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Reversal And Momentum Patterns In Weekly Stock Returns
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Book Synopsis Reversal and Momentum Patterns in Weekly Stock Returns by : Hannah Hühn
Download or read book Reversal and Momentum Patterns in Weekly Stock Returns written by Hannah Hühn and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 1 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze short-term reversal and medium-term momentum patterns in weekly stock returns in Europe. Focusing on raw and on stock-specific returns, our empirical results show for both return specifications i) a negative relation between weekly past returns and future returns in the short run and ii) a positive relation in the medium run. However, returns of reversal and momentum strategies based on stock-specific returns are less volatile. In further analyses, we find short-term reversal and medium-term momentum patterns to be connected to stock characteristics. Looking at the potential causes of these effects, our results do not corroborate that short-term reversal in weekly stock returns is due to an over- or underreaction to firm-specific news nor mainly driven by illiquidity. On the other hand, medium-term momentum in weekly stock returns can be connected to behavioral biases. Finally, our concluding tests confirm that our findings are robust among industries, in sub-periods, for the January effect and in varying market states.
Book Synopsis One-Month Individual Stock Return Reversals and Industry Return Momentum by : Marc William Simpson
Download or read book One-Month Individual Stock Return Reversals and Industry Return Momentum written by Marc William Simpson and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a large stream of literature that documents one-month return reversal patterns for individual stocks. Some studies term this reversal pattern overreaction, while others simply skip one-month returns in order to examine longer term momentum patterns in stocks. At the same time, the literature documents that momentum patterns in stock returns tend to be related to momentum patterns in returns to industry portfolios. Further, industry portfolios tend to exhibit return momentum, even at one-month horizons. This paper examines the relationship between individual stock return reversals and industry momentum. We find that individual stock return reversals tend to be related to return reversions within industries. Thus, the predictions of the overreaction hypothesis do not hold, market-wide, but rather within industries. This leads to a dramatically different trading strategy than those suggested by either the overreaction hypothesis or by industry momentum. That is, a strategy that buys the losers within the previous month's winning industry and shorts the winners in the previous month's losing industry significantly outperforms an overreaction-based strategy that simply buys losers and shorts winners in the market overall, and it outperforms a industry-momentum-based strategy that simply buys the previous month's winning industry portfolio and shorts the previous month's losing industry portfolio.
Book Synopsis Quantitative Momentum by : Wesley R. Gray
Download or read book Quantitative Momentum written by Wesley R. Gray and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-10-03 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The individual investor's comprehensive guide to momentum investing Quantitative Momentum brings momentum investing out of Wall Street and into the hands of individual investors. In his last book, Quantitative Value, author Wes Gray brought systematic value strategy from the hedge funds to the masses; in this book, he does the same for momentum investing, the system that has been shown to beat the market and regularly enriches the coffers of Wall Street's most sophisticated investors. First, you'll learn what momentum investing is not: it's not 'growth' investing, nor is it an esoteric academic concept. You may have seen it used for asset allocation, but this book details the ways in which momentum stands on its own as a stock selection strategy, and gives you the expert insight you need to make it work for you. You'll dig into its behavioral psychology roots, and discover the key tactics that are bringing both institutional and individual investors flocking into the momentum fold. Systematic investment strategies always seem to look good on paper, but many fall down in practice. Momentum investing is one of the few systematic strategies with legs, withstanding the test of time and the rigor of academic investigation. This book provides invaluable guidance on constructing your own momentum strategy from the ground up. Learn what momentum is and is not Discover how momentum can beat the market Take momentum beyond asset allocation into stock selection Access the tools that ease DIY implementation The large Wall Street hedge funds tend to portray themselves as the sophisticated elite, but momentum investing allows you to 'borrow' one of their top strategies to enrich your own portfolio. Quantitative Momentum is the individual investor's guide to boosting market success with a robust momentum strategy.
Book Synopsis Momentum and Reversals in Equity-Index Returns During Periods of Abnormal Turnover and Return Dispersion by : Robert A. Connolly
Download or read book Momentum and Reversals in Equity-Index Returns During Periods of Abnormal Turnover and Return Dispersion written by Robert A. Connolly and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We document new patterns in the dynamics between stock returns and trading volume. Specifically, we find substantial momentum (reversals) in consecutive weekly returns when the latter week has unexpectedly high (low) turnover. This pattern is evident in equity indices, index futures, and individual stocks. Similarly, we also find that the autocorrelation in equity-index returns is increasing with the unexpected dispersion across the latter week's firm-level returns. Weeks with extreme turnover and dispersion shocks (both high and low) tend to have more macroeconomic news releases. Our findings bear on understanding price formation and the economic interpretation of turnover and dispersion shocks.
Book Synopsis Risk and Return in Asian Emerging Markets by : N. Cakici
Download or read book Risk and Return in Asian Emerging Markets written by N. Cakici and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-08-13 with total page 347 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and Return in Asian Emerging Markets offers readers a firm insight into the risk and return characteristics of leading Asian emerging market participants by comparing and contrasting behavioral model variables with predictive forecasting methods.
Book Synopsis Momentum and Reversal by : Jennifer S. Conrad
Download or read book Momentum and Reversal written by Jennifer S. Conrad and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stocks in a momentum portfolio, which contribute to momentum profits, do not experience reversal in the long run. Conversely, stocks that do not contribute to momentum profits exhibit subsequent reversals. Merging these separate securities into a single portfolio causes momentum and reversal patterns to appear linked. Stocks with momentum can be separated from those that exhibit reversal using stock characteristics. A portfolio that isolates momentum stocks displays large and persistent risk adjusted returns, which do not vary with behavioral proxies. Our results provide some direction for potential explanations of momentum patterns in returns.
Book Synopsis Trend Following with Managed Futures by : Alex Greyserman
Download or read book Trend Following with Managed Futures written by Alex Greyserman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-08-25 with total page 470 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An all-inclusive guide to trend following As more and more savvy investors move into the space, trend following has become one of the most popular investment strategies. Written for investors and investment managers, Trend Following with Managed Futures offers an insightful overview of both the basics and theoretical foundations for trend following. The book also includes in-depth coverage of more advanced technical aspects of systematic trend following. The book examines relevant topics such as: Trend following as an alternative asset class Benchmarking and factor decomposition Applications for trend following in an investment portfolio And many more By focusing on the investor perspective, Trend Following with Managed Futures is a groundbreaking and invaluable resource for anyone interested in modern systematic trend following.
Book Synopsis Understanding Momentum in Investment Technical Analysis by : Michael C. Thomsett
Download or read book Understanding Momentum in Investment Technical Analysis written by Michael C. Thomsett and published by Business Expert Press. This book was released on 2019-06-24 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains and demonstrates the concept of momentum in chart analysis, which is of great interest to technical analysts. It includes complete explanations of overbought and oversold, where momentum fits in the broader science of technical analysis, and the importance of moving average crossover. Five major momentum oscillators are explained in depth: relative strength index, MACD, rate of change, stochastics, and Bollinger Bands. Finally, the book provides trading guidance based on momentum, involving coordination of oscillators with other indicators, reversal, and continuation signals. Momentum powerfully identifies the strength and speed of price movement. Through the use of index calculations, momentum is effective when used as a confirming indicator for other signals found in price, volume, or moving averages. Often overlooked by traders focused solely on price reversals or continuation signals, momentum provides a context to price behavior and to the price trend, and can vastly improves the timing of both entry and exit of trades.
Book Synopsis The Role of Firm Investment in Momentum and Reversal by : Sandra Mortal
Download or read book The Role of Firm Investment in Momentum and Reversal written by Sandra Mortal and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose that the time delay inherent in firm investment is what creates the time delay in stock returns observed in the momentum and reversal regularities. We provide intuition for our hypothesis and show empirically that indeed the momentum and reversal effects occur not in isolation, but are concurrent with systematic patterns in firm investment. For example, winners only continue to win when there is also subsequent investment, and losers only continue to lose when there is also subsequent disinvestment. Although our paper is about understanding the nature of the price pattern delay rather than examining a trading strategy, our tests suggest ways to enhance trading returns. Our results provide novel evidence on a potential source of delay in momentum and reversals regularities.
Book Synopsis The Logical Trader by : Mark B. Fisher
Download or read book The Logical Trader written by Mark B. Fisher and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2002-07-26 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An in-depth look at the trading system that anyone can use The Logical Trader presents a highly effective, yet simple trading methodology that any trader anywhere can use to trade almost anything. The "ACD Method" developed and refined by Mark Fisher after many years of successful trading, provides price points at which to buy and sell as determined by the opening range of virtually any stock or commodity. This comprehensive guide details a widely used system that is profitably implemented by many computer and floor traders at major New York exchanges. The author's highly accessible teaching style provides readers of The Logical Trader with a full examination of the theory behind the ACD Method and the examples and real-world trading stories involving it. Mark B. Fisher (New York, NY), an independent trader, is founder of MBF Clearing Corp., the largest clearing firm on the NYMEX. Founded in 1988, MBF Clearing has grown from handling under one percent of the volume on the NYMEX to nearly twenty percent of the trades today. A 1982 summa cum laude graduate from the Wharton School of Business, University of Pennsylvania, Fisher also received his master's degree in finance and accounting from Wharton. New technology and the advent of around the clock trading have opened the floodgates to both foreign and domestic markets. Traders need the wisdom of industry veterans and the vision of innovators in today's volatile financial marketplace. The Wiley Trading series features books by traders who have survived the market's ever changing temperament and have prospered-some by reinventing systems, others by getting back to basics. Whether a novice trader, professional or somewhere in-between, these books will provide the advice and strategies needed to prosper today and well into the future.
Book Synopsis Essays on Reversal and Momentum Patterns Stock Markets by : Hannah Lea Hühn
Download or read book Essays on Reversal and Momentum Patterns Stock Markets written by Hannah Lea Hühn and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium by : Rajnish Mehra
Download or read book Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium written by Rajnish Mehra and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-08-11 with total page 635 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited by Rajnish Mehra, this volume focuses on the equity risk premium puzzle, a term coined by Mehra and Prescott in 1985 which encompasses a number of empirical regularities in the prices of capital assets that are at odds with the predictions of standard economic theory.
Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.
Book Synopsis Momentum and Reversal Dynamics by : James W. Kolari
Download or read book Momentum and Reversal Dynamics written by James W. Kolari and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the joint dynamics of momentum and reversal strategies in the U.S. stock market. Momentum investors face uncertainty about whether past patterns of price movements will continue (momentum) or reverse, thereby increasing volatilities of momentum returns and occasionally leading to momentum crashes. We find that the forces that drive reversal over momentum tend to be strong if losers' past return is extremely low in the time series or if losers are small and illiquid in the cross section. Consequently, we propose new risk-managed momentum strategies that take into account the behavioral divergence between momentum and reversal. Empirical tests for the U.S. stock markets in the sample period of 1947 to 2015 document that momentum strategies in which investors implement stop-trading rules if losers' past returns are extremely low as well as buy-small-loser rules substantially outperform traditional momentum strategies. Importantly, we find that the outperformance is mainly attributable to the increase in abnormal returns (or alpha) from various factor models.
Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns by : Thomas N. Bulkowski
Download or read book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns written by Thomas N. Bulkowski and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-03-10 with total page 1145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this revised and expanded second edition of the bestselling Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Thomas Bulkowski updates the classic with new performance statistics for both bull and bear markets and 23 new patterns, including a second section devoted to ten event patterns. Bulkowski tells you how to trade the significant events -- such as quarterly earnings announcements, retail sales, stock upgrades and downgrades -- that shape today?s trading and uses statistics to back up his approach. This comprehensive new edition is a must-have reference if you're a technical investor or trader. Place your order today. "The most complete reference to chart patterns available. It goes where no one has gone before. Bulkowski gives hard data on how good and bad the patterns are. A must-read for anyone that's ever looked at a chart and wondered what was happening." -- Larry Williams, trader and author of Long-Term Secrets to Short-Term Trading
Book Synopsis An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading by : Professor Andrew W Lo
Download or read book An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading written by Professor Andrew W Lo and published by Franklin Classics. This book was released on 2018-10-15 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. To ensure a quality reading experience, this work has been proofread and republished using a format that seamlessly blends the original graphical elements with text in an easy-to-read typeface. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Book Synopsis Returns Momentum, Returns Reversals and Earnings Surprises by : Leonard C. Soffer
Download or read book Returns Momentum, Returns Reversals and Earnings Surprises written by Leonard C. Soffer and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abnormal stock returns measured over intervals of less than a year exhibit positive serial correlation, or returns momentum, while returns measured over longer periods exhibit negative serial correlation, or returns reversals. This paper examines if patterns in earnings surprises, together with investors? inefficient reactions to those earnings surprises, account for the observed serial correlation in returns. Prior literature has documented that over periods of less than one year, earnings surprises are positively serially correlated. We document that over longer periods, they are negatively serially correlated. This pattern is strikingly similar to the pattern in returns. In addition to documenting these patterns across intervals, we also show that for any particular interval, the serial correlation of returns and the serial correlation of earnings surprises are related. Controlling for cross-sectional differences in firms? serial correlations in earnings surprises, we are able to eliminate the serial correlation in returns at 3-, 24-, 36-, and 48-month intervals. We find some evidence of residual serial correlation in returns at 6-, 12-, and 60-month intervals. Overall, our results suggest that the serial correlation in earnings surprises is an important factor in determining the sign and magnitude of the serial correlation in returns.
