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Probabilistic Risk Assessment
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Book Synopsis Probabilistic Risk Analysis by : Tim Bedford
Download or read book Probabilistic Risk Analysis written by Tim Bedford and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-04-30 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A graduate level textbook on probabilistic risk analysis, aimed at statisticians, operations researchers and engineers.
Book Synopsis Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Engineering Systems by : M. Stewart
Download or read book Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Engineering Systems written by M. Stewart and published by Springer. This book was released on 1997-11-30 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probabilistic risk and hazard assessments are applied to a wide range of engineering systems, mainly for regulatory reasons needed for development consent, system certification and occupational health and safety issues. The purpose of this book is to raise awareness of the limitations, uncertainties and other issues inherent in probabilistic risk analysis procedures. Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Engineering Systems describes: the importance of probabilistic risk assessment in decision making, i.e. risk management; types of risk and probabilistic risk analysis procedures; data needed for the conduct of probabilistic risk analysis; and acceptable/tolerable risk and other risk acceptance criteria. In essence, the book provides a multi-disciplinary and integrated explanation of risk assessment procedures that will enable the non-specialist reader to gain valuable insights into the development of risk analysis procedures. Practising engineers and graduate engineering students across a range of disciplines will find this book immensely useful.
Book Synopsis Probablistic Risk Assessment and Management for Engineers and Scientists by : Hiromitsu Kumamoto
Download or read book Probablistic Risk Assessment and Management for Engineers and Scientists written by Hiromitsu Kumamoto and published by Wiley-IEEE Press. This book was released on 2000-04-18 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Electrical Engineering Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Management for Engineers and Scientists Second Edition "State of the art in risk analysis...[this book] projects the technology into the next decade. Congratulations to the authors on a virtuoso performance." -Charles Donaghey, University of Houston "A very useful reference to the academic and government communities, and junior engineering staff within nuclear, chemical, transportation, aerospace, and other industries." -Yovan Lukic, Arizona Public Service Company As the demands of government agencies and insurance companies escalate, societal risk assessment and management become increasingly critical to the development and use of engineered systems in the full range of industrial installations. Packed with real-world examples and practical mathematical and statistical methods for large, complex systems, this definitive text and sourcebook gives you the guidance you need for thorough and conclusive study. You'll find new and updated coverage of all the key topics related to risk analysis: * Probabilistic nature of risk * Qualitative and quantitative risk assessments * System decomposition * Legal and regulatory risks * And much more! The authors also provide end-of-chapter problems and a course outline. Complete with a new, automated, fault tree synthesis method using semantic networks. Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Management for Engineers and Scientists, Second Edition will be of value to anyone working with engineered systems. Also of Interest from IEEE Press... Successful Patents and Patenting for Engineers and Scientists edited by Michael A. Lechter, Esq. 1995 Softcover 432 pp IEEE Order No. PP4478 ISBN 0-7803-1086-1 Metric Units and Conversion Charts A Metrication Handbook for Engineers, Technologists, and Scientists Second Edition Theodore Wildi 1995 Softcover 144 pp IEEE Order No. PP4044 ISBN 0-7803-1050-0 The Probability Tutoring Book An Intuitive Course for Engineers and Scientists (And Everyone Else!) Carol Ash 1993 Softcover 480 pp IEEE Order No. PP2881 ISBN 0-7803-1051-9
Book Synopsis Online Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Complex Marine Systems by : Tarannom Parhizkar
Download or read book Online Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Complex Marine Systems written by Tarannom Parhizkar and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-26 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes a new approach to dynamic and online risk assessment of automated and autonomous marine systems, taking into account different environmental and operational conditions. The book presents lessons learnt from dynamic positioning incidents and accidents, and discusses the challenges of risk assessment of complex systems. The book begins by introducing dynamic and online risk assessment, before presenting automated and autonomous marine systems, as well as numerous dynamic positioning incidents. It then discusses human interactions with technology and explores how to quantify human error. Dynamic probabilistic risk assessment and online risk assessment are both considered fully, including case studies with the application of assisting operators in decision making in emergency situations. Finally, areas for future research are suggested. This practical volume offers tools and methodologies to help operators make better decisions and improve the safety of automated and autonomous marine systems. It provides a guideline for researchers and practitioners to perform dynamic probabilistic and online risk assessment, which also should be applicable to other complex systems outside the marine and maritime domain, such as nuclear power plants, chemical processes, autonomous transport systems, and space shuttles.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment by : Dana Kelly
Download or read book Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment written by Dana Kelly and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-08-30 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software. This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described. A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic selection of an appropriate MCMC sampling scheme for a given problem. The authors provide analysis “building blocks” that can be modified, combined, or used as-is to solve a variety of challenging problems. The MCMC approach used is implemented via textual scripts similar to a macro-type programming language. Accompanying most scripts is a graphical Bayesian network illustrating the elements of the script and the overall inference problem being solved. Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment also covers the important topics of MCMC convergence and Bayesian model checking. Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment is aimed at scientists and engineers who perform or review risk analyses. It provides an analytical structure for combining data and information from various sources to generate estimates of the parameters of uncertainty distributions used in risk and reliability models.
Book Synopsis Satisfying Safety Goals by Probabilistic Risk Assessment by : Hiromitsu Kumamoto
Download or read book Satisfying Safety Goals by Probabilistic Risk Assessment written by Hiromitsu Kumamoto and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-31 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a methodological approach to the goal-based safety design procedure that will soon be an international requirement. This is the first single volume book to describe how to satisfy safety goals by modern reliability engineering. Its focus is on the quantitative aspects of the international standards using a methodological approach. Case studies illustrate the methodologies presented.
Book Synopsis Risk Analysis in Engineering by : Mohammad Modarres
Download or read book Risk Analysis in Engineering written by Mohammad Modarres and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-27 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on the author's 20 years of teaching, Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and Trends presents an engineering approach to probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). It emphasizes methods for comprehensive PRA studies, including techniques for risk management. The author assumes little or no prior knowledge of risk analysis on the p
Book Synopsis Advanced Concepts In Nuclear Energy Risk Assessment And Management by : Tunc Aldemir
Download or read book Advanced Concepts In Nuclear Energy Risk Assessment And Management written by Tunc Aldemir and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-04-25 with total page 554 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past 30 years, numerous concerns have been raised in the literature regarding the capability of static modeling approaches such as the event-tree (ET)/fault-tree (FT) methodology to adequately account for the impact of process/hardware/software/firmware/human interactions on nuclear power plant safety assessment, and methodologies to augment the ET/FT approach have been proposed. Often referred to as dynamic probabilistic risk/safety assessment (DPRA/DPSA) methodologies, which use a time-dependent phenomenological model of system evolution along with a model of its stochastic behavior to model for possible dependencies among failure events. The book contains a collection of papers that describe at existing plant level applicable DPRA/DPSA tools, as well as techniques that can be used to augment the ET/FT approach when needed.
Author :National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Lessons Learned from the Fukushima Nuclear Accident for Improving Safety and Security of U.S. Nuclear Plants Publisher :National Academy Press ISBN 13 :9780309272537 Total Pages :394 pages Book Rating :4.2/5 (725 download)
Book Synopsis Lessons Learned from the Fukushima Nuclear Accident for Improving Safety of U.S. Nuclear Plants by : National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Lessons Learned from the Fukushima Nuclear Accident for Improving Safety and Security of U.S. Nuclear Plants
Download or read book Lessons Learned from the Fukushima Nuclear Accident for Improving Safety of U.S. Nuclear Plants written by National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Lessons Learned from the Fukushima Nuclear Accident for Improving Safety and Security of U.S. Nuclear Plants and published by National Academy Press. This book was released on 2014-10-29 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The March 11, 2011, Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami sparked a humanitarian disaster in northeastern Japan. They were responsible for more than 15,900 deaths and 2,600 missing persons as well as physical infrastructure damages exceeding $200 billion. The earthquake and tsunami also initiated a severe nuclear accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station. Three of the six reactors at the plant sustained severe core damage and released hydrogen and radioactive materials. Explosion of the released hydrogen damaged three reactor buildings and impeded onsite emergency response efforts. The accident prompted widespread evacuations of local populations, large economic losses, and the eventual shutdown of all nuclear power plants in Japan. "Lessons Learned from the Fukushima Nuclear Accident for Improving Safety and Security of U.S. Nuclear Plants" is a study of the Fukushima Daiichi accident. This report examines the causes of the crisis, the performance of safety systems at the plant, and the responses of its operators following the earthquake and tsunami. The report then considers the lessons that can be learned and their implications for U.S. safety and storage of spent nuclear fuel and high-level waste, commercial nuclear reactor safety and security regulations, and design improvements. "Lessons Learned" makes recommendations to improve plant systems, resources, and operator training to enable effective ad hoc responses to severe accidents. This report's recommendations to incorporate modern risk concepts into safety regulations and improve the nuclear safety culture will help the industry prepare for events that could challenge the design of plant structures and lead to a loss of critical safety functions. In providing a broad-scope, high-level examination of the accident, "Lessons Learned" is meant to complement earlier evaluations by industry and regulators. This in-depth review will be an essential resource for the nuclear power industry, policy makers, and anyone interested in the state of U.S. preparedness and response in the face of crisis situations.
Book Synopsis Probability and Risk Analysis by : Igor Rychlik
Download or read book Probability and Risk Analysis written by Igor Rychlik and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-10-07 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text presents notions and ideas at the foundations of a statistical treatment of risks. The focus is on statistical applications within the field of engineering risk and safety analysis. Coverage includes Bayesian methods. Such knowledge facilitates the understanding of the influence of random phenomena and gives a deeper understanding of the role of probability in risk analysis. The text is written for students who have studied elementary undergraduate courses in engineering mathematics, perhaps including a minor course in statistics. This book differs from typical textbooks in its verbal approach to many explanations and examples.
Book Synopsis Probabilistic Safety Assessment in the Chemical and Nuclear Industries by : Ralph Fullwood
Download or read book Probabilistic Safety Assessment in the Chemical and Nuclear Industries written by Ralph Fullwood and published by Butterworth-Heinemann. This book was released on 2000 with total page 554 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In addition to presenting methodology, it shows how to identify accident vulnerability in the two industries. It reviews the causes of the two major nuclear accidents and many fatal accidents in the chemical industry, including Bhopal. Many examples of applications of PSA to both industries are presented."--BOOK JACKET. "Problems are included at the end of many chapters with answers at the back of the book."--Jacket.
Book Synopsis Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Management for Engineers and Scientists by : Hiromitsu Kumamoto
Download or read book Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Management for Engineers and Scientists written by Hiromitsu Kumamoto and published by Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers(IEEE). This book was released on 1996 with total page 626 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the demands of government agencies and insurance companies escalate, societal risk assessment and management become increasingly critical to the development and use of engineered systems in the full range of industrial installations.
Book Synopsis Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management by : Cornelia Spitzer
Download or read book Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management written by Cornelia Spitzer and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-01-04 with total page 3803 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of papers presented at the PSAM 7 – ESREL ’04 conference in June 2004, reflecting a wide variety of disciplines, such as principles and theory of reliability and risk analysis, systems modelling and simulation, consequence assessment, human and organisational factors, structural reliability methods, software reliability and safety, insights and lessons from risk studies and management/decision making. This volume covers both well-established practices and open issues in these fields, identifying areas where maturity has been reached and those where more development is needed.
Book Synopsis Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) by : U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Division of Risk Analysis
Download or read book Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) written by U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Division of Risk Analysis and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Probabilistic Risk Assessment in the Nuclear Power Industry by : R. R. Fullwood
Download or read book Probabilistic Risk Assessment in the Nuclear Power Industry written by R. R. Fullwood and published by Pergamon. This book was released on 1988 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes a number of the more important improvements in risk assessment methodology in the nuclear industry, developed over the last decade. It presents them in an instructive way so as to be suitable for those wishing to understand the techniques. The methodology of modern probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) is discussed in detail. This book is divided into six parts. Part I, Protecting the Public Health and Safety provides an overview of risk analysis including results presentation, safety goals, emergency planning, and public perception. Part II, the Mathematics, which is necessary to understand the text. Part III, safety Aspects of Light Water Reactors describes the types of plants and goes on to discuss accident initiator selection and frequencies. Part IV, PRA, describes system modelling, human factors analysis, data bases, codes, system interactions, external events, core melt physics, and the transport of radionuclides to the public. Part V discusses 34 types of applications of PRA. Part VI, Resources, provides a glossary, references, and an index. Problems are provided at the end of each part to both stimulate understanding and introduce additional material. This book would be a very valuable addition to the reference library of practitioners in the risk assessment business. It is also a useful instructional text for graduate and undergraduate nuclear engineering students as well as newcomers to the field.
Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Risk Assessment by : Terje Aven
Download or read book Uncertainty in Risk Assessment written by Terje Aven and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-12-17 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explores methods for the representation and treatment of uncertainty in risk assessment In providing guidance for practical decision-making situations concerning high-consequence technologies (e.g., nuclear, oil and gas, transport, etc.), the theories and methods studied in Uncertainty in Risk Assessment have wide-ranging applications from engineering and medicine to environmental impacts and natural disasters, security, and financial risk management. The main focus, however, is on engineering applications. While requiring some fundamental background in risk assessment, as well as a basic knowledge of probability theory and statistics, Uncertainty in Risk Assessment can be read profitably by a broad audience of professionals in the field, including researchers and graduate students on courses within risk analysis, statistics, engineering, and the physical sciences. Uncertainty in Risk Assessment: Illustrates the need for seeing beyond probability to represent uncertainties in risk assessment contexts. Provides simple explanations (supported by straightforward numerical examples) of the meaning of different types of probabilities, including interval probabilities, and the fundamentals of possibility theory and evidence theory. Offers guidance on when to use probability and when to use an alternative representation of uncertainty. Presents and discusses methods for the representation and characterization of uncertainty in risk assessment. Uses examples to clearly illustrate ideas and concepts.
Book Synopsis Risk and Safety Analysis of Nuclear Systems by : John C. Lee
Download or read book Risk and Safety Analysis of Nuclear Systems written by John C. Lee and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-01-12 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book has been developed in conjunction with NERS 462, a course offered every year to seniors and graduate students in the University of Michigan NERS program. The first half of the book covers the principles of risk analysis, the techniques used to develop and update a reliability data base, the reliability of multi-component systems, Markov methods used to analyze the unavailability of systems with repairs, fault trees and event trees used in probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs), and failure modes of systems. All of this material is general enough that it could be used in non-nuclear applications, although there is an emphasis placed on the analysis of nuclear systems. The second half of the book covers the safety analysis of nuclear energy systems, an analysis of major accidents and incidents that occurred in commercial nuclear plants, applications of PRA techniques to the safety analysis of nuclear power plants (focusing on a major PRA study for five nuclear power plants), practical PRA examples, and emerging techniques in the structure of dynamic event trees and fault trees that can provide a more realistic representation of complex sequences of events. The book concludes with a discussion on passive safety features of advanced nuclear energy systems under development and approaches taken for risk-informed regulations for nuclear plants.
