Quantitative Risk Analysis For Homeland Security Resource Allocation

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Quantitative Risk Analysis for Homeland Security Resource Allocation

Author : Christopher S. Reifel
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 119 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative Risk Analysis for Homeland Security Resource Allocation by : Christopher S. Reifel

Download or read book Quantitative Risk Analysis for Homeland Security Resource Allocation written by Christopher S. Reifel and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Defense against terrorism both at home and abroad has become a priority in the United States. As a result, resource allocation has also increased. However, even as resources increase, they are still finite. So the dilemma becomes how to efficiently allocate these limited resources. Currently the data, while abundant, is confusing. One suggested method is to allocate resources based on risk. However, there is virtually no guidance on how that risk should be defined or what the parameters are in a risk-based approach. Also, there is no flow of information model that outlines how to communicate to decision makers the risk reduction potential of each policy alternative. This thesis investigates the usefulness of quantitative risk analysis as an approach to determine the allocation of counter-terrorism resources. This approach develops a simulation-based quantitative risk assessment method that allows for subjective elements and uncertainties. The risk assessment information is then integrated with the cost of the alternatives to yield a risk-reduction-cost-tradeoff curve that guides decision makers with resource allocation decisions. This approach is demonstrated by using the Port Security Grant Program as an example. We find that the approach provides the decision maker the information required to discover robust resource allocation solutions.

Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309159245
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis by : National Research Council

Download or read book Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2010-10-10 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The events of September 11, 2001 changed perceptions, rearranged national priorities, and produced significant new government entities, including the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) created in 2003. While the principal mission of DHS is to lead efforts to secure the nation against those forces that wish to do harm, the department also has responsibilities in regard to preparation for and response to other hazards and disasters, such as floods, earthquakes, and other "natural" disasters. Whether in the context of preparedness, response or recovery from terrorism, illegal entry to the country, or natural disasters, DHS is committed to processes and methods that feature risk assessment as a critical component for making better-informed decisions. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis explores how DHS is building its capabilities in risk analysis to inform decision making. The department uses risk analysis to inform decisions ranging from high-level policy choices to fine-scale protocols that guide the minute-by-minute actions of DHS employees. Although DHS is responsible for mitigating a range of threats, natural disasters, and pandemics, its risk analysis efforts are weighted heavily toward terrorism. In addition to assessing the capability of DHS risk analysis methods to support decision-making, the book evaluates the quality of the current approach to estimating risk and discusses how to improve current risk analysis procedures. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis recommends that DHS continue to build its integrated risk management framework. It also suggests that the department improve the way models are developed and used and follow time-tested scientific practices, among other recommendations.

Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions

Author : Samrat Chatterjee
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119287472
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions by : Samrat Chatterjee

Download or read book Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions written by Samrat Chatterjee and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-02-09 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents various challenges faced by security policy makers and risk analysts, and mathematical approaches that inform homeland security policy development and decision support Compiled by a group of highly qualified editors, this book provides a clear connection between risk science and homeland security policy making and includes top-notch contributions that uniquely highlight the role of risk analysis for informing homeland security policy decisions. Featuring discussions on various challenges faced in homeland security risk analysis, the book seamlessly divides the subject of risk analysis for homeland security into manageable chapters, which are organized by the concept of risk-informed decisions, methodology for applying risk analysis, and relevant examples and case studies. Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions offers an enlightening overview of risk analysis methods for homeland security. For instance, it presents readers with an exploration of radiological and nuclear risk assessment, along with analysis of uncertainties in radiological and nuclear pathways. It covers the advances in risk analysis for border security, as well as for cyber security. Other topics covered include: strengthening points of entry; systems modeling for rapid containment and casualty mitigation; and disaster preparedness and critical infrastructure resilience. Highlights how risk analysis helps in the decision-making process for homeland security policy Presents specific examples that detail how various risk analysis methods provide decision support for homeland security policy makers and risk analysts Describes numerous case studies from academic, government, and industrial perspectives that apply risk analysis methods for addressing challenges within the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Offers detailed information regarding each of the five DHS missions: prevent terrorism and enhance security; secure and manage our borders; enforce and administer our immigration laws; safeguard and secure cyberspace; and strengthen national preparedness and resilience Discusses the various approaches and challenges faced in homeland risk analysis and identifies improvements and methodological advances that influenced DHS to adopt an increasingly risk-informed basis for decision-making Written by top educators and professionals who clearly illustrate the link between risk science and homeland security policy making Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions is an excellent textbook and/or supplement for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses related to homeland security risk analysis. It will also be an extremely beneficial resource and reference for homeland security policy analysts, risk analysts, and policymakers from private and public sectors, as well as researchers, academics, and practitioners who utilize security risk analysis methods.

Development of a Decision Support Tool to Inform Resource Allocation for Critical Infrastructure Protection in Homeland Security

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 85 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (244 download)

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Book Synopsis Development of a Decision Support Tool to Inform Resource Allocation for Critical Infrastructure Protection in Homeland Security by :

Download or read book Development of a Decision Support Tool to Inform Resource Allocation for Critical Infrastructure Protection in Homeland Security written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analysis of risk in critical infrastructure is one of the major problems facing Homeland Security today. Defining risk and applying it to systems, as opposed to individual assets, is a relatively new idea in Homeland Security policy. Thus, there is a need for a decision support tool to inform decision makers in Homeland Security of resource allocation strategies to harden assets that reduce overall network risk. Model Based Risk Assessment (MBRA) is a quantitative method designed to (1) identify the most critical assets of the network in such a way as to reduce expected loss over the entire network, (2) quantify allocation strategies that strategic planners and risk managers can apply across multi-sector systems, and (3) compute vulnerability and total risk reduction of the network. We formalized the definition of network risk in terms of the connectivity of the network as an extension to the accepted risk equation R=f(T, V, C). We use node degree as a heuristic for criticality of an asset to the overall function of the network. We then modeled the relationship between budget and vulnerability reduction and show how an exponential reduction model compares to a linear or random model. Using the stated definition of network risk, all models rank order assets exactly the same but they reduce risk differently. Lastly, we introduce a two party model that combines both the defender's and attacker's points of view using a game theory approach. We show the results of this model and compare them to a similar model we refer to as the "arms race model" where we allow both attacker and defender to know each other's budget. Results show that the techniques developed here are useful in conducting a systematic and repeatable analysis of an infrastructure network of assets for risk and then informing resource allocations that serve to reduce risk on the entire network, not just the selected assets.

The Department of Homeland Security's Risk Assessment Methodology

Author : Department of Homeland Security
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781466268241
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (682 download)

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Book Synopsis The Department of Homeland Security's Risk Assessment Methodology by : Department of Homeland Security

Download or read book The Department of Homeland Security's Risk Assessment Methodology written by Department of Homeland Security and published by . This book was released on 2007-02-02 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As early as his Senate confirmation hearing, Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Michael Chertoff advocated a risk-based approach to homeland security. Secretary Chertoff has stated "DHS must base its work on priorities driven by risk" and, increasingly, risk assessment and subsequent risk mitigation have influenced all of the department's efforts intended to enhance our nation's ability to prevent, respond to, and recover from future terrorist attacks and natural disasters. While the practice of risk analysis may be advanced in the insurance and financial industries, it is relatively less developed in the homeland security field. Although there are numerous reasons that account for this dynamic, two primary reasons include (1) the dynamic nature of terrorism and ability of terrorists to adapt to successful countermeasures, and (2) the lack of a rich historical database of terrorist attacks, which necessitates a reliance on intelligence and terrorist experts for probabilistic assessments of types of terrorist attacks against critical assets and/or regions. This report begins with an overview of the evolution of risk assessment methodologies from the Department of Justice in FY2002 to DHS in FY2007, and then discusses the discipline of risk management and risk assessment as applied to Homeland Security Grant Program (HSGP). Terrorism risk analysis and assessment do not exist in a vacuum. Risk is analyzed and assessed as a means to mitigate or "buy down" risk over time by developing certain capabilities across the country. At DHS, the State Homeland Security Grant Program is the primary tool the agency has to influence the behavior of State and local partners to take actions that reduce what both parties agree are the risks of a terrorist attack and to respond effectively to such an attack, or other catastrophe. Regardless of the complexity of the risk assessment methodology, due to the inherent uncertainties associated with assessing risk in a dynamic counterterrorism context, some level of flexibility in managing risk may be necessary. Empirical data on historical terrorist attacks in the United States may, therefore, continue to play an important role in resource allocation to reduce risk. This report presents several risk assessment and related grant program options for congressional consideration: (1) maintain the status quo in the inextricably linked areas of risk assessment and grant allocation, (2) draft a national impact assessment to understand return on investment of the approximately $12 billion of HSGP spent by FY2008, (3) enhance the transparency of the risk allocation methodology to state and local governments, and (4) develop a comprehensive and long-term strategy for managing, assessing and mitigating risk. To achieve these goals, the department could opt to consider procedural or organizational changes. Possible approaches are discussed in the report's final section. This report may be updated.

Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions

Author : Samrat Chatterjee
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119287464
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions by : Samrat Chatterjee

Download or read book Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions written by Samrat Chatterjee and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-02-24 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents various challenges faced by security policy makers and risk analysts, and mathematical approaches that inform homeland security policy development and decision support Compiled by a group of highly qualified editors, this book provides a clear connection between risk science and homeland security policy making and includes top-notch contributions that uniquely highlight the role of risk analysis for informing homeland security policy decisions. Featuring discussions on various challenges faced in homeland security risk analysis, the book seamlessly divides the subject of risk analysis for homeland security into manageable chapters, which are organized by the concept of risk-informed decisions, methodology for applying risk analysis, and relevant examples and case studies. Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions offers an enlightening overview of risk analysis methods for homeland security. For instance, it presents readers with an exploration of radiological and nuclear risk assessment, along with analysis of uncertainties in radiological and nuclear pathways. It covers the advances in risk analysis for border security, as well as for cyber security. Other topics covered include: strengthening points of entry; systems modeling for rapid containment and casualty mitigation; and disaster preparedness and critical infrastructure resilience. Highlights how risk analysis helps in the decision-making process for homeland security policy Presents specific examples that detail how various risk analysis methods provide decision support for homeland security policy makers and risk analysts Describes numerous case studies from academic, government, and industrial perspectives that apply risk analysis methods for addressing challenges within the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Offers detailed information regarding each of the five DHS missions: prevent terrorism and enhance security; secure and manage our borders; enforce and administer our immigration laws; safeguard and secure cyberspace; and strengthen national preparedness and resilience Discusses the various approaches and challenges faced in homeland risk analysis and identifies improvements and methodological advances that influenced DHS to adopt an increasingly risk-informed basis for decision-making Written by top educators and professionals who clearly illustrate the link between risk science and homeland security policy making Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions is an excellent textbook and/or supplement for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses related to homeland security risk analysis. It will also be an extremely beneficial resource and reference for homeland security policy analysts, risk analysts, and policymakers from private and public sectors, as well as researchers, academics, and practitioners who utilize security risk analysis methods.

Improving Homeland Security Decisions

Author : Ali E. Abbas
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110821665X
Total Pages : 788 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (82 download)

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Book Synopsis Improving Homeland Security Decisions by : Ali E. Abbas

Download or read book Improving Homeland Security Decisions written by Ali E. Abbas and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-12-06 with total page 788 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What are the risks of terrorism and what are their consequences and economic impacts? Are we safer from terrorism today than before 9/11? Does the government spend our homeland security funds well? These questions motivated a twelve-year research program of the National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) at the University of Southern California, funded by the Department of Homeland Security. This book showcases some of the most important results of this research and offers key insights on how to address the most important security problems of our time. Written for homeland security researchers and practitioners, this book covers a wide range of methodologies and real-world examples of how to reduce terrorism risks, increase the efficient use of homeland security resources, and thereby make better decisions overall.

Risk-Informed Resource Allocation at the Department of Homeland Security

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 11 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk-Informed Resource Allocation at the Department of Homeland Security by :

Download or read book Risk-Informed Resource Allocation at the Department of Homeland Security written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 11 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the formation of DHS in 2003, Congress and DHS have made continuing progress in incorporating risk analysis into decision making about homeland security policy and programs. For example, shortly after September 11, 2001, decisions about how to make grants to protect localities from terrorism were dominated by the use of crude indicators, such as population, which was intended to serve as a surrogate measure of the consequences of terrorist events. This approach failed to differentiate scenarios that were more likely because of terrorists' capabilities and intentions or because targets were more vulnerable to attack. More recently, Secretary Michael Chertoff has called on DHS to adopt risk-based decision making. The principle of using risk-based decision making has now been adopted across DHS and methods of risk analysis are becoming established in DHS. Terrorism risk is a function of three factors: a credible threat of attack on a vulnerable target that would result in unwanted consequences. Risk only exists if terrorists want to launch an attack, if they have the capability to do so successfully in a way that avoids security and compromises the target, and if the attack results in casualties, economic loss, or another form of unwanted consequence. Models to estimate terrorism risks and the outcomes of terrorist attacks under various scenarios have been developed at DHS Centers of Excellence, independent think tanks, other research organizations, national laboratories, and the Department of Defense. DHS itself has also developed models and sponsored external research, including a RAND study on using risk analysis for intelligence analysis sponsored by the Homeland Infrastructure Threat and Risk Analysis Center (HITRAC). Risk management and the tools to support it are being institutionalized into the DHS decision-making process.

Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470035498
Total Pages : 2163 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment by :

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment written by and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-09-02 with total page 2163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leading the way in this field, the Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment is the first publication to offer a modern, comprehensive and in-depth resource to the huge variety of disciplines involved. A truly international work, its coverage ranges across risk issues pertinent to life scientists, engineers, policy makers, healthcare professionals, the finance industry, the military and practising statisticians. Drawing on the expertise of world-renowned authors and editors in this field this title provides up-to-date material on drug safety, investment theory, public policy applications, transportation safety, public perception of risk, epidemiological risk, national defence and security, critical infrastructure, and program management. This major publication is easily accessible for all those involved in the field of risk assessment and analysis. For ease-of-use it is available in print and online.

Terrorism Risk Modeling for Intelligence Analysis and Infrastructure Protection

Author : Henry H. Willis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833039741
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Terrorism Risk Modeling for Intelligence Analysis and Infrastructure Protection by : Henry H. Willis

Download or read book Terrorism Risk Modeling for Intelligence Analysis and Infrastructure Protection written by Henry H. Willis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2007 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Department of Homeland Security is moving increasingly to risk analysis and risk-based resource allocation, a process that is designed to manage the greatest risks instead of attempting to protect everything. The authors show how a probabilistic terrorism model can be used to assess terrorist risk across cities and within specific cities, and to assist intelligence analysis.

Estimating Terrorism Risk

Author : Henry H. Willis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833040936
Total Pages : 93 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Terrorism Risk by : Henry H. Willis

Download or read book Estimating Terrorism Risk written by Henry H. Willis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2006-01-06 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Department of Homeland Security is responsible for protecting the United States from terrorism. It does so partly through the Urban Areas Security Initiative, though its distribution has been criticized for not reflecting risk. This monograph offers a practical definition of terrorism risk and a method for estimating it that addresses inherent uncertainties. It also demonstrates a framework for evaluating alternative risk estimates. Finally, it makes five recommendations for improving resource allocation.

Strengthening the Use of Risk Management Principles in Homeland Security: Highlights of a Forum

Author :
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437903851
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Strengthening the Use of Risk Management Principles in Homeland Security: Highlights of a Forum by :

Download or read book Strengthening the Use of Risk Management Principles in Homeland Security: Highlights of a Forum written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2008 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Analysis and Security Countermeasure Selection

Author : CPP/PSP/CSC, Thomas L. Norman
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420078712
Total Pages : 412 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis and Security Countermeasure Selection by : CPP/PSP/CSC, Thomas L. Norman

Download or read book Risk Analysis and Security Countermeasure Selection written by CPP/PSP/CSC, Thomas L. Norman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2009-12-18 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When properly conducted, risk analysis enlightens, informs, and illuminates, helping management organize their thinking into properly prioritized, cost-effective action. Poor analysis, on the other hand, usually results in vague programs with no clear direction and no metrics for measurement. Although there is plenty of information on risk analysis

Homeland Security: Applying Risk Management Principles to Guide Federal Investments

Author :
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781422313572
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Homeland Security: Applying Risk Management Principles to Guide Federal Investments by :

Download or read book Homeland Security: Applying Risk Management Principles to Guide Federal Investments written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2007 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Management: Strengthening the Use of Risk Management Principles in Homeland Security

Author : Norman J. Rabkin
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437907091
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Management: Strengthening the Use of Risk Management Principles in Homeland Security by : Norman J. Rabkin

Download or read book Risk Management: Strengthening the Use of Risk Management Principles in Homeland Security written by Norman J. Rabkin and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2009-02 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the terrorist attacks of 9/11, to Hurricane Katrina, homeland security risks vary widely. Managing these risks is especially difficult in today¿s environment of globalization, increasing security interdependence, and growing fiscal challenges for the fed. gov¿t. A forum of 25 experts was convened on Oct. 25, 2007, to advance a nat. dialogue on applying risk mgmt. to homeland security. Participants included fed., state, and local officials and risk mgt. experts from the private sector and academia. They identified: (1) what they considered to be effective risk mgmt. practices used by org. from the private and public sectors; and (2) key challenges to applying risk mgmt. to homeland security and actions that could be taken to address them. Illustrations.

Quadrennial Homeland Security Review

Author : United States Government Accountability Office
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781977546104
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (461 download)

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Book Synopsis Quadrennial Homeland Security Review by : United States Government Accountability Office

Download or read book Quadrennial Homeland Security Review written by United States Government Accountability Office and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2017-09-22 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Homeland security threats continue to evolve and include challenges ranging from terrorist attacks to natural disasters, emphasizing the need for DHS to periodically examine and strengthen the nation's homeland security strategy. Further, the Implementing Recommendations of the 9/11 Commission Act of 2007 requires DHS to conduct such a review every 4 years. GAO reported in 2011 on DHS's first QHSR and recommended DHS provide sufficient time for stakeholder consultations and examine how risk information could be used to prioritize mission efforts. DHS issued its second QHSR in 2014. GAO was asked to assess the QHSR. This report addresses the extent to which DHS (1) examined and used risk information to inform the QHSR and its implementation, (2) aligned its budget and performance measures to QHSR mission goals, and (3) collaborated with stakeholders to develop the QHSR. GAO analyzed relevant statutes and QHSR documentation; conducted a nongeneralizable survey of DHS-identified federal and nonfederal QHSR stakeholders, receiving responses from 93 of the 182 QHSR stakeholders it contacted; and interviewed officials from DHS, federal, and nonfederal entities.

Risk Assessment and Security for Pipelines, Tunnels, and Underground Rail and Transit Operations

Author : Anna M. Doro-on
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1466569328
Total Pages : 418 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (665 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Assessment and Security for Pipelines, Tunnels, and Underground Rail and Transit Operations by : Anna M. Doro-on

Download or read book Risk Assessment and Security for Pipelines, Tunnels, and Underground Rail and Transit Operations written by Anna M. Doro-on and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2014-06-03 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk Assessment and Security for Pipelines, Tunnels, and Underground Rail and Transit Operations details a quantitative risk assessment methodology for systematically analyzing various alternatives for protecting underground rail, oil and gas pipelines, pipeline freight transportation, and other tunnel systems from terrorism threats and other disasters. It examines the engineering, environmental, and economic impacts and addresses both direct and collateral damage. The book describes how to employ the methodology of quantitative psychology for effectively assessing risk in homeland security, defense actions, and critical infrastructure protection. Using pipelines, tunnels, underground rapid rail, and transit systems as examples, it maintains an emphasis on applying quantitative psychology to risk management in the areas of homeland security and defense. Outlines the background and system operations of pipelines, tunnels, underground rail, and transit systems as well as other super-speed futuristic trains Covers materials used for fabricating weapons of mass destruction and operations for terrorism Deals with the probabilistic risk estimation process, event tree analysis, and fault tree analysis Discusses the risk and vulnerability assessment tools and methodologies used by experts and governmental agencies Approved for public release by the U.S. Federal Government, this book presents regulations, standard processes, and risk assessment models recommended by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security and other federal and state agencies. Describing how to evaluate terrorism threats and warnings, it details protocols for preventive measures and emergency preparedness plans that are based on economic analysis. With comprehensive coverage that includes risk estimation and risk acceptability analysis, the book provides a foundational understanding of risk and the various defensive systems that can improve safety and security as well as thwart terrorists’ efforts to sabotage critical infrastructure.