Probability Models

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Introduction to Probability Models

Author : Sheldon M. Ross
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0123756871
Total Pages : 801 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (237 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability Models by : Sheldon M. Ross

Download or read book Introduction to Probability Models written by Sheldon M. Ross and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2006-12-11 with total page 801 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction to Probability Models, Tenth Edition, provides an introduction to elementary probability theory and stochastic processes. There are two approaches to the study of probability theory. One is heuristic and nonrigorous, and attempts to develop in students an intuitive feel for the subject that enables him or her to think probabilistically. The other approach attempts a rigorous development of probability by using the tools of measure theory. The first approach is employed in this text. The book begins by introducing basic concepts of probability theory, such as the random variable, conditional probability, and conditional expectation. This is followed by discussions of stochastic processes, including Markov chains and Poison processes. The remaining chapters cover queuing, reliability theory, Brownian motion, and simulation. Many examples are worked out throughout the text, along with exercises to be solved by students. This book will be particularly useful to those interested in learning how probability theory can be applied to the study of phenomena in fields such as engineering, computer science, management science, the physical and social sciences, and operations research. Ideally, this text would be used in a one-year course in probability models, or a one-semester course in introductory probability theory or a course in elementary stochastic processes. New to this Edition: 65% new chapter material including coverage of finite capacity queues, insurance risk models and Markov chains Contains compulsory material for new Exam 3 of the Society of Actuaries containing several sections in the new exams Updated data, and a list of commonly used notations and equations, a robust ancillary package, including a ISM, SSM, and test bank Includes SPSS PASW Modeler and SAS JMP software packages which are widely used in the field Hallmark features: Superior writing style Excellent exercises and examples covering the wide breadth of coverage of probability topics Real-world applications in engineering, science, business and economics

Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition

Author : Roger B. Myerson
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262355604
Total Pages : 569 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition by : Roger B. Myerson

Download or read book Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition written by Roger B. Myerson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-12-17 with total page 569 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risk and economic decisions, using spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty. This textbook offers an introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risks and economic decisions. It takes a learn-by-doing approach, teaching the student to use spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty and to analyze the effect of such uncertainty on an economic decision. Students in applied business and economics can more easily grasp difficult analytical methods with Excel spreadsheets. The book covers the basic ideas of probability, how to simulate random variables, and how to compute conditional probabilities via Monte Carlo simulation. The first four chapters use a large collection of probability distributions to simulate a range of problems involving worker efficiency, market entry, oil exploration, repeated investment, and subjective belief elicitation. The book then covers correlation and multivariate normal random variables; conditional expectation; optimization of decision variables, with discussions of the strategic value of information, decision trees, game theory, and adverse selection; risk sharing and finance; dynamic models of growth; dynamic models of arrivals; and model risk. New material in this second edition includes two new chapters on additional dynamic models and model risk; new sections in every chapter; many new end-of-chapter exercises; and coverage of such topics as simulation model workflow, models of probabilistic electoral forecasting, and real options. The book comes equipped with Simtools, an open-source, free software used througout the book, which allows students to conduct Monte Carlo simulations seamlessly in Excel.

Introduction to Probability Models, Student Solutions Manual (e-only)

Author : Sheldon M Ross
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 9780123814364
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (143 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability Models, Student Solutions Manual (e-only) by : Sheldon M Ross

Download or read book Introduction to Probability Models, Student Solutions Manual (e-only) written by Sheldon M Ross and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction to Probability Models, Student Solutions Manual (e-only)

Introduction to Probability

Author : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118548558
Total Pages : 548 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability by : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Download or read book Introduction to Probability written by Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-11-24 with total page 548 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY Discover practical models and real-world applications of multivariate models useful in engineering, business, and related disciplines In Introduction to Probability: Multivariate Models and Applications, a team of distinguished researchers delivers a comprehensive exploration of the concepts, methods, and results in multivariate distributions and models. Intended for use in a second course in probability, the material is largely self-contained, with some knowledge of basic probability theory and univariate distributions as the only prerequisite. This textbook is intended as the sequel to Introduction to Probability: Models and Applications. Each chapter begins with a brief historical account of some of the pioneers in probability who made significant contributions to the field. It goes on to describe and explain a critical concept or method in multivariate models and closes with two collections of exercises designed to test basic and advanced understanding of the theory. A wide range of topics are covered, including joint distributions for two or more random variables, independence of two or more variables, transformations of variables, covariance and correlation, a presentation of the most important multivariate distributions, generating functions and limit theorems. This important text: Includes classroom-tested problems and solutions to probability exercises Highlights real-world exercises designed to make clear the concepts presented Uses Mathematica software to illustrate the text’s computer exercises Features applications representing worldwide situations and processes Offers two types of self-assessment exercises at the end of each chapter, so that students may review the material in that chapter and monitor their progress Perfect for students majoring in statistics, engineering, business, psychology, operations research and mathematics taking a second course in probability, Introduction to Probability: Multivariate Models and Applications is also an indispensable resource for anyone who is required to use multivariate distributions to model the uncertainty associated with random phenomena.

Applied Probability Models with Optimization Applications

Author : Sheldon M. Ross
Publisher : Courier Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0486318648
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (863 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Probability Models with Optimization Applications by : Sheldon M. Ross

Download or read book Applied Probability Models with Optimization Applications written by Sheldon M. Ross and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2013-04-15 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Concise advanced-level introduction to stochastic processes that arise in applied probability. Poisson process, renewal theory, Markov chains, Brownian motion, much more. Problems. References. Bibliography. 1970 edition.

Probability Models

Author : John Haigh
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 144715343X
Total Pages : 287 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models by : John Haigh

Download or read book Probability Models written by John Haigh and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-07-04 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this book is to provide a sound introduction to the study of real-world phenomena that possess random variation. It describes how to set up and analyse models of real-life phenomena that involve elements of chance. Motivation comes from everyday experiences of probability, such as that of a dice or cards, the idea of fairness in games of chance, and the random ways in which, say, birthdays are shared or particular events arise. Applications include branching processes, random walks, Markov chains, queues, renewal theory, and Brownian motion. This textbook contains many worked examples and several chapters have been updated and expanded for the second edition. Some mathematical knowledge is assumed. The reader should have the ability to work with unions, intersections and complements of sets; a good facility with calculus, including integration, sequences and series; and appreciation of the logical development of an argument. Probability Models is designed to aid students studying probability as part of an undergraduate course on mathematics or mathematics and statistics.

Discrete Probability Models and Methods

Author : Pierre Brémaud
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319434764
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Discrete Probability Models and Methods by : Pierre Brémaud

Download or read book Discrete Probability Models and Methods written by Pierre Brémaud and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-01-31 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The emphasis in this book is placed on general models (Markov chains, random fields, random graphs), universal methods (the probabilistic method, the coupling method, the Stein-Chen method, martingale methods, the method of types) and versatile tools (Chernoff's bound, Hoeffding's inequality, Holley's inequality) whose domain of application extends far beyond the present text. Although the examples treated in the book relate to the possible applications, in the communication and computing sciences, in operations research and in physics, this book is in the first instance concerned with theory. The level of the book is that of a beginning graduate course. It is self-contained, the prerequisites consisting merely of basic calculus (series) and basic linear algebra (matrices). The reader is not assumed to be trained in probability since the first chapters give in considerable detail the background necessary to understand the rest of the book.

Introduction to Probability Models

Author : Sheldon M. Ross
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0123736358
Total Pages : 801 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (237 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability Models by : Sheldon M. Ross

Download or read book Introduction to Probability Models written by Sheldon M. Ross and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2007 with total page 801 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rosss classic bestseller has been used extensively by professionals and as the primary text for a first undergraduate course in applied probability. With the addition of several new sections relating to actuaries, this text is highly recommended by the Society of Actuaries.

Probability Models for Computer Science

Author : Sheldon M. Ross
Publisher : Taylor & Francis US
ISBN 13 : 9780125980517
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models for Computer Science by : Sheldon M. Ross

Download or read book Probability Models for Computer Science written by Sheldon M. Ross and published by Taylor & Francis US. This book was released on 2002 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of probability in computer science has been growing for years and, in lieu of a tailored textbook, many courses have employed a variety of similar, but not entirely applicable, alternatives. To meet the needs of the computer science graduate student (and the advanced undergraduate), best-selling author Sheldon Ross has developed the premier probability text for aspiring computer scientists involved in computer simulation and modeling. The math is precise and easily understood. As with his other texts, Sheldon Ross presents very clear explanations of concepts and covers those probability models that are most in demand by, and applicable to, computer science and related majors and practitioners. Many interesting examples and exercises have been chosen to illuminate the techniques presented Examples relating to bin packing, sorting algorithms, the find algorithm, random graphs, self-organising list problems, the maximum weighted independent set problem, hashing, probabilistic verification, max SAT problem, queuing networks, distributed workload models, and many othersMany interesting examples and exercises have been chosen to illuminate the techniques presented

Interpreting Probability Models

Author : Tim Futing Liao
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9780803949997
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (499 download)

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Book Synopsis Interpreting Probability Models by : Tim Futing Liao

Download or read book Interpreting Probability Models written by Tim Futing Liao and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1994-06-30 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is the probability that something will occur, and how is that probability altered by a change in an independent variable? To answer these questions, Tim Futing Liao introduces a systematic way of interpreting commonly used probability models. Since much of what social scientists study is measured in noncontinuous ways and, therefore, cannot be analyzed using a classical regression model, it becomes necessary to model the likelihood that an event will occur. This book explores these models first by reviewing each probability model and then by presenting a systematic way for interpreting the results from each.

Probability Models and Statistical Analyses for Ranking Data

Author : Michael A. Fligner
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461227380
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models and Statistical Analyses for Ranking Data by : Michael A. Fligner

Download or read book Probability Models and Statistical Analyses for Ranking Data written by Michael A. Fligner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In June of 1990, a conference was held on Probablity Models and Statisti cal Analyses for Ranking Data, under the joint auspices of the American Mathematical Society, the Institute for Mathematical Statistics, and the Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematicians. The conference took place at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, and was attended by 36 participants, including statisticians, mathematicians, psychologists and sociologists from the United States, Canada, Israel, Italy, and The Nether lands. There were 18 presentations on a wide variety of topics involving ranking data. This volume is a collection of 14 of these presentations, as well as 5 miscellaneous papers that were contributed by conference participants. We would like to thank Carole Kohanski, summer program coordinator for the American Mathematical Society, for her assistance in arranging the conference; M. Steigerwald for preparing the manuscripts for publication; Martin Gilchrist at Springer-Verlag for editorial advice; and Persi Diaconis for contributing the Foreword. Special thanks go to the anonymous referees for their careful readings and constructive comments. Finally, we thank the National Science Foundation for their sponsorship of the AMS-IMS-SIAM Joint Summer Programs. Contents Preface vii Conference Participants xiii Foreword xvii 1 Ranking Models with Item Covariates 1 D. E. Critchlow and M. A. Fligner 1. 1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1. 2 Basic Ranking Models and Their Parameters 2 1. 3 Ranking Models with Covariates 8 1. 4 Estimation 9 1. 5 Example. 11 1. 6 Discussion. 14 1. 7 Appendix . 15 1. 8 References.

Probability Models

Author : John Haigh
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1447101693
Total Pages : 263 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models by : John Haigh

Download or read book Probability Models written by John Haigh and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability Models is designed to aid students studying probability as part of an undergraduate course on mathematics or mathematics and statistics. It describes how to set up and analyse models of real-life phenomena that involve elements of chance. Motivation comes from everyday experiences of probability via dice and cards, the idea of fairness in games of chance, and the random ways in which, say, birthdays are shared or particular events arise. Applications include branching processes, random walks, Markov chains, queues, renewal theory, and Brownian motion. No specific knowledge of the subject is assumed, only a familiarity with the notions of calculus, and the summation of series. Where the full story would call for a deeper mathematical background, the difficulties are noted and appropriate references given. The main topics arise naturally, with definitions and theorems supported by fully worked examples and some 200 set exercises, all with solutions.

Probability Models And Applications (Revised Second Edition)

Author : Ingram Olkin
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9813202068
Total Pages : 732 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (132 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models And Applications (Revised Second Edition) by : Ingram Olkin

Download or read book Probability Models And Applications (Revised Second Edition) written by Ingram Olkin and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2019-09-03 with total page 732 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by renowned experts in the field, this reissue of a textbook has as its unifying theme the role that probability models have had, and continue to have, in scientific and practical applications. It includes many examples, with actual data, of real-world use of probability models, while expositing the mathematical theory of probability at an introductory calculus-based level. Detailed descriptions of the properties and applications of probability models that have successfully modeled real phenomena are given, as well as an explanation of methods for testing goodness of fit of these models. Readers will receive a firm foundation in techniques for deriving distributions of various summaries of data that will prepare them for subsequent studies of statistics, as well as a solid grounding in concepts such as that of conditional probability that will prepare them for more advanced courses in stochastic processes.

Probability Models for DNA Sequence Evolution

Author : Rick Durrett
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475762852
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models for DNA Sequence Evolution by : Rick Durrett

Download or read book Probability Models for DNA Sequence Evolution written by Rick Durrett and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "What underlying forces are responsible for the observed patterns of variability, given a collection of DNA sequences?" In approaching this question a number of probability models are introduced and anyalyzed.Throughout the book, the theory is developed in close connection with data from more than 60 experimental studies that illustrate the use of these results.

Probability and Bayesian Modeling

Author : Jim Albert
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351030124
Total Pages : 511 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (51 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability and Bayesian Modeling by : Jim Albert

Download or read book Probability and Bayesian Modeling written by Jim Albert and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-12-06 with total page 511 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability and Bayesian Modeling is an introduction to probability and Bayesian thinking for undergraduate students with a calculus background. The first part of the book provides a broad view of probability including foundations, conditional probability, discrete and continuous distributions, and joint distributions. Statistical inference is presented completely from a Bayesian perspective. The text introduces inference and prediction for a single proportion and a single mean from Normal sampling. After fundamentals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are introduced, Bayesian inference is described for hierarchical and regression models including logistic regression. The book presents several case studies motivated by some historical Bayesian studies and the authors’ research. This text reflects modern Bayesian statistical practice. Simulation is introduced in all the probability chapters and extensively used in the Bayesian material to simulate from the posterior and predictive distributions. One chapter describes the basic tenets of Metropolis and Gibbs sampling algorithms; however several chapters introduce the fundamentals of Bayesian inference for conjugate priors to deepen understanding. Strategies for constructing prior distributions are described in situations when one has substantial prior information and for cases where one has weak prior knowledge. One chapter introduces hierarchical Bayesian modeling as a practical way of combining data from different groups. There is an extensive discussion of Bayesian regression models including the construction of informative priors, inference about functions of the parameters of interest, prediction, and model selection. The text uses JAGS (Just Another Gibbs Sampler) as a general-purpose computational method for simulating from posterior distributions for a variety of Bayesian models. An R package ProbBayes is available containing all of the book datasets and special functions for illustrating concepts from the book. A complete solutions manual is available for instructors who adopt the book in the Additional Resources section.

Linear Probability, Logit, and Probit Models

Author : John H. Aldrich
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9780803921337
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Linear Probability, Logit, and Probit Models by : John H. Aldrich

Download or read book Linear Probability, Logit, and Probit Models written by John H. Aldrich and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1984-11 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After showing why ordinary regression analysis is not appropriate for investigating dichotomous or otherwise 'limited' dependent variables, this volume examines three techniques which are well suited for such data. It reviews the linear probability model and discusses alternative specifications of non-linear models.

Models for Probability and Statistical Inference

Author : James H. Stapleton
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470183403
Total Pages : 466 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Models for Probability and Statistical Inference by : James H. Stapleton

Download or read book Models for Probability and Statistical Inference written by James H. Stapleton and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-12-14 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This concise, yet thorough, book is enhanced with simulations and graphs to build the intuition of readers Models for Probability and Statistical Inference was written over a five-year period and serves as a comprehensive treatment of the fundamentals of probability and statistical inference. With detailed theoretical coverage found throughout the book, readers acquire the fundamentals needed to advance to more specialized topics, such as sampling, linear models, design of experiments, statistical computing, survival analysis, and bootstrapping. Ideal as a textbook for a two-semester sequence on probability and statistical inference, early chapters provide coverage on probability and include discussions of: discrete models and random variables; discrete distributions including binomial, hypergeometric, geometric, and Poisson; continuous, normal, gamma, and conditional distributions; and limit theory. Since limit theory is usually the most difficult topic for readers to master, the author thoroughly discusses modes of convergence of sequences of random variables, with special attention to convergence in distribution. The second half of the book addresses statistical inference, beginning with a discussion on point estimation and followed by coverage of consistency and confidence intervals. Further areas of exploration include: distributions defined in terms of the multivariate normal, chi-square, t, and F (central and non-central); the one- and two-sample Wilcoxon test, together with methods of estimation based on both; linear models with a linear space-projection approach; and logistic regression. Each section contains a set of problems ranging in difficulty from simple to more complex, and selected answers as well as proofs to almost all statements are provided. An abundant amount of figures in addition to helpful simulations and graphs produced by the statistical package S-Plus(r) are included to help build the intuition of readers.