Risk-Free Discount Rates and Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk-Free Discount Rates and Stock Returns by : Aurelija Griskaite

Download or read book Risk-Free Discount Rates and Stock Returns written by Aurelija Griskaite and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research examines the ability of Earnings less Risk-free Interest Charge (ERIC) to predict stock returns. We find that that earnings, cash flow, and total income are more strongly associated with stock returns than ERIC or residual income. In conclusion, our research suggests that mandatory metrics typically outperform ERIC and residual income.

The Little Book of Valuation

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118064143
Total Pages : 269 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis The Little Book of Valuation by : Aswath Damodaran

Download or read book The Little Book of Valuation written by Aswath Damodaran and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-03-29 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An accessible, and intuitive, guide to stock valuation Valuation is at the heart of any investment decision, whether that decision is to buy, sell, or hold. In The Little Book of Valuation, expert Aswath Damodaran explains the techniques in language that any investors can understand, so you can make better investment decisions when reviewing stock research reports and engaging in independent efforts to value and pick stocks. Page by page, Damodaran distills the fundamentals of valuation, without glossing over or ignoring key concepts, and develops models that you can easily understand and use. Along the way, he covers various valuation approaches from intrinsic or discounted cash flow valuation and multiples or relative valuation to some elements of real option valuation. Includes case studies and examples that will help build your valuation skills Written by Aswath Damodaran, one of today's most respected valuation experts Includes an accompanying iPhone application (iVal) that makes the lessons of the book immediately useable Written with the individual investor in mind, this reliable guide will not only help you value a company quickly, but will also help you make sense of valuations done by others or found in comprehensive equity research reports.

Stock Returns Predictability and the Role of Monetary Policy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Returns Predictability and the Role of Monetary Policy by : Alex D. Patelis

Download or read book Stock Returns Predictability and the Role of Monetary Policy written by Alex D. Patelis and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines whether shifts in the stance of monetary policy can account for the observed predictability in excess stock returns. Using long-horizon regressions and short-horizon vector auto-regressions, the paper concludes that monetary policy variables are significant predictors of future returns, though they cannot fully account for observed stock return predictability. I undertake variance decompositions to investigate how monetary policy affects the individual components of excess returns (risk-free discount rates, risk premia, or cash flows).

Valuation Approaches and Metrics

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Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601980140
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuation Approaches and Metrics by : Aswath Damodaran

Download or read book Valuation Approaches and Metrics written by Aswath Damodaran and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Valuation lies at the heart of much of what we do in finance, whether it is the study of market efficiency and questions about corporate governance or the comparison of different investment decision rules in capital budgeting. In this paper, we consider the theory and evidence on valuation approaches. We begin by surveying the literature on discounted cash flow valuation models, ranging from the first mentions of the dividend discount model to value stocks to the use of excess return models in more recent years. In the second part of the paper, we examine relative valuation models and, in particular, the use of multiples and comparables in valuation and evaluate whether relative valuation models yield more or less precise estimates of value than discounted cash flow models. In the final part of the paper, we set the stage for further research in valuation by noting the estimation challenges we face as companies globalize and become exposed to risk in multiple countries.

Venture Capital and the Finance of Innovation

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Publisher : John Wiley and Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118137884
Total Pages : 1153 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Venture Capital and the Finance of Innovation by : Andrew Metrick

Download or read book Venture Capital and the Finance of Innovation written by Andrew Metrick and published by John Wiley and Sons. This book was released on 2011-06-15 with total page 1153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This useful guide walks venture capitalists through the principles of finance and the financial models that underlie venture capital decisions. It presents a new unified treatment of investment decision making and mark-to-market valuation. The discussions of risk-return and cost-of-capital calculations have been updated with the latest information. The most current industry data is included to demonstrate large changes in venture capital investments since 1999. The coverage of the real-options methodology has also been streamlined and includes new connections to venture capital valuation. In addition, venture capitalists will find revised information on the reality-check valuation model to allow for greater flexibility in growth assumptions.

Financial Markets and the Real Economy

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Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1933019158
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane

Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Discount Rates and Asset Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Discount Rates and Asset Returns by : David Brown

Download or read book Discount Rates and Asset Returns written by David Brown and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Endowments and foundations typically use a Market Value Spending (MVS) policy that distributes for current operations the product of the market value of assets and a spending rate that is adjusted infrequently. We show that that adjusting the spending rate with changes in expected returns, Market Rate Spending (MRS), better meets the key endowment objectives of generational neutrality and stable spending. Fixed spending rates transfer spending to one “generation” at the expense of another generation. The increase in spending when asset values increase due to a decrease in discount rates is not sustainable. Future spending declines as asset returns do not keep pace with the spending rate. The opposite occurs when expected returns rise. MRS maintains generational neutrality by matching spending rates and expected returns. MRS also results in more stable spending than MVS when MRS is paired with investments in long duration assets because the impact of discount rate shocks on spending rates are offset by changes in long duration asset values. Specifically, we show that the “hedge asset” with generationally neutral spending an asset with the duration of a perpetuity. Endowment spending stability depends on the exposure of the endowment portfolio value to risk free rate, risk premium, and cash flow shocks. Smaller equity (larger bond) allocations reduce the portfolio value exposure to cash flow shocks and MRS and MVS spending volatility equally. Since equity assets have long durations, risk premium shocks have a much larger impact on MVS spending. Risk free rate shocks potentially have no impact on MRS spending as the bond allocation duration can be set so the portfolio duration matches the hedge asset duration. Estimated year over year spending volatility from simulated returns for a long duration fixed income portfolio with MRS is more than 90% lower than MVS applied to a market duration bond portfolio. Year over year spending variance estimates from simulated equity returns are 28% to 34% lower than with MVS. The reduction in spending variance using spending rates based on dividend yields is (1) more than four times larger than the ability of the discount rate to forecast (out of sample R2) future one year returns, and (2) approximately 40% to 56% of the variance of equity returns due to discount rate shocks.

Damodaran on Valuation

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470049375
Total Pages : 698 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Damodaran on Valuation by : Aswath Damodaran

Download or read book Damodaran on Valuation written by Aswath Damodaran and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-08 with total page 698 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Aswath Damodaran is simply the best valuation teacher around. If you are interested in the theory or practice of valuation, you should have Damodaran on Valuation on your bookshelf. You can bet that I do." -- Michael J. Mauboussin, Chief Investment Strategist, Legg Mason Capital Management and author of More Than You Know: Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places In order to be a successful CEO, corporate strategist, or analyst, understanding the valuation process is a necessity. The second edition of Damodaran on Valuation stands out as the most reliable book for answering many of today?s critical valuation questions. Completely revised and updated, this edition is the ideal book on valuation for CEOs and corporate strategists. You'll gain an understanding of the vitality of today?s valuation models and develop the acumen needed for the most complex and subtle valuation scenarios you will face.

How to Discount Cashflows with Time-varying Expected Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis How to Discount Cashflows with Time-varying Expected Returns by : Andrew Ang

Download or read book How to Discount Cashflows with Time-varying Expected Returns written by Andrew Ang and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While many studies document that the market risk premium is predictable and that betas are not constant, the dividend discount model ignores time-varying risk premiums and betas. We develop a model to consistently value cashflows with changing risk-free rates, predictable risk premiums and conditional betas in the context of a conditional CAPM. Practical valuation is accomplished with an analytic term structure of discount rates, with different discount rates applied to expected cashflows at different horizons. Using constant discount rates can produce large mis-valuations, which, in portfolio data, are mostly driven at short horizons by market risk premiums and at long horizons by time-variation in risk-free rates and factor loadings.

Valuing Climate Damages

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309454204
Total Pages : 281 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuing Climate Damages by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Valuing Climate Damages written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2017-06-23 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The social cost of carbon (SC-CO2) is an economic metric intended to provide a comprehensive estimate of the net damages - that is, the monetized value of the net impacts, both negative and positive - from the global climate change that results from a small (1-metric ton) increase in carbon-dioxide (CO2) emissions. Under Executive Orders regarding regulatory impact analysis and as required by a court ruling, the U.S. government has since 2008 used estimates of the SC-CO2 in federal rulemakings to value the costs and benefits associated with changes in CO2 emissions. In 2010, the Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases (IWG) developed a methodology for estimating the SC-CO2 across a range of assumptions about future socioeconomic and physical earth systems. Valuing Climate Changes examines potential approaches, along with their relative merits and challenges, for a comprehensive update to the current methodology. This publication also recommends near- and longer-term research priorities to ensure that the SC- CO2 estimates reflect the best available science.

Real Estate Risk in Equity Returns

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3834994960
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (349 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Estate Risk in Equity Returns by : Gaston Michel

Download or read book Real Estate Risk in Equity Returns written by Gaston Michel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-08-03 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gaston Michel investigates whether shocks to real estate markets constitute an important source of the risk that is priced in the cross section of equity returns. His results document that real estate risk explains a large part of the cross-sectional variation in equity returns. He shows that an alternative modeI which includes the real estate factor performs as well as or better than the Fama-French model in pricing equity returns.

Risk and Rates of Return

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3656431620
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (564 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and Rates of Return by : Maximilian Wegener

Download or read book Risk and Rates of Return written by Maximilian Wegener and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2013-05-29 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 9.0, Maastricht University (SBE), course: Intermediate Financial Management, language: English, abstract: In 1996, Northern Electric and Mid-Continent Gas merged into the North Central Utilities (NCU) since both companies were convinced that future success is dependent on the provision of an entire set of energy sources. Furthermore the merger put both firms in a better position compared to their competitors, especially in view of the fact that in 1996, regulatory changes empowered companies to compete for business in other firm’s territories. Beforehand, competition basically did not exist and the profits were determined easily. Companies knew the amount of capital invested, the cost of capital and the product of those two demonstrated the profits, which had to be generated. In the following case, several questions will be answered to the changing conditions in the utility industry....

Risk and Return for Regulated Industries

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128125888
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and Return for Regulated Industries by : Bente Villadsen

Download or read book Risk and Return for Regulated Industries written by Bente Villadsen and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2017-04-27 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and Return for Regulated Industries provides a much-needed, comprehensive review of how cost of capital risk arises and can be measured, how the special risks regulated industries face affect fair return, and the challenges that regulated industries are likely to face in the future. Rather than following the trend of broad industry introductions or textbook style reviews of utility finance, it covers the topics of most interest to regulators, regulated companies, regulatory lawyers, and rate-of-return analysts in all countries. Accordingly, the book also includes case studies about various countries and discussions of the lessons international regulatory procedures can offer. Presents a unified treatment of the regulatory principles and practices used to assess the required return on capital Addresses current practices before exploring the ways methods play out in practice, including irregularities, shortcomings, and concerns for the future Focuses on developed economies instead of providing a comprehensive global reviews Foreword by Stewart C. Myers

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

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Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 9291316695
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (913 download)

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Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :

Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Market Consistency

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470684895
Total Pages : 647 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Consistency by : Malcolm Kemp

Download or read book Market Consistency written by Malcolm Kemp and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-09-10 with total page 647 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Achieving market consistency can be challenging, even for the most established finance practitioners. In Market Consistency: Model Calibration in Imperfect Markets, leading expert Malcolm Kemp shows readers how they can best incorporate market consistency across all disciplines. Building on the author's experience as a practitioner, writer and speaker on the topic, the book explores how risk management and related disciplines might develop as fair valuation principles become more entrenched in finance and regulatory practice. This is the only text that clearly illustrates how to calibrate risk, pricing and portfolio construction models to a market consistent level, carefully explaining in a logical sequence when and how market consistency should be used, what it means for different financial disciplines and how it can be achieved for both liquid and illiquid positions. It explains why market consistency is intrinsically difficult to achieve with certainty in some types of activities, including computation of hedging parameters, and provides solutions to even the most complex problems. The book also shows how to best mark-to-market illiquid assets and liabilities and to incorporate these valuations into solvency and other types of financial analysis; it indicates how to define and identify risk-free interest rates, even when the creditworthiness of governments is no longer undoubted; and it explores when practitioners should focus most on market consistency and when their clients or employers might have less desire for such an emphasis. Finally, the book analyses the intrinsic role of regulation and risk management within different parts of the financial services industry, identifying how and why market consistency is key to these topics, and highlights why ideal regulatory solvency approaches for long term investors like insurers and pension funds may not be the same as for other financial market participants such as banks and asset managers.

Asset Pricing

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400829135
Total Pages : 560 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Pricing by : John H. Cochrane

Download or read book Asset Pricing written by John H. Cochrane and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-11 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea--price equals expected discounted payoff--that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model--consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing--is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.

Stock Return, Dividend Growth and Consumption Growth Predictability Across Markets and Time

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Return, Dividend Growth and Consumption Growth Predictability Across Markets and Time by : David G. McMillan

Download or read book Stock Return, Dividend Growth and Consumption Growth Predictability Across Markets and Time written by David G. McMillan and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper links variation in the predictive regressions for stock returns, dividend growth and consumption growth to economic and market factors. The nature of these links can reveal whether movement in asset prices occurs primarily through the discount rate (risk-free rate or risk premium) or cash flow (economic conditions) channel, while they also help explain the mixed results for predictability reported in the literature. Variation is examined through cross-sectional regressions across fifteen markets and over time using rolling regressions. The cross-sectional and time-varying parameters are regressed against output growth, interest rates and inflation as well as market variables using fixed effects panel as well as both OLS and logit approaches. Panel and time-series predictive regressions based on two approaches that seek to identify periods of high expected returns (high risk premium) are also considered. The key implication for asset pricing is that although movement occurs through both channels, stock return predictability is more dominated by the discount rate channel and consumption growth predictability more so by the cash flow channel. Intuitively, such a difference may arise as investors and households rebalance their asset holdings and consumption at different speeds. There is also some evidence of money illusion through the inflation variable.