Serial Sovereign Defaults And Debt Restructurings

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Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings

Author : Mr.Tamon Asonuma
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513596640
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings by : Mr.Tamon Asonuma

Download or read book Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings written by Mr.Tamon Asonuma and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-16 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging countries that have defaulted on their debt repayment obligations in the past are more likely to default again in the future than are non-defaulters even with the same external debt-to-GDP ratio. These countries actually have repeated defaults or restructurings in short periods. This paper explains these stylized facts within a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework by explicitly modeling renegotiations between a defaulting country and its creditors. The quantitative analysis of the model reveals that the equilibrium probability of default for a given debt-to-GDP level is weakly increasing with the number of past defaults. The model also accords with an additional fact: lower recovery rates (high NPV haircuts) are associated with increases in spreads at renegotiation.

Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781475561951
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (619 download)

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Book Synopsis Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings by :

Download or read book Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings written by and published by . This book was released on with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging countries that have defaulted on their debt repayment obligations in the past are more likely to default again in the future than are non-defaulters even with the same external debt-to-GDP ratio. These countries actually have repeated defaults or restructurings in short periods. This paper explains these stylized facts within a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework by explicitly modeling renegotiations between a defaulting country and its creditors. The quantitative analysis of the model reveals that the equilibrium probability of default for a given debt-to-GDP level is weakly increasing with the number of past defaults. The model also accords with an additional fact: lower recovery rates (high NPV haircuts) are associated with increases in spreads at renegotiation.--Abstract.

Sovereign Debt Restructurings in Grenada

Author : Mr.Tamon Asonuma
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484311035
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Restructurings in Grenada by : Mr.Tamon Asonuma

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Restructurings in Grenada written by Mr.Tamon Asonuma and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-24 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper documents the two debt restructurings that Grenada undertook in 2004–06 and 2013–15.Both restructurings emerged as a consequence of weak fiscal and debt situations, whichbecame unsustainable soon after external shocks hit the island economy. The two restructurings provided liquidity relief, with the second one involving a principal haircut. However, the first restructuring was not able to secure long-term debt sustainability. Grenada’s restructuring experience shows the importance of (1) establishing appropriate debt restructuring objectives; (2) committing to policy reforms and maintaining ownership of the restructuring goals; and (3) engaging closely and having clear communications with creditors.

Costs of Sovereign Defaults: Restructuring Strategies, Bank Distress and the Capital Inflow-Credit Channel

Author : Mr.Tamon Asonuma
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498304966
Total Pages : 91 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Costs of Sovereign Defaults: Restructuring Strategies, Bank Distress and the Capital Inflow-Credit Channel by : Mr.Tamon Asonuma

Download or read book Costs of Sovereign Defaults: Restructuring Strategies, Bank Distress and the Capital Inflow-Credit Channel written by Mr.Tamon Asonuma and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-25 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sovereign debt restructurings are associated with declines in GDP, investment, bank credit, and capital flows. The transmission channels and associated output and banking sector costs depend on whether the restructuring takes place preemptively, without missing payments to creditors, or whether it takes place after a default has occurred. Post-default restructurings are associated with larger declines in bank credit, an increase in lending interest rates, and a higher likelihood of triggering a banking crisis than pre-emptive restructurings. Our local projection estimates show large declines in GDP, investment, and credit amplified by severe sudden stops and transmitted through a “capital inflow-credit channel”.

Sovereign Debt

Author : Rob Quail
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118017552
Total Pages : 435 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt by : Rob Quail

Download or read book Sovereign Debt written by Rob Quail and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-02-25 with total page 435 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An intelligent analysis of the dangers, opportunities, and consequences of global sovereign debt Sovereign debt is growing internationally at a terrifying rate, as nations seek to prop up their collapsing economies. One only needs to look at the sovereign risk pressures faced by Greece, Spain, and Ireland to get an idea of how big this problem has become. Understanding this dilemma is now more important than ever, that's why Robert Kolb has compiled Sovereign Debt. With this book as your guide, you'll gain a better perspective on the essential issues surrounding sovereign debt and default through discussions of national defaults, systemic risk, associated costs, and much more. Historical studies are also included to provide a realistic framework of reference. Contains up-to-date research and analysis on sovereign debt from today's leading practitioners and academics Details the dangers of defaults and their associated systemic risks Explores the past, present, and future of sovereign debt The repercussions of a national default are all-encompassing as global markets are intricately interwoven in the modern world. Sovereign Debt examines what it will take to overcome the challenges of this market and how you can deal with the uncertainty surrounding it.

Improving Sovereign Debt Restructurings

Author : Maximiliano A. Dvorkin
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis Improving Sovereign Debt Restructurings by : Maximiliano A. Dvorkin

Download or read book Improving Sovereign Debt Restructurings written by Maximiliano A. Dvorkin and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The wave of sovereign defaults in the early 1980s and the string of debt crises in subsequent decades have fostered proposals involving policy interventions in sovereign debt restructurings. The global financial crisis and the recent global pandemic have further reignited this discussion among academics and policymakers. A key question about these policy proposals for debt restructurings that has proved hard to handle is how they influence the behavior of creditors and debtors. We address this challenge by evaluating policy proposals in a quantitative sovereign default model that incorporates two essential features of debt: maturity choice and debt renegotiation in default. We find, first, that a rule that tilts the distribution of creditor losses during restructurings toward holders of long-maturity bonds reduces short-term yield spreads, lowering the probability of a sovereign default by 25 percent. Second, issuing GDP-indexed bonds exclusively during restructurings also reduces the probability of default, especially of defaults in the five years following a debt restructuring. The policies lead to welfare improvements and reductions in haircuts of similar magnitude when implemented separately. When jointly implemented, they reinforce each other's welfare gains, suggesting good complementarity.

Sovereign Debt

Author : S. Ali Abbas
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192591401
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt by : S. Ali Abbas

Download or read book Sovereign Debt written by S. Ali Abbas and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-10-21 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The last time global sovereign debt reached the level seen today was at the end of the Second World War, and this shaped a generation of economic policymaking. International institutions were transformed, country policies were often draconian and distortive, and many crises ensued. By the early 1970s, when debt fell back to pre-war levels, the world was radically different. It is likely that changes of a similar magnitude -for better and for worse - will play out over coming decades. Sovereign Debt: A Guide for Economists and Practitioners is an attempt to build some structure around the issues of sovereign debt to help guide economists, practitioners and policymakers through this complicated, but not intractable, subject. Sovereign Debt brings together some of the world's leading researchers and specialists in sovereign debt to cover a range of sub-disciplines within this vast topic. It explores debt management with debt sustainability; debt reduction policies with crisis prevention policies; and the history with the conjuncture. It is a foundation text for all those interested in sovereign debt, with a particular focus real world examples and issues.

Sovereign Default Risk Valuation

Author : Jochen Andritzky
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540374493
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Default Risk Valuation by : Jochen Andritzky

Download or read book Sovereign Default Risk Valuation written by Jochen Andritzky and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-23 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Past cycles of sovereign lending and default suggest that debt crises will recur at some point. This book shows why investors should reckon with similar credit events in the future. Surveying the sovereign bond market, the author provides investors with a useful toolkit for analyzing sovereign bonds and foreseeing trends in the international financial architecture. The result should be a better understanding of debt crises and more deliberate investment decisions.

Sovereign Debt Restructuring and Growth

Author : Lorenzo Forni
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475526520
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Restructuring and Growth by : Lorenzo Forni

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Restructuring and Growth written by Lorenzo Forni and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-08-16 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the effect of sovereign debt restructurings with external private creditors on growth during the period 1970-2010. We find that there are bad and good (or not so bad) debt restructurings for growth. While growth generally declines in the aftermath of a sovereign debt restructuring, agreements that allow countries to exit a default spell (final restructurings) are associated with improving growth. The impact can be significant. In general, three years after restructuring, growth is about 5 percent lower compared to countries that did not face restructuring over the same period. The exception is for final restructurings, which result in positive growth in the years immediately after the restructuring. Final restructurings tend to be better for growth because they reduce countries’ debt, with the strongest effect for countries that exit restructurings with relatively low debt levels.

Debt Defaults and Lessons from a Decade of Crises

Author : Federico Sturzenegger
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262195534
Total Pages : 399 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (621 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Defaults and Lessons from a Decade of Crises by : Federico Sturzenegger

Download or read book Debt Defaults and Lessons from a Decade of Crises written by Federico Sturzenegger and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2007-01-05 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Detailed case studies of debt defaults by Russia, Ukraine, Pakistan, Ecuador, Moldova, and Uruguay, framed by a comprehensive discussion of the history, economic theory, legal issues, and policy lessons of sovereign debt crises. The debt crises in emerging market countries over the past decade have given rise to renewed debate about crisis prevention and resolution. In Debt Defaults and Lessons from a Decade of Crises, Federico Sturzenegger and Jeromin Zettelmeyer examine the facts, the economic theory, and the policy implications of sovereign debt crises. They present detailed case histories of the default and debt crises in seven emerging market countries between 1998 and 2005: Russia, Ukraine, Pakistan, Ecuador, Argentina, Moldova, and Uruguay. These accounts are framed with a comprehensive overview of the history, economics, and legal issues involved and a discussion from both domestic and international perspectives of the policy lessons that can be derived from these experiences. Sturzenegger and Zettelmeyer examine how each crisis developed, what the subsequent restructuring encompassed, and how investors and the defaulting country fared. They discuss the new theoretical thinking on sovereign debt and the ultimate costs entailed, for both debtor countries and private creditors. The policy debate is considered first from the perspective of policymakers in emerging market countries and then in terms of international financial architecture. The authors' surveys of legal and economic issues associated with debt crises, and of the crises themselves, are the most comprehensive to be found in the literature on sovereign debt and default, and their theoretical analysis is detailed and nuanced. The book will be a valuable resource for investors as well as for scholars and policymakers.

Sovereign Debt

Author : Mr. Leonardo Martinez
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt by : Mr. Leonardo Martinez

Download or read book Sovereign Debt written by Mr. Leonardo Martinez and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-06-17 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper surveys the literature on sovereign debt from the perspective of understanding how sovereign debt differs from privately issue debt, and why sovereign debt is deemed safe in some countries but risky in others. The answers relate to the unique power of the sovereign. One the one hand, a sovereign has the power to tax, making debt relatively safe; on the other, it also has control over its territory and most of its assets, making debt enforcement difficult. The paper discusses debt contracts and the sovereign debt market, sovereign debt restructurings, and the empirical and theoretical literatures on the costs and causes of defaults. It describes the adverse impact of sovereign default risk on the issuing countries and what explains this impact. The survey concludes with a discussion of policy options to reduce sovereign risk, including fiscal frameworks that act as commitment devices, state-contingent debt, and independent and credible monetary policy.

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010

Author : Mr.Udaibir S. Das
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505531
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt agreements with the Paris Club. We present new stylized facts on the outcome and process of debt restructurings, including on the size of haircuts, creditor participation, and legal aspects. In addition, the paper summarizes the relevant empirical literature, analyzes recent restructuring episodes, and discusses ongoing debates on crisis resolution mechanisms, credit default swaps, and the role of collective action clauses.

Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings

Author : Mr.Tamon Asonuma
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475524692
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings by : Mr.Tamon Asonuma

Download or read book Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings written by Mr.Tamon Asonuma and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-21 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging countries that have defaulted on their debt repayment obligations in the past are more likely to default again in the future than are non-defaulters even with the same external debt-to-GDP ratio. These countries actually have repeated defaults or restructurings in short periods. This paper explains these stylized facts within a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework by explicitly modeling renegotiations between a defaulting country and its creditors. The quantitative analysis of the model reveals that the equilibrium probability of default for a given debt-to-GDP level is weakly increasing with the number of past defaults. The model also accords with an additional fact: lower recovery rates (high NPV haircuts) are associated with increases in spreads at renegotiation.

Structuring and Restructuring Sovereign Debt

Author : Mr.Patrick Bolton
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451867565
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Structuring and Restructuring Sovereign Debt by : Mr.Patrick Bolton

Download or read book Structuring and Restructuring Sovereign Debt written by Mr.Patrick Bolton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-08-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an environment characterized by weak contractual enforcement, sovereign lenders can enhance the likelihood of repayment by making their claims more difficult to restructure ex post. We show however, that competition for repayment among lenders may result in a sovereign debt that is excessively difficult to restructure in equilibrium. This inefficiency may be alleviated by a suitably designed bankruptcy regime that facilitates debt restructuring.

Why Not Default?

Author : Jerome Roos
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691180105
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Not Default? by : Jerome Roos

Download or read book Why Not Default? written by Jerome Roos and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2019-02-12 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Jerome Roos provides a sweeping investigation of the political economy of sovereign debt and international crisis management. He takes readers from the rise of public borrowing in the Italian city-states to the gunboat diplomacy of the imperialist era and the wave of sovereign defaults during the Great Depression. He vividly describes the debt crises of developing countries in the 1980s and 1990s and sheds new light on the recent turmoil inside the Eurozone--including the dramatic capitulation of Greece's short-lived anti-austerity government to its European creditors in 2015. Drawing on in-depth case studies of contemporary debt crises in Mexico, Argentina, and Greece, Why Not Default? paints a disconcerting picture of the ascendancy of global finance.

Restructuring Sovereign Debt

Author : Lex Rieffel
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 0815796110
Total Pages : 357 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (157 download)

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Book Synopsis Restructuring Sovereign Debt by : Lex Rieffel

Download or read book Restructuring Sovereign Debt written by Lex Rieffel and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2003-09-05 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Western powers established the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank after World War II as "permanent machinery" to anchor the Bretton Woods system. When developing countries began experiencing debt problems in the late 1960s, the Paris Club took shape as "ad hoc machinery" to restructure debt from export credit agencies. A decade later the London Club process emerged to handle workouts of commercial bank debt. Restructuring debt in the form of bonds became an issue in the late 1990s in Argentina and several other nations, and the IMF recently proposed a permanent mechanism to deal with that challenge. Restructuring Sovereign Debt explains why ad hoc machinery would function more effectively in the Bretton Woods system. By describing in detail the origins and operations of the London Club and Paris Club, Lex Rieffel highlights the pragmatism and flexibility associated with ad hoc approaches. He also recalls earlier proposals for creating permanent debt restructuring machinery and the reasons why they were not adopted. Recognizing that the issue of sovereign debt workout is complex, Rieffel has provided a comprehensive and detailed exposition of this important policy issue. Rieffel's book is an important tool for policymakers and the public, particularly as the global community seeks to resolve the debt problems of countries as diverse as Argentina, Iraq, and Côte d'Ivoire.

Too Little, Too Late

Author : Martin Guzman
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 023154202X
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Too Little, Too Late by : Martin Guzman

Download or read book Too Little, Too Late written by Martin Guzman and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2016-05-10 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current approach to resolving sovereign debt crises does not work: sovereign debt restructurings come too late and address too little. Though unresolved debt crises impose enormous costs on societies, many recent restructurings have not been deep enough to provide the conditions for economic recovery (as illustrated by the Greek debt restructuring of 2012). And if the debtor decides not to accept the terms demanded by the creditors, finalizing a restructuring can be slowed by legal challenges (as illustrated by the recent case of Argentina, deemed as "the trial of the century"). A fresh start for distressed debtors is a basic principle of a well-functioning market economy, yet there is no international bankruptcy framework for sovereign debts. While this problem is not new, the United Nations and the global community are now willing to do something about it. Providing guidance for those who intend to take up reform, this book assesses the relative merits of various debt-restructuring proposals, especially in relation to the main deficiencies of the current nonsystem. With contributions by leading academics and practitioners, Too Little, Too Late reflects the overwhelming consensus among specialists on the need to find workable solutions.