Rational Expectations Models with a Continuum of Convergent Solutions

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations Models with a Continuum of Convergent Solutions by : Michael L. Mussa

Download or read book Rational Expectations Models with a Continuum of Convergent Solutions written by Michael L. Mussa and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines five examples of rational expectations models with a continuum of convergent solutions and demonstrates serious difficulties in the economic interpretation of these solutions. The five examples are (1) a model of optimal capital accumulation with a negative rate of time preference, (2) Taylor's (1977) linear rational expectations model of macroeconomic equilibrium; (3) Calvo's (1984) model of contract setting and price dynamics; (4) Obstfeld's (1984) equilibrium model of monetary dynamics with individual optimizing agents; and (5) Calvo's (1978) life-cycle model of savings and asset valuation. In every case, when these models yield a continuum of convergent infinite horizon solutions, these solutions fail to exhibit economically appropriate, forward looking dependence of the endogenous variables on the paths of the exogenous forcing variab1es--a difficulty that does not arise under the circumstances where these models yield unique convergent infinite horizon solutions. Further, the three models that have natural finite horizon versions, either lack finite horizon solutions or have solutions that do not converge to any of the infinite horizon solutions. Again, this difficulty arises only under the circumstances where these models have a continuum of infinite horizon solutions.

Rational Expectations Models with a Continuum of Convergent Solutions

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations Models with a Continuum of Convergent Solutions by : Michael Mussa

Download or read book Rational Expectations Models with a Continuum of Convergent Solutions written by Michael Mussa and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines five examples of rational expectations models with a continuum of convergent solutions and demonstrates serious difficulties in the economic interpretation of these solutions. The five examples are (1) a model of optimal capital accumulation with a negative rate of time preference, (2) Taylor's (1977) linear rational expectations model of macroeconomic equilibrium; (3) Calvo's (1984) model of contract setting and price dynamics; (4) Obstfeld's (1984) equilibrium model of monetary dynamics with individual optimizing agents; and (5) Calvo's (1978) life-cycle model of savings and asset valuation. In every case, when these models yield a continuum of convergent infinite horizon solutions, these solutions fail to exhibit economically appropriate, forward looking dependence of the endogenous variables on the paths of the exogenous forcing variab1es--a difficulty that does not arise under the circumstances where these models yield unique convergent infinite horizon solutions. Further, the three models that have natural finite horizon versions, either lack finite horizon solutions or have solutions that do not converge to any of the infinite horizon solutions. Again, this difficulty arises only under the circumstances where these models have a continuum of infinite horizon solutions.

Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models by Parameterized Expectations

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models by Parameterized Expectations by : Albert Marcet

Download or read book Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models by Parameterized Expectations written by Albert Marcet and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Refining Linear Rational Expectations Models and Equilibria

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Refining Linear Rational Expectations Models and Equilibria by : Seonghoon Cho

Download or read book Refining Linear Rational Expectations Models and Equilibria written by Seonghoon Cho and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes forward convergence as a model refinement scheme for linear rational expectations (LRE) models and an associated no-bubble condition as a solution selection criterion. We relate these two concepts to determinacy and characterize the complete set of economically relevant rational expectations solutions to the LRE models under determinacy and indeterminacy. Our results show (1) why a determinate solution is economically meaningful in most, but not all, cases, and (2) that those models that are not forward-convergent have no economically relevant solutions.

Linear Rational Expectations Models

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Publisher : U of Minnesota Press
ISBN 13 : 1452907935
Total Pages : 151 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (529 download)

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Book Synopsis Linear Rational Expectations Models by : Charles H. Whiteman

Download or read book Linear Rational Expectations Models written by Charles H. Whiteman and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 1984 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models by : Olivier J. Blanchard

Download or read book Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models written by Olivier J. Blanchard and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many methods have been proposed for the solution and simulation of medium or large size models under the assumption of rational expectations. The purpose of this paper is to present these methods, and to show how and where each can be applied. The methods fall into two groups. Methods in the first can be used to solve for perfect foresight paths in non-linear models. Methods in the second can be used in linear models, to solve either for paths or processes followed by endogenous variables. All the methods described here have been used in empirical applications and computer algorithms are available for most.

Nominations of H. Robert Heller and Michael L. Mussa

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 138 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Nominations of H. Robert Heller and Michael L. Mussa by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs

Download or read book Nominations of H. Robert Heller and Michael L. Mussa written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Assessing Rational Expectations 2

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262262903
Total Pages : 498 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (629 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Rational Expectations 2 by : Roger Guesnerie

Download or read book Assessing Rational Expectations 2 written by Roger Guesnerie and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005-02-18 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A theoretical assessment of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis through subjecting a collection of economic models to an "eductive stability" test. The rational expectations hypothesis (REH) dominates economic modeling in areas ranging from monetary theory, macroeconomics, and general equilibrium to finance. In this book, Roger Guesnerie continues the critical analysis of the REH begun in his Assessing Rational Expectations: Sunspot Multiplicity and Economic Fluctuations, which dealt with the questions raised by multiplicity and its implications for a theory of endogenous fluctuations. This second volume emphasizes "eductive" learning: relying on careful reasoning, agents must deduce what other agents guess, a process that differs from the standard evolutionary learning experience in which agents make decisions about the future based on past experiences. A broad "eductive" stability test is proposed that includes common knowledge and results in a unique "rationalizable expectations equilibrium." This test provides the basis for Guesnerie's theoretical assessment of the plausibility of the REH's expectational coordination, emphasizing, for different categories of economic models, conditions for the REH's success or failure. Guesnerie begins by presenting the concepts and methods of the eductive stability analysis in selected partial equilibrium models. He then explores to what extent general equilibrium strategic complementarities interfere with partial equilibrium considerations in the formation of stable expectations. Guesnerie next examines two issues relating to eductive stability in financial market models, speculation and asymmetric price information. The dynamic settings of an infinite horizon model are then taken up, and particular standard and generalized saddle-path solutions are scrutinized. Guesnerie concludes with a review of general questions and some "cautious" remarks on the policy implications of his analysis.

Rational Expectations and Convergence Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and Convergence Models by : Isamu Ginama

Download or read book Rational Expectations and Convergence Models written by Isamu Ginama and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Keynesian Recovery and Other Essays

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Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 9780472102105
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (21 download)

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Book Synopsis The Keynesian Recovery and Other Essays by : Peter Howitt

Download or read book The Keynesian Recovery and Other Essays written by Peter Howitt and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume brings together Howitt's key contributions to the development of macroeconomic theory

Solutions to Linear Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 8 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (246 download)

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Book Synopsis Solutions to Linear Rational Expectations Models by : Bennett T. McCallum

Download or read book Solutions to Linear Rational Expectations Models written by Bennett T. McCallum and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An elementary exposition is presented of a convenient and practical solution procedure for a broad class of linear rational expectations models. The undetermined-coefficient approach utilized keeps the mathematics very simple and permits consideration of alternative solution criteria

Solution Techniques for Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (87 download)

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Book Synopsis Solution Techniques for Rational Expectations Models by : Charles H. Whiteman

Download or read book Solution Techniques for Rational Expectations Models written by Charles H. Whiteman and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A General Approach to the Solution of Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (595 download)

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Book Synopsis A General Approach to the Solution of Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models by : Andrew P. Blake

Download or read book A General Approach to the Solution of Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models written by Andrew P. Blake and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Rational Expectations

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521479394
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (793 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations by : Steven M. Sheffrin

Download or read book Rational Expectations written by Steven M. Sheffrin and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1996-06-13 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book develops the idea of rational expectations and surveys its use in economics today.

On Non-uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis On Non-uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models by : Bennett T. McCallum

Download or read book On Non-uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models written by Bennett T. McCallum and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many macroeconomic models involving rational expect at ions give rise to an infinity of solution paths, even when the models are linear in all variables. Some writers have suggested that this non-uniqueness constitutes a serious weakness for the rational expectations hypothesis. One purpose of the present paper is to argue that the non-uniqueness in question is not properly attributable to the rationality hypothesis but, instead, is a general feature of dynamic models involving expectations. It is also argued that there typically exists, in a very wide class of linear rational expectations models, a single solution that excludes "bubble" or "bootstrap" effects ones that occur only because they are arbitrarily expected to occur. A systematic procedure for obtaining solutions free from such effects is introduced and discussed. In addition, this procedure is used to interpret and reconsider several prominent examples with solution multiplicities, including ones developed by Fischer Black and John B. Taylor. [Resumen de autor]

Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectation Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectation Models by : Jeffrey C. Fuhrer

Download or read book Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectation Models written by Jeffrey C. Fuhrer and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Note on the Uniqueness of Solutions to Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (115 download)

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Book Synopsis A Note on the Uniqueness of Solutions to Rational Expectations Models by : Christopher Heiberger

Download or read book A Note on the Uniqueness of Solutions to Rational Expectations Models written by Christopher Heiberger and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: