Nuclear Heuristics Selected Writings Of Albert And Roberta Wohlstetter

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Nuclear Heuristics

Author : Albert Wohlstetter
Publisher : Strategic Studies Institute
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 700 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Nuclear Heuristics by : Albert Wohlstetter

Download or read book Nuclear Heuristics written by Albert Wohlstetter and published by Strategic Studies Institute. This book was released on 2009 with total page 700 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pioneers of nuclear-age policy analysis, Albert Wohlstetter (1913-1997) and Roberta Wohlstetter (1912-2007) emerged as two of America's most consequential, innovative and controversial strategists. Through the clarity of their thinking, the rigor of their research, and the persistence of their personalities, they were able to shape the views and aid the decisions of Democratic and Republican policy makers both during and after the Cold War. Although the Wohlstetters' strategic concepts and analytical methods continue to be highly influential, no book has brought together their most important essays--until now.

Nuclear Heuristics: Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter [Enlarged Edition]

Author : Robert Zarate
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 9781304889263
Total Pages : 668 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (892 download)

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Book Synopsis Nuclear Heuristics: Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter [Enlarged Edition] by : Robert Zarate

Download or read book Nuclear Heuristics: Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter [Enlarged Edition] written by Robert Zarate and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2014-02-08 with total page 668 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pioneers of nuclear-age policy analysis, Albert Wohlstetter (1913-1997) and Roberta Wohlstetter (1912-2007) emerged as two of America's most consequential, innovative and controversial strategists. Through the clarity of their thinking, the rigor of their research, and the persistence of their personalities, they were able to shape the views and aid the decisions of Democratic and Republican policy makers both during and after the Cold War. Although the Wohlstetters' strategic concepts and analytical methods continue to be highly influential, no book has brought together their most important published and unpublished essays--until now.

Nuclear Heuristics

Author : Robert Zarate
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781304065032
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (65 download)

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Book Synopsis Nuclear Heuristics by : Robert Zarate

Download or read book Nuclear Heuristics written by Robert Zarate and published by . This book was released on 2013-05-23 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Nuclear Heuristics Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter

Author : Robert Zarate
Publisher : www.Militarybookshop.CompanyUK
ISBN 13 : 9781839310966
Total Pages : 660 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Nuclear Heuristics Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter by : Robert Zarate

Download or read book Nuclear Heuristics Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter written by Robert Zarate and published by www.Militarybookshop.CompanyUK. This book was released on 2009-04-26 with total page 660 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication is an edited volume of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetters' key writings relating to nuclear proliferation and national security affairs, with commentaries by the Wohlstetters' colleagues and students. It also serves as a testament to the continuing relevance of the work of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter in the fields of nuclear and security policy analysis. Albert and Roberta wrote hundreds of articles and studies on U.S. policy on the Balkans, as well as the Persian Gulf; strategic command and control; intelligence and warning; NATO nuclear planning; U.S.-Russian arms control; strategic and theater missile defenses; the economics and military dangers of civilian nuclear energy; nuclear safeguards and nuclear nonproliferation; and military nuclear strategy and methods of policy analysis and design. Increased concern about the spread of nuclear weapons in the Far and Middle East, the controversy surrounding civilian nuclear cooperation with India, the global revival of nuclear power and debate over its economics and security implications, the controversies surrounding how the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty's obligations and rights are being cynically read by Iran and other states - all of these issues have prompted Washington pundits and national security analysts to cite the Wohlstetters' work. The same can also be said of the security concerns recently raised by Islamic fundamentalism, the continued instability of the Balkans, the questions surrounding NATO's future and America's alliances in the Far East, the relevance of nuclear deterrence after the Cold War, and the emergence of ballistic missile defense as a key ingredient in strategic forces and alliance relations. This volume can hardly cover all the insights that the Wohlstetters' work might shed on these topics. Instead, it is designed to make some of the most significant of Albert and Roberta's writings many of which were previously unpublished much more accessible.

Nuclear Heuristics Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter

Author : Robert Zarate
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781780395173
Total Pages : 660 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (951 download)

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Book Synopsis Nuclear Heuristics Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter by : Robert Zarate

Download or read book Nuclear Heuristics Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter written by Robert Zarate and published by . This book was released on 2009-04 with total page 660 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication is an edited volume of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetters' key writings relating to nuclear proliferation and national security affairs, with commentaries by the Wohlstetters' colleagues and students. It also serves as a testament to the continuing relevance of the work of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter in the fields of nuclear and security policy analysis. Albert and Roberta wrote hundreds of articles and studies on U.S. policy on the Balkans, as well as the Persian Gulf; strategic command and control; intelligence and warning; NATO nuclear planning; U.S.-Russian arms control; strategic and theater missile defenses; the economics and military dangers of civilian nuclear energy; nuclear safeguards and nuclear nonproliferation; and military nuclear strategy and methods of policy analysis and design. Increased concern about the spread of nuclear weapons in the Far and Middle East, the controversy surrounding civilian nuclear cooperation with India, the global revival of nuclear power and debate over its economics and security implications, the controversies surrounding how the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty's obligations and rights are being cynically read by Iran and other states - all of these issues have prompted Washington pundits and national security analysts to cite the Wohlstetters' work. The same can also be said of the security concerns recently raised by Islamic fundamentalism, the continued instability of the Balkans, the questions surrounding NATO's future and America's alliances in the Far East, the relevance of nuclear deterrence after the Cold War, and the emergence of ballistic missile defense as a key ingredient in strategic forces and alliance relations. This volume can hardly cover all the insights that the Wohlstetters' work might shed on these topics. Instead, it is designed to make some of the most significant of Albert and Roberta's writings many of which were previously unpublished much more accessible.

Pearl Harbor

Author : Roberta Wohlstetter
Publisher : Stanford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780804705981
Total Pages : 454 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (59 download)

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Book Synopsis Pearl Harbor by : Roberta Wohlstetter

Download or read book Pearl Harbor written by Roberta Wohlstetter and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 1962 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This account of the Pearl Harbor attack denies that the lack of preparation resulted from military negligence or a political plot

Thinking about Nuclear Weapons

Author : Michael Quinlan
Publisher : Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 94 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Thinking about Nuclear Weapons by : Michael Quinlan

Download or read book Thinking about Nuclear Weapons written by Michael Quinlan and published by Royal United Services Institute (RUSI). This book was released on 1997 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: En studie vedr. kernevåbens betydning og indflydelse på sikkerhedspolitik og magtbalance

Wired for War

Author : P. W. Singer
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 1440685975
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (46 download)

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Book Synopsis Wired for War by : P. W. Singer

Download or read book Wired for War written by P. W. Singer and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2009-01-22 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “[Singer's] enthusiasm becomes infectious . . . Wired for War is a book of its time: this is strategy for the Facebook generation.” —Foreign Affairs “An engrossing picture of a new class of weapon that may revolutionize future wars. . .” —Kirkus Reviews P. W. Singer explores the greatest revolution in military affairs since the atom bomb: the dawn of robotic warfare We are on the cusp of a massive shift in military technology that threatens to make real the stuff of I, Robot and The Terminator. Blending historical evidence with interviews of an amazing cast of characters, Singer shows how technology is changing not just how wars are fought, but also the politics, economics, laws, and the ethics that surround war itself. Travelling from the battlefields of Iraq and Afghanistan to modern-day "skunk works" in the midst of suburbia, Wired for War will tantalise a wide readership, from military buffs to policy wonks to gearheads.

Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-support Systems

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833038087
Total Pages : 181 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-support Systems by : Paul K. Davis

Download or read book Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-support Systems written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2005 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A selective review of modern decision science and implications for decision-support systems. The study suggests ways to synthesize lessons from research on heuristics and biases with those from "naturalistic research." It also discusses modern tools, such as increasingly realistic simulations, multiresolution modeling, and exploratory analysis, which can assist decisionmakers in choosing strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust.

Heuristics

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780190494629
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (946 download)

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Book Synopsis Heuristics by : Gerd Gigerenzer

Download or read book Heuristics written by Gerd Gigerenzer and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2015-12-15 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How do people make decisions when time is limited, information unreliable, and the future uncertain? Based on the work of Nobel laureate Herbert Simon and with the help of colleagues around the world, the Adaptive Behavior and Cognition (ABC) Group at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin has developed a research program on simple heuristics, also known as fast and frugal heuristics. In the social sciences, heuristics have been believed to be generally inferior to complex methods for inference, or even irrational. Although this may be true in "small worlds" where everything is known for certain, we show that in the actual world in which we live, full of uncertainties and surprises, heuristics are indispensable and often more accurate than complex methods. Contrary to a deeply entrenched belief, complex problems do not necessitate complex computations. Less can be more. Simple heuristics exploit the information structure of the environment, and thus embody ecological rather than logical rationality. Simon (1999) applauded this new program as a "revolution in cognitive science, striking a great blow for sanity in the approach to human rationality." By providing a fresh look at how the mind works as well as the nature of rationality, the simple heuristics program has stimulated a large body of research, led to fascinating applications in diverse fields from law to medicine to business to sports, and instigated controversial debates in psychology, philosophy, and economics. In a single volume, the present reader compiles key articles that have been published in journals across many disciplines. These articles present theory, real-world applications, and a sample of the large number of existing experimental studies that provide evidence for people's adaptive use of heuristics.

The Drunkard's Walk

Author : Leonard Mlodinow
Publisher : Vintage
ISBN 13 : 0307377547
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis The Drunkard's Walk by : Leonard Mlodinow

Download or read book The Drunkard's Walk written by Leonard Mlodinow and published by Vintage. This book was released on 2008-05-13 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NATIONAL BESTSELLER • From the classroom to the courtroom and from financial markets to supermarkets, an intriguing and illuminating look at how randomness, chance, and probability affect our daily lives that will intrigue, awe, and inspire. “Mlodinow writes in a breezy style, interspersing probabilistic mind-benders with portraits of theorists.... The result is a readable crash course in randomness.” —The New York Times Book Review With the born storyteller's command of narrative and imaginative approach, Leonard Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how our lives are profoundly informed by chance and randomness and how everything from wine ratings and corporate success to school grades and political polls are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives us the tools we need to make more informed decisions. From the classroom to the courtroom and from financial markets to supermarkets, Mlodinow's intriguing and illuminating look at how randomness, chance, and probability affect our daily lives will intrigue, awe, and inspire.

The Envoy

Author : Zalmay Khalilzad
Publisher : St. Martin's Press
ISBN 13 : 125008301X
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis The Envoy by : Zalmay Khalilzad

Download or read book The Envoy written by Zalmay Khalilzad and published by St. Martin's Press. This book was released on 2016-03-22 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Zalmay Khalilzad grew up in a traditional family in the ancient city of Mazar-i-Sharif, Afghanistan. As a teenager, Khalilzad spent a year as an exchange student in California, where after some initial culture shocks he began to see the merits of America's very different way of life. He believed the ideals that make American culture work, like personal initiative, community action, and respect for women, could make a transformative difference to his home country, the Muslim world and beyond. Of course, 17-year-old Khalilzad never imagined that he would one day be in a position to advance such ideas. With 9/11, he found himself uniquely placed to try to shape mutually beneficial relationships between his two worlds. As U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan and Iraq, he helped craft two constitutions and forge governing coalitions. As U.S. Ambassador to the UN, he used his unique personal diplomacy to advance U.S. interests and values. In The Envoy, Khalilzad details his experiences under three presidential administrations with candid behind-the-scenes insights. He argues that America needs an intelligent, effective foreign policy informed by long-term thinking and supported by bipartisan commitment. Part memoir, part record of a political insider, and part incisive analysis of the current Middle East, The Envoy arrives in time for foreign policy discussions leading up to the 2016 election.

The Future of War

Author : Lawrence Freedman
Publisher : PublicAffairs
ISBN 13 : 1610393066
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Future of War by : Lawrence Freedman

Download or read book The Future of War written by Lawrence Freedman and published by PublicAffairs. This book was released on 2017-10-10 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An award-winning military historian, professor, and political adviser delivers the definitive story of warfare in all its guises and applications, showing what has driven and continues to drive this uniquely human form of political violence. Questions about the future of war are a regular feature of political debate, strategic analysis, and popular fiction. Where should we look for new dangers? What cunning plans might an aggressor have in mind? What are the best forms of defense? How might peace be preserved or conflict resolved? From the French rout at Sedan in 1870 to the relentless contemporary insurgencies in Iraq and Afghanistan, Lawrence Freedman, a world-renowned military thinker, reveals how most claims from the military futurists are wrong. But they remain influential nonetheless. Freedman shows how those who have imagined future war have often had an idealized notion of it as confined, brief, and decisive, and have regularly taken insufficient account of the possibility of long wars-hence the stubborn persistence of the idea of a knockout blow, whether through a dashing land offensive, nuclear first strike, or cyberattack. He also notes the lack of attention paid to civil wars until the West began to intervene in them during the 1990s, and how the boundaries between peace and war, between the military, the civilian, and the criminal are becoming increasingly blurred. Freedman's account of a century and a half of warfare and the (often misconceived) thinking that precedes war is a challenge to hawks and doves alike, and puts current strategic thinking into a bracing historical perspective.

Twilight of the American Century

Author : Andrew J. Bacevich
Publisher : University of Notre Dame Pess
ISBN 13 : 0268104883
Total Pages : 630 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (681 download)

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Book Synopsis Twilight of the American Century by : Andrew J. Bacevich

Download or read book Twilight of the American Century written by Andrew J. Bacevich and published by University of Notre Dame Pess. This book was released on 2018-11-15 with total page 630 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Andrew Bacevich is a leading American public intellectual, writing in the fields of culture and politics with particular attention to war and America’s role in the world. Twilight of the American Century is a collection of his selected essays written since 9/11. In these essays, Bacevich critically examines the U.S. response to the events of September 2001, as they have played out in the years since, radically affecting the way Americans see themselves and their nation’s place in the world. Bacevich is the author of nearly a dozen books and contributes to a wide variety of publications, including Foreign Affairs, The Nation, Commonweal, Harper’s, and the London Review of Books. His op-eds have appeared in the New York Times, Washington Post, and the Wall Street Journal, among other newspapers. Prior to becoming an academic, he was a professional soldier. His experience as an Army officer informs his abiding concern regarding the misuse of American military power and the shortcomings of the U.S. military system. As a historian, he has tried to see the past differently, thereby making it usable to the present. Bacevich combines the perspective of a scholar with the background of a practitioner. His views defy neat categorization as either liberal or conservative. He belongs to no “school.” His voice and his views are distinctive, provocative, and refreshing. Those with a focus on political and cultural developments and who have a critical interest in America's role in the world will be keenly interested in this book.

From the Mind to the Feet

Author : Lawrence A. Kuznar
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781780399706
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (997 download)

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Book Synopsis From the Mind to the Feet by : Lawrence A. Kuznar

Download or read book From the Mind to the Feet written by Lawrence A. Kuznar and published by . This book was released on 2011-02 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 12 essays in this volume examine the concept of intent in defense, security, and foreign-policy contexts. They provide operational and academic perspectives on measuring the intent of adversaries, including nation-states and nonstate actors, and understanding the relationship of intent to behavior. The essays apply the insights and methods of multiple disciplines-anthropology, psychology, political science, neuroscience, and others-to the study of intent, for which there is currently no coherent body of research. As Lt Gen Robert Elder, USAF, retired, notes, we are good at estimating an adversary's capabilities but not as good at estimating his intent. To influence an adversary's behavior, we must understand the perception-to-intent-to-action dynamic that underlies his behavior. This collection of essays, which emerged from a Department of Defense Strategic Multilayer Assessment, provides perspectives for doing so. The authors represent multiple agencies and fields of study; some are academics, and some are military subject-matter experts. Their expertise includes decision and behavioral analysis, social psychology, warfare and military strategy, political behavior, applications of neuroscience to behavioral studies, foreign policy, and antiterrorism.

Women's International Thought: A New History

Author : Patricia Owens
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108494692
Total Pages : 371 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Women's International Thought: A New History by : Patricia Owens

Download or read book Women's International Thought: A New History written by Patricia Owens and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-01-07 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first cross-disciplinary history of women's international thought, analysing leading international thinkers of the twentieth century.

The Last Warrior

Author : Andrew F. Krepinevich
Publisher : Civitas Books
ISBN 13 : 0465030009
Total Pages : 338 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (65 download)

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Book Synopsis The Last Warrior by : Andrew F. Krepinevich

Download or read book The Last Warrior written by Andrew F. Krepinevich and published by Civitas Books. This book was released on 2015-01-06 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Andrew Marshall is a Pentagon legend. For more than four decades he has served as Director of the Office of Net Assessment, the Pentagon’s internal think tank, under twelve defense secretaries and eight administrations. Yet Marshall has been on the cutting edge of strategic thinking even longer than that. At the RAND Corporation during its golden age in the 1950s and early 1960s, Marshall helped formulate bedrock concepts of US nuclear strategy that endure to this day; later, at the Pentagon, he pioneered the development of “net assessment”—a new analytic framework for understanding the long-term military competition between the United States and the Soviet Union. Following the Cold War, Marshall successfully used net assessment to anticipate emerging disruptive shifts in military affairs, including the revolution in precision warfare and the rise of China as a major strategic rival of the United States. In The Last Warrior, Andrew Krepinevich and Barry Watts—both former members of Marshall’s staff—trace Marshall’s intellectual development from his upbringing in Detroit during the Great Depression to his decades in Washington as an influential behind-the-scenes advisor on American defense strategy. The result is a unique insider’s perspective on the changes in US strategy from the dawn of the Cold War to the present day. Covering some of the most pivotal episodes of the last half-century and peopled with some of the era’s most influential figures, The Last Warrior tells Marshall’s story for the first time, in the process providing an unparalleled history of the evolution of the American defense establishment.