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Author : Daniel Philip Klein
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (786 download)
Download or read book Short-term Hog Price Forecasting Models for Iowa written by Daniel Philip Klein and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Wayne Umberger
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Short-term Hog Price and Pork Supply Forecasting Models written by Wayne Umberger and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Kenneth A. Zielinski
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Short-term Hog Production and Price Forecasting Models written by Kenneth A. Zielinski and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Richard J. Foote
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Quarterly and Shorter-term Price Forecasting Models Relating to Cash and Futures Quotations for Pork Bellies written by Richard J. Foote and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Shakib Mbabaali
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (184 download)
Download or read book Short Term Hog Price Forecasting Models for the Manitoba Hog Industry written by Shakib Mbabaali and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Manitoba hog industry operates under uncertain and changing circumstances. Manitoba Department of Agriculture cites some of the factors responsible for the uncertain and changing environment. Such factors include high costs of new facilities, rising energy costs, variable prices for feed grains and protein supplements, and uncertainties about future hog market prices. The research reported in this study concentrates on the uncertainties about future hog market prices by identifying the factors responsible for hog price fluctuations both on a weekly and monthly basis. The identified factors are used to generate knowledge about future hog market prices by using univariate time series, econometric and compsite models as forecasting toos. The forecasts generated using those models are evaluated against the naive or no change model for their quantitative and qualitative forecasting performance. Evaluation measures used include Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Percentage Error and Theil's U1 inequality coefficient for quantitative evaluation. The qualitative evaluation measures include the Naik and Leuthold 4 x 4 contingency table method and the Henriksson-Merton probability-based method. Under certain circumstances the Naik and Leuthold 4 x 4 contingency table method is shown to be inappropriate and a 9 x 9 contingency table is suggested. Overall, the models developed do not perform very well quantitatively but the univariate time series model performs well at predicting turning points. The study demonstrates how producers could benefit from the turning point information generated by the univariate times series model. Keywords: forcasting, time series, econometric model, composite model, naive model, quantitiative forecast evaluation, qualitative forecast evaluation.
Author : United States. General Accounting Office
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Short-term Forecasting written by United States. General Accounting Office and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Chester O. Jr. McCorkler
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0323149413
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (231 download)
Download or read book Economics of food processing in the United States written by Chester O. Jr. McCorkler and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2012-12-02 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economics of Food Processing in the United States aims to provide an economic overview of the food processing industries in the United States; to explore the firm-level implications of social, economic, technological, and institutional forces for selected food processing industries; and to uncover some of the implications for consumers, raw product producers, and the national economy of the major trends observed in food industries. The book begins by evaluating the major forces shaping demand, supply, prices, and trade in processed foods. It then considers major trends in technical processes; major forces in marketing, distribution, and structure; and major trends in regulation. The next few chapters explore these trends for five specific food processing industries, which represent major types of products processed: fruits and vegetables, meat, milk, grain and soybeans, and wine. After the specific industries have been examined, the final two chapters treat these industries in the context of the national and international economy. Students preparing for careers, researchers, and industry participants who study these firms and industries and the various approaches to solving their economic and management problems will benefit from the information in this volume and from its approach to presenting the dynamics of the food processing industries.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 906 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)
Download or read book Technical Bulletin written by and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 906 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Brian Holding
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 504 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)
Download or read book Applied Commodity Price Analysis and Forecasting written by Brian Holding and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ton Viet Ta
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (26 download)
Download or read book Price-Forecasting Models for Lean Hogs Futures, Apr-2021 HE=F Stock written by Ton Viet Ta and published by . This book was released on 2021-03-11 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: https: //www.dinhxa.com One-Week Free Trial (subject to change) Do you want to earn up to a 1002% annual return on your money by two trades per day on Lean Hogs Futures, Apr-2021 HE=F Stock? Reading this book is the only way to have a specific strategy. This book offers you a chance to trade HE=F Stock at predicted prices. Eight methods for buying and selling HE=F Stock at predicted low/high prices are introduced. These prices are very close to the lowest and highest prices of the stock in a day. All methods are explained in a very easy-to-understand way by using many examples, formulas, figures, and tables. The BIG DATA of the 4228 consecutive trading days (from March 4, 2002 to March 4, 2021) are utilized. The methods do not require any background on mathematics from readers. Furthermore, they are easy to use. Each takes you no more than 30 seconds for calculation to obtain a specific predicted price. The methods are not transient. They cannot be beaten by Mr. Market in several years, even until the stock doubles its current age. They are traits of Mr. Market. The reason is that the author uses the law of large numbers in the probability theory to construct them. In other words, you can use the methods in a long time without worrying about their change. The efficiency of the methods can be checked easily. Just compare the predicted prices with the actual price of the stock while referring to the probabilities of success which are shown clearly in the book (click the LOOK INSIDE button to read more information before buying this book). The book is very useful for Investors who have decided to buy the stock and keep it for a long time (as the strategy of Warren Buffett), or to sell the stock and pay attention to other stocks. The methods will help them to maximize profits for their decision. Day traders who buy and sell the stock many times in a day. Although each method is valid one time per day, the information from the methods will help the traders buy/sell the stock in the second time, third time or more in a day. Beginners to HE=F Stock. The book gives an insight about the behavior of the stock. They will surely gain their knowledge of HE=F Stock after reading the book. Everyone who wants to know about the U.S. stock market. https: //www.dinhxa.com includes a software (app) for stock price forecasting using the methods in this book. The software gives 114 predictions while this book gives 16. One-Week Free Trial (subject to change)
Author : William Smith Greig
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Economics and Management of Food Processing written by William Smith Greig and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Food industry size and some aspects of consumer food expenditures in the United States; Size of the food processing industry; Growth in the food processing industry; Profitability and other financial operating rations in the food processing industry; Government policy toward food marketing; The markets for foods in the United States; Product competition and new product development; Some new food processing technologies; Changing locations in the food processing industry and measurement of important cost factors affecting changes; Productivity in the U.S. Food Industries, with policy options to increase productivity; Managing commodity price risks in the food industry; The changing structure of the food processing industry: description, causes, impacts, and policy alternatives; Reasons for increased emphasis on exports and private U.S. investment in foreign agribusiness enterprises with some sources of assistance; Summary and speculations on the future.
Author : William Edwin Goble
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)
Download or read book Reducing Short-term Price Variability in Slaughter Hogs written by William Edwin Goble and published by . This book was released on 1961 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : United States. Cooperative State Research Service. Current Research Information System
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 940 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)
Download or read book Swine Research written by United States. Cooperative State Research Service. Current Research Information System and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 940 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Dyaa K. Abdou
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (177 download)
Download or read book Quarterly Models for Forecasting Live Hog Prices written by Dyaa K. Abdou and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Wade Shafer
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461337003
Total Pages : 335 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)
Download or read book Masters Theses in the Pure and Applied Sciences written by Wade Shafer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Masters Theses in the Pure and Applied Sciences was first conceived, published, and disseminated by the Center for Information and Numerical Data Analysis and Synthesis (CINDAS) * at Purdue University in 1957, starting its coverage of theses with the academic year 1955. Beginning with Volume 13, the printing and dissemination phases of the activity were transferred to University Microfilms/Xerox of Ann Arbor, Michigan, with the thought that such an arrangement would be more beneficial to the academic and general scientific and technical community. After five years of this joint undertaking we had concluded that it was in the interest of all con cerned if the printing and distribution of the volume were handled by an international publishing house to assure improved service and broader dissemination. Hence, starting with Volume 18, Masters Theses in the Pure and Applied Sciences has been disseminated on a worldwide basis by Plenum Publishing Cor poration of New York, and in the same year the coverage was broadened to include Canadian universities. All back issues can also be ordered from Plenum. We have reported in Volume 26 (thesis year 1981) a total of 11 ,048 theses titles from 24 Canadian and 21 8 United States universities. We are sure that this broader base for these titles reported will greatly enhance the value of this important annual reference work. While Volume 26 reports theses submitted in 1981, on occasion, certain univer sities do report theses submitted in previous years but not reported at the time.
Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1003846718
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)
Download or read book Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis written by Walter C. Labys and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-02-01 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1984 this book remains as relevant as when it was first published. At that time the oil crises of the 1970s and the growing international debt burden highlighted the extent to which events in primary commodity markets continue to influence the economies of developing and industrialized economies alike. Commodity modelling has become a valuable tool in efforts to predict and understand the behaviour of commodity markets and thereby reduce their fluctuations. This book provides an overview of the nature of the different types of commodity model as well as their diverse applications. In non-technical language the reader is introduced to the underlying modelling methodologies, including their advantages, limitations and commodity specific implications. The book will be of interest to commodity economists, traders and analysts, economic planners and those involved in agricultural, mineral and energy modelling.
Author : Renyuan Shao
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (528 download)
Download or read book The Design and Evaluation of Price Risk Management Strategies in the U.S. Hog Industry written by Renyuan Shao and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: During recent years, more U.S. hog producers and meat packers are involved in marketing contracts to enhance net revenue and to limit downside price risk. This research explores new ways to efficiently price a subset of these contracts, window contracts, and to evaluate the effectiveness of these contracts to help producers and packers enter contracts that more effectively satisfy their preferences. A Monte Carlo simulation model in which thousands ofpaths for hog, corn and soybean meal prices are simulated is developed. These commodity prices are assumed following a random walk with drift. Futures prices are used to calibrate the means of the expected joint distribution of these three spot prices. To calibrate volatility of prices, the forecasting power of severalfrequently used volatility forecasting methods are examined; implied volatility is used to forecast volatility for near term and historical volatility is used for longer term horizons. Historical correlation is introduced to capture the co-movement of the three price series. Alternative basis forecasting approaches are also compared. The futures spread model performs best for short-term while a five-year historical average is best for long-term forecasting. The window contracts are decomposed into a portfolio of long Asian-Basket put and short Asian-Basket call options. A projected breakeven price is used to determine the floor price, and then the Monte Carlo simulation method is applied to price both a moving and a fixed window contract. These methods provide unbiased pricing of fixed and moving window contracts of one-year duration. A moving window contract may be preferred by contract issuers who value volatility reduction and due to cumulative performance issues. This same Monte Carlo method is also used to forecast net revenue for hog producers. Based on this forecasting model and the assumption of a mean-variance utility function, the prospective evaluation, which utilizes the Monte Carlo simulation methods described above, is compared with retrospective evaluation, which uses only past performance of the risk management strategy, for a net revenue and a utility maximizing producer. Prospective evaluation is marginally better than retrospective evaluation in terms of net revenue enhancement and risk reduction.
