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Risk And Reinforcement Learning
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Book Synopsis Machine Learning Risk Assessments in Criminal Justice Settings by : Richard Berk
Download or read book Machine Learning Risk Assessments in Criminal Justice Settings written by Richard Berk and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-13 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book puts in one place and in accessible form Richard Berk’s most recent work on forecasts of re-offending by individuals already in criminal justice custody. Using machine learning statistical procedures trained on very large datasets, an explicit introduction of the relative costs of forecasting errors as the forecasts are constructed, and an emphasis on maximizing forecasting accuracy, the author shows how his decades of research on the topic improves forecasts of risk. Criminal justice risk forecasts anticipate the future behavior of specified individuals, rather than “predictive policing” for locations in time and space, which is a very different enterprise that uses different data different data analysis tools. The audience for this book includes graduate students and researchers in the social sciences, and data analysts in criminal justice agencies. Formal mathematics is used only as necessary or in concert with more intuitive explanations.
Book Synopsis Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk by : Richard Berk
Download or read book Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk written by Richard Berk and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-04-06 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Machine learning and nonparametric function estimation procedures can be effectively used in forecasting. One important and current application is used to make forecasts of “future dangerousness" to inform criminal justice decision. Examples include the decision to release an individual on parole, determination of the parole conditions, bail recommendations, and sentencing. Since the 1920s, "risk assessments" of various kinds have been used in parole hearings, but the current availability of large administrative data bases, inexpensive computing power, and developments in statistics and computer science have increased their accuracy and applicability. In this book, these developments are considered with particular emphasis on the statistical and computer science tools, under the rubric of supervised learning, that can dramatically improve these kinds of forecasts in criminal justice settings. The intended audience is researchers in the social sciences and data analysts in criminal justice agencies.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning for Financial Risk Management with Python by : Abdullah Karasan
Download or read book Machine Learning for Financial Risk Management with Python written by Abdullah Karasan and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2021-12-07 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial risk management is quickly evolving with the help of artificial intelligence. With this practical book, developers, programmers, engineers, financial analysts, risk analysts, and quantitative and algorithmic analysts will examine Python-based machine learning and deep learning models for assessing financial risk. Building hands-on AI-based financial modeling skills, you'll learn how to replace traditional financial risk models with ML models. Author Abdullah Karasan helps you explore the theory behind financial risk modeling before diving into practical ways of employing ML models in modeling financial risk using Python. With this book, you will: Review classical time series applications and compare them with deep learning models Explore volatility modeling to measure degrees of risk, using support vector regression, neural networks, and deep learning Improve market risk models (VaR and ES) using ML techniques and including liquidity dimension Develop a credit risk analysis using clustering and Bayesian approaches Capture different aspects of liquidity risk with a Gaussian mixture model and Copula model Use machine learning models for fraud detection Predict stock price crash and identify its determinants using machine learning models
Book Synopsis Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning Via Policy Gradient Search by : Prashanth L. A.
Download or read book Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning Via Policy Gradient Search written by Prashanth L. A. and published by . This book was released on 2022-06-15 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reinforcement learning (RL) is one of the foundational pillars of artificial intelligence and machine learning. An important consideration in any optimization or control problem is the notion of risk, but its incorporation into RL has been a fairly recent development. This monograph surveys research on risk-sensitive RL that uses policy gradient search.The authors survey some of the recent work in this area specifically where policy gradient search is the solution approach. In the first risk-sensitive RL setting, they cover popular risk measures based on variance, conditional value at-risk and chance constraints, and present a template for policy gradient-based risk-sensitive RL algorithms using a Lagrangian formulation. For the setting where risk is incorporated directly into the objective function, they consider an exponential utility formulation, cumulative prospect theory, and coherent risk measures.Written for novices and experts alike the authors have made the text completely self-contained but also organized in a manner that allows expert readers to skip background chapters. This is a complete guide for students and researchers working on this aspect of machine learning.
Book Synopsis Risk Sensitive Approaches for Reinforcement Learning by : Peter Geibel
Download or read book Risk Sensitive Approaches for Reinforcement Learning written by Peter Geibel and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Machine Learning for Risk Calculations by : Ignacio Ruiz
Download or read book Machine Learning for Risk Calculations written by Ignacio Ruiz and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-12-20 with total page 471 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State-of-the-art algorithmic deep learning and tensoring techniques for financial institutions The computational demand of risk calculations in financial institutions has ballooned and shows no sign of stopping. It is no longer viable to simply add more computing power to deal with this increased demand. The solution? Algorithmic solutions based on deep learning and Chebyshev tensors represent a practical way to reduce costs while simultaneously increasing risk calculation capabilities. Machine Learning for Risk Calculations: A Practitioner’s View provides an in-depth review of a number of algorithmic solutions and demonstrates how they can be used to overcome the massive computational burden of risk calculations in financial institutions. This book will get you started by reviewing fundamental techniques, including deep learning and Chebyshev tensors. You’ll then discover algorithmic tools that, in combination with the fundamentals, deliver actual solutions to the real problems financial institutions encounter on a regular basis. Numerical tests and examples demonstrate how these solutions can be applied to practical problems, including XVA and Counterparty Credit Risk, IMM capital, PFE, VaR, FRTB, Dynamic Initial Margin, pricing function calibration, volatility surface parametrisation, portfolio optimisation and others. Finally, you’ll uncover the benefits these techniques provide, the practicalities of implementing them, and the software which can be used. Review the fundamentals of deep learning and Chebyshev tensors Discover pioneering algorithmic techniques that can create new opportunities in complex risk calculation Learn how to apply the solutions to a wide range of real-life risk calculations. Download sample code used in the book, so you can follow along and experiment with your own calculations Realize improved risk management whilst overcoming the burden of limited computational power Quants, IT professionals, and financial risk managers will benefit from this practitioner-oriented approach to state-of-the-art risk calculation.
Download or read book Disrupting Finance written by Theo Lynn and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-06 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access Pivot demonstrates how a variety of technologies act as innovation catalysts within the banking and financial services sector. Traditional banks and financial services are under increasing competition from global IT companies such as Google, Apple, Amazon and PayPal whilst facing pressure from investors to reduce costs, increase agility and improve customer retention. Technologies such as blockchain, cloud computing, mobile technologies, big data analytics and social media therefore have perhaps more potential in this industry and area of business than any other. This book defines a fintech ecosystem for the 21st century, providing a state-of-the art review of current literature, suggesting avenues for new research and offering perspectives from business, technology and industry.
Book Synopsis Learning to Deal with Risk : what Does Reinforcement Learning Tell Us about Risk Attitudes? by : Albert Burgos
Download or read book Learning to Deal with Risk : what Does Reinforcement Learning Tell Us about Risk Attitudes? written by Albert Burgos and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Medical Risk Prediction Models by : Thomas A. Gerds
Download or read book Medical Risk Prediction Models written by Thomas A. Gerds and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-02-01 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Medical Risk Prediction Models: With Ties to Machine Learning is a hands-on book for clinicians, epidemiologists, and professional statisticians who need to make or evaluate a statistical prediction model based on data. The subject of the book is the patient’s individualized probability of a medical event within a given time horizon. Gerds and Kattan describe the mathematical details of making and evaluating a statistical prediction model in a highly pedagogical manner while avoiding mathematical notation. Read this book when you are in doubt about whether a Cox regression model predicts better than a random survival forest. Features: All you need to know to correctly make an online risk calculator from scratch Discrimination, calibration, and predictive performance with censored data and competing risks R-code and illustrative examples Interpretation of prediction performance via benchmarks Comparison and combination of rival modeling strategies via cross-validation Thomas A. Gerds is a professor at the Biostatistics Unit at the University of Copenhagen and is affiliated with the Danish Heart Foundation. He is the author of several R-packages on CRAN and has taught statistics courses to non-statisticians for many years. Michael W. Kattan is a highly cited author and Chair of the Department of Quantitative Health Sciences at Cleveland Clinic. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and has received two awards from the Society for Medical Decision Making: the Eugene L. Saenger Award for Distinguished Service, and the John M. Eisenberg Award for Practical Application of Medical Decision-Making Research.
Book Synopsis Reinforcement Learning, second edition by : Richard S. Sutton
Download or read book Reinforcement Learning, second edition written by Richard S. Sutton and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2018-11-13 with total page 549 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The significantly expanded and updated new edition of a widely used text on reinforcement learning, one of the most active research areas in artificial intelligence. Reinforcement learning, one of the most active research areas in artificial intelligence, is a computational approach to learning whereby an agent tries to maximize the total amount of reward it receives while interacting with a complex, uncertain environment. In Reinforcement Learning, Richard Sutton and Andrew Barto provide a clear and simple account of the field's key ideas and algorithms. This second edition has been significantly expanded and updated, presenting new topics and updating coverage of other topics. Like the first edition, this second edition focuses on core online learning algorithms, with the more mathematical material set off in shaded boxes. Part I covers as much of reinforcement learning as possible without going beyond the tabular case for which exact solutions can be found. Many algorithms presented in this part are new to the second edition, including UCB, Expected Sarsa, and Double Learning. Part II extends these ideas to function approximation, with new sections on such topics as artificial neural networks and the Fourier basis, and offers expanded treatment of off-policy learning and policy-gradient methods. Part III has new chapters on reinforcement learning's relationships to psychology and neuroscience, as well as an updated case-studies chapter including AlphaGo and AlphaGo Zero, Atari game playing, and IBM Watson's wagering strategy. The final chapter discusses the future societal impacts of reinforcement learning.
Book Synopsis Risk Assessment of Reinforcement Learning AI Systems by : Kyle Bunch
Download or read book Risk Assessment of Reinforcement Learning AI Systems written by Kyle Bunch and published by . This book was released on 2024-07-02 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report presents some of the challenges that the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) may face in fielding an artificial intelligence technology called reinforcement learning--which expands the decisionmaking ability of machines--in DoD applications.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning Proceedings 1994 by : William W. Cohen
Download or read book Machine Learning Proceedings 1994 written by William W. Cohen and published by Morgan Kaufmann. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 398 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Machine Learning Proceedings 1994
Download or read book Risk Modeling written by Terisa Roberts and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2022-09-20 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A wide-ranging overview of the use of machine learning and AI techniques in financial risk management, including practical advice for implementation Risk Modeling: Practical Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning introduces readers to the use of innovative AI technologies for forecasting and evaluating financial risks. Providing up-to-date coverage of the practical application of current modelling techniques in risk management, this real-world guide also explores new opportunities and challenges associated with implementing machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) into the risk management process. Authors Terisa Roberts and Stephen Tonna provide readers with a clear understanding about the strengths and weaknesses of machine learning and AI while explaining how they can be applied to both everyday risk management problems and to evaluate the financial impact of extreme events such as global pandemics and changes in climate. Throughout the text, the authors clarify misconceptions about the use of machine learning and AI techniques using clear explanations while offering step-by-step advice for implementing the technologies into an organization's risk management model governance framework. This authoritative volume: Highlights the use of machine learning and AI in identifying procedures for avoiding or minimizing financial risk Discusses practical tools for assessing bias and interpretability of resultant models developed with machine learning algorithms and techniques Covers the basic principles and nuances of feature engineering and common machine learning algorithms Illustrates how risk modeling is incorporating machine learning and AI techniques to rapidly consume complex data and address current gaps in the end-to-end modelling lifecycle Explains how proprietary software and open-source languages can be combined to deliver the best of both worlds: for risk models and risk practitioners Risk Modeling: Practical Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning is an invaluable guide for CEOs, CROs, CFOs, risk managers, business managers, and other professionals working in risk management.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning for Financial Risk Management with Python by : Abdullah Karasan
Download or read book Machine Learning for Financial Risk Management with Python written by Abdullah Karasan and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2021-12-07 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial risk management is quickly evolving with the help of artificial intelligence. With this practical book, developers, programmers, engineers, financial analysts, and risk analysts will explore Python-based machine learning and deep learning models for assessing financial risk. You'll learn how to compare results from ML models with results obtained by traditional financial risk models. Author Abdullah Karasan helps you explore the theory behind financial risk assessment before diving into the differences between traditional and ML models. Review classical time series applications and compare them with deep learning models Explore volatility modeling to measure degrees of risk, using support vector regression, neural networks, and deep learning Revisit and improve market risk models (VaR and expected shortfall) using machine learning techniques Develop a credit risk based on a clustering technique for risk bucketing, then apply Bayesian estimation, Markov chain, and other ML models Capture different aspects of liquidity with a Gaussian mixture model Use machine learning models for fraud detection Identify corporate risk using the stock price crash metric Explore a synthetic data generation process to employ in financial risk.
Book Synopsis Applied Probability Models with Optimization Applications by : Sheldon M. Ross
Download or read book Applied Probability Models with Optimization Applications written by Sheldon M. Ross and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2013-04-15 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Concise advanced-level introduction to stochastic processes that arise in applied probability. Poisson process, renewal theory, Markov chains, Brownian motion, much more. Problems. References. Bibliography. 1970 edition.
Book Synopsis Computational Theories of Interaction and Agency by : Philip Agre
Download or read book Computational Theories of Interaction and Agency written by Philip Agre and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 794 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over time the field of artificial intelligence has developed an "agent perspective" expanding its focus from thought to action, from search spaces to physical environments, and from problem-solving to long-term activity. Originally published as a special double volume of the journal Artificial Intelligence, this book brings together fundamental work by the top researchers in artificial intelligence, neural networks, computer science, robotics, and cognitive science on the themes of interaction and agency. It identifies recurring themes and outlines a methodology of the concept of "agency." The seventeen contributions cover the construction of principled characterizations of interactions between agents and their environments, as well as the use of these characterizations to guide analysis of existing agents and the synthesis of artificial agents.Artificial Intelligence series.Special Issues of Artificial Intelligence
Book Synopsis Deep Reinforcement Learning by : Mohit Sewak
Download or read book Deep Reinforcement Learning written by Mohit Sewak and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-06-27 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book starts by presenting the basics of reinforcement learning using highly intuitive and easy-to-understand examples and applications, and then introduces the cutting-edge research advances that make reinforcement learning capable of out-performing most state-of-art systems, and even humans in a number of applications. The book not only equips readers with an understanding of multiple advanced and innovative algorithms, but also prepares them to implement systems such as those created by Google Deep Mind in actual code. This book is intended for readers who want to both understand and apply advanced concepts in a field that combines the best of two worlds – deep learning and reinforcement learning – to tap the potential of ‘advanced artificial intelligence’ for creating real-world applications and game-winning algorithms.
