The Econometric Analysis of Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models

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Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 1483296288
Total Pages : 249 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis The Econometric Analysis of Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models by : L. Broze

Download or read book The Econometric Analysis of Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models written by L. Broze and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is devoted to the econometric analysis of linear multivariate rational expectation models. It shows that the interpretation of multiplicity in terms of "new degrees of freedom" is consistent with a rigorous econometric reasoning. Non-uniqueness is the central theme of this book. Each chapter is concerned with a specific econometric aspect of rational expectations equilibria. The most constructive result lies in the possibility of an empirical determination of the equilibrium followed by the economy.

Assessing Rational Expectations 2

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262262903
Total Pages : 498 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (629 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Rational Expectations 2 by : Roger Guesnerie

Download or read book Assessing Rational Expectations 2 written by Roger Guesnerie and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005-02-18 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A theoretical assessment of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis through subjecting a collection of economic models to an "eductive stability" test. The rational expectations hypothesis (REH) dominates economic modeling in areas ranging from monetary theory, macroeconomics, and general equilibrium to finance. In this book, Roger Guesnerie continues the critical analysis of the REH begun in his Assessing Rational Expectations: Sunspot Multiplicity and Economic Fluctuations, which dealt with the questions raised by multiplicity and its implications for a theory of endogenous fluctuations. This second volume emphasizes "eductive" learning: relying on careful reasoning, agents must deduce what other agents guess, a process that differs from the standard evolutionary learning experience in which agents make decisions about the future based on past experiences. A broad "eductive" stability test is proposed that includes common knowledge and results in a unique "rationalizable expectations equilibrium." This test provides the basis for Guesnerie's theoretical assessment of the plausibility of the REH's expectational coordination, emphasizing, for different categories of economic models, conditions for the REH's success or failure. Guesnerie begins by presenting the concepts and methods of the eductive stability analysis in selected partial equilibrium models. He then explores to what extent general equilibrium strategic complementarities interfere with partial equilibrium considerations in the formation of stable expectations. Guesnerie next examines two issues relating to eductive stability in financial market models, speculation and asymmetric price information. The dynamic settings of an infinite horizon model are then taken up, and particular standard and generalized saddle-path solutions are scrutinized. Guesnerie concludes with a review of general questions and some "cautious" remarks on the policy implications of his analysis.

Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models

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Author :
Publisher : Psychology Press
ISBN 13 : 9780415269261
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (692 download)

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Book Synopsis Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models by : Laurence Broze

Download or read book Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models written by Laurence Broze and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2001 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive exposition of rational expectations models is provided here, working up from simple univariate models to more sophisticated multivariate and non-linear models.

Methods of Macroeconomic Dynamics

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262201230
Total Pages : 698 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Methods of Macroeconomic Dynamics by : Stephen J. Turnovsky

Download or read book Methods of Macroeconomic Dynamics written by Stephen J. Turnovsky and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 698 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Just as macroeconomic models describe the overall economy within a changing, or dynamic, framework, the models themselves change over time. In this text Stephen J. Turnovsky reviews in depth several early models as well as a representation of more recent models. They include traditional (backward-looking) models, linear rational expectations (future-looking) models, intertemporal optimization models, endogenous growth models, and continuous time stochastic models. The author uses examples from both closed and open economies. Whereas others commonly introduce models in a closed context, tacking on a brief discussion of the model in an open economy, Turnovsky integrates the two perspectives throughout to reflect the increasingly international outlook of the field. This new edition has been extensively revised. It contains a new chapter on optimal monetary and fiscal policy, and the coverage of growth theory has been expanded substantially. The range of growth models considered has been extended, with particular attention devoted to transitional dynamics and nonscale growth. The book includes cutting-edge research and unpublished data, including much of the author's own work.

Business Cycle Models with Indeterminacy

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642470181
Total Pages : 186 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycle Models with Indeterminacy by : Mark Weder

Download or read book Business Cycle Models with Indeterminacy written by Mark Weder and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Three original models which explain business cycles as a result of self-fulfilling expectations are presented. The models are founded on the structure of dynamic general equilibrium theory. Market power and increasing returns to scale are introduced which allow indeterminancy of the Rational Expectations equilibria to be obtained. Unlike the majority of existing literature on this subject, the departures from perfect markets and constant returns presented in these models are very low and, more importantly, at a realistic level to achieve the respective results. It is demonstrated in all of the presented models that stylized facts of the business cycle can be reproduced.

Rational Expectations Econometrics

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000308960
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations Econometrics by : Lars Peter Hansen

Download or read book Rational Expectations Econometrics written by Lars Peter Hansen and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-09-05 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At the core of the rational expectations revolution is the insight that economic policy does not operate independently of economic agents' knowledge of that policy and their expectations of the effects of that policy. This means that there are very complicated feedback relationships existing between policy and the behaviour of economic agents, and these relationships pose very difficult problems in econometrics when one tries to exploit the rational expectations insight in formal economic modelling. This volume consists of work by two rational expectations pioneers dealing with the "nuts and bolts" problems of modelling the complications introduced by rational expectations. Each paper deals with aspects of the problem of making inferences about parameters of a dynamic economic model on the basis of time series observations. Each exploits restrictions on an econometric model imposed by the hypothesis that agents within the model have rational expectations.

Imperfect Competition, Differential Information, and Microfoundations of Macroeconomics

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780198290391
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Imperfect Competition, Differential Information, and Microfoundations of Macroeconomics by : Kiyohiko G. Nishimura

Download or read book Imperfect Competition, Differential Information, and Microfoundations of Macroeconomics written by Kiyohiko G. Nishimura and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1995 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume links a microeconomic model of imperfectly informed firms and unions in monopolistic competition to a general theory of wage- and price-setting in a macroeconomic model. The analysis is based on a profit maximization and rational behaviour and is thus in line with the newly emerged New Keynesian approach in its emphasis on the microeconomic foundation of macroeconomics. The volume goes on to explain three stylized facts in macroeconomics: nominal rigidity, real rigidity, and cost-oriented prices, presented in a coherent New Keynesian framework. The analysis also provides new insight into the role of competition in an economy with imperfectly and differentially informed firms. It shows that increased competition may increase nominal as well as real price rigidity and increased volatility of investment.

The Macroeconomics of Self-fulfilling Prophecies

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Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262062039
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis The Macroeconomics of Self-fulfilling Prophecies by : Roger E. A. Farmer

Download or read book The Macroeconomics of Self-fulfilling Prophecies written by Roger E. A. Farmer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1999 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Farmer argues for the future of macroeconomics as a branch ofapplied general equilibrium theory. His main theme is thatmacroeconomics is best viewed as the study of equilibrium environmentsin which the welfare theorems break down.

Arrow and the Ascent of Modern Economic Theory

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349072397
Total Pages : 745 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis Arrow and the Ascent of Modern Economic Theory by : George R. Feiwel

Download or read book Arrow and the Ascent of Modern Economic Theory written by George R. Feiwel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-01-10 with total page 745 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This and the companion volume are about the ascent, vicissitudes and lacunae in the science and art modern economics and about Kenneth Arrow, his architectonic contributions to and impact on the theoretical and applied economics and moral and political philosophy of our age. They provide a comprehensive composite analysis of Arrow's approach and contributions to and his impact on modern economics and philosophy seen from various forms. In addition to original essays that not only analyse Arrow's contributions and impact, but provide insights into what is being done at the frontiers of the subject, these volumes contain interview chapters that afford extraordinary glimpses into the creativity and personality of the major contributors to the economics of our age (including our protagonist) and are an important historical document.

LINK Proceedings, 1991, 1992

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9789810232344
Total Pages : 372 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (323 download)

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Book Synopsis LINK Proceedings, 1991, 1992 by : Bert G. Hickman

Download or read book LINK Proceedings, 1991, 1992 written by Bert G. Hickman and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1998 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers two years of research activities associated with Project LINK, which is based on a model of the world economy, covering 79 countries or regional groupings of countries. Papers dealing with interesting thematic issues were carefully selected and expanded into full articles. The subjects studied by various LINK participants for reporting at annual meetings include exchange rate systems, international investment, environmental protection, international economic institutions, LINK system improvements, and international economic policy. As always, there are contributions dealing with methodological advances for world modeling.

A Theory of Economic Growth

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521001151
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis A Theory of Economic Growth by : David de la Croix

Download or read book A Theory of Economic Growth written by David de la Croix and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-10-24 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an in-depth treatment of the overlapping generations model in economics incorporating production.

Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226262537
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics by : Jacob A. Frenkel

Download or read book Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics written by Jacob A. Frenkel and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-01-15 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume, presenting some of the finest new research on exchange rates and international macroeconomics, contains papers and critical commentary by thirty-two leading economists. Taken together, these papers provide sound evidence about the effects of real and monetary factors on exchange rates and extend the analyses of exchange rates and international macroeconomics by outlining the kinds of behavior and institutional arrangements that can be incorporated into such analyses. Both empirical and theoretical research are represented, and the contributors analyze such issues as the performance of various models of exchange rate determination, the role of risk and speculation in the forward market for foreign exchange, the rational expectations hypothesis in such markets, the performance of monetary policy in ten industrial countries, the role that labor market contracts play in exchange rate policies, the effect of he oil shocks on the evolution of exchange rates, and the output cost of bringing down inflation in the open economy.

Econometrics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349205702
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (492 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometrics by : John Eatwell

Download or read book Econometrics written by John Eatwell and published by Springer. This book was released on 1990-02-23 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an excerpt from the 4-volume dictionary of economics, a reference book which aims to define the subject of economics today. 1300 subject entries in the complete work cover the broad themes of economic theory. This extract concentrates on econometrics.

Post Walrasian Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139459058
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Post Walrasian Macroeconomics by : David Colander

Download or read book Post Walrasian Macroeconomics written by David Colander and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-07-17 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomics is evolving in an almost dialectic fashion. The latest evolution is the development of a new synthesis that combines insights of new classical, new Keynesian and real business cycle traditions into a dynamic, stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that serves as a foundation for thinking about macro policy. That new synthesis has opened up the door to a new antithesis, which is being driven by advances in computing power and analytic techniques. This new synthesis is coalescing around developments in complexity theory, automated general to specific econometric modeling, agent-based models, and non-linear and statistical dynamical models. This book thus provides the reader with an introduction to what might be called a Post Walrasian research program that is developing as the antithesis of the Walrasian DSGE synthesis.

The Inflation-Targeting Debate

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226044734
Total Pages : 469 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis The Inflation-Targeting Debate by : Ben S. Bernanke

Download or read book The Inflation-Targeting Debate written by Ben S. Bernanke and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 469 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past fifteen years, a significant number of industrialized and middle-income countries have adopted inflation targeting as a framework for monetary policymaking. As the name suggests, in such inflation-targeting regimes, the central bank is responsible for achieving a publicly announced target for the inflation rate. While the objective of controlling inflation enjoys wide support among both academic experts and policymakers, and while the countries that have followed this model have generally experienced good macroeconomic outcomes, many important questions about inflation targeting remain. In Inflation Targeting, a distinguished group of contributors explores the many underexamined dimensions of inflation targeting—its potential, its successes, and its limitations—from both a theoretical and an empirical standpoint, and for both developed and emerging economies. The volume opens with a discussion of the optimal formulation of inflation-targeting policy and continues with a debate about the desirability of such a model for the United States. The concluding chapters discuss the special problems of inflation targeting in emerging markets, including the Czech Republic, Poland, and Hungary.

Prosperity for All

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190621435
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (96 download)

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Book Synopsis Prosperity for All by : Roger E. A. Farmer

Download or read book Prosperity for All written by Roger E. A. Farmer and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, economists around the world have advanced theories to explain the persistence of high unemployment and low growth rates. Written in clear, accessible language by prominent macroeconomic theorist Roger E. A. Farmer, Prosperity for All proposes a paradigm shift and policy changes that could successfully raise employment rates, keep inflation at bay, and stimulate growth.

The Handbook of Experimental Economics, Volume 2

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691139997
Total Pages : 770 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis The Handbook of Experimental Economics, Volume 2 by : John H. Kagel

Download or read book The Handbook of Experimental Economics, Volume 2 written by John H. Kagel and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-10-04 with total page 770 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An indispensable survey of new developments and results in experimental economics When The Handbook of Experimental Economics first came out in 1995, the notion of economists conducting lab experiments to generate data was relatively new. Since then, the field has exploded. This second volume of the Handbook covers some of the most exciting new growth areas in experimental economics, presents the latest results and experimental methods, and identifies promising new directions for future research. Featuring contributions by leading practitioners, the Handbook describes experiments in macroeconomics, charitable giving, neuroeconomics, other-regarding preferences, market design, political economy, subject population effects, gender effects, auctions, and learning and the economics of small decisions. Contributors focus on key developments and report on experiments, highlighting the dialogue between experimenters and theorists. While most of the experiments consist of laboratory studies, the book also includes several chapters that report extensively on field experiments related to the subject area studied. Covers exciting new growth areas in experimental economics Features contributions by leading experts Describes experiments in macroeconomics, charitable giving, neuroeconomics, market design, political economy, gender effects, auctions, and more Highlights the dialogue by experimenters with theorists and each other Includes several chapters covering field experiments related to the subject area studied