Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries by : Luis Servén

Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries written by Luis Servén and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2002 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Serven examines empirically the link between real exchange rate uncertainty and private investment in developing countries using a large cross country-time series data set. He builds a GARCH-based measure of real exchange rate volatility and finds that it has a strong negative impact on investment, after controlling for other standard investment determinants and taking into account their potential endogeneity. The impact of uncertainty is not uniform, however. There is some evidence of threshold effects, so that uncertainty only matters when it exceeds some critical level. In addition, the negative impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on investment is significantly larger in economies that are highly open and in those with less developed financial systems.

Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries by : Luis Servén

Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries written by Luis Servén and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Serven examines empirically the link between real exchange rate uncertainty and private investment in developing countries using a large cross country-time series data set. He builds a GARCH-based measure of real exchange rate volatility and finds that it has a strong negative impact on investment, after controlling for other standard investment determinants and taking into account their potential endogeneity. The impact of uncertainty is not uniform, however. There is some evidence of threshold effects, so that uncertainty only matters when it exceeds some critical level. In addition, the negative impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on investment is significantly larger in economies that are highly open and in those with less developed financial systems.This paper - a product of the Office of the Chief Economist, Latin America and the Caribbean Region - is part of a larger effort in the region to assess the effects of macroeconomic volatility.

Adjustment, Investment, and the Real Exchange Rate in Developing Countries

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Adjustment, Investment, and the Real Exchange Rate in Developing Countries by :

Download or read book Adjustment, Investment, and the Real Exchange Rate in Developing Countries written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: LDC adjustment packages Riccardo Faini and Jaime de Melo Developing countries have been hit by a fall in their terms of trade, high real interest rates on their external debt, and a drought in commercial lending from abroad. Their subsequent adjustment packages, often supported by loans from the IMF and World Bank, focused on a sharp real exchange rate depreciation to restore external balance and a host of microeconomic reforms to secure a simultaneous supply-side improvement. This paper examines the success of these ‘adjustment with growth' packages in a large sample of developing countries. We find these packages have been much more successful in LDCs which export manufactures than they have in those concentrating on primary exports (primarily low-income African countries); the latter have not resumed sustainable growth, and most of their external adjustment has arisen from expenditure reduction, not an increase in supply. The longer-term prospects for manufacturing exporters are also brighter: there we detect signs of increased efficiency and a smaller decline in investment than in primary exporters. But we also find that a high external debt burden and an unstable macroeconomic environment impede investment in all LDCs. In the longer term, adjustment with growth packages will succeed only if they are accompanied by a more stable macroeconomic environment and appropriate debt relief

Reviving Private Investment in Developing Countries

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 1483291340
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Reviving Private Investment in Developing Countries by : A. Chhibber

Download or read book Reviving Private Investment in Developing Countries written by A. Chhibber and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of the research described in this volume is to examine the behavior of private domestic investment in a sample of seven developing economies: Chile, Colombia, Egypt, Indonesia, Morocco, Turkey, and Zimbabwe. The studies represent a first step toward understanding the investment process in developing countries and the scope for government policy to affect private capital formation. Such issues will become increasingly important in the future as more developing countries try to encourage private investment. Four key issues emerge in the analysis of the determinants of private investment and its role in adjustment programs in developing countries. The first is the impact of changes in the exchange rate; the second major concern is the existence of crowding out of private activity as a result of government borrowing in domestic financial markets through interest rates or quantity rationing. A third and related issue is whether government spending, particularly that on investment, "crowds in" or "crowds out" private capital formation. Fourth, the effects of uncertainty are important in determining the response of private agents to changes in the incentive structure.

Capital Flows, Exchange Rate Flexibility, and the Real Exchange Rate

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455211877
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Capital Flows, Exchange Rate Flexibility, and the Real Exchange Rate by : Mr.Tidiane Kinda

Download or read book Capital Flows, Exchange Rate Flexibility, and the Real Exchange Rate written by Mr.Tidiane Kinda and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the impact of capital inflows and exchange rate flexibility on the real exchange rate in developing countries based on panel cointegration techniques. The results show that public and private flows are associated with a real exchange rate appreciation. Among private flows, portfolio investment has the highest appreciation effect-almost seven times that of foreign direct investment or bank loans-and private transfers have the lowest effect. Using a de facto measure of exchange rate flexibility, we find that a more flexible exchange rate helps to dampen appreciation of the real exchange rate stemming from capital inflows.

Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484354834
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment by : Steve Brito

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment written by Steve Brito and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-05-10 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that the response of firm-level investment to real exchange rate movements varies depending on the production structure of the economy. Firms in advanced economies and in emerging Asia increase investment when the domestic currency weakens, in line with the traditional Mundell-Fleming model. However, in other emerging market and developing economies, as well as some advanced economies with a low degree of structural economic complexity, corporate investment increases when the domestic currency strengthens. This result is consistent with Diaz Alejandro (1963)—in economies where capital goods are mostly imported, a stronger real exchange rate reduces investment costs for domestic firms.

Determinants of Private Investment Behaviour

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants of Private Investment Behaviour by : Yaw Owusu Asante

Download or read book Determinants of Private Investment Behaviour written by Yaw Owusu Asante and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351801716
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment by : Bahar Erdal

Download or read book The Effects of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Sectoral Investment written by Bahar Erdal and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-05-18 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1997. This study investigates what the effects of real exchange rate volatility are on sectorial investment in the fixed and flexible exchange rate systems. It lays out the results of research into the effects of the levels and volatility of real exchange rates on investment in the manufacturing sectors of the countries in the European Monetary System as well as of the countries in the flexible exchange rate system, with data from between 1973 and 1993. Examining the differences between the two systems in the results this book also looks at exchange rate effects on interest rates at the time.

Exchange Rates, Capital Flows, and Monetary Policy in a Changing World Economy

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792399087
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates, Capital Flows, and Monetary Policy in a Changing World Economy by : William C. Gruben

Download or read book Exchange Rates, Capital Flows, and Monetary Policy in a Changing World Economy written by William C. Gruben and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1997-08-31 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dramatic growth of international capital flow has provided unprecedented opportunities and risks in emerging markets. This book is the result of a conference exploring this phenomenon, sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The issues explored include direct versus portfolio investment; exchange rates and economic growth; and optimal exchange rate policy for stabilizing inflation in developing countries. It concludes with a panel discussion on central bank coordination in the midst of exchange rate instability.

Private Investment in Developing Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451977026
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Private Investment in Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Private Investment in Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-04-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the effects of several policy and other macro-economic variables on the ratio of private investment to GDP in developing countries. Using data for a sample of 23 developing countries over the period 1975-87, the econometric evidence indicates that the rate of private investment is positively related to the real growth rate of GDP, public sector investment, and to a lesser extent the level of per capita GDP, while it is negatively related to domestic inflation, the debt service ratio, the debt-to-GDP ratio, and high real interest rates. There is also some indication that all but the last of these variables had a greater impact before the onset of the debt crisis in 1982, while the debt-to-GDP ratio (a measure of a country’s debt overhang) has become more important since then.

Real Exchange Rates in the Developing Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rates in the Developing Countries by : Sebastian Edwards

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates in the Developing Countries written by Sebastian Edwards and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper deals with three important issues related to real exchange rates. First, it discusses the analytical concept of real exchange rate (RER) placing particular emphasis on providing an operational definition for the equilibrium real exchange rate. Of course, once this concept is defined we can begin to discuss in a meaningful way what we mean by real exchange rate misalignment, or deviations of the actual RER from its equilibrium value. Second, this paper deals with problems associated with measuring real exchange rates. Several proposals are analyzed and the more serious problems encountered when attempting to compute RER's in the developing countries are discussed. And third, I analyze the actual behavior of RER's in a number of developing countries. Here, issues related to the behavior of alternative indexes and to the statistical properties of real exchange rates are emphasized. Additionally, I study the real consequences of increased real exchange rate volatility.

Trends in Private Investment in Developing Countries

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821344750
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (447 download)

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Book Synopsis Trends in Private Investment in Developing Countries by : Guy Pierre Pfeffermann

Download or read book Trends in Private Investment in Developing Countries written by Guy Pierre Pfeffermann and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999-01-01 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the tenth annual edition of "Trends in Private Investment in Developing Countries." To mark this event, this report includes figures for each of the countries for which data are available as well as the first country-specific results of a worldwide survey on obstacles to doing business perceived by executives in 74 countries (including several industrial countries for comparison). The first part of this report documents trends in private and public fixed investment. The second part presents country-specific results of a 1996/97 worldwide survey of business executives. The discussion focus on obstacles to doing business and their relationship to levels of private investment. A few factors emerge as being of particular importance to private investment decisions:the real exchange rate, the rule of law, predictability of judiciary systems, and the extent to which financing is available to enterprises.

Trends in Private Investment in Developing Countries

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821344750
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (447 download)

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Book Synopsis Trends in Private Investment in Developing Countries by : Guy P. Pfeffermann

Download or read book Trends in Private Investment in Developing Countries written by Guy P. Pfeffermann and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the tenth annual edition of "Trends in Private Investment in Developing Countries." To mark this event, this report includes figures for each of the countries for which data are available as well as the first country-specific results of a worldwide survey on obstacles to doing business perceived by executives in 74 countries (including several industrial countries for comparison). The first part of this report documents trends in private and public fixed investment. The second part presents country-specific results of a 1996/97 worldwide survey of business executives. The discussion focus on obstacles to doing business and their relationship to levels of private investment. A few factors emerge as being of particular importance to private investment decisions:the real exchange rate, the rule of law, predictability of judiciary systems, and the extent to which financing is available to enterprises.

Macroeconomic Implications of Real Exchange Rate Targeting in Developing Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Implications of Real Exchange Rate Targeting in Developing Countries by : Peter J. Montiel

Download or read book Macroeconomic Implications of Real Exchange Rate Targeting in Developing Countries written by Peter J. Montiel and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fiscal Policy and Private Investment in Developing Countries

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy and Private Investment in Developing Countries by : Ajay Chhibber

Download or read book Fiscal Policy and Private Investment in Developing Countries written by Ajay Chhibber and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1990 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The key to sustained recovery in developing countries is the revival of private investment. This revival requires a coordinated set of credible policies - fiscal, exchange rate, tax, and public expenditure restructuring. In several countries the debt overhang is also an obstacle to achieving that credibility.

Private Investment and Macroeconomic Adjustment

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Private Investment and Macroeconomic Adjustment by : Luis Serven

Download or read book Private Investment and Macroeconomic Adjustment written by Luis Serven and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Striving for Growth After Adjustment

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821324844
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (248 download)

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Book Synopsis Striving for Growth After Adjustment by : Luis Serven

Download or read book Striving for Growth After Adjustment written by Luis Serven and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1993 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the results of about three years of work finished in early 1992 in the area of private investment and macroeconomic adjustment. Its purpose is to explore the macroeconomic determinants of investment and the causes and cures for the gap between maroeconomic adjustment and stabilization and the resumption of economic growth in developing countries, a gap that even today - 10 years after the debt crisis and the subsequent adjustment of the eighties - remains wide. This volume highlights the central role of capital formation (public and private) in the restoration of sustainable growth.