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Nonuniqueness In Rational Expectations Models An Interpretation
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Book Synopsis The Econometric Analysis of Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models by : L. Broze
Download or read book The Econometric Analysis of Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models written by L. Broze and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is devoted to the econometric analysis of linear multivariate rational expectation models. It shows that the interpretation of multiplicity in terms of "new degrees of freedom" is consistent with a rigorous econometric reasoning. Non-uniqueness is the central theme of this book. Each chapter is concerned with a specific econometric aspect of rational expectations equilibria. The most constructive result lies in the possibility of an empirical determination of the equilibrium followed by the economy.
Author :Backus, David Publisher :Kingston, Ont. : Institute for Economic Research, Queen's University ISBN 13 : Total Pages :10 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (172 download)
Book Synopsis Nonuniqueness in Rational Expectations Models : an Interpretation by : Backus, David
Download or read book Nonuniqueness in Rational Expectations Models : an Interpretation written by Backus, David and published by Kingston, Ont. : Institute for Economic Research, Queen's University. This book was released on 1985 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis On Non-uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models by : Bennett T. McCallum
Download or read book On Non-uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models written by Bennett T. McCallum and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many macroeconomic models involving rational expect at ions give rise to an infinity of solution paths, even when the models are linear in all variables. Some writers have suggested that this non-uniqueness constitutes a serious weakness for the rational expectations hypothesis. One purpose of the present paper is to argue that the non-uniqueness in question is not properly attributable to the rationality hypothesis but, instead, is a general feature of dynamic models involving expectations. It is also argued that there typically exists, in a very wide class of linear rational expectations models, a single solution that excludes "bubble" or "bootstrap" effects ones that occur only because they are arbitrarily expected to occur. A systematic procedure for obtaining solutions free from such effects is introduced and discussed. In addition, this procedure is used to interpret and reconsider several prominent examples with solution multiplicities, including ones developed by Fischer Black and John B. Taylor. [Resumen de autor]
Book Synopsis A note on non-uniqueness in rational expectations models by : W. M. Scarth
Download or read book A note on non-uniqueness in rational expectations models written by W. M. Scarth and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis On Non-uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models by : Bennett T. MacCallum
Download or read book On Non-uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models written by Bennett T. MacCallum and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many macroeconomic models involving rational expect at ions give rise to an infinity of solution paths, even when the models are linear in all variables. Some writers have suggested that this non-uniqueness constitutes a serious weakness for the rational expectations hypothesis. One purpose of the present paper is to argue that the non-uniqueness in question is not properly attributable to the rationality hypothesis but, instead, is a general feature of dynamic models involving expectations. It is also argued that there typically exists, in a very wide class of linear rational expectations models, a single solution that excludes "bubble" or "bootstrap" effects -- ones that occur only because they are arbitrarily expected to occur. A systematic procedure for obtaining solutions free from such effects is introduced and discussed. In addition, this procedure is used to interpret and reconsider several prominent examples with solution multiplicities, including ones developed by Fischer Black and John B. Taylor
Book Synopsis Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models by : L. Broze
Download or read book Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models written by L. Broze and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-06-17 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive exposition of rational expectations models is provided here, working up from simple univariate models to more sophisticated multivariate and non-linear models.
Book Synopsis The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control by : Marco P. Tucci
Download or read book The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control written by Marco P. Tucci and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the major controversies in macroeconomics over the last 30 years has been that on the effectiveness of stabilization policies. However, this debate, between those who believe that this kind of policies is useless if not harmful and those who argue in favor of it, has been mainly theoretical so far. The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control wants to represent a step toward the construction of a common ground on which to empirically compare the two "beliefs" and to do this three strands of literature are brought together. The first strand is the research on time-varying parameters (TVP), the second strand is the work on adaptive control and the third one is the literature on linear stationary models with rational expectations (RE). The material presented in The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control is divided into two parts. Part 1 combines the strand of literature on adaptive control with that on TVP. It generalizes the approach pioneered by Tse and Bar-Shalom (1973) and Kendrick (1981) and one recently used in Amman and Kendrick (2002), where the law of motion of the TVP and the hyperstructural parameters are assumed known, to the case where the hyperstructural parameters are assumed unknown. Part 2 is devoted to the linear single-equation stationary RE model estimated with the error-in-variables (EV) method. It presents a new formulation of this problem based on the use of TVP in an EV model. This new formulation opens the door to a very promising development. All the theory developed in the first part to control a model with TVP can sic et simpliciter be applied to control a model with RE.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Analysis by : David Currie
Download or read book Macroeconomic Analysis written by David Currie and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-09-16 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bringing together the proceedings of the 1979 and 1980 annual conferences of the Association of University Teachers of Economics the papers in this volume discuss: the effect of social security on private saving; an analysis of aggregate consumer behaviour; the philosophy and objectives of econometrics and other topics in macroeconomic and econometric analysis.
Book Synopsis Linear Rational Expectations Models by : Charles H. Whiteman
Download or read book Linear Rational Expectations Models written by Charles H. Whiteman and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 1984 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Roles of the Minimal State Variable Criterion in Rational Expectations Models by : Bennett T. McCallum
Download or read book Roles of the Minimal State Variable Criterion in Rational Expectations Models written by Bennett T. McCallum and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Bayesian Dynamic Factor Analysis of a Simple Monetary DSGE Model by : Mr.Maxym Kryshko
Download or read book Bayesian Dynamic Factor Analysis of a Simple Monetary DSGE Model written by Mr.Maxym Kryshko and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-09-01 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When estimating DSGE models, the number of observable economic variables is usually kept small, and it is conveniently assumed that DSGE model variables are perfectly measured by a single data series. Building upon Boivin and Giannoni (2006), we relax these two assumptions and estimate a fairly simple monetary DSGE model on a richer data set. Using post-1983 U.S.data on real output, inflation, nominal interest rates, measures of inverse money velocity, and a large panel of informational series, we compare the data-rich DSGE model with the regular - few observables, perfect measurement - DSGE model in terms of deep parameter estimates, propagation of monetary policy and technology shocks and sources of business cycle fluctuations. We document that the data-rich DSGE model generates a higher implied duration of Calvo price contracts and a lower slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve. To reduce the computational costs of the likelihood-based estimation, we employed a novel speedup as in Jungbacker and Koopman (2008) and achieved the time savings of 60 percent.
Book Synopsis Assessing Rational Expectations 2 by : Roger Guesnerie
Download or read book Assessing Rational Expectations 2 written by Roger Guesnerie and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005-02-18 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A theoretical assessment of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis through subjecting a collection of economic models to an "eductive stability" test. The rational expectations hypothesis (REH) dominates economic modeling in areas ranging from monetary theory, macroeconomics, and general equilibrium to finance. In this book, Roger Guesnerie continues the critical analysis of the REH begun in his Assessing Rational Expectations: Sunspot Multiplicity and Economic Fluctuations, which dealt with the questions raised by multiplicity and its implications for a theory of endogenous fluctuations. This second volume emphasizes "eductive" learning: relying on careful reasoning, agents must deduce what other agents guess, a process that differs from the standard evolutionary learning experience in which agents make decisions about the future based on past experiences. A broad "eductive" stability test is proposed that includes common knowledge and results in a unique "rationalizable expectations equilibrium." This test provides the basis for Guesnerie's theoretical assessment of the plausibility of the REH's expectational coordination, emphasizing, for different categories of economic models, conditions for the REH's success or failure. Guesnerie begins by presenting the concepts and methods of the eductive stability analysis in selected partial equilibrium models. He then explores to what extent general equilibrium strategic complementarities interfere with partial equilibrium considerations in the formation of stable expectations. Guesnerie next examines two issues relating to eductive stability in financial market models, speculation and asymmetric price information. The dynamic settings of an infinite horizon model are then taken up, and particular standard and generalized saddle-path solutions are scrutinized. Guesnerie concludes with a review of general questions and some "cautious" remarks on the policy implications of his analysis.
Book Synopsis The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance by : John Eatwell
Download or read book The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance written by John Eatwell and published by Springer. This book was released on 1992-10-14 with total page 869 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first reference work ever to be awarded the Eccles Prize for Excellence in Economic Writing from Columbia Business School. Continuing in the tradition of The New Palgrave , this 3-volume set provides an unparalleled guide to modern money, banking and finance. In over 1,000 substantial essays by leading academic and professional authorities, it provides the most comprehensive analysis available of contemporary theory and the fast-evolving global monetary and financial framework. In its scope and depth of coverage, it is indispensable for the academic and practitioner alike.
Book Synopsis Discriminating Rational Expectations Models with Non-nested Hypothesis Testing by : Satheesh V. Aradhyula
Download or read book Discriminating Rational Expectations Models with Non-nested Hypothesis Testing written by Satheesh V. Aradhyula and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Econometrics written by John Eatwell and published by Springer. This book was released on 1990-02-23 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an excerpt from the 4-volume dictionary of economics, a reference book which aims to define the subject of economics today. 1300 subject entries in the complete work cover the broad themes of economic theory. This extract concentrates on econometrics.
Book Synopsis Advanced Lectures in Quantitative Economics by : Frederick van Der Ploeg
Download or read book Advanced Lectures in Quantitative Economics written by Frederick van Der Ploeg and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-01 with total page 649 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Lectures in Quantitative Economics summarizes some of the efforts of a second-phase program for first-rate candidates with a Master's degree in economics who wish to continue with a doctoral degree in quantitative economics. This book is organized into three main topics—macroeconomics, microeconomics, and econometrics. This text specifically discusses the Neo-Keynesian macroeconomics in an open economy, international coordination of monetary policies under alternative exchange-rate regimes, and prospects for global trade imbalances. The post-war developments in labor economics, introduction to overlapping generation models, and measurement of expectations and direct tests of the REH are also elaborated. This monograph likewise covers the dynamic econometric modeling of decisions under uncertainty and fundamental bordered matrix of linear estimation. This publication is a good reference for students and specialists interested in quantitative economics.
Book Synopsis Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models by : Olivier J. Blanchard
Download or read book Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models written by Olivier J. Blanchard and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many methods have been proposed for the solution and simulation of medium or large size models under the assumption of rational expectations. The purpose of this paper is to present these methods, and to show how and where each can be applied. The methods fall into two groups. Methods in the first can be used to solve for perfect foresight paths in non-linear models. Methods in the second can be used in linear models, to solve either for paths or processes followed by endogenous variables. All the methods described here have been used in empirical applications and computer algorithms are available for most.
