Morocco A Practical Approach To Monetary Policy Analysis In A Country With Capital Controls

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Morocco: A Practical Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis in a Country with Capital Controls

Author : Mokhtar Benlamine
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484341813
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Morocco: A Practical Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis in a Country with Capital Controls by : Mokhtar Benlamine

Download or read book Morocco: A Practical Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis in a Country with Capital Controls written by Mokhtar Benlamine and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-02-14 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Central Bank of Morocco has been working on developing a Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) to support a gradual move toward a more flexible exchange rate regime and the eventual adoption of a full-fledged inflation-targeting (IT) regime. At the center of the FPAS is a quarterly projection model that was tailored for two different types of exchange rate regimes. Presently, the fixed exchange rate model version is to be used during the pre-IT period, while the flexible exchange rate model version is to be used to prepare alternative scenarios for monetary policy decision makers to discuss the potential policy implications of shocks under an IT regime.

Morocco: A Practical Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis in a Country with Capital Controls

Author : Mokhtar Benlamine
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484342607
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Morocco: A Practical Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis in a Country with Capital Controls by : Mokhtar Benlamine

The Morocco Policy Analysis Model: Theoretical Framework and Policy Scenarios

Author : Aya Achour
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573322
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Morocco Policy Analysis Model: Theoretical Framework and Policy Scenarios by : Aya Achour

Download or read book The Morocco Policy Analysis Model: Theoretical Framework and Policy Scenarios written by Aya Achour and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-04-30 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Morocco Policy Analysis model (MOPAM) was created in the Bank Al-Maghrib to simulate the impact of external developments, domestic macroeconomic policies, and structural reforms on key macroeconomic aggregates. We describe its structure and demonstrate its operation on two medium-term scenarios: (1) fiscal consolidation to stabilize the debt-to-GDP ratio and (2) the effects of the COVID-19 shock, including the endogenous fiscal and monetary policy response.

Morocco's Quest for Stronger and Inclusive Growth

Author : Roberto Cardarelli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Morocco's Quest for Stronger and Inclusive Growth by : Roberto Cardarelli

Download or read book Morocco's Quest for Stronger and Inclusive Growth written by Roberto Cardarelli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-10-09 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Throughout the past two decades, Morocco has faced several external and domestic shocks, including large swings in international oil prices, regional geopolitical tensions, severe droughts, and most recently the impact of the pandemic and the economic fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Despite rough waters, the government stayed the course and remained focused not only on immediate stability, but also on the long-term needs of the Moroccan economy. This involved the adoption of a series of difficult measures, like the elimination of energy subsidies, and a strategy aimed at improving the country's infrastructure, diversifying the production and export bases by attracting foreign investment, and modernizing the governance structure of the public administration. The road to higher and more inclusive growth, however, remains steep. Despite gains in poverty reduction, literacy and lifespans, Morocco economy continues to face a high share of inactive youth, large gaps in economic opportunities for women, a fragmented social protection system, and remaining barriers to private sector development. An ambitious reform agenda is needed to better meet the aspirations of Moroccans, by making economic growth stronger, more resilient and more inclusive, particularly to provide greater opportunities for young, women, and entrepreneurs. Morocco appears well positioned to address these challenges, and indeed, the country has recently sought to define and pursue a new "model of development", through national debates and a more inclusive approach to reform. Significant reforms have been announced recently that revamp both the social protection system and the SOEs business model. This book draws lessons from the reforms Morocco has implemented in the past few decades and charts a course for Morocco by addressing key areas for reform.

Morocco’s Monetary Policy Transmission in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Author : Mr. Roberto Cardarelli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589067266
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Morocco’s Monetary Policy Transmission in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic by : Mr. Roberto Cardarelli

Download or read book Morocco’s Monetary Policy Transmission in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic written by Mr. Roberto Cardarelli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-21 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper finds that the neutral interest rate has been on a downward trajectory in Morocco since the global financial crisis and may have fallen in the wake of the pandemic. In that context, monetary policy transmission to output and prices appears relatively muted given limited exchange rate flexibility until recently. Also, monetary policy transmission to some market rates has somewhat weakened in the wake of the pandemic. A lower natural rate and low policy rates raise the question of whether further rate reductions would impair the banking system. We find that the sensitivity of cash demand to deposit rates is low, implying limited risks that banks would lose funding with further reductions. A reliance on checking and savings accounts for funding may impair monetary pass-through, however. If monetary policy reaches its effective lower bound, limited and credible recourse to an asset purchase program could usefully complement conventional measures and strengthen monetary policy transmission under an inflation-targeting regime with a flexible exchange rate.

Survey of Economic and Social Developments in the Arab Region 2017-2018

Author : United Nations ESCWA
Publisher : United Nations
ISBN 13 : 9210477294
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Survey of Economic and Social Developments in the Arab Region 2017-2018 by : United Nations ESCWA

Download or read book Survey of Economic and Social Developments in the Arab Region 2017-2018 written by United Nations ESCWA and published by United Nations. This book was released on 2019-03-01 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication focuses on the analysis of the most recent socioeconomic developments in two ways. The first focus aims at demonstrating the analytical observation of routinely monitored economic and social variables of the Arab region in the global context (the monitoring part). The second focus aims at an in-depth analysis on the regional impacts of ongoing fiscal reforms (the thematic part).

Taking Stock of IMF Capacity Development on Monetary Policy Forecasting and Policy Analysis Systems

Author : John C. Odling-Smee
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 155775327X
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (577 download)

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Book Synopsis Taking Stock of IMF Capacity Development on Monetary Policy Forecasting and Policy Analysis Systems by : John C. Odling-Smee

Download or read book Taking Stock of IMF Capacity Development on Monetary Policy Forecasting and Policy Analysis Systems written by John C. Odling-Smee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1993 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper takes stock of forecasting and policy analysis system capacity development (FPAS CD), drawing extensively on the experience and lessons learned from developing FPAS capacity in the central banks. By sharing the insights gained during FPAS CD delivery and outlining the typical tools developed in the process, the paper aims to facilitate the understanding of FPAS CD within the IMF and to inform future CD on building macroeconomic frameworks. As such, the paper offers a qualitative assessment of the experience with FPAS CD delivery and the use of FPAS in the decision-making process in central banks.

Structural Quarterly Projection Model for Belarus

Author : Karel Musil
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484385616
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Structural Quarterly Projection Model for Belarus by : Karel Musil

Download or read book Structural Quarterly Projection Model for Belarus written by Karel Musil and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-12-07 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Belarusian authorities contemplate transiting to inflation targeting. The paper suggests a small structural model at the core of the forecasting and policy analysis system. A well-researched canonical structure of Berg, A., Karam, P. and D. Laxton (2006) is extended to capture specifics of Belarusian economy and macroeconomic policy. The modified model’s policy block reflects a monetary targeting regime and allows for transition from it to an interest-rate-based framework. Adding wages, directed lending and dollarization allow for studying implications of activist wage policy, state program lending, and dollarization for macroeconomic stability and the strength of the policy transmission mechanism.

Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498344062
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-23 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, many low- and lower-middle income countries (LLMICs) have improved control over fiscal policy, liberalized and deepened financial markets, and stabilized inflation at moderate levels. Monetary policy frameworks that have helped achieve these ends are being challenged by continued financial development and increased exposure to global capital markets. Many policymakers aspire to move beyond the basics of stability to implement monetary policy frameworks that better anchor inflation and promote macroeconomic stability and growth. Many of these LLMICs are thus considering and implementing improvements to their monetary policy frameworks. The recent successes of some LLMICs and the experiences of emerging and advanced economies, both early in their policy modernization process and following the global financial crisis, are valuable in identifying desirable features of such frameworks. This paper draws on those lessons to provide guidance on key elements of effective monetary policy frameworks for LLMICs.

Preemptive Policies and Risk-Off Shocks in Emerging Markets

Author : Ms. Mitali Das
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616358343
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)

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Book Synopsis Preemptive Policies and Risk-Off Shocks in Emerging Markets by : Ms. Mitali Das

Download or read book Preemptive Policies and Risk-Off Shocks in Emerging Markets written by Ms. Mitali Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-01-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that “preemptive” capital flow management measures (CFM) can reduce emerging markets and developing countries’ (EMDE) external finance premia during risk-off shocks, especially for vulnerable countries. Using a panel dataset of 56 EMDEs during 1996–2020 at monthly frequency, we document that countries with preemptive policies in place during the five year window before risk-off shocks experienced relatively lower external finance premia and exchange rate volatility during the shock compared to countries which did not have such preemptive policies in place. We use the episodes of Taper Tantrum and COVID-19 as risk-off shocks. Our identification relies on a difference-in-differences methodology with country fixed effects where preemptive policies are ex-ante by construction and cannot be put in place as a response to the shock ex-post. We control the effects of other policies, such as monetary policy, foreign exchange interventions (FXI), easing of inflow CFMs and tightening of outflow CFMs that are used in response to the risk-off shocks. By reducing the impact of risk-off shocks on countries’ funding costs and exchange rate volatility, preemptive policies enable countries’ continued access to international capital markets during troubled times.

The Liquidation of Government Debt

Author : Ms. Carmen Reinhart
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498338380
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis The Liquidation of Government Debt by : Ms. Carmen Reinhart

Download or read book The Liquidation of Government Debt written by Ms. Carmen Reinhart and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-21 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High public debt often produces the drama of default and restructuring. But debt is also reduced through financial repression, a tax on bondholders and savers via negative or belowmarket real interest rates. After WWII, capital controls and regulatory restrictions created a captive audience for government debt, limiting tax-base erosion. Financial repression is most successful in liquidating debt when accompanied by inflation. For the advanced economies, real interest rates were negative ½ of the time during 1945–1980. Average annual interest expense savings for a 12—country sample range from about 1 to 5 percent of GDP for the full 1945–1980 period. We suggest that, once again, financial repression may be part of the toolkit deployed to cope with the most recent surge in public debt in advanced economies.

Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2014

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498335179
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2014 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2014 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-09 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the 65th issue of the AREAER. It provides a description of the foreign exchange arrangements, exchange and trade systems, and capital controls of all IMF member countries. It also provides information on the operation of foreign exchange markets and controls on international trade. It describes controls on capital transactions and measures implemented in the financial sector, including prudential measures. In addition, it reports on exchange measures imposed by member countries for security reasons. A single table provides a snapshot of the exchange and trade systems of all IMF member countries. The Overview describes in detail how the general trend toward foreign exchange liberalization continued during 2013, alongside a strengthening of the financial sector regulatory framework. A Special Topic essay examines the dynamics and evolution of capital flows. The AREAER is available in several formats. The Overview in print and online, and the detailed information for each of the 191 member countries and territories is included on a CD that accompanies the printed Overview and in an online database, AREAER Online. In addition to the information on the exchange and trade system of IMF member countries in 2013, AREAER Online contains historical data published in previous issues of the AREAER. It is searchable by year, country, and category of measure and allows cross country comparisons for time series.

Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows—Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework

Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498339352
Total Pages : 98 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows—Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Recent Experiences in Managing Capital Inflows—Cross-Cutting Themes and Possible Policy Framework written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-02-14 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging markets (EMs) are experiencing a surge in capital inflows, lifting asset prices and growth prospects. While inflows are typically beneficial for receiving countries, inflow surges can carry macroeconomic and financial stability risks. This paper reviews the recent experience of EMs in dealing with capital inflows and suggests a possible framework for IMF policy advice on the spectrum of measures available to policymakers to manage inflows, including macroeconomic policies, prudential measures and capital controls. Illustrative applications of this framework suggest that it may be appropriate for several countries, based on their current circumstances, to consider prudential measures or capital controls in response to capital inflows. The suggested framework is intended to inform staff policy advice to all Fund members with open capital accounts. It forms part of a broader effort to sharpen Fund surveillance, preserve evenhandedness, and foster greater global policy coordination. As indicated in the Supplement to this paper, this broader effort includes the development of “global rules of the game” on macroprudential policies, capital account liberalization, and reserve adequacy, and the preparation of spillover reports assessing spillovers from the five systemic economies—all of which will inform the current and broader framework being developed.

Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia

Author : Masahiro Kawai
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0857933353
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (579 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia by : Masahiro Kawai

Download or read book Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia written by Masahiro Kawai and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asian economies strengthened their monetary and currency management after the Asian financial crisis of 19971998, and came through the global financial crisis of 20072009 relatively well. Nevertheless, the recent global crisis has presented new challenges. This book develops recommendations for monetary and currency policy in Asian economies aimed at promoting macroeconomic and financial stability in an environment of global economic shocks and volatile capital flows. Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia draws lessons from crises and makes concrete macroeconomic policy recommendations aimed at minimizing the impacts of an economic and financial downturn, and setting the stage for an early return to sustainable growth. The focus is on short-term measures related to the cycle. The three main areas addressed are: monetary policy measures, both conventional and unconventional, to achieve both macroeconomic and financial stability; exchange rate policy and foreign exchange reserve management, including the potential for regional cooperation to stabilize currency movements; and ways to ease the constraints on policy resulting from the so-called 'impossible trinity' of fixed exchange rates, open capital accounts and independent monetary policy. This is one of the first books since the global financial crisis to specifically and comprehensively address the implications of the crisis for monetary and currency policy in emerging market economies, especially in Asia. Presenting a broad menu of policy options for financial reform and regulation, the book will be of great interest to finance experts and policymakers in the region as well as academics and researchers of financial and Asian economics as well as economic development.

The Scope for Inflation Targeting in Developing Countries

Author : Mr.Paul R. Masson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145185515X
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis The Scope for Inflation Targeting in Developing Countries by : Mr.Paul R. Masson

Download or read book The Scope for Inflation Targeting in Developing Countries written by Mr.Paul R. Masson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-10-01 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation targeting (IT) serves as monetary policy framework in several advanced economies, where it has enhanced policy transparency and accountability. The paper considers its wider applicability to developing countries. The prerequisites for a successful IT framework are identified as an ability to carry out an independent monetary policy (free of fiscal dominance or commitment to another nominal anchor, like the exchange rate) and a quantitative framework linking policy instruments to inflation. These prerequisites are largely absent among developing countries, though several of them could with some further institutional changes and an overriding commitment to low inflation make use of an IT framework.

Structural Quarterly Projection Model for Belarus

Author : Karel Musil
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484389271
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Structural Quarterly Projection Model for Belarus by : Karel Musil

The ASEAN Way

Author : Ms.Ana Corbacho
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513558900
Total Pages : 311 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The ASEAN Way by : Ms.Ana Corbacho

Download or read book The ASEAN Way written by Ms.Ana Corbacho and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-10-02 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first part of the book examines the evolution of monetary policy and prudential frameworks of the ASEAN5, with particular focus on changes since the Asian financial crisis and the more recent period of unconventional monetary policy in advanced economies. The second part of the book looks at policy responses to global financial spillovers. The third and last part of the book elaborates on the challenges ahead for monetary policy, financial stability frameworks, and the deepening of financial markets.