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Author : A. Pierre Cloutier
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)
Download or read book Revision of the Forecasting Model for the Consumer Price Index for Food written by A. Pierre Cloutier and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Kuo S. Huang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (243 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Consumer Price Indexes for Food written by Kuo S. Huang and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ronald Norman Irish
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)
Download or read book Forecasting Food Prices in the U.S.A. written by Ronald Norman Irish and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Kuo S. Huang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (833 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Consumer Price Indexes for Food written by Kuo S. Huang and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Dorosh, Paul A.
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)
Download or read book Foresight for food markets: Developing and implementing market forecasting methods/models written by Dorosh, Paul A. and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2024-07-22 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The “Foresight for Food Markets: Developing and Implementing Market Forecasting Methods/Models with Hands-on Training at the FPMU” is an element of Integrated Food Policy Research Program (IFPRP). Originally signed in 2016 between the Government of Bangladesh (GoB) and the Joint Venture (JV) comprising the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), the Bangladesh Institute of the Development Studies (BIDS), and the University of Illinois, IFPRP was extended and modified in subsequent periods. The most recent updated contract between the GoB and the JV was signed in mid-2022. Deliverable 4.3, Foresight for Food Markets: Developing and Implementing Market Forecasting Methods/Models with Hands-on Training at the FPMU is one of the new deliverables included in the updated contract. Rising prices of essential commodities affect consumer welfare and pose a serious challenge to the Government of Bangladesh. Knowing prices of essentials in advance would allow the government to take necessary measures to restrain the extent of price increases or to mitigate effects of rising prices; such measures could include provisions of direct distributions of rice and wheat through social safety net programs or of subsidized open market sales on the one hand and engaging in direct imports of essentials or easing import restrictions for the private sector, on the other. Because price fluctuations are a feature of a free market, there is a persistent need for the government to be able to project consumer prices in advance. Accordingly, it is important that in addition to receiving estimates prepared by external experts, the government has the ability to obtain its own price projections; the government should have the estimates when it needs them and for commodities for which such information is needed. Against this backdrop, IFPRP is providing hands-on training on price projection techniques to officials from the Food Planning and Monitoring Unit (FPMU), the Directorate General of Food (DG Food), and the Ministry of Food (MoFood). It is envisioned that trained officials from the DG Food, the Ministry of Food, and mostly from the FPMU will produce price projection estimates on their own with IFPRP personnel helping a consultative capacity.
Author : Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)
Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
Author : Annemarie Kuhns
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (938 download)
Download or read book How USDA Forecasts Retail Food Price Inflation written by Annemarie Kuhns and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Wholesale and retail food price forecasts are useful to farmers, processors, wholesalers, consumers, and policymakers alike, as the structure and environment of food and agricultural economies are continually evolving. USDA's Economic Research Service analyzes food prices and provides 12- to 18-month food price forecasts for 7 farm, 6 wholesale, and 19 retail food categories. In 2011, ERS's forecasting procedure was updated to employ a vertical price transmission method that incorporates input prices at each stage of production. Where this is not possible, an autoregressive moving average approach is used. This report provides a detailed description of the revised methodology as well as an analysis of the overall accuracy and performance of individual forecasts. The revised forecasting methods show modest increases in forecast accuracy compared with simple univariate approaches previously used by ERS.
Author : Paul C. Westcott
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (117 download)
Download or read book Aggregate Indicators in the Quarterly Agriculture Forecasting Model written by Paul C. Westcott and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Jabez (Jay) Harris
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (134 download)
Download or read book A Machine Learning Approach to Forecasting Consumer Food Prices written by Jabez (Jay) Harris and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building on the success of the Canada Food Price Report 2017 and its inclusion of a machine learning methodology, this research thesis posed and attempted to answer the following question, "What is the best way to predict food prices for the average Canadian consumer?" The Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI) was selected as the dependent variable and forecasted against three data models to access their predictive values. The models included the popular Holt-Winters Triple Smoothing Exponent model as a benchmark, a financial futures-market data model and a model adapted from the Canada Food Price Report 2017. The hope was to create a more robust forecast model for future Canada Food Price Reports and similar econometric predictions. As hypothesized, the Financial Futures-Market based model outperformed the Food Price Report model with a 1.6% average error rate.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 78 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)
Download or read book Working Paper written by and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Theresa Y. Sun
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (2 download)
Download or read book Technical Bulletin written by Theresa Y. Sun and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616356154
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)
Download or read book The Distributional Implications of the Impact of Fuel Price Increases on Inflation written by Mr. Kangni R Kpodar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-11-12 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer price index (CPI). We then combine household survey data with the CPI components to construct a CPI index for the poorest and richest income quintiles with the view to assess the distributional impact of the pass-through. To undertake this analysis, the paper provides an update to the Global Monthly Retail Fuel Price Database, expanding the product coverage to premium and regular fuels, the time dimension to December 2020, and the sample to 190 countries. Three key findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad-based in developing economies than in advanced economies. Second, we show that past studies using crude oil prices instead of retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing power of all households declines as fuel prices increase, the distributional impact is progressive. But the progressivity phases out within 6 months after the shock in advanced economies, whereas it persists beyond a year in developing countries.
Author : Debra E. Gerald
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (243 download)
Download or read book The 10th Federal Forecasters Conference, 1999 written by Debra E. Gerald and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Douglas C. Montgomery
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118745159
Total Pages : 670 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (187 download)
Download or read book Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting written by Douglas C. Montgomery and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-04-21 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for the First Edition "...[t]he book is great for readers who need to apply the methods and models presented but have little background in mathematics and statistics." -MAA Reviews Thoroughly updated throughout, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition presents the underlying theories of time series analysis that are needed to analyze time-oriented data and construct real-world short- to medium-term statistical forecasts. Authored by highly-experienced academics and professionals in engineering statistics, the Second Edition features discussions on both popular and modern time series methodologies as well as an introduction to Bayesian methods in forecasting. Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition also includes: Over 300 exercises from diverse disciplines including health care, environmental studies, engineering, and finance More than 50 programming algorithms using JMP®, SAS®, and R that illustrate the theory and practicality of forecasting techniques in the context of time-oriented data New material on frequency domain and spatial temporal data analysis Expanded coverage of the variogram and spectrum with applications as well as transfer and intervention model functions A supplementary website featuring PowerPoint® slides, data sets, and select solutions to the problems Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition is an ideal textbook upper-undergraduate and graduate-levels courses in forecasting and time series. The book is also an excellent reference for practitioners and researchers who need to model and analyze time series data to generate forecasts.
Author : Marjorie Schnader
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Forecasting Peaks in the Consumer Price Index written by Marjorie Schnader and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Haichuan Xu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)
Download or read book A Semiparametric Forecasting Approach for Predicting the Consumer Price Index written by Haichuan Xu and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the past year, we have witnessed that the U.S. inflation rate hit the highest peak in over 40 years and is still close to its multi-decade high now. The overall change in consumer prices has a significant impact on the nation's economic activity, product manufacturing, consumer behavior, and stock market. In this work, I develop a semiparametric forecasting approach using factor models with a large number of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. The proposed method deals with the complex temporal and cross-sectional dependence of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. Also, the proposed method does not need the prior knowledge of forecasting directions and forecasting function. I will examine the performance of the proposed method in simulation studies and a real-world application for predicting the consumer price index.
Author : Michael Clements
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521634809
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (348 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Michael Clements and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998-10-08 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.
