Predicting Behavior In Games

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The Predictioneer's Game

Author : Bruce Bueno De Mesquita
Publisher : Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN 13 : 081297977X
Total Pages : 290 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Predictioneer's Game by : Bruce Bueno De Mesquita

Download or read book The Predictioneer's Game written by Bruce Bueno De Mesquita and published by Random House Trade Paperbacks. This book was released on 2010-10-12 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major business firms, have an amazing 90 percent accuracy rate, and in this dazzling and revelatory book he shares his startling methods and lets you play along in a range of high-stakes negotiations and conflicts. Revealing the origins of game theory and the advances made by John Nash, the Nobel Prize—winning scientist perhaps best known from A Beautiful Mind, Bueno de Mesquita details the controversial and cold-eyed system of calculation that he has since created, one that allows individuals to think strategically about what their opponents want, how much they want it, and how they might react to every move. From there, Bueno de Mesquita games such events as the North Korean disarmament talks and the Middle East peace process and recalls, among other cases, how he correctly predicted which corporate clients of the Arthur Andersen accounting firm were most likely engaged in fraudulent activity (hint: one of them started with an E). And looking as ever to the future, Bueno de Mesquita also demonstrates how game theory can provide successful strategies to combat both global warming (instead of relying on empty regulations, make nations compete in technology) and terror (figure out exactly how much U.S. aid will make Pakistan fight the Taliban). But as Bueno de Mesquita shows, game theory isn’t just for saving the world. It can help you in your own life, whether you want to succeed in a lawsuit (lawyers argue too much the merits of the case and question too little the motives of their opponents), elect the CEO of your company (change the system of voting on your board to be more advantageous to your candidate), or even buy a car (start by knowing exactly what you want, call every dealer in a fifty-mile radius, and negotiate only over the phone). Savvy, provocative, and shockingly effective, The Predictioneer’s Game will change how you understand the world and manage your future. Life’s a game, and how you play is whether you win or lose.

Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction

Author : Ariel M. Greenberg
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3642372104
Total Pages : 550 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction by : Ariel M. Greenberg

Download or read book Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction written by Ariel M. Greenberg and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-03-02 with total page 550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction, SBP 2013, held in Washington, DC, USA in April 2013. The total of 57 contributions, which consists of papers and posters, included in this volume was carefully reviewed and selected from 137 submissions. This conference is strongly committed to multidisciplinarity, consistent with recent trends in computational social science and related fields. The topics covered are: behavioral science, health sciences, military science and information science. There are also many papers that provide methodological innovation as well as new domain-specific findings.

Behavioral Game Theory

Author : Colin F. Camerer
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400840880
Total Pages : 569 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Game Theory by : Colin F. Camerer

Download or read book Behavioral Game Theory written by Colin F. Camerer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-05 with total page 569 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Game theory, the formalized study of strategy, began in the 1940s by asking how emotionless geniuses should play games, but ignored until recently how average people with emotions and limited foresight actually play games. This book marks the first substantial and authoritative effort to close this gap. Colin Camerer, one of the field's leading figures, uses psychological principles and hundreds of experiments to develop mathematical theories of reciprocity, limited strategizing, and learning, which help predict what real people and companies do in strategic situations. Unifying a wealth of information from ongoing studies in strategic behavior, he takes the experimental science of behavioral economics a major step forward. He does so in lucid, friendly prose. Behavioral game theory has three ingredients that come clearly into focus in this book: mathematical theories of how moral obligation and vengeance affect the way people bargain and trust each other; a theory of how limits in the brain constrain the number of steps of "I think he thinks . . ." reasoning people naturally do; and a theory of how people learn from experience to make better strategic decisions. Strategic interactions that can be explained by behavioral game theory include bargaining, games of bluffing as in sports and poker, strikes, how conventions help coordinate a joint activity, price competition and patent races, and building up reputations for trustworthiness or ruthlessness in business or life. While there are many books on standard game theory that address the way ideally rational actors operate, Behavioral Game Theory stands alone in blending experimental evidence and psychology in a mathematical theory of normal strategic behavior. It is must reading for anyone who seeks a more complete understanding of strategic thinking, from professional economists to scholars and students of economics, management studies, psychology, political science, anthropology, and biology.

Game Analytics

Author : Magy Seif El-Nasr
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1447147693
Total Pages : 792 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Game Analytics by : Magy Seif El-Nasr

Download or read book Game Analytics written by Magy Seif El-Nasr and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-30 with total page 792 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Developing a successful game in today’s market is a challenging endeavor. Thousands of titles are published yearly, all competing for players’ time and attention. Game analytics has emerged in the past few years as one of the main resources for ensuring game quality, maximizing success, understanding player behavior and enhancing the quality of the player experience. It has led to a paradigm shift in the development and design strategies of digital games, bringing data-driven intelligence practices into the fray for informing decision making at operational, tactical and strategic levels. Game Analytics - Maximizing the Value of Player Data is the first book on the topic of game analytics; the process of discovering and communicating patterns in data towards evaluating and driving action, improving performance and solving problems in game development and game research. Written by over 50 international experts from industry and research, it covers a comprehensive range of topics across more than 30 chapters, providing an in-depth discussion of game analytics and its practical applications. Topics covered include monetization strategies, design of telemetry systems, analytics for iterative production, game data mining and big data in game development, spatial analytics, visualization and reporting of analysis, player behavior analysis, quantitative user testing and game user research. This state-of-the-art volume is an essential source of reference for game developers and researchers. Key takeaways include: Thorough introduction to game analytics; covering analytics applied to data on players, processes and performance throughout the game lifecycle. In-depth coverage and advice on setting up analytics systems and developing good practices for integrating analytics in game-development and -management. Contributions by leading researchers and experienced professionals from the industry, including Ubisoft, Sony, EA, Bioware, Square Enix, THQ, Volition, and PlayableGames. Interviews with experienced industry professionals on how they use analytics to create hit games.

Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction

Author : Shanchieh Jay Yang
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642290469
Total Pages : 379 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction by : Shanchieh Jay Yang

Download or read book Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction written by Shanchieh Jay Yang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-03-16 with total page 379 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction, held in College Park, MD, USA, in April 2012. The 43 revised papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 76 submissions. The papers cover a wide range of topics including economics, public health, and terrorist activities, as well as utilize a broad variety of methodologies, e.g., machine learning, cultural modeling and cognitive modeling.

Predicting Individual Game Behavior

Author : Richard Fresco
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (29 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting Individual Game Behavior by : Richard Fresco

Download or read book Predicting Individual Game Behavior written by Richard Fresco and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction

Author : William G. Kennedy
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319055798
Total Pages : 435 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction by : William G. Kennedy

Download or read book Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction written by William G. Kennedy and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-03-14 with total page 435 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction, SBP 2014, held in Washington, DC, USA, in April 2014. The 51 full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 101 submissions. The SBP conference provides a forum for researchers and practitioners from academia, industry, and government agencies to exchange ideas on current challenges in social computing, behavioral-cultural modeling and prediction, and on state-of-the-art methods and best practices being adopted to tackle these challenges. The topical areas addressed by the papers are social and behavioral sciences, health sciences, military science, and information science.

Behavioral Modeling and Simulation

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 030911862X
Total Pages : 423 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Modeling and Simulation by : National Research Council

Download or read book Behavioral Modeling and Simulation written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2008-07-04 with total page 423 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's military missions have shifted away from fighting nation states using conventional weapons toward combating insurgents and terrorist networks in a battlespace in which the attitudes and behaviors of civilian noncombatants may be the primary effects of military actions. To support these new missions, the military services are increasingly interested in using models of the behavior of humans, as individuals and in groups of various kinds and sizes. Behavioral Modeling and Simulation reviews relevant individual, organizational, and societal (IOS) modeling research programs, evaluates the strengths and weaknesses of the programs and their methodologies, determines which have the greatest potential for military use, and provides guidance for the design of a research program to effectively foster the development of IOS models useful to the military. This book will be of interest to model developers, operational military users of the models and their managers, and government personnel making funding decisions regarding model development.

Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction

Author : John Salerno
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642196551
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)

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Book Synopsis Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction by : John Salerno

Download or read book Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction written by John Salerno and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-03-07 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction, held in College Park, MD, USA, March 29-31, 2011. The 48 papers and 3 keynotes presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 88 submissions. The papers cover a wide range of topics including social network analysis; modeling; machine learning and data mining; social behaviors; public health; cultural aspects; and effects and search.

Predicting and Changing Behavior

Author : Martin Fishbein
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1136874739
Total Pages : 527 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (368 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting and Changing Behavior by : Martin Fishbein

Download or read book Predicting and Changing Behavior written by Martin Fishbein and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2011-02-14 with total page 527 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes the reasoned action approach, an integrative framework for the prediction and change of human social behavior. It provides an up-to-date review of relevant research, discusses critical issues related to the reasoned action framework, and provides methodological and conceptual tools for the prediction and explanation of social behavior and for designing behavior change interventions.

Predicting Violent Behavior

Author : John Monahan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780835784993
Total Pages : 183 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (849 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting Violent Behavior by : John Monahan

Download or read book Predicting Violent Behavior written by John Monahan and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: '...essential reading for those confronted with the ethical and professional dilemmas involved in predicting violent behavior. Lawyers are destined to become familiar with Monahan's book, and mental health professionals will surely want to keep a step ahead.' -- Contemporary Psychology, Vol 27 No 2 '...In summary, Monahan's book is a very readable and succinct one. Often the reader finds himself saying "...well of course, what could be more obvious?" only to reflect for a minute and realize that many clinicians do not give many obvious relevant factors adequate weight in their assessments of dangerousness. Monahan's text is a very positive one which as he puts it, outlines for the clinician: "How to do it (predict vi

Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction

Author : Nitin Agarwal
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319162683
Total Pages : 487 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction by : Nitin Agarwal

Download or read book Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction written by Nitin Agarwal and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-03-16 with total page 487 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction, SBP 2015, held in Washington, DC, USA, in March/April 2015. The 24 full papers presented together with 36 poster papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 118 submissions. The goal of the conference was to advance our understanding of human behavior through the development and application of mathematical, computational, statistical, simulation, predictive and other models that provide fundamental insights into factors contributing to human socio-cultural dynamics. The topical areas addressed by the papers are social and behavioral sciences, health sciences, engineering, computer and information science.

Behavioral Game Theory

Author : Russell Golman
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039437739
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Game Theory by : Russell Golman

Download or read book Behavioral Game Theory written by Russell Golman and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2021-01-07 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How do interacting decision-makers make strategic choices? If they’re rational and can somehow predict each other’s behavior, they may find themselves in a Nash equilibrium. However, humans display pervasive and systematic departures from rationality. They often do not conform to the predictions of the Nash equilibrium, or its various refinements. This has led to the growth of behavioral game theory, which accounts for how people actually make strategic decisions by incorporating social preferences, bounded rationality (for example, limited iterated reasoning), and learning from experience. This book brings together new advances in the field of behavioral game theory that help us understand how people actually make strategic decisions in game-theoretic situations.

Encyclopedia of Social Networks

Author : George A. Barnett
Publisher : SAGE Publications
ISBN 13 : 1506338259
Total Pages : 1341 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (63 download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Social Networks by : George A. Barnett

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Social Networks written by George A. Barnett and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2011-09-07 with total page 1341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This two-volume encyclopedia provides a thorough introduction to the wide-ranging, fast-developing field of social networking, a much-needed resource at a time when new social networks or "communities" seem to spring up on the internet every day. Social networks, or groupings of individuals tied by one or more specific types of interests or interdependencies ranging from likes and dislikes, or disease transmission to the "old boy" network or overlapping circles of friends, have been in existence for longer than services such as Facebook or YouTube; analysis of these networks emphasizes the relationships within the network . This reference resource offers comprehensive coverage of the theory and research within the social sciences that has sprung from the analysis of such groupings, with accompanying definitions, measures, and research. Featuring approximately 350 signed entries, along with approximately 40 media clips, organized alphabetically and offering cross-references and suggestions for further readings, this encyclopedia opens with a thematic Reader′s Guide in the front that groups related entries by topics. A Chronology offers the reader historical perspective on the study of social networks. This two-volume reference work is a must-have resource for libraries serving researchers interested in the various fields related to social networks.

Behavioral Game Theory

Author : Colin Camerer
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691090394
Total Pages : 570 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Game Theory by : Colin Camerer

Download or read book Behavioral Game Theory written by Colin Camerer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2003-03-17 with total page 570 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Publisher Description

Foundations of Economic Method

Author : Lawrence A. Boland
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 113449808X
Total Pages : 640 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (344 download)

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Book Synopsis Foundations of Economic Method by : Lawrence A. Boland

Download or read book Foundations of Economic Method written by Lawrence A. Boland and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2003-04-17 with total page 640 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many consider Foundations of Economic Method to be Lawrence Boland's best work. This updated edition is radically changed from the original and will be much appreciated by thinkers within economics. The book positions methodology vis-is the current practice of economists and is all the better for it. Yet another book that not only deserves to be r

Handbook of the Economics of Giving, Altruism and Reciprocity

Author : Serge-Christophe Kolm
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080478212
Total Pages : 949 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of the Economics of Giving, Altruism and Reciprocity by : Serge-Christophe Kolm

Download or read book Handbook of the Economics of Giving, Altruism and Reciprocity written by Serge-Christophe Kolm and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2006-07-20 with total page 949 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook on the Economics of Giving, Reciprocity and Altruism provides a comprehensive set of reviews of literature on the economics of nonmarket voluntary transfers. The foundations of the field are reviewed first, with a sequence of chapters that present the hard core of the theoretical and empirical analyses of giving, reciprocity and altruism in economics, examining their relations with the viewpoints of moral philosophy, psychology, sociobiology, sociology and economic anthropology. Secondly, a comprehensive set of applications are considered of all the aspects of society where nonmarket voluntary transfers are significant: family and intergenerational transfers; charity and charitable institutions; the nonprofit economy; interpersonal relations in the workplace; the Welfare State; and international aid.*Every volume contains contributions from leading researchers*Each Handbook presents an accurate, self-contained survey of a particular topic *The series provides comprehensive and accessible surveys