Regime Switching And The Estimation Of Multifractal Processes

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Regime-switching and the Estimation of Multifractal Processes

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Author : Laurent E. Calvet
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Regime-switching and the Estimation of Multifractal Processes by : Laurent E. Calvet

Download or read book Regime-switching and the Estimation of Multifractal Processes written by Laurent E. Calvet and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a discrete-time stochastic volatility model in which regime switching serves three purposes. First, changes in regimes capture low frequency variations, which is their traditional role. Second, they specify intermediate frequency dynamics that are usually assigned to smooth autoregressive processes. Finally, high frequency switches generate substantial outliers. Thus, a single mechanism captures three important features of the data that are typically addressed as distinct phenomena in the literature. Maximum likelihood estimation is developed and shown to perform well in finite sample. We estimate on exchange rate data a version of the process with four parameters and more than a thousand states. The estimated model compares favorably to earlier specifications both in- and out-of-sample. Multifractal forecasts slightly improve on GARCH(1,1) at daily and weekly intervals, and provide considerable gains in accuracy at horizons of 10 to 50 days.

Multifractal Volatility

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Author : Laurent E. Calvet
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0080559964
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Multifractal Volatility by : Laurent E. Calvet

Download or read book Multifractal Volatility written by Laurent E. Calvet and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2008-10-13 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Calvet and Fisher present a powerful, new technique for volatility forecasting that draws on insights from the use of multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics and provides a unified treatment of the use of multifractal techniques in finance. A large existing literature (e.g., Engle, 1982; Rossi, 1995) models volatility as an average of past shocks, possibly with a noise component. This approach often has difficulty capturing sharp discontinuities and large changes in financial volatility. Their research has shown the advantages of modelling volatility as subject to abrupt regime changes of heterogeneous durations. Using the intuition that some economic phenomena are long-lasting while others are more transient, they permit regimes to have varying degrees of persistence. By drawing on insights from the use of multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics, they show how to construct high-dimensional regime-switching models that are easy to estimate, and substantially outperform some of the best traditional forecasting models such as GARCH. The goal of Multifractal Volatility is to popularize the approach by presenting these exciting new developments to a wider audience. They emphasize both theoretical and empirical applications, beginning with a style that is easily accessible and intuitive in early chapters, and extending to the most rigorous continuous-time and equilibrium pricing formulations in final chapters. - Presents a powerful new technique for forecasting volatility - Leads the reader intuitively from existing volatility techniques to the frontier of research in this field by top scholars at major universities - The first comprehensive book on multifractal techniques in finance, a cutting-edge field of research

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349588024
Total Pages : 7493 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (495 download)

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Book Synopsis The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics by :

Download or read book The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics written by and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-18 with total page 7493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The award-winning The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition is now available as a dynamic online resource. Consisting of over 1,900 articles written by leading figures in the field including Nobel prize winners, this is the definitive scholarly reference work for a new generation of economists. Regularly updated! This product is a subscription based product.

Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis

Author : Steven Durlauf
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230280838
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis by : Steven Durlauf

Download or read book Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis written by Steven Durlauf and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-30 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.

The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance

Author : Shu-Heng Chen
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190877502
Total Pages : 785 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance by : Shu-Heng Chen

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-01-12 with total page 785 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance provides a survey of both the foundations of and recent advances in the frontiers of analysis and action. It is both historically and interdisciplinarily rich and also tightly connected to the rise of digital society. It begins with the conventional view of computational economics, including recent algorithmic development in computing rational expectations, volatility, and general equilibrium. It then moves from traditional computing in economics and finance to recent developments in natural computing, including applications of nature-inspired intelligence, genetic programming, swarm intelligence, and fuzzy logic. Also examined are recent developments of network and agent-based computing in economics. How these approaches are applied is examined in chapters on such subjects as trading robots and automated markets. The last part deals with the epistemology of simulation in its trinity form with the integration of simulation, computation, and dynamics. Distinctive is the focus on natural computationalism and the examination of the implications of intelligent machines for the future of computational economics and finance. Not merely individual robots, but whole integrated systems are extending their "immigration" to the world of Homo sapiens, or symbiogenesis.

Continuous Time Processes for Finance

Author : Donatien Hainaut
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031063619
Total Pages : 359 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Continuous Time Processes for Finance by : Donatien Hainaut

Download or read book Continuous Time Processes for Finance written by Donatien Hainaut and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-08-25 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores recent topics in quantitative finance with an emphasis on applications and calibration to time-series. This last aspect is often neglected in the existing mathematical finance literature while it is crucial for risk management. The first part of this book focuses on switching regime processes that allow to model economic cycles in financial markets. After a presentation of their mathematical features and applications to stocks and interest rates, the estimation with the Hamilton filter and Markov Chain Monte-Carlo algorithm (MCMC) is detailed. A second part focuses on self-excited processes for modeling the clustering of shocks in financial markets. These processes recently receive a lot of attention from researchers and we focus here on its econometric estimation and its simulation. A chapter is dedicated to estimation of stochastic volatility models. Two chapters are dedicated to the fractional Brownian motion and Gaussian fields. After a summary of their features, we present applications for stock and interest rate modeling. Two chapters focuses on sub-diffusions that allows to replicate illiquidity in financial markets. This book targets undergraduate students who have followed a first course of stochastic finance and practitioners as quantitative analyst or actuaries working in risk management.

Handbook of Mixture Analysis

Author : Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0429508867
Total Pages : 489 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (295 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Mixture Analysis by : Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter

Download or read book Handbook of Mixture Analysis written by Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-01-04 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mixture models have been around for over 150 years, and they are found in many branches of statistical modelling, as a versatile and multifaceted tool. They can be applied to a wide range of data: univariate or multivariate, continuous or categorical, cross-sectional, time series, networks, and much more. Mixture analysis is a very active research topic in statistics and machine learning, with new developments in methodology and applications taking place all the time. The Handbook of Mixture Analysis is a very timely publication, presenting a broad overview of the methods and applications of this important field of research. It covers a wide array of topics, including the EM algorithm, Bayesian mixture models, model-based clustering, high-dimensional data, hidden Markov models, and applications in finance, genomics, and astronomy. Features: Provides a comprehensive overview of the methods and applications of mixture modelling and analysis Divided into three parts: Foundations and Methods; Mixture Modelling and Extensions; and Selected Applications Contains many worked examples using real data, together with computational implementation, to illustrate the methods described Includes contributions from the leading researchers in the field The Handbook of Mixture Analysis is targeted at graduate students and young researchers new to the field. It will also be an important reference for anyone working in this field, whether they are developing new methodology, or applying the models to real scientific problems.

Handbook of Macroeconomics

Author : John B. Taylor
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444594787
Total Pages : 1376 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Macroeconomics by : John B. Taylor

Download or read book Handbook of Macroeconomics written by John B. Taylor and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2016-12-01 with total page 1376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Macroeconomics surveys all major advances in macroeconomic scholarship since the publication of Volume 1 (1999), carefully distinguishing between empirical, theoretical, methodological, and policy issues. It courageously examines why existing models failed during the financial crisis, and also addresses well-deserved criticism head on. With contributions from the world's chief macroeconomists, its reevaluation of macroeconomic scholarship and speculation on its future constitute an investment worth making. - Serves a double role as a textbook for macroeconomics courses and as a gateway for students to the latest research - Acts as a one-of-a-kind resource as no major collections of macroeconomic essays have been published in the last decade

Fractal Geometry and Dynamical Systems in Pure and Applied Mathematics II

Author : David Carfi
Publisher : American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN 13 : 0821891480
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (218 download)

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Book Synopsis Fractal Geometry and Dynamical Systems in Pure and Applied Mathematics II by : David Carfi

Download or read book Fractal Geometry and Dynamical Systems in Pure and Applied Mathematics II written by David Carfi and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 2013-10-24 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains the proceedings from three conferences: the PISRS 2011 International Conference on Analysis, Fractal Geometry, Dynamical Systems and Economics, held November 8-12, 2011 in Messina, Italy; the AMS Special Session on Fractal Geometry in Pure and Applied Mathematics, in memory of Benoît Mandelbrot, held January 4-7, 2012, in Boston, MA; and the AMS Special Session on Geometry and Analysis on Fractal Spaces, held March 3-4, 2012, in Honolulu, HI. Articles in this volume cover fractal geometry and various aspects of dynamical systems in applied mathematics and the applications to other sciences. Also included are articles discussing a variety of connections between these subjects and various areas of physics, engineering, computer science, technology, economics and finance, as well as of mathematics (including probability theory in relation with statistical physics and heat kernel estimates, geometric measure theory, partial differential equations in relation with condensed matter physics, global analysis on non-smooth spaces, the theory of billiards, harmonic analysis and spectral geometry). The companion volume (Contemporary Mathematics, Volume 600) focuses on the more mathematical aspects of fractal geometry and dynamical systems.

Missing Data Methods

Author : David M. Drukker
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1780525265
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Missing Data Methods by : David M. Drukker

Download or read book Missing Data Methods written by David M. Drukker and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2011-11-30 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part of the "Advances in Econometrics" series, this title contains chapters covering topics such as: Missing-Data Imputation in Nonstationary Panel Data Models; Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance; Bayesian Analysis of Multivariate Sample Selection Models Using Gaussian Copulas; and, Consistent Estimation and Orthogonality.

Hidden Markov Models for Time Series

Author : Walter Zucchini
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420010891
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Hidden Markov Models for Time Series by : Walter Zucchini

Download or read book Hidden Markov Models for Time Series written by Walter Zucchini and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2009-04-28 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reveals How HMMs Can Be Used as General-Purpose Time Series Models Implements all methods in R Hidden Markov Models for Time Series: An Introduction Using R applies hidden Markov models (HMMs) to a wide range of time series types, from continuous-valued, circular, and multivariate series to binary data, bounded and unbounded counts, and categorical observations. It also discusses how to employ the freely available computing environment R to carry out computations for parameter estimation, model selection and checking, decoding, and forecasting. Illustrates the methodology in action After presenting the simple Poisson HMM, the book covers estimation, forecasting, decoding, prediction, model selection, and Bayesian inference. Through examples and applications, the authors describe how to extend and generalize the basic model so it can be applied in a rich variety of situations. They also provide R code for some of the examples, enabling the use of the codes in similar applications. Effectively interpret data using HMMs This book illustrates the wonderful flexibility of HMMs as general-purpose models for time series data. It provides a broad understanding of the models and their uses.

Quantitative Finance for Physicists

Author : Anatoly B. Schmidt
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 012088464X
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative Finance for Physicists by : Anatoly B. Schmidt

Download or read book Quantitative Finance for Physicists written by Anatoly B. Schmidt and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With more and more physicists and physics students exploring the possibility of utilizing their advanced math skills for a career in the finance industry, this much-needed book quickly introduces them to fundamental and advanced finance principles and methods. Quantitative Finance for Physicists provides a short, straightforward introduction for those who already have a background in physics. Find out how fractals, scaling, chaos, and other physics concepts are useful in analyzing financial time series. Learn about key topics in quantitative finance such as option pricing, portfolio management, and risk measurement. This book provides the basic knowledge in finance required to enable readers with physics backgrounds to move successfully into the financial industry. Short, self-contained book for physicists to master basic concepts and quantitative methods of finance Growing field-many physicists are moving into finance positions because of the high-level math required Draws on the author's own experience as a physicist who moved into a financial analyst position

Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications

Author : Luc Bauwens
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118272056
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications by : Luc Bauwens

Download or read book Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications written by Luc Bauwens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-22 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics

Author : Robert A. Meyers
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441977007
Total Pages : 919 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics by : Robert A. Meyers

Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.

Advances in Pacific Basin Business, Economics and Finance

Author : Cheng-Few Lee
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1838673636
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (386 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Pacific Basin Business, Economics and Finance by : Cheng-Few Lee

Download or read book Advances in Pacific Basin Business, Economics and Finance written by Cheng-Few Lee and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2020-09-09 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in Pacific Basin Business, Economics, and Finance is an annual publication designed to focus on interdisciplinary research in finance, economics, accounting and management among Pacific Rim countries.

Multifractals

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Author : David Harte
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420036009
Total Pages : 263 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Multifractals by : David Harte

Download or read book Multifractals written by David Harte and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2001-06-26 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although multifractals are rooted in probability, much of the related literature comes from the physics and mathematics arena. Multifractals: Theory and Applications pulls together ideas from both these areas using a language that makes them accessible and useful to statistical scientists. It provides a framework, in particular, for the evaluation

Research on Volatility and Contagion Effect in Stock Market

Author : Dexiang Mei
Publisher : Scientific Research Publishing, Inc. USA
ISBN 13 : 1649970536
Total Pages : 131 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (499 download)

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Book Synopsis Research on Volatility and Contagion Effect in Stock Market by : Dexiang Mei

Download or read book Research on Volatility and Contagion Effect in Stock Market written by Dexiang Mei and published by Scientific Research Publishing, Inc. USA. This book was released on 2020-12-06 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volatility has been one of the cores of the financial theory research, in addition to the stock markets is an important part of modern financial markets. Research on volatility and contagion effect in stock market is an important part of the theory of financial markets research. This book in-cludes the following four parts.