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Spatial Aggregation And Regional Economic Forecasting
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Book Synopsis Spatial Aggregation and Regional Economic Forecasting by : Jon R. Miller
Download or read book Spatial Aggregation and Regional Economic Forecasting written by Jon R. Miller and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research examines the effect of spatial aggregation on the accuracy of regional economic forecasts. Literature in econometrics, business forecasting, regional economic forecasting, spatial econometrics, and spatial time series analysis suggests that the issue is far from settled at either the theoretical or empirical levels. Univariate time series analysis is used to generate both state-level and sub-state regional forecasts of monthly total employment in the State of Idaho and its economic sub-regions. All spatial aggregation methods provide accurate forecasts, but direct state-level forecasts, and disaggregation of state-level forecasts to the sub-state level are slightly more accurate than more directly disaggregated approaches. As state-level data are often subject to less measurement error, and are also more complete and timely, this result should be encouraging to regional forecasting practitioners.
Book Synopsis Spatial Data Configuration in Statistical Analysis of Regional Economic and Related Problems by : Giuseppe Arbia
Download or read book Spatial Data Configuration in Statistical Analysis of Regional Economic and Related Problems written by Giuseppe Arbia and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Figure 1. 1. Map of Great Britain at two different scale levels. (a) Counties, (b)Regions. '-. " Figure 1. 2. Two alternative aggregations of the Italian provincie in 32 larger areas 4 CHAPTER 1 d . , b) Figure 1. 3 Percentage of votes of the Communist Party in the 1987 Italian political elections (a) and percentage of population over 75 years (b) in 1981 Italian Census in 32 polling districts. The polling districts with values above the average are shaded. Figure 1. 4: First order neighbours (a) and second order neighbours (b) of a reference area. INTRODUCTION 5 While there are several other problems relating to the analysis of areal data, the problem of estimating a spatial correlO!J'am merits special attention. The concept of the correlogram has been borrowed in the spatial literature from the time series analysis. Figure l. 4. a shows the first-order neighbours of a reference area, while Figure 1. 4. b displays the second-order neighbours of the same area. Higher-order neighbours can be defined in a similar fashion. While it is clear that the dependence is strongest between immediate neighbouring areas a certain degree of dependence may be present among higher-order neighbours. This has been shown to be an alternative way of look ing at the sca le problem (Cliff and Ord, 1981, p. l 23). However, unlike the case of a time series where each observation depends only on past observations, here dependence extends in all directions.
Book Synopsis Aggregation of Regional Economic Time Series with Different Spatial Correlation Structures by : Giuseppe Arbia
Download or read book Aggregation of Regional Economic Time Series with Different Spatial Correlation Structures written by Giuseppe Arbia and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Regional Research Frontiers - Vol. 2 by : Randall Jackson
Download or read book Regional Research Frontiers - Vol. 2 written by Randall Jackson and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-04-17 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the second volume in a two-part series on frontiers in regional research. It identifies methodological advances as well as trends and future developments in regional systems modelling and open science. Building on recent methodological and modelling advances, as well as on extensive policy-analysis experience, top international regional scientists identify and evaluate emerging new conceptual and methodological trends and directions in regional research. Topics such as dynamic interindustry modelling, computable general equilibrium models, exploratory spatial data analysis, geographic information science, spatial econometrics and other advanced methods are the central focus of this book. The volume provides insights into the latest developments in object orientation, open source, and workflow systems, all in support of open science. It will appeal to a wide readership, from regional scientists and economists to geographers, quantitatively oriented regional planners and other related disciplines. It offers a source of relevant information for academic researchers and policy analysts in government, and is also suitable for advanced teaching courses on regional and spatial science, economics and political science.
Author :Esteban Fernández Vázquez Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :3642319947 Total Pages :333 pages Book Rating :4.6/5 (423 download)
Book Synopsis Defining the Spatial Scale in Modern Regional Analysis by : Esteban Fernández Vázquez
Download or read book Defining the Spatial Scale in Modern Regional Analysis written by Esteban Fernández Vázquez and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-01-11 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores different approaches to defining the concept of region depending on the specific question that needs to be answered. While the typical administrative spatial data division fits certain research questions well, in many cases, defining regions in a different way is fundamental in order to obtain significant empirical evidence. The book is divided into three parts: The first part is dedicated to a methodological discussion of the concept of region and the different potential approaches from different perspectives. The problem of having sufficient information to define different regional units is always present. This justifies the second part of the book, which focuses on the techniques of ecological inference applied to estimating disaggregated data from observable aggregates. Finally, the book closes by presenting several applications that are in line with the functional areas definition in regional analysis.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Innovations by : Peter Hingley
Download or read book Forecasting Innovations written by Peter Hingley and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-23 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a practical guide to solutions for forecasting demand for services and products in international markets - and much more than just a listing of dry theoretical methods. Leading experts present studies on improving methods for forecasting numbers of incoming patent filings at the European Patent Office. These are reviewed by practitioners of the existing methods, revealing that it may not always be wise to trust established regression approaches.
Book Synopsis Globalization and Regional Economic Modeling by : Russel Cooper
Download or read book Globalization and Regional Economic Modeling written by Russel Cooper and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-09-23 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Globalization affects regional economies in a broad spectrum of aspects, from labor market conditions and development policies to climate change. This volume, written by an international cast of eminent regional scientists, provides new tools for analyzing the enormous changes in regional economies due to globalization. It offers timely conceptual refinements for regional analysis.
Book Synopsis Applied Spatial Statistics and Econometrics by : Katarzyna Kopczewska
Download or read book Applied Spatial Statistics and Econometrics written by Katarzyna Kopczewska and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-11-25 with total page 725 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook is a comprehensive introduction to applied spatial data analysis using R. Each chapter walks the reader through a different method, explaining how to interpret the results and what conclusions can be drawn. The author team showcases key topics, including unsupervised learning, causal inference, spatial weight matrices, spatial econometrics, heterogeneity and bootstrapping. It is accompanied by a suite of data and R code on Github to help readers practise techniques via replication and exercises. This text will be a valuable resource for advanced students of econometrics, spatial planning and regional science. It will also be suitable for researchers and data scientists working with spatial data.
Book Synopsis Multiregional Economic Modeling by : Boris Issaev
Download or read book Multiregional Economic Modeling written by Boris Issaev and published by North Holland. This book was released on 1982 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Spatial Filtering and Eigenvector Stability by : Roberto Patuelli
Download or read book Spatial Filtering and Eigenvector Stability written by Roberto Patuelli and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regions, independent of their geographic level of aggregation, are known to be interrelated partly due to their relative locations. Similar economic performance among regions can be attributed to proximity. Consequently, a proper understanding, and accounting, of spatial liaisons is needed in order to effectively forecast regional economic variables. Several spatial econometric techniques are available in the literature, which deal with the spatial autocorrelation in geographically-referenced data. The experiments carried out in this article are concerned with the analysis of the spatial autocorrelation observed for unemployment rates in 439 NUTS-3 German districts. We employ a semi-parametric approach - spatial filtering - in order to uncover spatial patterns that are consistently significant over time. We first provide a brief overview of the spatial filtering method and illustrate the data set. Subsequently, we describe the empirical application carried out: that is, the spatial filtering analysis of regional unemployment rates in Germany. Furthermore, we exploit the resulting spatial filter as an explanatory variable in a panel modelling framework. Additional explanatory variables, such as average daily wages, are used in concurrence with the spatial filter. Our experiments show that the computed spatial filters account for most of the residual spatial autocorrelation in the data.
Book Synopsis Regional Industrial Analysis and Development by : Geoffrey J. D. Hewings
Download or read book Regional Industrial Analysis and Development written by Geoffrey J. D. Hewings and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-09-05 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1977. This book provides an introduction to some of the more important techniques of regional analysis – techniques derived from geographical, regional economic and regional science theory – and describes the way some of these techniques have been applied in the identification of problems, development of strategy and evaluation of regional programmes. The theory and applications of methods of regional analysis are integrated with the use of examples taken from the USA, the UK and Canada. The author introduces the problems which are encountered in the field of regional analysis, describes some of the analytical tools, beginning with the fundamental model of the economic base approach, and then examines regional flows and the applicability of international trade theory to interregional trade. Considering the shortcomings of the aggregated base approach, input-output analysis is also examined.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics by : P. Nijkamp
Download or read book Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics written by P. Nijkamp and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1986 with total page 728 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This second volume of the Handbook presents professional surveys of all the important topics in urban economics. The first section contains 6 surveys on locational analysis, the second, 5 surveys of specific urban markets, and the third part presents 5 surveys of government policy issues. The book brings together exhaustive research by distinguished scholars from many countries. It is the only complete survey volume of urban economics and should serve as a reference volume to scholars and graduate students for many years. For more information on the Handbooks in Economics series, please see our home page on http://www.elsevier.nl/locate/hes--
Book Synopsis Regional Analysis and Regional Policy by : William H. Miernyk
Download or read book Regional Analysis and Regional Policy written by William H. Miernyk and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Spatial Econometrics by : Giuseppe Arbia
Download or read book Spatial Econometrics written by Giuseppe Arbia and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-11-14 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Spatial Econometrics is a rapidly evolving field born from the joint efforts of economists, statisticians, econometricians and regional scientists. The book provides the reader with a broad view of the topic by including both methodological and application papers. Indeed the application papers relate to a number of diverse scientific fields ranging from hedonic models of house pricing to demography, from health care to regional economics, from the analysis of R&D spillovers to the study of retail market spatial characteristics. Particular emphasis is given to regional economic applications of spatial econometrics methods with a number of contributions specifically focused on the spatial concentration of economic activities and agglomeration, regional paths of economic growth, regional convergence of income and productivity and the evolution of regional employment. Most of the papers appearing in this book were solicited from the International Workshop on Spatial Econometrics and Statistics held in Rome (Italy) in 2006.
Book Synopsis Regional Economics by : Harry W. Richardson
Download or read book Regional Economics written by Harry W. Richardson and published by Springer. This book was released on 1970-11-26 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Science of Cities and Regions by : Alan Wilson
Download or read book The Science of Cities and Regions written by Alan Wilson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-01-05 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A ‘science of cities and regions’ is critical for meeting future challenges. The world is urbanising: huge cities are being created and are continuing to grow rapidly. There are many planning and development issues arising in different manifestations in countries across the globe. These developments can, in principle, be simulated through mathematical computer models which provide tools for forecasting and testing future scenarios and plans. These models can represent the functioning of cities and regions, predicting the spatial demography and the economy, the main flows such as journey to work or to services, and the mechanisms of future evolution. In this book, the main principles involved in the design of this range of models are articulated, providing an account of the current state of the art as well as future research challenges. Alan Wilson has over forty years working with urban and regional models and has contributed important discoveries. He has distilled this experience into what serves as both an introduction and a review of the research frontier. Topics covered include the Lowry model, the retail model, principles of account-based models and the methods rooted in Boltzmann-style statistical modelling and the Lotka-Volterra approach to system evolution. Applications range from urban and regional planning to wars and epidemics.
Book Synopsis Spatial Filtering and Eigenvector Stability: Space-time Model for German Unemployment Data by :
Download or read book Spatial Filtering and Eigenvector Stability: Space-time Model for German Unemployment Data written by and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regions, independent of their geographic level of aggregation, are known to be interrelated partly due to their relative locations. Similar economic performance among regions can be attributed to proximity. Consequently, a proper understanding, and accounting, of spatial liaisons is needed in order to effectively forecast regional economic variables. Several spatial econometric techniques are available in the literature, which deal with the spatial autocorrelation in geographically-referenced data. The experiments carried out in this paper are concerned with the analysis of the spatial autocorrelation observed for unemployment rates in 439 NUTS-3 German districts. We employ a semi-parametric approach - spatial filtering - in order to uncover spatial patterns that are consistently significant over time. We first provide a brief overview of the spatial filtering method and illustrate the data set. Subsequently, we describe the empirical application carried out: that is, the spatial filtering analysis of regional unemployment rates in Germany. Furthermore, we exploit the resulting spatial filter as an explanatory variable in a panel modelling framework. Additional explanatory variables, such as average daily wages, are used in concurrence with the spatial filter. Our experiments show that the computed spatial filters account for most of the residual spatial autocorrelation in the data.
