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Reserve Adequacy In Emerging Market Economics
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Book Synopsis Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Market Economics by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Market Economics written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2001-09-01 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes reserve adequacy in emerging market countries. It argues that the old rule of thumb of maintaining reserves equivalent to three months of imports has become obsolete and that, instead, a new benchmark is needed which takes into account the increased importance of capital flows. The paper suggests such a benchmark, consisting of the sum of short-term debt on a residual maturity basis (the external drain) and an allowance for possible capital flight (the internal drain), taking into account differences in country risk and exchange rate regime.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498345646 Total Pages :42 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Guidance Note on the Assessment of Reserve Adequacy and Related Considerations by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Download or read book Guidance Note on the Assessment of Reserve Adequacy and Related Considerations written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-06 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: operational guidance to staff on reserve adequacy discussions in the IMF’s bilateral and multilateral surveillance. It is based on the views presented in the policy paper Assessing Reserve Adequacy—Specific Proposals and the related Board discussion. The note addresses key issues related to Staff’s advice on the assessment of the adequacy of reserves and related items, including answering the following questions: What is the expected coverage of reserve issues at different stages of the bilateral surveillance process (Policy Note, mission, and Staff Report)? Which reserve adequacy tools best fit different economies based on their financial maturity, economic flexibility, and market access? What do possible reserve needs in mature markets relate to, and how can their adequacy be assessed? How can reserve adequacy discussions for emerging and deepening financial markets be tailored and applied to better evaluate reserve levels in: (i) commodity-intensive economies; (ii) countries with capital flow management measures (CFMs); and (iii) partially and fully dollarized economies? What reserve adequacy considerations hold for countries with limited access to capital markets? How can metrics for these economies be tailored to evaluate their reserve needs? How should potential drains on reserves be covered? What are the various measures of the cost of reserves for countries with and without market access?
Book Synopsis Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Market Economies by : J. A. H. de Beaufort Wijnholds
Download or read book Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Market Economies written by J. A. H. de Beaufort Wijnholds and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Reserve adequacy in emerging market economies by : J. Onno de Beaufort Wijnholds
Download or read book Reserve adequacy in emerging market economies written by J. Onno de Beaufort Wijnholds and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis How much should I hold? Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Markets and Small Islands by : MissNkunde Mwase
Download or read book How much should I hold? Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Markets and Small Islands written by MissNkunde Mwase and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the drivers of reserves in emerging markets (EMs) and small island (SIs) and develops an operational metric for estimating reserves in SIs taking into account their unique characteristics. It uses quantile regression techniques to allow the estimated factors driving reserves holdings to vary along the reserves’ holding distribution and tests for equality among the slope coefficients of the various quantile regressions and the overall models. F-tests comparing the inter-quantile differences could not reject the that the models for the different quantiles of SIs reserve distribution were similar but this was rejected for EMs distribution suggesting that models explaining drivers of reserve holdings should take into account the country’s reserve holdings. Empirical analysis suggests that the metric performs better than existing metrics in reducing crisis probabilities in SIs.
Book Synopsis Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Further Considerations by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Further Considerations written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-14 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reserves remain a critical liquidity buffer for most countries. They are generally associated with lower crisis risks (crisis prevention) as well as space for authorities to respond to shocks (crisis mitigation). While other instruments, such as official credit lines and bilateral swap lines, are also external buffers, for most countries they principally act as a complement to their official reserves. For countries with sound fundamentals and a good policy framework, reserves provide policy makers with considerable space to respond to transitory shocks. However, this space diminishes as fundamentals deteriorate and the existence of adequate reserves does not, by itself, eliminate the risk of market pressures.
Book Synopsis Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Market Economies by : J. Onno de Beaufort Wijnholds
Download or read book Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Market Economies written by J. Onno de Beaufort Wijnholds and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes reserve adequacy in emerging market countries. It argues that the old rule of thumb of maintaining reserves equivalent to three months of imports has become obsolete and that, instead, a new benchmark is needed which takes into account the increased importance of capital flows. The paper suggests such a benchmark, consisting of the sum of short-term debt on a residual maturity basis (the external drain) and an allowance for possible capital flight (the internal drain), taking into account differences in country risk and exchange rate regime.
Book Synopsis Assessing Reserve Adequacy in Low-Income Countries by : Mr.Valerio Crispolti
Download or read book Assessing Reserve Adequacy in Low-Income Countries written by Mr.Valerio Crispolti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-08 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Low-income countries routinely experience exogenous disturbances—sharp swings in the terms of trade, export demand, natural disasters, and volatile financial flows—that contribute to higher volatility in aggregate output and consumption compared with other countries. Assessing Reserve Adequacy in Low-Income Countries presents the findings of an analysis of a range of external shocks faced by these countries, beginning with a discussion of the impact of external shocks on macroeconomic growth, volatility, and welfare. Although sound macroeconomic and prudential policy frameworks are the first line of defense for limiting vulnerability, international reserves constitute the main form of self-insurance against such shocks. The evidence suggests that low-income countries with reserve coverage above three months of imports were better able to smooth consumption and absorption in the face of external shocks compared with those with lower reserve holdings. The analysis also points to the importance of country characteristics and vulnerabilities in assessing reserve adequacy.
Book Synopsis Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Specific Proposals by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Specific Proposals written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-19 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reserves have a central place in the policy tool kit of most economies, providing insurance against shocks. In conjunction with sound policies, they can help reduce the likelihood of balance of payment crises and preserve economic and financial stability. Reserves, however, can result from both precautionary and non-precautionary policy objectives and institutional settings. While they can bring several important benefits, reserve holdings can sometimes be costly. This paper brings together recent Fund work on reserve adequacy issues aiming to strengthen their discussion in bilateral surveillance. Despite the ongoing debate on reserve issues, there is little consensus about how to assess reserve holdings in different economies, even though this is an important aspect of a member’s external stability assessment. The work stream of which this paper is part aims to fill this gap by outlining a framework for discussing reserve adequacy issues in different economies. In this regard, the paper also forms part of the Fund’s response to the 2012 IEO evaluation of the Fund’s advice related to international reserves, which recommended, inter alia, that assessments of international reserves in bilateral surveillance reports should be more detailed and reflect country circumstances. To this end, the paper proposes that, where warranted, individual country Article IV reports include a fuller discussion of the authorities’ stated objectives (precautionary and non-precautionary) for holding reserves, an assessment of the reserve needs for precautionary purposes, and a discussion of the cost of reserves. The aim would be to ensure evenhandedness so that countries with similar circumstances are assessed in similar ways, while allowing the depth and emphasis of this discussion to vary depending on country conditions and needs
Book Synopsis External Vulnerability in Emerging Market Economies by : Mr.Christian B. Mulder
Download or read book External Vulnerability in Emerging Market Economies written by Mr.Christian B. Mulder and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-07-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the factors behind the 1994 and 1997 crises and whether these can explain the 1998 crisis. The study reveals that: (i) variables used in an Early Warning System model developed by IMF staff scored well in predicting the 1998 crisis out-of-sample; (ii) all three crisis episodes can be well explained by a parsimonious set of core fundamentals and liquidity related variables; and (iii) the presence of an IMF-supported program significantly reduced the depth of crises. The results suggest that as a rule of thumb countries should hold reserves to the tune of short-term debt to avoid contagion-related crises, provided their current deficits are modest and their real effective exchange rates are not significantly misaligned.
Book Synopsis Factors Influencing Emerging Market Central Banks’ Decision to Intervene in Foreign Exchange Markets by : Mr.Matthew S Malloy
Download or read book Factors Influencing Emerging Market Central Banks’ Decision to Intervene in Foreign Exchange Markets written by Mr.Matthew S Malloy and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-15 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using panel data for 15 economies from 2001-12, I identify determinants of central bank foreign exchange intervention in emerging markets (“EMs”) with flexible to moderately managed exchange rates. Similar to other studies, I find that central banks tend to “lean against the wind,” buying/selling more foreign exchange in response to greater short-run and medium-run appreciation/depreciation pressures. The panel structure provides a framework to test whether other macroeconomic variables influence the different rates of reserve accumulation between economies. In testing other variables, I find evidence of both precautionary and external competitiveness motives for reserve accumulation.
Book Synopsis International Reserve Adequacy in Central America by : Kristin Magnussen
Download or read book International Reserve Adequacy in Central America written by Kristin Magnussen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-06-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Countries’ absolute and relative international reserves adequacy has recently attracted considerable attention. The analysis has however concentrated on the largest and most advanced economies. We apply various methodologies for assessing reserve adequacy in Central America, taking into account the region’s high degree of deposit dollarization. We find that reserve cover is low both in an absolute and relative sense, suggesting further reserve accumulation is an important policy option for reducing vulnerabilities.
Book Synopsis Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Further Considerations - Supplementary Information by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Further Considerations - Supplementary Information written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-14 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL
Book Synopsis Accumulation of International Reserves in Emerging Markets by : Eugen Dimant
Download or read book Accumulation of International Reserves in Emerging Markets written by Eugen Dimant and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2011-02 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scientific Essay from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1.3, University of Paderborn, course: International Finance, language: English, abstract: In the aftermath of various crises such as the Asian financial crisis at the end of the nineties, which had a huge impact on the national and globalized political economies worldwide, a process of massive reserve accumulation started, especially in East Asia [Bar-Ilan/Marion 2009: 802]. This process of reserve accumulation initiated a rapid change of the world's pattern causing changing demands that need to be handled since the beginning of the new century. The so called globalized world realized that not only the power they were given to affect own policies and long term contingency approaches should be taken into account, but also they had to admit that intergovernmental interaction needs to play a decisive role in every deliberation of political and financial activity. Having the present economic situation in mind, almost every day new banks and financial institutions are collapsing while driving down the world further in a downward spiral. Obviously, the confidence and reliance on the conceptual skills concerning financial matters is suffering tremendously ever since these crises and need to be reestablished contemporarily in order to stimulate the indispensable demand for goods and services. Since 1997, the emerging markets have boosted their international reserve holdings by 60% [Walters/Cruz 2008: 665] and even the developing nations increased their foreign exchange reserves from around 8% in the 80s to almost 30% of GDP in 2004 [Rodrik 2006: 4]. Therefore, this paper will have a closer look on what the immanent theoretical justifications declare from the economical point of view and clarify what effects this process has especially on the Brazilian economy. The reason for having this discussion is the fact that "reserve inadequacy could affect individual countries differently" and thereby ea
Book Synopsis Shifting Motives by : Mr.Atish R. Ghosh
Download or read book Shifting Motives written by Mr.Atish R. Ghosh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why have emerging market economies (EMEs) been stockpiling international reserves? We find that motives have varied over time?vulnerability to current account shocks was relatively important in the 1980s but, as EMEs have become more financially integrated, factors related to the magnitude of potential capital outflows have gained in importance. Reserve accumulation as a by-product of undervalued currencies has also become more important since the Asian crisis. Correspondingly, using quantile regressions, we find that the reason for holding reserves varies according to the country's position in the global reserves distribution. High reserve holders, who tend to be more financially integrated, are motivated by insurance against capital account rather than current account shocks, and are more sensitive to the cost of holding reserves than are low-reserve holders. Currency undervaluation is a significant determinant across the reserves distribution, albeit for different reasons.
Book Synopsis The Optimal Level of International Reserves for Emerging Market Countries by : Romain Ranciere
Download or read book The Optimal Level of International Reserves for Emerging Market Countries written by Romain Ranciere and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-10 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a model of the optimal level of international reserves for a small open economy that is vulnerable to sudden stops in capital flows. Reserves allow the country to smooth domestic absorption in response to sudden stops, but yield a lower return than the interest rate on the country's long-term debt. We derive a formula for the optimal level of reserves, and show that plausible calibrations can explain reserves of the order of magnitude observed in many emerging market countries. However, the recent buildup of reserves in Asia seems in excess of what would be implied by an insurance motive against sudden stops.
Book Synopsis Thirteenth General Review of Quotas - Assessing the Adequacy of IMF Resources by : International Monetary Fund. Finance Dept.
Download or read book Thirteenth General Review of Quotas - Assessing the Adequacy of IMF Resources written by International Monetary Fund. Finance Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-11-27 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Thirteenth Review provides an opportunity to take stock of the overall adequacy of IMF resources in light of developments in the world economy and the international monetary system. The Resolution concluding the Twelfth Review indicated that the Executive Board intended, during the period of the Thirteenth Review, to monitor closely and assess the adequacy of Fund resources and to consider measures to achieve a distribution of quotas that reflects developments in the world economy and to strengthen the governance of the Fund. The latter two issues have since been taken up under the work program on quota and voice reform. Accordingly, the focus of this paper is on the adequacy of Fund resources.
