Sovereign Risk And Deposit Dynamics

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Sovereign Risk and Deposit Dynamics

Author : Mr.David A. Grigorian
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498381839
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Risk and Deposit Dynamics by : Mr.David A. Grigorian

Download or read book Sovereign Risk and Deposit Dynamics written by Mr.David A. Grigorian and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-07-22 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The unprecedented expansion of sovereign balance sheets since the global financial crisis has given a new meaning to the term sovereign risk. Developments in Europe since early 2010 presented new challenges for the functioning of private banks in an environment of heightened sovereign risk. This paper uses an innovative way of measuring the perception of sovereign risk and its impact on deposit dynamics during 2006–11. Using an extension of a common market discipline framework, it shows that exposure to sovereign risk may have limited the ability of banks in Europe to attract deposits. The results are robust to inclusion of conventional measures of bank performance and the sector-wide holdings of foreign sovereign debt.

Sovereign Risk and Deposit Dynamics

Author : David Grigorian
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Risk and Deposit Dynamics by : David Grigorian

Download or read book Sovereign Risk and Deposit Dynamics written by David Grigorian and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The unprecedented expansion of sovereign balance sheets since the global financial crisis has given a new meaning to the term sovereign risk. Developments in Europe since early 2010 presented new challenges for the functioning of private banks in an environment of heightened sovereign risk. This paper uses an innovative way of measuring the perception of sovereign risk and its impact on deposit dynamics during 2006-11. Using an extension of a common market discipline framework, it shows that exposure to sovereign risk may have limited the ability of banks in Europe to attract deposits. The results are robust to inclusion of conventional measures of bank performance and the sector-wide holdings of foreign sovereign debt.

Sovereign Risk and Bank Risk-Taking

Author : Mr.Anil Ari
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148433356X
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Risk and Bank Risk-Taking by : Mr.Anil Ari

Download or read book Sovereign Risk and Bank Risk-Taking written by Mr.Anil Ari and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-12-14 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I propose a dynamic general equilibrium model in which strategic interactions between banks and depositors may lead to endogenous bank fragility and slow recovery from crises. When banks' investment decisions are not contractible, depositors form expectations about bank risk-taking and demand a return on deposits according to their risk. This creates strategic complementarities and possibly multiple equilibria: in response to an increase in funding costs, banks may optimally choose to pursue risky portfolios that undermine their solvency prospects. In a bad equilibrium, high funding costs hinder the accumulation of bank net worth, leading to a persistent drop in investment and output. I bring the model to bear on the European sovereign debt crisis, in the course of which under-capitalized banks in defaultrisky countries experienced an increase in funding costs and raised their holdings of domestic government debt. The model is quantified using Portuguese data and accounts for macroeconomic dynamics in Portugal in 2010-2016. Policy interventions face a trade-off between alleviating banks' funding conditions and strengthening risk-taking incentives. Liquidity provision to banks may eliminate the good equilibrium when not targeted. Targeted interventions have the capacity to eliminate adverse equilibria.

Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus

Author : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484359623
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia

Download or read book Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.

Sovereign Risk and Bank Risk-taking

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789294720405
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (24 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Risk and Bank Risk-taking by :

Download or read book Sovereign Risk and Bank Risk-taking written by and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I propose a dynamic general equilibrium model in which strategic interactions between banks and depositors may lead to endogenous bank fragility and slow recovery from crises. When banks' ’investment decisions are not contractible, depositors form expectations about bank risk-taking and demand a return on deposits according to their risk. This creates strategic complementarities and possibly multiple equilibria: in response to an increase in funding costs, banks may optimally choose to pursue risky portfolios that undermine their solvency prospects. In a bad equilibrium, high funding costs hinder the accumulation of bank net worth, leading to a persistent drop in investment and out- put. I bring the model to bear on the European sovereign debt crisis, in the course of which under-capitalized banks in default-risky countries experienced an increase in fund- ing costs and raised their holdings of domestic government debt. The model is quanti…ed using Portuguese data and accounts for macroeconomic dynamics in Portugal in 2010- 2016. Policy interventions face a trade-off between alleviating banks’'funding conditions and strengthening risk-taking incentives. Liquidity provision to banks may eliminate the good equilibrium when not targeted. Targeted interventions have the capacity to eliminate adverse equilibria.

Sovereigns and Financial Intermediaries Spillovers

Author : Mr.Hamid R Tabarraei
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498301754
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereigns and Financial Intermediaries Spillovers by : Mr.Hamid R Tabarraei

Download or read book Sovereigns and Financial Intermediaries Spillovers written by Mr.Hamid R Tabarraei and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-02-27 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the spillover effects between sovereigns and banks in a model with a heterogeneous banking system. An increase in sovereign’s default risk affects financial intermediaries through two channels in this model. First, banks’ funding costs might increase, inducing higher interest rates on loans and bonds and a cut back in these assets. Second, financial regulator’s risk-weighted asset framework would assign higher weights to lower quality assets, implying a portfolio rebalancing and more deleveraging. While capital adequacy requirements weaken the impact of shocks emerging from the real economy, they amplify the effect of shocks on banks’ balance sheets.

Banks, Government Bonds, and Default

Author : Nicola Gennaioli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498391990
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Banks, Government Bonds, and Default by : Nicola Gennaioli

Download or read book Banks, Government Bonds, and Default written by Nicola Gennaioli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-08 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze holdings of public bonds by over 20,000 banks in 191 countries, and the role of these bonds in 20 sovereign defaults over 1998-2012. Banks hold many public bonds (on average 9% of their assets), particularly in less financially-developed countries. During sovereign defaults, banks increase their exposure to public bonds, especially large banks and when expected bond returns are high. At the bank level, bondholdings correlate negatively with subsequent lending during sovereign defaults. This correlation is mostly due to bonds acquired in pre-default years. These findings shed light on alternative theories of the sovereign default-banking crisis nexus.

Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets

Author : Vanessa Le Leslé
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475502656
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets by : Vanessa Le Leslé

Download or read book Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets written by Vanessa Le Leslé and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-03-01 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we provide an overview of the concerns surrounding the variations in the calculation of risk-weighted assets (RWAs) across banks and jurisdictions and how this might undermine the Basel III capital adequacy framework. We discuss the key drivers behind the differences in these calculations, drawing upon a sample of systemically important banks from Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific. We then discuss a range of policy options that could be explored to fix the actual and perceived problems with RWAs, and improve the use of risk-sensitive capital ratios.

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

Author :
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 9291316695
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (913 download)

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Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :

Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498342434
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-22 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores how banking sector developments and characteristics influence the propagation of risks from the banking sector to sovereign debt, including how they affect the extent of fiscal costs of banking crises when those occur. It then proposes practices and policies for the fiscal authorities to help manage the risks and enhance crisis preparedness.

This Time Is Different

Author : Carmen M. Reinhart
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691152640
Total Pages : 513 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis This Time Is Different by : Carmen M. Reinhart

Download or read book This Time Is Different written by Carmen M. Reinhart and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-08-07 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An empirical investigation of financial crises during the last 800 years.

A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks

Author : Thordur Jonasson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484350545
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks by : Thordur Jonasson

Download or read book A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks written by Thordur Jonasson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-06 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. Debt management strategies analyzed in the context of helping reach debt portfolio targets and attain desired portfolio structures. Also, the paper outlines how LMOs could be integrated into a debt management strategy and serve as policy tools to reduce potential debt portfolio vulnerabilities. Further, the paper presents operational issues faced by debt managers, including the need to develop a risk management framework, interactions of debt management with fiscal policy, monetary policy, and financial stability, as well as efficient government bond markets.

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010

Author : Mr.Udaibir S. Das
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505531
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt agreements with the Paris Club. We present new stylized facts on the outcome and process of debt restructurings, including on the size of haircuts, creditor participation, and legal aspects. In addition, the paper summarizes the relevant empirical literature, analyzes recent restructuring episodes, and discusses ongoing debates on crisis resolution mechanisms, credit default swaps, and the role of collective action clauses.

Debt Defaults and Lessons from a Decade of Crises

Author : Federico Sturzenegger
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262195534
Total Pages : 399 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (621 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Defaults and Lessons from a Decade of Crises by : Federico Sturzenegger

Download or read book Debt Defaults and Lessons from a Decade of Crises written by Federico Sturzenegger and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2007-01-05 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Detailed case studies of debt defaults by Russia, Ukraine, Pakistan, Ecuador, Moldova, and Uruguay, framed by a comprehensive discussion of the history, economic theory, legal issues, and policy lessons of sovereign debt crises. The debt crises in emerging market countries over the past decade have given rise to renewed debate about crisis prevention and resolution. In Debt Defaults and Lessons from a Decade of Crises, Federico Sturzenegger and Jeromin Zettelmeyer examine the facts, the economic theory, and the policy implications of sovereign debt crises. They present detailed case histories of the default and debt crises in seven emerging market countries between 1998 and 2005: Russia, Ukraine, Pakistan, Ecuador, Argentina, Moldova, and Uruguay. These accounts are framed with a comprehensive overview of the history, economics, and legal issues involved and a discussion from both domestic and international perspectives of the policy lessons that can be derived from these experiences. Sturzenegger and Zettelmeyer examine how each crisis developed, what the subsequent restructuring encompassed, and how investors and the defaulting country fared. They discuss the new theoretical thinking on sovereign debt and the ultimate costs entailed, for both debtor countries and private creditors. The policy debate is considered first from the perspective of policymakers in emerging market countries and then in terms of international financial architecture. The authors' surveys of legal and economic issues associated with debt crises, and of the crises themselves, are the most comprehensive to be found in the literature on sovereign debt and default, and their theoretical analysis is detailed and nuanced. The book will be a valuable resource for investors as well as for scholars and policymakers.

Why Does Bad News Increase Volatility and Decrease Leverage?

Author : Ms.Ana Fostel
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455205370
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Does Bad News Increase Volatility and Decrease Leverage? by : Ms.Ana Fostel

Download or read book Why Does Bad News Increase Volatility and Decrease Leverage? written by Ms.Ana Fostel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-09-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The literature on leverage until now shows how an increase in volatility reduces leverage. However, in order to explain pro-cyclical leverage it assumes that bad news increases volatility. This paper suggests a reason why bad news is more often than not associated with higher future volatility. We show that, in a model with endogenous leverage and heterogeneous beliefs, agents have the incentive to invest mostly in technologies that become volatile in bad times. Together with the old literature this explains pro-cyclical leverage. The result also gives rationale to the pattern of volatility smiles observed in the stock options since 1987. Finally, the paper presents for the first time a dynamic model in which an asset is endogenously traded simultaneously at different margin requirements in equilibrium.

Assessing Country Risk

Author : Mr.Ashvin Ahuja
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302567
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Country Risk by : Mr.Ashvin Ahuja

Download or read book Assessing Country Risk written by Mr.Ashvin Ahuja and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-06-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assessing country risk is a core component of surveillance at the IMF. It is conducted through a comprehensive architecture, covering both bilateral and multilateral dimensions. This note describes some of the approaches used internally by Fund staff to examine a wide array of systemic risks across advanced, emerging, and low-income economies. It provides a high-level view of the theory and methodologies employed, with an on-line companion guide providing more technical details of implementation. The guide will be updated as Fund staff’s methodologies for assessing country risk continue to evolve with experience and feedback. While the results of these approaches are not published by the IMF for market sensitivity reasons, they inform risk assessments featured in bilateral surveillance as well as in the IMF’s flagship publications on global surveillance.

U.S. Dollar Currency Premium in Corporate Bonds

Author : John Caramichael
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513579010
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis U.S. Dollar Currency Premium in Corporate Bonds by : John Caramichael

Download or read book U.S. Dollar Currency Premium in Corporate Bonds written by John Caramichael and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-07-12 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We isolate a U.S. dollar currency premium by comparing corporate bonds issued in the dollar and the euro by firms o utside t he U .S. a nd e uro a rea. We make s everal empirical observations that dissect the perceived advantage of borrowing in the dollar. First, while the dollar dominates global debt issuance, borrowing costs in the dollar are more expensive without a currency hedge and about the same with a currency hedge when compared to the euro. This observed parity in currency-hedged corporate borrowing stands in contrast to the persistent deviation from covered interest parity in risk-free rates. Second, we observe a dollar safety premium in relative hedged borrowing costs, found in the subset of bonds with high credit ratings and short maturities, attributes similar to those of safe sovereigns. Finally, we find that firms flexibly adjust the currency mix of their debt issuance depending on the relative borrowing cost between dollar and euro debt. In sum, the disproportionate demand for U.S. dollar debt is reflected in higher issuance volumes that drive up the currency hedged dollar borrowing costs such that at the margin they equate to euro borrowing costs.