Read Books Online and Download eBooks, EPub, PDF, Mobi, Kindle, Text Full Free.
Sensitivity Analysis And Calibration Decision Support Tools For Continuous Modelling With The Storm Water Management Model
Download Sensitivity Analysis And Calibration Decision Support Tools For Continuous Modelling With The Storm Water Management Model full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Sensitivity Analysis And Calibration Decision Support Tools For Continuous Modelling With The Storm Water Management Model ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!
Book Synopsis Sensitivity Analysis and Calibration Decision Support Tools for Continuous Modelling with the Storm Water Management Model by : Anthony Kuch
Download or read book Sensitivity Analysis and Calibration Decision Support Tools for Continuous Modelling with the Storm Water Management Model written by Anthony Kuch and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 530 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Parameter Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis in Simplified Conceptual Urban Drainage Models by : Cintia Brum Siqueira Dotto
Download or read book Parameter Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis in Simplified Conceptual Urban Drainage Models written by Cintia Brum Siqueira Dotto and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stormwater models are powerful tools to aid the planning, design and performance of different stormwater management strategies. Although these models provide a great platform for decision making, they all have an intrinsic level of uncertainty. Little is understood about the sources and magnitude of this uncertainty, which could be due to the errors in measured data (input and calibration data) and/or due to the model itself. To better understand these sources and their impacts on the model predictions, robust model calibration and sensitivity analysis should be performed. The methodologies used for such an exercise should not only be able to provide an assessment of the uncertainties in the model's parameter values and an evaluation of the confidence level of the model's predictions, but also be able to identify and propagate the different sources of uncertainties. The main aim of this research project is to assess uncertainties in conceptual urban stormwater flow and pollution generation models, with different levels of complexity, by evaluating the impact of different sources of uncertainties on the model predictions and parameter sensitivity. The research focuses on three main steps: (i) identifying suitable global sensitivity analysis method(s) to perform parameter calibration, model sensitivity and uncertainty analysis in stormwater models; (ii) exploring parameter calibration, model sensitivity and the resulting predictive uncertainties in models with different level of complexities; and, (iii) investigating the impact of measured input and calibration data uncertainty on the performance, sensitivity and predictive uncertainty of stormwater models. Four methods were applied for calibration, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of a simple stormwater (quantity and quality) model: one is a formal Bayesian approach, and three are methods based on Monte Carlo simulations coupled with different sampling and acceptance criteria. While the application of the four methods generated similar posterior parameter distributions and predictive uncertainty, results indicated that the selection of the most appropriate method is a trade-off between the need for a strong theory-based description of uncertainty (but limited by the requirements on prior knowledge), simplicity (but limited by the subjectivity) and computational efficiency (also affected by subjectivity). The results also suggested that modellers should select the method which is most suitable for the system they are modelling, their skill/knowledge level, the available information, and the purpose of their study. Further analysis of the application of the Bayesian approach verified the potential of the method to assess urban drainage models (with different level of complexities) in urban catchments of different sizes and land-use types. The tested Bayesian approach was selected to be used in the remaining activities of this research.The likelihood function in the applied Bayesian approach assumes that the model errors (residuals) are normally distributed. This study demonstrated that this assumption is often not met in stormwater modelling (i.e. model residuals are not normally distributed), and therefore, the data was transformed (Box-Cox) to ensure the normality of the model residuals. The main finding was that the parameter sensitivity varied significantly between the scenarios in which the normality assumption of the residuals was verified or not. The main reason for this being the fact that the data transformation method to meet the assumption altered the intrinsic content of the measured data, which then influenced the emphasis on various parts of the hydrograph. The Bayesian approach was used to assess two conceptual catchment rainfall runoff models (MUSIC, which simulates runoff from both impervious and pervious areas as a series of reservoirs; and, KAREN that simulates runoff from impervious surfaces using the time-area method) and few simple stormwater quality models (empirical regressions and build-up/wash-off based models). Results from parameter calibration and sensitivity analysis of the rainfall runoff models demonstrated that the effective impervious fraction is the main parameter governing the prediction of runoff in urbanised catchments. Other key parameters are those related to the time of concentration. Indeed, the analysis indicated that the pervious area parameters play a secondary role when modelling highly urbanised catchments, which implies that the tested models could be simplified. The uncertainty analysis showed that the total predictive uncertainty bands (i.e. the total uncertainty derived from the specific modelling application) was considerably larger than the uncertainty bands contributed from parameter uncertainty alone, indicating that there are other prominent sources of uncertainty for these models. The water quality models were shown to be 'ill-posed' and unable to reproduce the pollutant processes in the catchment. The impact of both input and calibration data errors on the parameter sensitivity and predictive uncertainty was evaluated by means of propagating these errors through the selected urban stormwater model (rainfall runoff model KAREN coupled with a build-up/wash-off water quality model). It was found that random errors in measured data had minor impact on the model performance and sensitivity. Systematic errors in input and calibration data impacted the parameter distributions (e.g. changed their shapes and location of peaks). In most of the systematic error scenarios (especially those where uncertainty in input and calibration data was represented using 'best-case' assumptions), the errors in measured data were fully compensated by the parameters. For example, when rainfall was systematically under or overestimated, the effective impervious area parameter varied systematically to compensate for the changes in the input data. Parameters were unable to compensate in some of the scenarios where the systematic uncertainty in the input and calibration data were represented using extreme worst-case scenarios. As such, in these few worst case scenarios, the model's performance was reduced considerably. Systematic errors in the calibration data error did not significantly impact the parameter probability distributions of the water quality model, mainly because the model cannot even reproduce TSS concentrations when the 'true' data is used. This finding suggested that the current main limitation in water quality modelling is related to poor model structure, and not to errors in measured data.This research provides a comprehensive study of the propagation of different sources of uncertainties through stormwater models. It identifies how the different uncertainty sources impact on parameter sensitivity and the predictive uncertainty. In addition, the analysis of model parameters and their interactions provides practical recommendations for refining and further developing stormwater rainfall runoff and pollution generation models.
Author :Switzerland. Ecole Polytechnique Federale De Lausanne. Institut De Genie Rural Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages :75 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (63 download)
Book Synopsis Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis of the Continuous Runoff Simulation Model "Storm". by : Switzerland. Ecole Polytechnique Federale De Lausanne. Institut De Genie Rural
Download or read book Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis of the Continuous Runoff Simulation Model "Storm". written by Switzerland. Ecole Polytechnique Federale De Lausanne. Institut De Genie Rural and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Hydrology and Floodplain Analysis by : Philip B. Bedient
Download or read book Hydrology and Floodplain Analysis written by Philip B. Bedient and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 804 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now in its third edition, "Hydrology and Floodplain Analysis" continues to offer a clear and up-to-date presentation of the fundamental concepts and design methods required to understand hydrology and floodplain analysis. It addresses the computational emphasis of modern hydrology and provides a balanced approach to important applications in watershed analysis, floodplain computation, flood control, urban hydrology, stormwater design, and computer modeling. Includes HEC-HMS, HEC-RAS, and SWMM models plus GIS and radar rainfall. The text is ideal for students taking an undergraduate or graduate course on hydrology, while the practicing engineer should value the book as a modern reference for hydrologic principles, flood frequency analysis, floodplain analysis, computer simulation, and hydrologic storm water design. Updated coverage in the third edition includes: "Three New Chapters" Chapter 1: Geographic Information Systems (GIS) Chapter 2: Use of NEXRAD Radar Data Chapter 3: Floodplain Management Issues in Hydrology A new, detailed case study of a complex watershed using GIS linked with radar technology. New tools and technologies used for watershed analysis, hydrologic modeling, and modern floodplain delineation. New examples and homework problems in each chapter.
Book Synopsis Uncertainty Management in Simulation-Optimization of Complex Systems by : Gabriella Dellino
Download or read book Uncertainty Management in Simulation-Optimization of Complex Systems written by Gabriella Dellino and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-10-09 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book aims at illustrating strategies to account for uncertainty in complex systems described by computer simulations. When optimizing the performances of these systems, accounting or neglecting uncertainty may lead to completely different results; therefore, uncertainty management is a major issues in simulation-optimization. Because of its wide field of applications, simulation-optimization issues have been addressed by different communities with different methods, and from slightly different perspectives. Alternative approaches have been developed, also depending on the application context, without any well-established method clearly outperforming the others. This editorial project brings together — as chapter contributors — researchers from different (though interrelated) areas; namely, statistical methods, experimental design, stochastic programming, global optimization, metamodeling, and design and analysis of computer simulation experiments. Editors’ goal is to take advantage of such a multidisciplinary environment, to offer to the readers a much deeper understanding of the commonalities and differences of the various approaches to simulation-based optimization, especially in uncertain environments. Editors aim to offer a bibliographic reference on the topic, enabling interested readers to learn about the state-of-the-art in this research area, also accounting for potential real-world applications to improve also the state-of-the-practice. Besides researchers and scientists of the field, the primary audience for the proposed book includes PhD students, academic teachers, as well as practitioners and professionals. Each of these categories of potential readers present adequate channels for marketing actions, e.g. scientific, academic or professional societies, internet-based communities, and authors or buyers of related publications.
Book Synopsis Root Zone Water Quality Model by : Lajpat Ahuja
Download or read book Root Zone Water Quality Model written by Lajpat Ahuja and published by Water Resources Publication. This book was released on 2000 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication comes with computer software and presents a comprehensive simulation model designed to predict the hydrologic response, including potential for surface and groundwater contamination, of alternative crop-management systems. It simulates crop development and the movement of water, nutrients and pesticides over and through the root zone for a representative unit area of an agricultural field over multiple years. The model allows simulation of a wide spectrum of management practices and scenarios with special features such as the rapid transport of surface-applied chemicals through macropores to deeper depths and the preferential transport of chemicals within the soil matrix via mobile-immobile zones. The transfer of surface-applied chemicals (pesticides in particular) to runoff water is also an important component.
Book Synopsis Selected Water Resources Abstracts by :
Download or read book Selected Water Resources Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 804 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Sensitivity Analysis by : Emanuele Borgonovo
Download or read book Sensitivity Analysis written by Emanuele Borgonovo and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-04-19 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an expository introduction to the methodology of sensitivity analysis of model output. It is primarily intended for investigators, students and researchers that are familiar with mathematical models but are less familiar with the techniques for performing their sensitivity analysis. A variety of sensitivity methods have been developed over the years. This monograph helps the analyst in her/his first exploration of this world. The main goal is to foster the recognition of the crucial role of sensitivity analysis methods as the techniques that allow us to gain insights from quantitative models. Also, exercising rigor in performing sensitivity analysis becomes increasingly relevant both to decision makers and modelers. The book helps the analyst in structuring her/his sensitivity analysis quest properly, so as to obtain the correct answer to the corresponding managerial question. The first part of the book covers Deterministic Methods, including Tornado Diagrams; One-Way Sensitivity Analysis; Differentiation-Based Methods and Local Sensitivity Analysis with Constraints. The second part looks at Probabilistic Methods, including Regression-Based methods, Variance-Based Methods, and Distribution-Based methods. The final section looks at Applications, including capital budgeting, sensitivity analysis in climate change modelling and in the risk assessment of a lunar space mission.
Book Synopsis Research Journal of the Water Pollution Control Federation by :
Download or read book Research Journal of the Water Pollution Control Federation written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 876 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis, Volume II by : Dan G. Cacuci
Download or read book Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis, Volume II written by Dan G. Cacuci and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2005-05-16 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As computer-assisted modeling and analysis of physical processes have continued to grow and diversify, sensitivity and uncertainty analyses have become indispensable scientific tools. Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis. Volume I: Theory focused on the mathematical underpinnings of two important methods for such analyses: the Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Procedure and the Global Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Procedure. This volume concentrates on the practical aspects of performing these analyses for large-scale systems. The applications addressed include two-phase flow problems, a radiative convective model for climate simulations, and large-scale models for numerical weather prediction.
Book Synopsis Sensitivity Analysis by : Andrea Saltelli
Download or read book Sensitivity Analysis written by Andrea Saltelli and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2000-10-03 with total page 515 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sensitivity analysis is used to ascertain how a given model output depends upon the input parameters. This is an important method for checking the quality of a given model, as well as a powerful tool for checking the robustness and reliability of its analysis. The topic is acknowledged as essential for good modelling practice, and is an implicit part of any modelling field. · Offers an accessible introduction to sensitivity analysis · Covers all the latest research · Illustrates concepts with numerous examples, applications and case studies · Includes contributions form the leading researchers active in developing strategies for sensitivity analysis The principles of sensitivity analysis area carefully described, and suitable methods for approaching many types of problems are given. The book introduces the modeller to the entire causal assessment chain, from data to predictions, whilst explaining the impact of source uncertainties and framing assumptions. A 'hitch-hiker's guide' is included to allow the more experienced reader to readily access specific applications. Modellers from a wide range of disciplines, including biostatistics, economics, environmental impact assessment, chemistry and engineering will benefit greatly form the numerous examples and applications.
Download or read book DayWater written by Daniel R. Thevenot and published by IWA Publishing. This book was released on 2008-03-15 with total page 313 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European DayWater project has developed a prototype of an Adaptive Decision Support System (ADSS) related to urban stormwater pollution source control. The DayWater ADSS greatly facilitates decision-making for stormwater source control, which is currently impeded by the large number of stakeholders involved and by the necessary multidisciplinary knowledge. This book presents the results of this project, providing new insights into both technical and management issues. The main objectives of its technical chapters are pollution source control modelling, risk and impact assessment, and evaluation and comparison of best management practices. It also covers management aspects, such as the analysis of the decision-making processes in stormwater source control, at a European scale, and stormwater management strategies in general. The combination of scientific-technical and socio-managerial knowledge, with the strong cooperation of numerous end-users, reflects the innovative character of this book which includes actual applications of the ADSS prototype in significant case studies. DayWater: an Adaptive Decision Support System for Urban Stormwater Management contains 26 chapters collectively prepared by DayWater scientific partners and end-users associated with this European Research and Development project. It includes: A general presentation of the DayWater Adaptive Decision Support System (ADSS) structure and operation modes A detailed description of the major components of this ADSS prototype The assessment of its components in significant case studies in France, Germany and Sweden The proceedings of the International Conference on Decision Support Systems for Integrated Urban Water Management, held in Paris on 3-4 November 2005. The book presents the ADSS prototype including a combination of freely accessible on-line databases, guidance documents, “road maps” and modelling or multi-criteria analysis tools. As demonstrated in several significant case studies the challenge for stormwater managers is to make the benefits of urban stormwater management visible to society, resulting in active co-operation of a diversity of stakeholders. Only then, will sustainable management succeed. DayWater: an Adaptive Decision Support System for Urban Stormwater Management advances this cause of sustainable urban management through Urban stormwater management, and makes achievable (by means of risk and vulnerability tools which are included) the goal of integrated urban water management (IUWM).
Book Synopsis River Water Quality Model by : P. Reichert
Download or read book River Water Quality Model written by P. Reichert and published by IWA Publishing. This book was released on 2001-08-31 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Scientific and Technical Report (STR) presents the findings of the IWA Task Group on River Water Quality Modelling (RWQM). The task group was formed to create a scientific and technical base from which to formulate standardized, consistent river water quality models and guidelines for their implementation. This STR presents the first outcome in this effort: River Water Quality Model No. 1 (RWQM1). As background to the development of River Water Quality Model No.1, the Task Group completed a critical evaluation of the current state of the practice in water quality modelling. A major limitation in model formulation is the continued reliance on BOD as the primary state variable, despite the fact BOD does not include all biodegradable matter. A related difficulty is the poor representation of benthic flux terms. As a result of these limitations, it is impossible to close mass balances completely in most existing models. These various limitations in current river water quality models impair their predictive ability in situations of marked changes in a river's pollutant load, streamflow, morphometry, or other basic characteristics. RWQM 1 is intended to serve as a framework for river water quality models that overcome these deficiencies in traditional water quality models and most particularly the failure to close mass balances between the water column and sediment. To these ends, the model incorporates fundamental water quality components and processes to characterise carbon, oxygen, nitrogen, and phosphorus (C, O, N, and P) cycling instead of biochemical oxygen demand as used in traditional models. The model is presented in terms of process and components represented via a 'Petersen stoichiometry matrix', the same approach used for the IWA Activated Sludge Models. The full RWQM1 includes 24 components and 30 processes. The report provides detailed examples on reducing the numbers of components and processes to fit specific water quality problems. Thus, the model provides a framework for both complicated and simplified models. Detailed explanations of the model components, process equations, stoichiometric parameters, and kinetic parameters are provided, as are example parameter values and two case studies. The STR is intended to launch a participatory process of model development, application, and refinement. RWQM1 provides a framework for this process, but the goal of the Task Group is to involve water quality professionals worldwide in the continued work developing a new water quality modelling approach. This text will be an invaluable reference for researchers and graduate students specializing in water resources, hydrology, water quality, or environmental modelling in departments of environmental engineering, natural resources, civil engineering, chemical engineering, environmental sciences, and ecology. Water resources engineers, water quality engineers and technical specialists in environmental consultancy, government agencies or regulated industries will also value this critical assessment of the state of practice in water quality modelling. Key Features presents a unique new technical approach to river water quality modelling provides a detailed technical presentation of the RWQM1 water quality process model gives an informative critical evaluation of the state of the practice in water quality modelling, and problems with those practices provides a step by step procedure to develop a water quality model Scientific & Technical Report No. 12
Book Synopsis Selected Water Resources Abstracts by :
Download or read book Selected Water Resources Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 1210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Integrated Sensitivity Analysis, Calibration, and Uncertainty Propagation Analysis Approaches for Supporting Hydrological Modeling by : Hongjing Wu
Download or read book Integrated Sensitivity Analysis, Calibration, and Uncertainty Propagation Analysis Approaches for Supporting Hydrological Modeling written by Hongjing Wu and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The successful performance of a hydrological model is usually challenged by the quality of the sensitivity analysis, calibration and uncertainty analysis carried out in the modeling exercise and subsequent simulation results. This is especially important under changing climatic conditions where there are more uncertainties associated with climate models and downscaling processes that increase the complexities of the hydrological modeling system. In response to these challenges and to improve the performance of the hydrological models under changing climatic conditions, this research proposed five new methods for supporting hydrological modeling. First, a design of experiment aided sensitivity analysis and parameterization (DOE-SAP) method was proposed to investigate the significant parameters and provide more reliable sensitivity analysis for improving parameterization during hydrological modeling. The better calibration results along with the advanced sensitivity analysis for significant parameters and their interactions were achieved in the case study. Second, a comprehensive uncertainty evaluation scheme was developed to evaluate three uncertainty analysis methods, the sequential uncertainty fitting version 2 (SUFI-2), generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) and Parameter solution (ParaSol) methods. The results showed that the SUFI-2 performed better than the other two methods based on calibration and uncertainty analysis results. The proposed evaluation scheme demonstrated that it is capable of selecting the most suitable uncertainty method for case studies. Third, a novel sequential multi-criteria based calibration and uncertainty analysis (SMC-CUA) method was proposed to improve the efficiency of calibration and uncertainty analysis and control the phenomenon of equifinality. The results showed that the SMC-CUA method was able to provide better uncertainty analysis results with high computational efficiency compared to the SUFI-2 and GLUE methods and control parameter uncertainty and the equifinality effect without sacrificing simulation performance. Fourth, an innovative response based statistical evaluation method (RESEM) was proposed for estimating the uncertainty propagated effects and providing long-term prediction for hydrological responses under changing climatic conditions. By using RESEM, the uncertainty propagated from statistical downscaling to hydrological modeling can be evaluated. Fifth, an integrated simulation-based evaluation system for uncertainty propagation analysis (ISES-UPA) was proposed for investigating the effects and contributions of different uncertainty components to the total propagated uncertainty from statistical downscaling. Using ISES-UPA, the uncertainty from statistical downscaling, uncertainty from hydrological modeling, and the total uncertainty from two uncertainty sources can be compared and quantified. The feasibility of all the methods has been tested using hypothetical and real-world case studies. The proposed methods can also be integrated as a hydrological modeling system to better support hydrological studies under changing climatic conditions. The results from the proposed integrated hydrological modeling system can be used as scientific references for decision makers to reduce the potential risk of damages caused by extreme events for long-term water resource management and planning.
Book Synopsis Sensitivity Analysis in Practice by : Andrea Saltelli
Download or read book Sensitivity Analysis in Practice written by Andrea Saltelli and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-07-16 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sensitivity analysis should be considered a pre-requisite for statistical model building in any scientific discipline where modelling takes place. For a non-expert, choosing the method of analysis for their model is complex, and depends on a number of factors. This book guides the non-expert through their problem in order to enable them to choose and apply the most appropriate method. It offers a review of the state-of-the-art in sensitivity analysis, and is suitable for a wide range of practitioners. It is focussed on the use of SIMLAB – a widely distributed freely-available sensitivity analysis software package developed by the authors – for solving problems in sensitivity analysis of statistical models. Other key features: Provides an accessible overview of the current most widely used methods for sensitivity analysis. Opens with a detailed worked example to explain the motivation behind the book. Includes a range of examples to help illustrate the concepts discussed. Focuses on implementation of the methods in the software SIMLAB - a freely-available sensitivity analysis software package developed by the authors. Contains a large number of references to sources for further reading. Authored by the leading authorities on sensitivity analysis.
Book Synopsis The nth-Order Comprehensive Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology, Volume II by : Dan Gabriel Cacuci
Download or read book The nth-Order Comprehensive Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology, Volume II written by Dan Gabriel Cacuci and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-26 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text describes a comprehensive adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology (nth-CASAM), developed by the author, which enablesthe efficient and exact computation of arbitrarily high-order functional derivatives of model responses to model parameters in large-scale systems. The nth-CASAM framework is set in linearly increasing Hilbert spaces, each of state-function-dimensionality, as opposed to exponentially increasing parameter-dimensional spaces, thereby overcoming the so-called “curse of dimensionality” in sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. The nth-CASAM is applicable to any model; the larger the number of model parameters, the more efficient the nth-CASAM becomes for computing arbitrarily high-order response sensitivities. The book will be helpful to those working in the fields of sensitivity analysis, uncertainty quantification, model validation, optimization, data assimilation, model calibration, sensor fusion, reduced-order modelling, inverse problems and predictive modelling. This Volume Two, the second of three, presents the large-scale application of the nth-CASAM to perform a representative fourth-order sensitivity analysis of the Polyethylene-Reflected Plutonium benchmark described in the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook. This benchmark is modeled mathematically by the Boltzmann particle transport equation, involving 21,976 imprecisely-known parameters, the numerical solution of which requires representative large-scale computations. The sensitivity analysis presented in this volume is the most comprehensive ever performed in the field of reactor physics and the results presented in this book prove, perhaps counter-intuitively, that many of the 4th-order sensitivities are much larger than the corresponding 3rd-order ones, which are, in turn, much larger than the 2nd-order ones, all of which are much larger than the 1st-order sensitivities. Currently, the nth-CASAM is the only known methodology which enables such large-scale computations of exactly obtained expressions of arbitrarily-high-order response sensitivities.
