has a strong effect on where people shop for groceries, impacting nutritional intake, and 3) drives consumption in addictive categories to varying extents. These findings give us a better understanding of why brand choice persists over time, why nutritional intake varies drastically across demographic groups, and how cigarette types vary in their addictive and habit-forming properties.

The Impact of Switching Stores on State Dependence in Brand Choice

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Switching Stores on State Dependence in Brand Choice by : Raphael Thomadsen

Download or read book The Impact of Switching Stores on State Dependence in Brand Choice written by Raphael Thomadsen and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper demonstrates that brand-level state dependence is affected by the store at which a consumer shops. The classic structural state dependence literature models inertia in brand choice by assuming that consumers experience an extra boost in utility from consuming the products they last purchased. We demonstrate that the level of inertia depends on the context in which the purchase was made, which suggests that a richer decision process is driving the state dependence. Specifically, we find that consumers exhibit more state dependence if they shop at the same store that they previously patronized as compared to if they switch to a different store. This result replicates across 14 diverse consumer packaged goods (CPG) supermarket categories, and on-average across categories, the level of state dependence when the customer switches stores is about two-thirds of the level of state dependence when the customer patronizes the same store. This difference in same vs. different store state dependence translates into an additional willingness-to-pay for a product equal to 8% of the product's price. When consumers switch back to a store they previously visited, both the brand purchased on the last shopping occasion (at the different store) and the brand purchased the last time the consumer was at the store they are currently patronizing influence the consumer's decisions, but the consumer is more influenced by the last purchase they made at the particular store they are currently patronizing. We conclude by discussing possible theories behind the results.

Identifying State Dependence in Brand Choice

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (127 download)

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Book Synopsis Identifying State Dependence in Brand Choice by : Julia Levine

Download or read book Identifying State Dependence in Brand Choice written by Julia Levine and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze structural state dependence in brand choice using variation from brand switching during stock-outs caused by hurricanes. We derive a simple test for structural state dependence based on the time-series of choice persistence for households affected by the stock-outs that requires fewer assumptions than most previous work. Using data from the bottled water category, we show that demand increases substantially around hurricane events and causes households to purchase different brands. We find that purchase behavior reverts back to its pre-hurricane trajectory immediately after the hurricane and we are not able to reject the null hypothesis of no structural state dependence. We show that our results are not driven by unusual purchases during the hurricane or context-specific purchase behavior.

Essays on Dynamic Consumers' Brand Choice

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 85 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (114 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Dynamic Consumers' Brand Choice by : Nahyeon Bak

Download or read book Essays on Dynamic Consumers' Brand Choice written by Nahyeon Bak and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation is a collection of essays on consumer's state dependent choice. In many consumers packaged goods markets, consumer's brand choice is highly persistent because of state dependence where past choice directly influence present choice. Chapter I investigates why consumer choices show state dependence by testing two competing theories: learning and switching costs. To test them, I used a Nielsen consumer panel data set including a long history of repeated purchases by 28,724 households from 2006-2015. Reduced form estimates suggest that the results align with learning, but not switching costs. I also find the only the first and second brand experiences affect present choice. In Chapter II, consistent with reduced-form analysis, I hypothesize that under learning behavior, if consumers try a new brand, consumers are likely to choose a smaller size than before because of uncertainty on product information, if not, consumers are likely to choose a bigger size than before because of lower price per unit with a bigger size. However, under switching cost behavior, consumers size choice will not be affected by brand switching decision. To test this causal relationship between brand switching decision and size choice, I adopt double machine learning method. Compared to previous reduced-form analysis, double machine learning model specifies a set of control variables without human judgement and it provides a causal parameter. Also, compared to naive or prediction based machine learning models, it overcomes the regularization bias by using Neyman orthogonality and over-fitting problems by using sample splitting method. As a result, I find that consumer's new trial on a brand leads to choose a smaller size choice than before where it supports learning behavior, not switching costs behavior. These reduced form studies of Chapter I and II motivate structural approaches to empirical modeling. Chapter III tests the two competing theories with a structural demand model that incorporated variety-seeking behavior. Previous studies failed to explain how states affect two decisions: not only persistent brand choice, but also brand switching that usually variety-seeker have shown. To incorporate these decisions, I develop a dynamic panel demand model with multiple discreteness choices for estimating preferences where some consumers switch brand frequently even most consumers show persistent brand choice. I first find that consumers learn fast, which disputes previous slowdown learning models such as Bayesian learning. Second, state dependence of consumer choice diminishes with time elapsed from each purchase. These findings are robust to controlling variety seeking behavior or not. Combining Chapter I, II, and III, I conclude that with the assumption on myopic consumers, because of learning behavior, consumers show persistent brand choice in the initial shopping period, but as they exposure to the same brands again and again, they become satiated the brand. In other words, consumers show diminishing marginal utility over quantity consumed. Therefore, consumers switch a brand.

A Proposal to Distinguish State Dependence and Unobserved Heterogeneity in Binary Brand Choice Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (434 download)

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Book Synopsis A Proposal to Distinguish State Dependence and Unobserved Heterogeneity in Binary Brand Choice Models by : José María Labeaga Azcona

Download or read book A Proposal to Distinguish State Dependence and Unobserved Heterogeneity in Binary Brand Choice Models written by José María Labeaga Azcona and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Two Essays on the Implications of Demand State Dependence on Pricing Decisions

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (779 download)

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Book Synopsis Two Essays on the Implications of Demand State Dependence on Pricing Decisions by : Polykarpos Pavlidis

Download or read book Two Essays on the Implications of Demand State Dependence on Pricing Decisions written by Polykarpos Pavlidis and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Marketing strategies that firms adopt are based on consumers' response in the marketplace when they face and interact with these strategies. This dissertation examines the tendency of consumers to repeat their last purchase choices and the implications of this type of behavior on pricing related strategies of consumer packaged goods brand manufacturers. The first essay is a theory based empirical investigation about the commonly observed practice of brands offering temporary price promotions. There have been many theories that attempt to explain the popularity of price promotions as a marketing tool but with very few exceptions they are disconnected from choice dynamics. We examine the empirical support of a recent theory that connects price promotions with demand state dependence. In our investigation we measure how much each brand benefits from the consumers' tendency to repeat purchase and we examine the connection between this measure (AMEL) and the brands' price promotional frequencies. Our extensive sample includes all major brands from twenty product categories of frequently purchased goods and twenty stores in two separate geographical markets. Our empirical model accounts explicitly for the dependence of price promotions on demand response and vice versa. In summary, we find significant and robust evidence that brands which gainmore from consumers' repeat purchase behavior are offered on promotion formore weeks on average. We also demonstrate the value of our proposed estimation algorithm over simpler, two-step, approaches. In the second essay we examine consumers' state dependence not only to specific choice alternatives but also to parent brands that cover multiple sub-brands. Using a structural, forward looking, pricing model for multiproduct firms, we explore the implications of parent brand state dependence on equilibrium prices and firm profitability through counterfactual experiments. Empirically, we examine household level choice data from the category of yogurt and estimate state dependence to both the parent brand and the sub-brand level. We find evidence of parent brand state dependence for the category of yogurt. Its impact on the market equilibrium is to push prices downwards, because firms invest in future demand, and increase profitability of multiproduct firms, because per period demand increases"--Leaves iv-v.

Review of Marketing Research

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351550934
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (515 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of Marketing Research by : Naresh Malhotra

Download or read book Review of Marketing Research written by Naresh Malhotra and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-10-19 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First Published in 2017. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an Informa company.

A New Approach to Estimating State Dependence in Consumers' Brand Choices Applied to 762 Pharmaceutical Markets

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Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (118 download)

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Book Synopsis A New Approach to Estimating State Dependence in Consumers' Brand Choices Applied to 762 Pharmaceutical Markets by : David Granlund

Download or read book A New Approach to Estimating State Dependence in Consumers' Brand Choices Applied to 762 Pharmaceutical Markets written by David Granlund and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Review of Marketing Research

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0857247263
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (572 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of Marketing Research by : Naresh K. Malhotra

Download or read book Review of Marketing Research written by Naresh K. Malhotra and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2008-01-01 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides articles by the marketing field's leading researchers and academicians. This work includes chapters that are not only theoretically rigorous but also offer detail, including literature reviews, advanced methodologies, empirical studies, emerging trends, international developments, and guidelines for implementation.

Advances in National Brand and Private Label Marketing

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031328949
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (313 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in National Brand and Private Label Marketing by : Juan Carlos Gázquez-Abad

Download or read book Advances in National Brand and Private Label Marketing written by Juan Carlos Gázquez-Abad and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-05-19 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2023 International Conference on National Brand & Private Label Marketing is a unique academic forum to present and discuss original, rigorous, and significant contributions from researchers around the world on marketing issues facing retailers, store brand managers and national brand managers. The two-day event covered a wide range of topics from varied fields including retailing, marketing, general business, psychology, economics and statistics. The conference addressed diverse areas of application such as branding strategies, innovation in private labels, private label consumers, customer databases, Covid-19 consequences, loyalty programs, sustainability, and online grocery retailing, among others. A wide variety of theoretical and methodological approached have been used in these areas. This volume presents the proceedings of this 2023 NB&PL marketing conference in a collection of original, rigorous, and relevant contributions.

Assessing the Different Roles of Marketing Theory and Practice in the Jaws of Economic Uncertainty

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319118455
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing the Different Roles of Marketing Theory and Practice in the Jaws of Economic Uncertainty by : Harlan E. Spotts

Download or read book Assessing the Different Roles of Marketing Theory and Practice in the Jaws of Economic Uncertainty written by Harlan E. Spotts and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-11-10 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ​​This volume includes the full proceedings from the 2004 Academy of Marketing Science (AMS) Annual Conference held in Vancouver, Canada, entitled Assessing the Different Roles of Marketing Theory and Practice in the Jaws of Economic Uncertainty. It include papers aimed to create awareness of the issues, trends, and advances associated with current marketing theories and practices. Founded in 1971, the Academy of Marketing Science is an international organization dedicated to promoting timely explorations of phenomena related to the science of marketing in theory, research, and practice. Among its services to members and the community at large, the Academy offers conferences, congresses and symposia that attract delegates from around the world. Presentations from these events are published in this Proceedings series, which offers a comprehensive archive of volumes reflecting the evolution of the field. Volumes deliver cutting-edge research and insights, complementing the Academy’s flagship journals, the Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science (JAMS) and AMS Review. Volumes are edited by leading scholars and practitioners across a wide range of subject areas in marketing science.​

State-dependent Demand Estimation with Initial Conditions Correction

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (111 download)

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Book Synopsis State-dependent Demand Estimation with Initial Conditions Correction by : Andrey Simonov

Download or read book State-dependent Demand Estimation with Initial Conditions Correction written by Andrey Simonov and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the initial conditions bias in the estimation of brand choice models with structural state dependence. Using a combination of Monte Carlo simulations and empirical case studies of shopping panels, we show that popular, simple solutions that mis-specify the initial conditions are likely to lead to bias even in relatively long panel datasets. The magnitude of the bias in the state dependence parameter can be as large as a factor of 2 to 2.5. We propose a solution to the initial conditions problem that samples the initial states as auxiliary variables in an MCMC procedure. The approach assumes that the joint distribution of prices and consumer choices, and hence the distribution of initial states, is in equilibrium. This assumption is plausible for the mature consumer packaged goods products used in this and the majority of prior empirical applications. In Monte Carlo simulations, we show that the approach recovers the true parameter values even in relatively short panels. Finally, we propose a diagnostic tool that uses common, biased approaches to bound the values of the state dependence and construct a computationally light test for state dependence.

JMR, Journal of Marketing Research

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 570 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis JMR, Journal of Marketing Research by :

Download or read book JMR, Journal of Marketing Research written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 570 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The History Of Marketing Science

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814596493
Total Pages : 529 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (145 download)

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Book Synopsis The History Of Marketing Science by : Russell S Winer

Download or read book The History Of Marketing Science written by Russell S Winer and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2014-06-27 with total page 529 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of marketing science has a rich history of modeling marketing phenomena using the disciplines of economics, statistics, operations research, and other related fields. Since it is roughly 50 years from its origins, The History of Marketing Science is a timely review of the accomplishments of marketing scientists in a number of research areas.Different research areas of marketing science, such as Pricing, Internet Marketing, Diffusion Models, and Advertising, are treated to a highly readable and easy-to-digest historical analysis by the contributing authors. Each chapter provides a chronological timeline of key historical developments in the area of marketing science covered. Readers of other disciplinary backgrounds outside of economics, statistics, and operations research will be more than able to appreciate the development of marketing science as a field of research and its pioneers through the book.

Disentangling Preferences and Learning in Brand Choice Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (839 download)

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Book Synopsis Disentangling Preferences and Learning in Brand Choice Models by : Sangwoo Shin

Download or read book Disentangling Preferences and Learning in Brand Choice Models written by Sangwoo Shin and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Active Versus Passive Loyalty

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Active Versus Passive Loyalty by : Nitin Mehta

Download or read book Active Versus Passive Loyalty written by Nitin Mehta and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We offer an econometric framework that models a consumer's brand choice decision as a two-stage process: consideration set formation followed by brand selection from the brands in the consideration set. The proposed structural model of consideration set is motivated by the fact that consumers have limited information-acquisition ability. In the context of frequently purchased products (FPPs), since these product categories are characterized by frequent price promotion of varying depths of discount, a consumer faces significant uncertainty about the net utilities associated with the different brands. Thus, while a consumer might know the range of potential prices, she is unaware of the actual posted price of a brand on any given purchase occasion unless she engages in pre-evaluation price search. Since information acquisition is costly, she needs to first decide how many and which brands to search the posted prices of. In the proposed framework, the process of pre-evaluation price search is conceptualized as "brand consideration" and the set of sampled brands is referred to as the consumer's "consideration set". A distinctive feature of the proposed specification is that it allows us to distinguish between two sources of state dependence - viz., passive and active brand loyalty. In this conceptualization, passive brand loyalty refers to state dependence arising out of "consumer lock-in" as a result of high search cost. Thus, a passively loyal consumer repeatedly buys the same brand over successive purchase occasions because her cost of searching the posted prices of other brands is very high i.e. her optimal consideration set does not include any other brand. In contrast, active brand loyalty refers to state dependence arising out of a high intrinsic preference for the selected brand. Thus, while an actively loyal consumer considers more than the selected brand on any purchase occasion (because her search costs are low), she nonetheless buys the same brand because of her high intrinsic preference for the brand. Our key theoretical results are as follows: (i) relative to low price sensitive consumers, high price sensitive consumers have larger consideration sets; (ii) the intensity of consumer search is higher in product categories characterized by greater price variability. Thus, more frequent price promotions with deep discounts lead to large consideration sets; and, (iii) a consumer does not stay in the state of inertia for long. In the case of a passively loyal consumer, we will observe phases of inertia followed by a brand switching that in turn is followed by another spell of inertia. We use scanner panel data for liquid detergents to empirically validate the model. The key empirical results are as follows: (i) there are significant search costs that consumers incur in discovering the actual posted prices of the brands at the store. This implies that consumers do not consider (i.e. search the posted prices of) all the brands on a shopping trip; (ii) in-store display activities and feature ads reduce consumer search costs for a brand thereby significantly increasing the probability of the brand being considered. Feature advertising reduces the search costs more than in-store displays; (iii) prior consumption influence quality perception of a brand for both liquid detergents and ketchup categories. However, consumption experience yield only limited additional quality information; and, (iv) estimates of price sensitivity critically depend on whether the specification explicitly models consideration stage. In particular, a model that assumes that consumers search all the brands on all purchase occasions seriously underestimates the impact of price on brand choice decision. We also conduct a limited cross-category analysis using ketchup data set and find several interesting differences in consumer price search behavior across the two product categories analyzed.

AI and Analytics for Smart Cities and Service Systems

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030902757
Total Pages : 413 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis AI and Analytics for Smart Cities and Service Systems by : Robin Qiu

Download or read book AI and Analytics for Smart Cities and Service Systems written by Robin Qiu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-11 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book showcases state-of-the-art advances in service science and related fields of research, education, and practice. It presents emerging technologies and applications in contexts ranging from healthcare, energy, finance, and information technology to transportation, sports, logistics, and public services. Regardless of its size and service, every service organization is a service system. Due to the socio-technical nature of service systems, a systems approach must be adopted in order to design, develop and deliver services aimed at meeting end users’ utilitarian and socio-psychological needs alike. Understanding services and service systems often requires combining multiple methods to consider how interactions between people, technologies, organizations and information create value under various conditions. The papers in this volume highlight a host of ways to approach these challenges in service science and are based on submissions to the 2021 INFORMS Conference on Service Science.