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Some Policy Lessons From Country Applications Of The Dig And Dignar Models
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Book Synopsis Some Policy Lessons from Country Applications of the DIG and DIGNAR Models by : Daniel Gurara
Download or read book Some Policy Lessons from Country Applications of the DIG and DIGNAR Models written by Daniel Gurara and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-18 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past seven years, the DIG and DIGNAR models have complemented the IMF and World Bank debt sustainability framework (DSF) analysis, over 65 country applications. They have provided useful insights in the context of program and surveillance work, based on qualitative and quantitative analysis of the macroeconomic effects of public investment scaling-ups. This paper takes stock of the model applications and extensions, and extract five common policy lessons from the universe of country cases. First, improving public investment efficiency and/or raising the rate of return of public projects raises growth and lowers the risks associated with debt sustainability. Second, prudent and gradual investment scaling-ups are preferable to aggressive front-loaded ones, in terms of private sector crowding-out effects, absorptive capacity constraints, and debt sustainability risks. Third, domestic revenue mobilization helps create fiscal space for investment scaling-ups, by effectively containing public debt surges and their later-on repayments. Fourth, aid smoothens fiscal adjustments associated with public investment increases and may lower the risks of unsustainable debt. Fifth, external savings mitigate Dutch disease macroeconomic effects and serve as fiscal buffers. The paper also discusses how these models were used to estimate the quantitative macro economic effects associated with these lessons.
Book Synopsis Some Policy Lessons from Country Applications of the DIG and DIGNAR Models by : Daniel Gurara
Download or read book Some Policy Lessons from Country Applications of the DIG and DIGNAR Models written by Daniel Gurara and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-18 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past seven years, the DIG and DIGNAR models have complemented the IMF and World Bank debt sustainability framework (DSF) analysis, over 65 country applications. They have provided useful insights in the context of program and surveillance work, based on qualitative and quantitative analysis of the macroeconomic effects of public investment scaling-ups. This paper takes stock of the model applications and extensions, and extract five common policy lessons from the universe of country cases. First, improving public investment efficiency and/or raising the rate of return of public projects raises growth and lowers the risks associated with debt sustainability. Second, prudent and gradual investment scaling-ups are preferable to aggressive front-loaded ones, in terms of private sector crowding-out effects, absorptive capacity constraints, and debt sustainability risks. Third, domestic revenue mobilization helps create fiscal space for investment scaling-ups, by effectively containing public debt surges and their later-on repayments. Fourth, aid smoothens fiscal adjustments associated with public investment increases and may lower the risks of unsustainable debt. Fifth, external savings mitigate Dutch disease macroeconomic effects and serve as fiscal buffers. The paper also discusses how these models were used to estimate the quantitative macro economic effects associated with these lessons.
Book Synopsis DIGNAR-19 Toolkit Manual by : Mr. Zamid Aligishiev
Download or read book DIGNAR-19 Toolkit Manual written by Mr. Zamid Aligishiev and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-06-23 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note is a user’s manual for the DIGNAR-19 toolkit, an application aimed at facilitating the use of the DIGNAR-19 model by economists with no to little knowledge of Matlab and Dynare via a user-friendly Excel-based interface. he toolkit comprises three tools—the simulation tool, the graphing tool, and the realism tool—that translate the contents of an Excel input file into instructions for Matlab/Dynare programs. These programs are executed behind the scenes. Outputs are saved in a separate Excel file and can also be visualized in customizable charts.
Book Synopsis A User Manual for the DIGNAD Toolkit by : Mr. Zamid Aligishiev
Download or read book A User Manual for the DIGNAD Toolkit written by Mr. Zamid Aligishiev and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-06-05 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note is a user’s manual for the DIGNAD toolkit, an application aimed at facilitating the use of the DIGNAD model (Debt-Investment-Growth and Natural Disasters) by economists with no to little knowledge of MATLAB and Dynare via a user-friendly Excel-based interface. DIGNAD is a dynamic general equilibrium model of a small open economy developed at the International Monetary Fund. The model can help economists and policymakers with quantitative assessments and policy scenario analysis of the macrofiscal effects of natural disasters and adaptation infrastructure investments in low-income developing countries and emerging markets. DIGNAD is tailored to disaster-prone countries, which typically are small countries or low-income countries that are particularly exposed to large climate shocks—countries where shocks that can disrupt the entire economy are frequent. However, DIGNAD can be relevant also for larger countries that may potentially be exposed to extreme climatic disasters in the future.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Research in Low-income Countries by : Hites Ahir
Download or read book Macroeconomic Research in Low-income Countries written by Hites Ahir and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-24 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite strong economic growth since 2000, many low-income countries (LICs) still face numerous macroeconomic challenges, even prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the deceleration in real GDP growth during the 2008 global financial crisis, LICs on average saw 4.5 percent of real GDP growth during 2000 to 2014, making progress in economic convergence toward higher-income countries. However, the commodity price collapse in 2014–15 hit many commodity-exporting LICs and highlighted their vulnerabilities due to the limited extent of economic diversification. Furthermore, LICs are currently facing a crisis like no other—COVID-19, which requires careful policymaking to save lives and livelihoods in LICs, informed by policy debate and thoughtful research tailored to the COVID-19 situation. There are also other challenges beyond COVID-19, such as climate change, high levels of public debt burdens, and persistent structural issues.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 : Total Pages :49 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (2 download)
Book Synopsis Saudi Arabia by : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Download or read book Saudi Arabia written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-08-17 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Selected Issues
Book Synopsis Report of the Inter-agency Task Force on Financing for Development 2022 by : Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Download or read book Report of the Inter-agency Task Force on Financing for Development 2022 written by Department of Economic and Social Affairs and published by United Nations. This book was released on 2022-04-12 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Financing for Sustainable Development Report (FSDR) assesses progress in implementing the commitments and actions in the Addis Ababa Action Agenda.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 : Total Pages :179 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (2 download)
Book Synopsis Operational Guidance Note On Program Design and Conditionality by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Download or read book Operational Guidance Note On Program Design and Conditionality written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-01-30 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note aims to provide guidance on the key principles and considerations underlying the design of Fund-supported programs. The note expands on the previous operational guidance notes on conditionality published over 2003-2014, incorporating lessons from the 2018-19 Review of Conditionality, and other recent key policy developments including the recommendation of the Management’s Implementation Plan in response to Independent Evaluation Office (IEO)’s report on growth and adjustment in IMF-supported programs. The note in particular highlights operational advice to (i) improve the realism of macroeconomic forecast in programs and fostering a more systematic analysis of contingency plans and risks; (ii) improve the focus, depth, implementation, and tailoring of structural conditions (SCs), with due consideration of growth effects; and (iii) help strengthen the ownership of country authorities. Designed as a comprehensive reference and primer on program design and conditionality in an accessible and transparent manner, the note refers in summary to a broad range of economic and policy considerations over the lifecycle of Fund-supported programs. As with all guidance notes, the relevant IMF Executive Board Decisions remain the primary legal authority on matters covered in this note.
Book Synopsis Market Reforms and Public Debt Dynamics in Emerging Market and Developing Economies by : Mr. Zamid Aligishiev
Download or read book Market Reforms and Public Debt Dynamics in Emerging Market and Developing Economies written by Mr. Zamid Aligishiev and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-09-12 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many emerging market and developing economies face a difficult trade-off between economic support and fiscal sustainability. Market-oriented structural reforms ease this trade-off by promoting economic growth and strengthening public finances. The empirical analysis in this note, based on 62 EMDEs over 1973-2014, shows that reforms are associated with sizeable and long-lasting reductions in the debt-to-GDP ratio mainly through higher fiscal revenues and lower borrowing costs. These effects are larger in countries with greater tax efficiency, lower informality, and higher initial debt. Moreover, a model-based analysis elaborates on how such fiscal gains can be enhanced when revenue windfalls associated with reforms are saved or channeled through higher public investment.
Book Synopsis United Republic of Tanzania by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Download or read book United Republic of Tanzania written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-04-28 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: United Republic of Tanzania: Selected Issues
Author :International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :149831810X Total Pages :47 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Review of Implementation of IMF Commitments in Support of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Download or read book Review of Implementation of IMF Commitments in Support of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-06-03 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF is committed to supporting implementation of the 2030 development agenda. The IMF’s primary contribution to global development is to deliver on its mandate to help maintain macroeconomic and financial stability at both the global and national levels. The IMF also supports the development agenda through targeted support for national policies—via policy advice and support for capacity development (CD) in areas where it has specialist expertise.
Book Synopsis Debt, Investment, and Growth in Developing Countries with Segmented Labor Markets by : Mr.Edward F Buffie
Download or read book Debt, Investment, and Growth in Developing Countries with Segmented Labor Markets written by Mr.Edward F Buffie and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-06-19 with total page 95 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We introduce a new suite of macroeconomic models that extend and complement the Debt, Investment, and Growth (DIG) model widely used at the IMF since 2012. The new DIG-Labor models feature segmented labor markets, efficiency wages and open unemployment, and an informal non-agricultural sector. These features allow for a deeper examination of macroeconomic and fiscal policy programs and their impact on labor market outcomes, inequality, and poverty. The paper illustrates the model's properties by analyzing the growth, debt, and distributional consequences of big-push public investment programs with different mixes of investment in human capital and infrastructure. We show that investment in human capital is much more effective than investment in infrastructure in promoting long-run economic development when investments earn their average estimated returns. The decision about how much to invest in human capital versus infrastructure involves, however, an acute intertemporal trade-off. Because investment in education affects labor productivity with a long lag, it takes 15+ years before net national income, the private capital stock, real wages for the poor, and formal sector employment surpass their counterparts in a program that invests mainly in infrastructure. The ranking of alternative investment programs depends on the policymakers' social discount rate and on the weight of distributional objectives in the social welfare function.
Book Synopsis Debt Sustainability, Public Investment, and Natural Resources in Developing Countries: the DIGNAR Model by : Mr. Giovanni Melina
Download or read book Debt Sustainability, Public Investment, and Natural Resources in Developing Countries: the DIGNAR Model written by Mr. Giovanni Melina and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-01 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents the DIGNAR (Debt, Investment, Growth, and Natural Resources) model, which can be used to analyze the debt sustainability and macroeconomic effects of public investment plans in resource-abundant developing countries. DIGNAR is a dynamic, stochastic model of a small open economy. It has two types of households, including poor households with no access to financial markets, and features traded and nontraded sectors as well as a natural resource sector. Public capital enters production technologies, while public investment is subject to inefficiencies and absorptive capacity constraints. The government has access to different types of debt (concessional, domestic and external commercial) and a resource fund, which can be used to finance public investment plans. The resource fund can also serve as a buffer to absorb fiscal balances for given projections of resource revenues and public investment plans. When the fund is drawn down to its minimal value, a combination of external and domestic borrowing can be used to cover the fiscal gap in the short to medium run. Fiscal adjustments through tax rates and government non-capital expenditures—which may be constrained by ceilings and floors, respectively—are then triggered to maintain debt sustainability. The paper illustrates how the model can be particularly useful to assess debt sustainability in countries that borrow against future resource revenues to scale up public investment.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498366821 Total Pages :14 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Research Bulletin, June 2014 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book Research Bulletin, June 2014 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-12 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Articles in the June 2014 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin look at “The Rise and Fall of Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics” (Joong Shik Kang and Jay C. Shambaugh) and “The Two Sides of the Same Coin?: Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China” (Il Houng Lee, Murtaza Syed, and Xin Wang). The Q&A looks at “Seven Questions on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Low-Income Countries” (Andrew Berg, Luisa Charry, Rafael A. Portillo, and Jan Vleck). This issue of the Research Bulletin includes updated listings of IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and Recommended Readings from the IMF Bookstore. Readers can also find information on free access to a featured article from “IMF Economic Review.”
Book Synopsis Fiscal Frameworks for Resource Rich Developing Countries by : Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro
Download or read book Fiscal Frameworks for Resource Rich Developing Countries written by Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-05-16 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1513514091 Total Pages :91 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (135 download)
Book Synopsis Guyana by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Download or read book Guyana written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-09-17 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 2019 Article IV Consultation highlights that Guyana’s economic growth strengthened in 2018 with broad-based expansion across all major sectors. The medium-term prospects are very favorable as oil production is on schedule to begin in early 2020. Economic growth is projected at 4.4 percent in 2019, extending the broad-based expansion across all major sectors. Policies to fortify the fiscal policy framework to ensure effective use of the new-found oil wealth; develop the necessary infrastructure for a suitable monetary policy framework that facilitates adjustment to oil price shocks while maintaining price stability; and reforms to enhance competitiveness, promote economic diversification, strengthen governance, and achieve inclusiveness. The passage of the Natural Resource Fund legislation is a critical step toward effective management of Guyana’s natural resource wealth. In order to ensure that fiscal discipline is maintained and spending ramps up at a pace in line with absorptive capacity, the fiscal framework should be enhanced to prevent deficits.
Book Synopsis Macro-Fiscal Gains from Anti-Corruption Reforms in the Republic of Congo by : Mr.Giovanni Melina
Download or read book Macro-Fiscal Gains from Anti-Corruption Reforms in the Republic of Congo written by Mr.Giovanni Melina and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-06-03 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper argues that oil revenue management and public investment in Congo are vulnerable to corruption as a result of limited transparency and accountability. Corruption has potentially contributed to poor macro-fiscal outcomes. The paper acknowledges the authorities’ anti-corruption efforts made so far and proposes further critical reforms to reduce remaining vulnerabilities. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model results show that, depending on the reforms adopted, the potential additional growth can range between 0.8 to 1.8 percent per year over the next 10 years, and debt can decline by 2.25 to 3 percent of GDP per year over the same period. These results suggest that macrofiscal gains from anti-corruption reforms could be substantial even under conservative reform scenarios.
