Prediccion Y Simulacion Aplicada A La Economia Y Gestion De Empresas

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Predicción y simulación aplicada a la economía y gestión de empresas

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Author : Antonio Pulido
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9788436813449
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (134 download)

Book Synopsis Predicción y simulación aplicada a la economía y gestión de empresas by : Antonio Pulido

Download or read book Predicción y simulación aplicada a la economía y gestión de empresas written by Antonio Pulido and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Predicción y simulación aplicada a la economía y gestión de empresas es un libro actual, innovador y concebido con el objetivo de poder ser una herramienta de aplicación práctica. Contiene cerca de un centenar de ejemplos y once casos reales completos que el lector puede, además, reproducir y analizar en su propio ordenador personal con programas de tan alta difusión como Excel y EViews/Micro TSP, incluyendo como principal novedad un simulador de la economía española (modelo MICRO-UAM). La obra, con un enfoque original del tema, se basa en los siguientes principios: - La predicción/simulación debe hacer explícitos sus condicionantes, permitiendo la elección entre futuros alternativos hipotéticos. - La predicción/simulación no es un fin en sí misma, sino que forma parte de un proceso complejo de toma de decisiones. - Un responsable de temas de predicción/simulación debe distribuir sus esfuerzos entre el análisis y adaptación de predicciones/simulaciones elaboradas externamente y la propia realización de predicciones/simulaciones internas. - Es erróneo aplicar las técnicas más sofisticadas sin haber agotado previamente las posibilidades más elementales. Teniendo en cuenta los puntos anteriores, la obra recoge desde las técnicas más simples de predicción/simulación a las más profesionalizadas, tanto para el tratamiento de datos cuantitativos como de información subjetiva. El lector podrá encontrar las bases para la aplicación de ajustes de tendencia, desestacionalización, encuestas, Delfos, alisados exponenciales, modelos ARIMA, VAR y cointegración, modelos econométricos y otros enfoques diversos.

Philosophico-Methodological Analysis of Prediction and its Role in Economics

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Author : Wenceslao J. Gonzalez
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319088858
Total Pages : 375 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

Book Synopsis Philosophico-Methodological Analysis of Prediction and its Role in Economics by : Wenceslao J. Gonzalez

Download or read book Philosophico-Methodological Analysis of Prediction and its Role in Economics written by Wenceslao J. Gonzalez and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-02-19 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book develops a philosophico-methodological analysis of prediction and its role in economics. Prediction plays a key role in economics in various ways. It can be seen as a basic science, as an applied science and in the application of this science. First, it is used by economic theory in order to test the available knowledge. In this regard, prediction has been presented as the scientific test for economics as a science. Second, prediction provides a content regarding the possible future that can be used for prescription in applied economics. Thus, it can be used as a guide for economic policy, i.e., as knowledge concerning the future to be employed for the resolution of specific problems. Third, prediction also has a role in the application of this science in the public arena. This is through the decision-making of the agents — individuals or organizations — in quite different settings, both in the realm of microeconomics and macroeconomics. Within this context, the research is organized in five parts, which discuss relevant aspects of the role of prediction in economics: I) The problem of prediction as a test for a science; II) The general orientation in methodology of science and the problem of prediction as a scientific test; III) The methodological framework of social sciences and economics: Incidence for prediction as a test; IV) Epistemology and methodology of economic prediction: Rationality and empirical approaches and V) Methodological aspects of economic prediction: From description to prescription. Thus, the book is of interest for philosophers and economists as well as policy-makers seeking to ascertain the roots of their performance. The style used lends itself to a wide audience.

Guía para usuarios de predicciones económicas

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Author : Antonio Pulido
Publisher : ECOBOOK
ISBN 13 : 8493480754
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (934 download)

Book Synopsis Guía para usuarios de predicciones económicas by : Antonio Pulido

Download or read book Guía para usuarios de predicciones económicas written by Antonio Pulido and published by ECOBOOK. This book was released on 2006-12-10 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: El mundo de la predicción se rodea frecuentemente de una terminología y unos desarrollos técnicos sólo accesibles para iniciados. Parece como si al usuario de las predicciones sólo le cupiese creer con «fe de carbonero» en lo que hagan los especialistas en vislumbrar el futuro o despreciar, por incomprensibles y peligrosos, todos estos ejercicios de futurología. Con este libro tratamos de poner a disposición de los muchos usuarios de predicciones, especialmente en el campo de la economía y la administración de empresas, una guía para entender e interpretar su proceso de elaboración y las potencialidades de su correcta utilización. Hemos seleccionado doce grandes temas para que el lector pueda hacer un recorrido fructífero por el intrincado camino de la predicción. Empezaremos por responder a cuatro preguntas que todo utilizador de las predicciones puede hacerse: ¿Es posible predecir con fiabilidad el futuro de un país, o de una empresa? ¿Podemos imaginar distintos futuros alternativos? ¿Qué debe saber un usuario del mundo de la predicción? ¿Cuáles han sido las mejoras más recientes y las que podemos esperar a futuro

Predicción económica y empresarial

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Author : Antonio Pulido San Román
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9788436904901
Total Pages : 404 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (49 download)

Book Synopsis Predicción económica y empresarial by : Antonio Pulido San Román

Download or read book Predicción económica y empresarial written by Antonio Pulido San Román and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Predicción y simulación aplicadas a la empresa

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Author : Antonio Clavero Barranquero
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (433 download)

Book Synopsis Predicción y simulación aplicadas a la empresa by : Antonio Clavero Barranquero

Download or read book Predicción y simulación aplicadas a la empresa written by Antonio Clavero Barranquero and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

METODOS de PREDICCION en la ECONOMIA y la EMPRESA. Tendencias y Métodos Deterministas

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Author : Maria Perez Marques
Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781495253720
Total Pages : 142 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (537 download)

Book Synopsis METODOS de PREDICCION en la ECONOMIA y la EMPRESA. Tendencias y Métodos Deterministas by : Maria Perez Marques

Download or read book METODOS de PREDICCION en la ECONOMIA y la EMPRESA. Tendencias y Métodos Deterministas written by Maria Perez Marques and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2014-01-19 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: La predicción, a través de pronósticos lo suficientemente justificados en el razonamiento científico, constituye una ardua tarea a la que se enfrentan los decisores cotidianamente. Los pronósticos para el futuro son decisiones habituales en el mundo de los negocios, Los administradores y gestores necesitan pronosticar presupuestos, ventas, gastos y otras magnitudes esenciales en la vida cotidiana de las empresas. Los modelos de pronósticos juegan por tanto un papel esencial en la administración de la mayoría de los negocios. Pronosticar es una tarea que no se puede obviar y de cuyo acierto puede depender el futuro del negocio.En este libro se utilizan los modelos más habituales para obtener predicciones en el campo económico y empresarial haciendo hincapié en las predicciones a través de tendencias y en la utilización de los métodos deterministas de predicción. Se usan los paquetes de software más comunes como son SPSS, STATGRAPHICS y EXCEL

Tecnicas de simulacion en administracion y economia

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Author : Robert C. Meier
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (893 download)

Book Synopsis Tecnicas de simulacion en administracion y economia by : Robert C. Meier

Download or read book Tecnicas de simulacion en administracion y economia written by Robert C. Meier and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Técnicas de simulación en administración y economía

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Author : Robert C. Meier
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (12 download)

Book Synopsis Técnicas de simulación en administración y economía by : Robert C. Meier

Download or read book Técnicas de simulación en administración y economía written by Robert C. Meier and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

RETRACTED BOOK: 151 Trading Strategies

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Author : Zura Kakushadze
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030027929
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

Book Synopsis RETRACTED BOOK: 151 Trading Strategies by : Zura Kakushadze

Download or read book RETRACTED BOOK: 151 Trading Strategies written by Zura Kakushadze and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-13 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides detailed descriptions, including more than 550 mathematical formulas, for more than 150 trading strategies across a host of asset classes and trading styles. These include stocks, options, fixed income, futures, ETFs, indexes, commodities, foreign exchange, convertibles, structured assets, volatility, real estate, distressed assets, cash, cryptocurrencies, weather, energy, inflation, global macro, infrastructure, and tax arbitrage. Some strategies are based on machine learning algorithms such as artificial neural networks, Bayes, and k-nearest neighbors. The book also includes source code for illustrating out-of-sample backtesting, around 2,000 bibliographic references, and more than 900 glossary, acronym and math definitions. The presentation is intended to be descriptive and pedagogical and of particular interest to finance practitioners, traders, researchers, academics, and business school and finance program students.

Qualitative Choice Analysis

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Author : Kenneth Train
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262200554
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (5 download)

Book Synopsis Qualitative Choice Analysis by : Kenneth Train

Download or read book Qualitative Choice Analysis written by Kenneth Train and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1986 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses two significant research areas in an interdependent fashion. It is first of all a comprehensive but concise text that covers the recently developed and widely applicable methods of qualitative choice analysis, illustrating the general theory through simulation models of automobile demand and use. It is also a detailed study of automobile demand and use, presenting forecasts based on these powerful new techniques. The book develops the general principles that underlie qualitative choice models that are now being applied in numerous fields in addition to transportation, such as housing, labor, energy, communications, and criminology. The general form, derivation, and estimation of qualitative choice models are explained, and the major models - logit, probit, and GEV - are discussed in detail. And continuous/discrete models are introduced. In these, qualitative choice methods and standard regression techniques are combined to analyze situations that neither alone can accurately forecast. Summarizing previous research on auto demand, the book shows how qualitative choice methods can be used by applying them to specific auto-related decisions as the aggregate of individuals' choices. The simulation model that is constructed is a significant improvement over older models, and should prove more useful to agencies and organizations requiring accurate forecasting of auto demand and use for planning and policy development. The book concludes with an actual case study based on a model designed for the investigations of the California Energy Commission. Kenneth Train is Visiting Associate Professor in Economics at the University of California, Berkeley, and Director of Economic Research at Cambridge Systematics, Inc., also in Berkeley. Qualitative Choice Analysisis included in The MIT Press Transportation Studies Series, edited by Marvin L. Manheim.

Optimal Regulation

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Author : Kenneth Train
Publisher : Mit Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262200844
Total Pages : 338 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (8 download)

Book Synopsis Optimal Regulation by : Kenneth Train

Download or read book Optimal Regulation written by Kenneth Train and published by Mit Press. This book was released on 1991 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Optimal Regulation addresses the central issue of regulatory economics - how toregulate firms in a way that induces them to produce and price "optimally." It synthesizes the majorfindings of an extensive theoretical literature on what constitutes optimality in various situationsand which regulatory mechanisms can be used to achieve it. It is the first text to provide aunified, modern, and nontechnical treatment of the field.The book includes models for regulatingoptimal output, tariffs, and surplus subsidy schemes, and presents all of the material graphically,with clear explanations of often highly technical topics.Kenneth E. Train is Associate AdjunctProfessor in the Department of Economics and Graduate School of Public Policy at the University ofCalifornia, Berkeley. He is also Principal of the firm Cambridge Systematics.Topics include: Thecost structure of natural monopoly (economies of scale and scope). Characterization of firstandsecond-best optimality. Surplus subsidy schemes for attaining first-best optimality. Ramsey pricesand the Vogelsang-Finsinger mechanism for attaining them. Time-ofuse (TOU) prices and Riordan'smechanisms for attaining the optimal TOU prices' Multipart and self-selecting tariffs, and Sibley'smethod for using self-selecting tariffs to achieve optimality. The Averch-Johnson model of howrate-of-return regulation induces inefficiencies. Analysis of regulation based on the firm's returnon Output, costs, or sales. Price-cap regulation. Regulatory treatment of uncertainty and its impacton the firm's behavior. Methods of attaining optimality without direct regulation (contestability,auctioning the monopoly franchise.)

Recurrent Events Data Analysis for Product Repairs, Disease Recurrences, and Other Applications

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Author : Wayne B. Nelson
Publisher : SIAM
ISBN 13 : 0898715229
Total Pages : 157 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (987 download)

Book Synopsis Recurrent Events Data Analysis for Product Repairs, Disease Recurrences, and Other Applications by : Wayne B. Nelson

Download or read book Recurrent Events Data Analysis for Product Repairs, Disease Recurrences, and Other Applications written by Wayne B. Nelson and published by SIAM. This book was released on 2003-01-01 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Survival data consist of a single event for each population unit, namely, end of life, which is modeled with a life distribution. However, many applications involve repeated-events data, where a unit may accumulate numerous events over time. This applied book provides practitioners with basic nonparametric methods for such data.

The North American Mosaic

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Author : Commission for Environmental Cooperation (Montréal, Québec). Secretariat
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

Book Synopsis The North American Mosaic by : Commission for Environmental Cooperation (Montréal, Québec). Secretariat

Download or read book The North American Mosaic written by Commission for Environmental Cooperation (Montréal, Québec). Secretariat and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The North American Mosaic has four overarching features. First, it is, to the extent feasible, based on comparable information on the status and trends of major indicators of the state of the environment in Canada,Mexico, and the United States. Second, the report confirms that these three countries together make up an incredibly complex, dynamic, and interconnected ecosystem in which humans play a dominant and decisive role. Third, the report raises important and sometimes disquieting questions concerning the sustainability of some current trends. Finally, the report is a reminder that our economic, social, and physical well-being are utterly dependent on the life-sustaining services provided by nature. This report emphasizes the importance of developing mutually compatible economic, social, and environmental goals and policies across the three-country region.

Ecuador Poverty Report

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821336656
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (366 download)

Book Synopsis Ecuador Poverty Report by :

Download or read book Ecuador Poverty Report written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Valuable report based on the Ecuador Living Standard Measurement Survey (1994). Uses total consumption expenditures. Provides a baseline reference for future work. Contrast with INEC's basic needs survey (item #bi 97002637#)"--Handbook of Latin AmericanStudies, v. 57.

Radio Spectrum Management

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Author : Haim Mazar (Madjar)
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118511794
Total Pages : 460 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

Book Synopsis Radio Spectrum Management by : Haim Mazar (Madjar)

Download or read book Radio Spectrum Management written by Haim Mazar (Madjar) and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-08-29 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the fundamentals of wireless communications and services, explaining in detail what RF spectrum management is, why it is important, which are the authorities regulating the use of spectrum, and how is it managed and enforced at the international, regional and national levels. The book offers insights to the engineering, regulatory, economic, legal, management policy-making aspects involved. Real-world case studies are presented to depict the various approaches in different countries, and valuable lessons are drawn. The topics are addressed by engineers, advocates and economists employed by national and international spectrum regulators. The book is a tool that will allow the international regional and national regulators to better manage the RF spectrum, and will help operators and suppliers of wireless communications to better understand their regulators.

Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions

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Author : Julian P. T. Higgins
Publisher : Wiley
ISBN 13 : 9780470699515
Total Pages : 672 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (995 download)

Book Synopsis Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions by : Julian P. T. Higgins

Download or read book Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions written by Julian P. T. Higgins and published by Wiley. This book was released on 2008-11-24 with total page 672 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Healthcare providers, consumers, researchers and policy makers are inundated with unmanageable amounts of information, including evidence from healthcare research. It has become impossible for all to have the time and resources to find, appraise and interpret this evidence and incorporate it into healthcare decisions. Cochrane Reviews respond to this challenge by identifying, appraising and synthesizing research-based evidence and presenting it in a standardized format, published in The Cochrane Library (www.thecochranelibrary.com). The Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions contains methodological guidance for the preparation and maintenance of Cochrane intervention reviews. Written in a clear and accessible format, it is the essential manual for all those preparing, maintaining and reading Cochrane reviews. Many of the principles and methods described here are appropriate for systematic reviews applied to other types of research and to systematic reviews of interventions undertaken by others. It is hoped therefore that this book will be invaluable to all those who want to understand the role of systematic reviews, critically appraise published reviews or perform reviews themselves.

Host Bibliographic Record for Boundwith Item Barcode 30112044669122 and Others

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 2762 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

Book Synopsis Host Bibliographic Record for Boundwith Item Barcode 30112044669122 and Others by :

Download or read book Host Bibliographic Record for Boundwith Item Barcode 30112044669122 and Others written by and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 2762 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: