Reconstructing Past Changes in El Niño-Southern Oscillation Variability Using Geochemical Proxies from Corals

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis Reconstructing Past Changes in El Niño-Southern Oscillation Variability Using Geochemical Proxies from Corals by : Allison E. Lawman

Download or read book Reconstructing Past Changes in El Niño-Southern Oscillation Variability Using Geochemical Proxies from Corals written by Allison E. Lawman and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the leading mode of interannual (>1-9 year) climate variability and has far-reaching impacts on global temperature and rainfall patterns. That said, the instrumental record of ENSO does not have the temporal coverage necessary to characterize the full range of natural variability. Uncertainties about how ENSO variability may change in the future with anthropogenic warming motivates the study of past climate conditions when the Earth experienced different climate conditions compared to the warm, rapidly changing climate of today. Climate scientists use two primary tools to study past climate. First, general circulation models use mathematical equations based on physical principles to simulate different aspects of the climate system, including the ocean, atmosphere, land, and ice sheets. Second, various geological archives like corals, cave stalagmites and lake and ocean sediment also provide clues about how the climate varied in the past. The paleoclimate proxy records generated from geological archives thus provide independent validation of paleoclimate model simulations. Geochemical proxy records from corals are particularly well-suited for investigating past (paleo) ENSO variability as corals can provide decades to hundreds of years of climate information from the tropics at sub-annual resolution. This dissertation seeks to quantify changes in paleo-ENSO variability using geochemical proxies from corals. I first generate replicated coral records from Vanuatu in the southwest Pacific to investigate the range of ENSO variability during the 20th century and ~900 years during a time interval called the Medieval Climate Anomaly. The paleo-temperature records are based on the ratio of strontium to calcium (Sr/Ca) of massive Porites corals from Vanuatu. Next, I develop various computational algorithms to investigate how different uncertainties inherent to the coral archive impact the ability of a coral to capture changes in ENSO variability. The algorithms incorporate the impact of variable growth rates, analytical and calibration errors, and age model assumptions, and are collectively referred to a coral proxy system model (PSM). The utility of the coral PSM is demonstrated using unforced climate model output for the last millennium. I then use the PSM and apply the analytical techniques developed in the first two projects to investigate simulated and coral proxy-inferred changes in paleo-ENSO variability during the Holocene (11.65 thousand years ago to the present). The resulting model-data comparison provides a new perspective on long-term changes in ENSO variability

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Variability During the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly Reconstructed from Fossil Coral Geochemistry and Pseudoproxy Analysis

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 172 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (826 download)

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Book Synopsis El Niño-Southern Oscillation Variability During the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly Reconstructed from Fossil Coral Geochemistry and Pseudoproxy Analysis by : Kelly Ann Hereid

Download or read book El Niño-Southern Oscillation Variability During the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly Reconstructed from Fossil Coral Geochemistry and Pseudoproxy Analysis written by Kelly Ann Hereid and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dominates global interannual climate variability. However, the imprint of anthropogenic climate change hinders understanding of natural ENSO variability. Model predictions of the response of future ENSO variability to anthropogenic forcing are highly uncertain. A better understanding of how ENSO operates during different mean climate states may improve predictions of its future behavior. This study develops a technique to quantify the response of tropical Pacific sea surface temperature and salinity to ENSO variations. This analysis defines expected regional relationships between ENSO forcing and the tropical Pacific climate response. For example, the western tropical Pacific records El Niño events with greater skill than La Niña events; whereas the oceans near the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) preferentially record La Niña events. This baseline understanding of regional skill calibrates interpretations of both modern and pre-instrumental coral geochemical climate proxy records. A suite of monthly resolved [delta]18O variations in a fossil corals (Porites spp.) from the tropical western Pacific (Papua New Guinea) and the SPCZ (Vanuatu) are used to develop case studies of ENSO variability under external forcing conditions that differ from the modern climate. A record from Misima, Papua New Guinea (1411-1644 CE) spans a period of reduced solar forcing that coincides with the initiation of the Little Ice Age. This record indicates that the surface ocean in this region experienced a small change in hydrologic balance with no change in temperature, extended periods of quiescence in El Niño activity, reduced mean El Niño event amplitudes, and fewer large amplitude El Niño events relative to signals captured in regional modern records. Several multidecadal (~30-50 year) coral records from Tasmaloum, Vanuatu during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (~900-1300 CE), a period of increased solar forcing, depict ENSO variability that is generally lower than modern times. However, these records often cannot be distinguished from 20th century ENSO variability due to ENSO variability uncertainty associated with record lengths. Neither record can be tied to concurrent changes in solar or volcanic forcing, calling into question the paradigm of ENSO variability being predominantly mediated by external forcing changes on multidecadal time scales.

El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119548128
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate by : Michael J. McPhaden

Download or read book El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate written by Michael J. McPhaden and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-11-24 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Comprehensive and up-to-date information on Earth’s most dominant year-to-year climate variation The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Pacific Ocean has major worldwide social and economic consequences through its global scale effects on atmospheric and oceanic circulation, marine and terrestrial ecosystems, and other natural systems. Ongoing climate change is projected to significantly alter ENSO's dynamics and impacts. El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate presents the latest theories, models, and observations, and explores the challenges of forecasting ENSO as the climate continues to change. Volume highlights include: Historical background on ENSO and its societal consequences Review of key El Niño (ENSO warm phase) and La Niña (ENSO cold phase) characteristics Mathematical description of the underlying physical processes that generate ENSO variations Conceptual framework for understanding ENSO changes on decadal and longer time scales, including the response to greenhouse gas forcing ENSO impacts on extreme ocean, weather, and climate events, including tropical cyclones, and how ENSO affects fisheries and the global carbon cycle Advances in modeling, paleo-reconstructions, and operational climate forecasting Future projections of ENSO and its impacts Factors influencing ENSO events, such as inter-basin climate interactions and volcanic eruptions The American Geophysical Union promotes discovery in Earth and space science for the benefit of humanity. Its publications disseminate scientific knowledge and provide resources for researchers, students, and professionals. Find out more about this book from this Q&A with the editors.

El Niño and the Southern Oscillation

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521621380
Total Pages : 518 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis El Niño and the Southern Oscillation by : Henry F. Diaz

Download or read book El Niño and the Southern Oscillation written by Henry F. Diaz and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-11-09 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon is a recurrent feature of the climate in tropical regions. In this volume leading experts summarize information gained over the past decade concerning diverse aspects of ENSO, which have led to marked improvements in our ability to forecast its development months or seasons in advance. This volume compares ENSO's modern morphology and variability with its recent historic and prehistoric behaviour. It expands and updates Diaz and Markgraf's earlier volume El Niño: Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation (1992, Cambridge University Press). The volume will be of importance to a broad range of scientists in meteorology, oceanography, hydrology, geosciences, ecology, public health, emergency management response and mitigation, and decision-making. It will also be used as a supplementary textbook and reference source in graduate courses in environmental studies.

Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309102251
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years by : National Research Council

Download or read book Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2007-01-05 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In response to a request from Congress, Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years assesses the state of scientific efforts to reconstruct surface temperature records for Earth during approximately the last 2,000 years and the implications of these efforts for our understanding of global climate change. Because widespread, reliable temperature records are available only for the last 150 years, scientists estimate temperatures in the more distant past by analyzing "proxy evidence," which includes tree rings, corals, ocean and lake sediments, cave deposits, ice cores, boreholes, and glaciers. Starting in the late 1990s, scientists began using sophisticated methods to combine proxy evidence from many different locations in an effort to estimate surface temperature changes during the last few hundred to few thousand years. This book is an important resource in helping to understand the intricacies of global climate change.

Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309054494
Total Pages : 645 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales by : National Research Council

Download or read book Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1996-08-30 with total page 645 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume reflects the current state of scientific knowledge about natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales. It covers a wide range of relevant subjects, including the characteristics of the atmosphere and ocean environments as well as the methods used to describe and analyze them, such as proxy data and numerical models. They clearly demonstrate the range, persistence, and magnitude of climate variability as represented by many different indicators. Not only do natural climate variations have important socioeconomic effects, but they must be better understood before possible anthropogenic effects (from greenhouse gas emissions, for instance) can be evaluated. A topical essay introduces each of the disciplines represented, providing the nonscientist with a perspective on the field and linking the papers to the larger issues in climate research. In its conclusions section, the book evaluates progress in the different areas and makes recommendations for the direction and conduct of future climate research. This book, while consisting of technical papers, is also accessible to the interested layperson.

Biogeochemical Proxies in Scleractinian Corals Used to Reconstruct Ocean Circulation

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (871 download)

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Book Synopsis Biogeochemical Proxies in Scleractinian Corals Used to Reconstruct Ocean Circulation by :

Download or read book Biogeochemical Proxies in Scleractinian Corals Used to Reconstruct Ocean Circulation written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We utilize monthly 14C data derived from coral archives in conjunction with ocean circulation models to address two questions: (1) how does the shallow circulation of the tropical Pacific vary on seasonal to decadal time scales and (2) which dynamic processes determine the mean vertical structure of the equatorial Pacific thermocline. Our results directly impact the understanding of global climate events such as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). To study changes in ocean circulation and water mass distribution involved in the genesis and evolution of ENSO and decadal climate variability, it is necessary to have records of climate variables several decades in length. Continuous instrumental records are limited because technology for continuous monitoring of ocean currents has only recently been available, and ships of opportunity archives such as COADS contain large spatial and temporal biases. In addition, temperature and salinity in surface waters are not conservative and thus can not be independently relied upon to trace water masses, reducing the utility of historical observations. Radiocarbon (14C) in sea water is a quasi-conservative water mass tracer and is incorporated into coral skeletal material, thus coral 14C records can be used to reconstruct changes in shallow circulation that would be difficult to characterize using instrumental data. High resolution [Delta]14C timeseries such as these, provide a powerful constraint on the rate of surface ocean mixing and hold great promise to augment onetime surveys such as GEOSECS and WOCE. These data not only provide fundamental information about the shallow circulation of the Pacific, but can be used as a benchmark for the next generation of high resolution ocean models used in prognosticating climate change.

Corals and Coral Reefs of the Galápagos Islands

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Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 9780520047136
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Corals and Coral Reefs of the Galápagos Islands by : Peter W. Glynn

Download or read book Corals and Coral Reefs of the Galápagos Islands written by Peter W. Glynn and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 1983-01-01 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 00 This scientifically thorough,lucidly written work explores the nature, development, and extent of the archipelago's reef-building corals. Also included is an annotated list of the Scleractianian Corals by John W. Wells This scientifically thorough,lucidly written work explores the nature, development, and extent of the archipelago's reef-building corals. Also included is an annotated list of the Scleractianian Corals by John W. Wells

Understanding Earth's Deep Past

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309209196
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Earth's Deep Past by : National Research Council

Download or read book Understanding Earth's Deep Past written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-08-02 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is little dispute within the scientific community that humans are changing Earth's climate on a decadal to century time-scale. By the end of this century, without a reduction in emissions, atmospheric CO2 is projected to increase to levels that Earth has not experienced for more than 30 million years. As greenhouse gas emissions propel Earth toward a warmer climate state, an improved understanding of climate dynamics in warm environments is needed to inform public policy decisions. In Understanding Earth's Deep Past, the National Research Council reports that rocks and sediments that are millions of years old hold clues to how the Earth's future climate would respond in an environment with high levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases. Understanding Earth's Deep Past provides an assessment of both the demonstrated and underdeveloped potential of the deep-time geologic record to inform us about the dynamics of the global climate system. The report describes past climate changes, and discusses potential impacts of high levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases on regional climates, water resources, marine and terrestrial ecosystems, and the cycling of life-sustaining elements. While revealing gaps in scientific knowledge of past climate states, the report highlights a range of high priority research issues with potential for major advances in the scientific understanding of climate processes. This proposed integrated, deep-time climate research program would study how climate responded over Earth's different climate states, examine how climate responds to increased atmospheric carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, and clarify the processes that lead to anomalously warm polar and tropical regions and the impact on marine and terrestrial life. In addition to outlining a research agenda, Understanding Earth's Deep Past proposes an implementation strategy that will be an invaluable resource to decision-makers in the field, as well as the research community, advocacy organizations, government agencies, and college professors and students.

El Niño

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521430425
Total Pages : 510 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis El Niño by : Henry F. Diaz

Download or read book El Niño written by Henry F. Diaz and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1992 with total page 510 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 1993 book enhances our understanding of the mechanisms involved in the low frequency behavior of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon.

Coral Records of the El Niño-southern Oscillation and Tropical Pacific Climate Over the Last Millennium

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 470 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Coral Records of the El Niño-southern Oscillation and Tropical Pacific Climate Over the Last Millennium by : Kim M. Cobb

Download or read book Coral Records of the El Niño-southern Oscillation and Tropical Pacific Climate Over the Last Millennium written by Kim M. Cobb and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 470 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Coral Reefs and Climate Change

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Publisher : American Geophysical Union
ISBN 13 : 0875903592
Total Pages : 251 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (759 download)

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Book Synopsis Coral Reefs and Climate Change by : Jonathan Turnbull Phinney

Download or read book Coral Reefs and Climate Change written by Jonathan Turnbull Phinney and published by American Geophysical Union. This book was released on 2006-01-10 with total page 251 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Published by the American Geophysical Union as part of the Coastal and Estuarine Studies, Volume 61. The effects of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide and related climate change on shallow coral reefs are gaining considerable attention for scientific and economic reasons worldwide. Although increased scientific research has improved our understanding of the response of coral reefs to climate change, we still lack key information that can help guide reef management. Research and monitoring of coral reef ecosystems over the past few decades have documented two major threats related to increasing concentrations of atmospheric CO2: (1) increased sea surface temperatures and (2) increased seawater acidity (lower pH). Higher atmospheric CO2 levels have resulted in rising sea surface temperatures and proven to be an acute threat to corals and other reef-dwelling organisms. Short periods (days) of elevated sea surface temperatures by as little as 1–2°C above the normal maximum temperature has led to more frequent and more widespread episodes of coral bleaching-the expulsion of symbiotic algae. A more chronic consequence of increasing atmospheric CO2 is the lowering of pH of surface waters, which affects the rate at which corals and other reef organisms secrete and build their calcium carbonate skeletons. Average pH of the surface ocean has already decreased by an estimated 0.1 unit since preindustrial times, and will continue to decline in concert with rising atmospheric CO2. These climate-related Stressors combined with other direct anthropogenic assaults, such as overfishing and pollution, weaken reef organisms and increase their susceptibility to disease.

Proxy Records of the Indonesian Low and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from Stable Isotope Measurements of Indonesian Reef Corals

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Proxy Records of the Indonesian Low and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from Stable Isotope Measurements of Indonesian Reef Corals by : Michael Donald Moore

Download or read book Proxy Records of the Indonesian Low and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from Stable Isotope Measurements of Indonesian Reef Corals written by Michael Donald Moore and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Encyclopedia of Modern Coral Reefs

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 904812638X
Total Pages : 1226 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (481 download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Modern Coral Reefs by : David Hopley

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Modern Coral Reefs written by David Hopley and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-26 with total page 1226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Coral reefs are the largest landforms built by plants and animals. Their study therefore incorporates a wide range of disciplines. This encyclopedia approaches coral reefs from an earth science perspective, concentrating especially on modern reefs. Currently coral reefs are under high stress, most prominently from climate change with changes to water temperature, sea level and ocean acidification particularly damaging. Modern reefs have evolved through the massive environmental changes of the Quaternary with long periods of exposure during glacially lowered sea level periods and short periods of interglacial growth. The entries in this encyclopedia condense the large amount of work carried out since Charles Darwin first attempted to understand reef evolution. Leading authorities from many countries have contributed to the entries covering areas of geology, geography and ecology, providing comprehensive access to the most up-to-date research on the structure, form and processes operating on Quaternary coral reefs.

Reconstruction of El Niño - Southern Oscillation Variability During the Holocene

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789039340899
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (48 download)

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Book Synopsis Reconstruction of El Niño - Southern Oscillation Variability During the Holocene by : Timme Hendrik Donders

Download or read book Reconstruction of El Niño - Southern Oscillation Variability During the Holocene written by Timme Hendrik Donders and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

ENSO and PDO Variability During the Past 100 Years

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (561 download)

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Book Synopsis ENSO and PDO Variability During the Past 100 Years by : David Urmann

Download or read book ENSO and PDO Variability During the Past 100 Years written by David Urmann and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The primary goal of this study is to reconstruct ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) variability over the past 100-years from ice core and lake level records. Records of accumulation, deuterium excess, and dO18 from the ice core records obtained from Quelccaya (Peru) and Bona-Churchill (Alaska), along with lake elevation data from Crater Lake (Oregon) and Lake Titicaca (Peru) are examined. This work relies on the use of several ENSO proxies from different regions to reconstruct ENSO variability over the past 100 years. Utilizing data from multiple regions is critical as past studies attempting to reconstruct a record of El Nino events from proxy records have encountered two main problems, both resulting from relying on data collected only from one specific region. The first problem is that many climate patterns within a region not associated with ENSO can produce El Niño type effects in the record. The second problem is that regional data records local climate patterns, which reflect only the strength of the ENSO teleconnection through time. The records from Quelccaya and Lake Titicaca are shown to be strongly impacted by ENSO events. The records from Bona-Churchill and Crater Lake are shown to be strongly related to Aleutian Low variability. Variations in the strength of the Aleutian Low represent the primary North American ENSO teleconnection and are also related to the mode of the PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation). Correlations analysis shows the primary relationship between records from Peru and North American is their response to ENSO.

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation Phenomenon

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139487019
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis The El Niño-Southern Oscillation Phenomenon by : Edward S. Sarachik

Download or read book The El Niño-Southern Oscillation Phenomenon written by Edward S. Sarachik and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-18 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many climatic extremes around the globe, such as severe droughts and floods, can be attributed to the periodic warming of the equatorial Pacific sea surface, termed the El Niño or Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Advances in our understanding of ENSO, in which Edward S. Sarachik and Mark A. Cane have been key participants, have led to marked improvements in our ability to predict its development months or seasons, allowing adaptation to global impacts. This book introduces basic concepts and builds to more detailed theoretical treatments. Chapters on the structure and dynamics of the tropical ocean and atmosphere place ENSO in a broader observational and theoretical context. Chapters on ENSO prediction, past and future, and impacts, introduce broader implications of the phenomenon. This book provides an introduction to all aspects of this most important mode of global climate variability, for research workers and students of all levels in climate science, oceanography and related fields.