Monetary Policy Going Forward

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Inflation Expectations

Author : Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Monetary Policy in the New Normal

Author : Mr.Tamim Bayoumi
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475561784
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy in the New Normal by : Mr.Tamim Bayoumi

Download or read book Monetary Policy in the New Normal written by Mr.Tamim Bayoumi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-04 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The proposed SDN would take stock of the current debate on the shape that monetary policy should take after the crisis. It revisits the pros and cons of expanding the objectives of monetary policy, the merits of turning unconventional policies into conventional ones, how to make monetary policy frameworks more resilient to the risk of being constrained by the zero-lower bound going forward, and the institutional challenges to preserve central bank independence with regards to monetary policy, while allowing adequate government oversight over central banks’ new responsibilities. It will draw policy conclusions where consensus has been reached, and highlight the areas where more work is needed to get more granular policy advice.

Monetary Policy in Times of Crisis

Author : Massimo Rostagno
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192895915
Total Pages : 449 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (928 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy in Times of Crisis by : Massimo Rostagno

Download or read book Monetary Policy in Times of Crisis written by Massimo Rostagno and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first twenty years of the European Central Bank offer a unique insight into how a central bank can navigate macroeconomic insecurity and crisis. This volume examines the structures and decision-making processes behind the complex measures taken by the ECB to tackle some of the toughest economic challenges in the history of modern Europe.

Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability

Author : Michael Heise
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030050785
Total Pages : 111 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability by : Michael Heise

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability written by Michael Heise and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-02-26 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the financial crisis of 2008/09, the world’s major central banks have been struggling to return their economies to higher growth and to reach their inflation targets. This concise book analyzes the importance of central bank policies for the economy, and specifically investigates the reasons why they have failed to steer inflation as desired. The author, the Chief Economist at Allianz SE, argues that, in an environment of great uncertainty concerning the pass-through of monetary stimulus to the economy, central banks should not focus too narrowly on inflation targets, but should increasingly take the side effects of their actions into account. In particular, he contends that they must seek to minimize the risk of financial booms and busts in order to maximize long-term growth and prosperity. Building on existing research and contributing to the current debate, the book offers a valuable reference guide and food for thought for policymakers, professionals and students alike.

21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19

Author : Ben S. Bernanke
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN 13 : 1324020474
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (24 download)

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Book Synopsis 21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19 by : Ben S. Bernanke

Download or read book 21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19 written by Ben S. Bernanke and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2022-05-17 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 21st Century Monetary Policy takes readers inside the Federal Reserve, explaining what it does and why. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve deployed an extraordinary range of policy tools that helped prevent the collapse of the financial system and the U.S. economy. Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues lent directly to U.S. businesses, purchased trillions of dollars of government securities, pumped dollars into the international financial system, and crafted a new framework for monetary policy that emphasized job creation. These strategies would have astonished Powell’s late-20th-century predecessors, from William McChesney Martin to Alan Greenspan, and the advent of these tools raises new questions about the future landscape of economic policy. In 21st Century Monetary Policy, Ben S. Bernanke—former chair of the Federal Reserve and one of the world’s leading economists—explains the Fed’s evolution and speculates on its future. Taking a fresh look at the bank’s policymaking over the past seventy years, including his own time as chair, Bernanke shows how changes in the economy have driven the Fed’s innovations. He also lays out new challenges confronting the Fed, including the return of inflation, cryptocurrencies, increased risks of financial instability, and threats to its independence. Beyond explaining the central bank’s new policymaking tools, Bernanke also captures the drama of moments when so much hung on the Fed’s decisions, as well as the personalities and philosophies of those who led the institution.

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions

Author : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780894991967
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (919 download)

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Book Synopsis The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions by : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Download or read book The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions written by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Monetary Policy Going Forward

Author : United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Going Forward by : United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee

Download or read book Monetary Policy Going Forward written by United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Avoiding Dark Corners

Author : Ali Alichi
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513530011
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Avoiding Dark Corners by : Ali Alichi

Download or read book Avoiding Dark Corners written by Ali Alichi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-25 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Fed has taken several steps towards strengthening its monetary framework over the past several years. Those steps have supported the Fed’s efforts to stimulate the economy through forward guidance despite being constrained by having policy rates at zero. We show that an optimal control approach to monetary policy, which includes the publication of a baseline forecast and a description of the uncertainties around that outlook, combined with an improvement in the Fed’s communications toolkit, could further enhance the effectiveness of Fed policy. In the current conjuncture, such a risk management approach to monetary policy would result in both a later liftoff of policy rates and a modest, but planned, overshooting of inflation.

Inflation Targeting As a Framework for Monetary Policy

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451965141
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting As a Framework for Monetary Policy by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Inflation Targeting As a Framework for Monetary Policy written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-10-02 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation distorts prices, erodes savings, discourages investment,stimulates capital flight, inhibits growth, and makes economic planning anightmare. During the past decade, several advanced economies have takena new approach to the age-old problem of controlling inflation throughmonetary policy known as "inflation targeting." This pamphlet explainsthe requirements of putting the new policy in place, the experience of the countries that have tried it, and whether it has applicability todeveloping countries.

Capacity Constraints, Inflation and the Transmission Mechanism

Author : Mr.Peter B. Clark
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451849672
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Capacity Constraints, Inflation and the Transmission Mechanism by : Mr.Peter B. Clark

Download or read book Capacity Constraints, Inflation and the Transmission Mechanism written by Mr.Peter B. Clark and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-08-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a small model of the output-inflation process in the United States in order to examine the implications of alternative monetary policy rules. In particular, two types of policy rules are considered; a myopic rule where interest rates respond contemporaneously to output and inflation and a forward-looking policy rule that exploits information about the nature of transmission mechanism in the setting of interest rates. The model has two key features. First, there are significant lags between interest rates and aggregate demand conditions. Second, the model is based on an asymmetric model of inflation where positive deviations of aggregate demand from potential are more inflationary than negative deviations are disinflationary. As a consequence of this asymmetry, a policymaker that follows a myopic policy rule and allows the economy to overheat periodically will be forced to impose large recessions on the economy to keep inflation under control. The paper shows that the estimated degree of asymmetry implies that myopic policies can result in significant permanent losses in output. By contrast, policymakers that follow a forward-looking policy rule that avoids overheating will not only reduce the variance of output but also raise the mean level of output.

Monetary Policy Strategies

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451952570
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Strategies by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Monetary Policy Strategies written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1988-10-04 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper considers the merits of rules and discretion for monetary policy when the structure of the macroeconomic model and the probability distributions of disturbances are not well defined. It is argued that when it is costly to delay policy reactions to seldom-experienced shocks until formal algorithmic learning has been accomplished, and when time consistency problems are significant, a mixed strategy that combines a simple verifiable rule with discretion is attractive. The paper also discusses mechanisms for mitigating credibility problems and emphasizes that arguments against various types of simple rules lose their force under a mixed strategy.

The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monetary Policy - Recent Changes and New Questions

Author : William B. English
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monetary Policy - Recent Changes and New Questions by : William B. English

Download or read book The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monetary Policy - Recent Changes and New Questions written by William B. English and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, the Federal Reserve has made substantial changes to its framework for monetary policymaking by providing greater clarity regarding its objectives, its intentions regarding the use of monetary policy--including nontraditional policy tools such as forward guidance and asset purchases--in the pursuit of those objectives, and its broader policy strategy. These changes reflected both a response to changes in economists' understanding of the most effective way to implement monetary policy and a response to specific challenges posed by the financial crisis and its aftermath, particularly the effective lower bound on nominal interest rates. We trace the recent evolution of the Federal Reserve's framework, and use a small-scale macro model and a simple static model to help illuminate the approaches taken with nontraditional monetary policy tools. A number of foreign central banks have made similar innovations in response to similar developments. On balance, the Federal Reserve has moved closer to "flexible inflation targeting," but the Federal Reserve's approach includes a balanced focus on two objectives and the use of a flexible horizon over which policy aims to foster those objectives. Going forward, further changes in central banks' frameworks may be needed to address issues raised by the financial crisis. For example, some have suggested that the sustained period at the effective lower bound points to the need for central banks to establish a different policy objective, such as a higher inflation target or a nominal income target. We use our small-scale model of the U.S. economy to examine the potential benefits and costs of such changes. We also discuss the broad issue of how central banks should integrate financial stability policy and monetary policy.

The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monetary Policy-Recent Changes and New Questions

Author : Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board
Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781503287174
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (871 download)

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Book Synopsis The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monetary Policy-Recent Changes and New Questions by : Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board

Download or read book The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monetary Policy-Recent Changes and New Questions written by Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2014-11-19 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, the Federal Reserve has made substantial changes to its framework for monetary policymaking by providing greater clarity regarding its objectives, its intentions regarding the use of monetary policy- including nontraditional policy tools such as forward guidance and asset purchases-in the pursuit of those objectives, and its broader policy strategy. These changes reflected both a response to changes in economists' understanding of the most effective way to implement monetary policy and a response to specific challenges posed by the financial crisis and its aftermath, particularly the effective lower bound on nominal interest rates. We trace the recent evolution of the Federal Reserve's framework, and use a small-scale macro model and a simple static model to help illuminate the approaches taken with nontraditional monetary policy tools. A number of foreign central banks have made similar innovations in response to similar developments. On balance, the Federal Reserve has moved closer to "flexible inflation targeting," but the Federal Reserve's approach differs in important ways from the strict implementation of that paradigm by including a balanced focus on two objectives and the use of a flexible horizon over which policy aims to foster those objectives. Going forward, further changes in central banks' frameworks may be needed to address issues raised by the financial crisis. For example, some have suggested that the sustained period at the effective lower bound points to the need for central banks to establish a different policy objective, such as a higher inflation target or nominal GDP targeting. We use our small-scale model of the U.S. economy to examine the potential benefits and costs of such changes. We also discuss the broad issue of how central banks should integrate financial stability policy and monetary policy.

What is Keeping U.S. Core Inflation Low

Author : Mr.Yasser Abdih
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475533772
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis What is Keeping U.S. Core Inflation Low by : Mr.Yasser Abdih

Download or read book What is Keeping U.S. Core Inflation Low written by Mr.Yasser Abdih and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-07 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, U.S. core PCE goods and services inflation have evolved differently. Against the backdrop of global concerns of low inflation, we use this trend as motivation to develop a bottom-up model of U.S. inflation. We find that domestic forces play a larger role relative to foreign factors in influencing core services inflation, while foreign factors predominantly drive core goods price changes. When comparing forecasting performance, we find that both the aggregate Phillips curve and the bottom up approach give low root mean square errors. The latter, however, is more informative in tracing the effects of shocks and understanding the exact channels through which they affect aggregate inflation. Using scenario analysis—and given a relatively low sensitivity of core inflation to changes in slack, both at the aggregate Phillips curve and sub-components levels—we find that global pressures will likely keep core PCE inflation below 2 percent for the foreseeable future unless the dollar starts to depreciate markedly and the unemployment rate goes well below the natural rate. These results support the accommodative stance of monetary policy pursued thus far and, going forward, underscore the need for proceeding cautiously and very gradually in raising the federal funds rate.

Advancing the Frontiers of Monetary Policy

Author : Tobias Adrian
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148432594X
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Advancing the Frontiers of Monetary Policy by : Tobias Adrian

Download or read book Advancing the Frontiers of Monetary Policy written by Tobias Adrian and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-13 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contributors working at the International Monetary Fund present 14 chapters on the development of monetary policy over the past quarter century through the lens of the evolution of inflation-forecast targeting. They describe the principles and practices of inflation-forecast targeting, including managing expectations, the implementation of a forecasting and policy analysis system, monetary operations, monetary policy and financial stability, financial conditions, and transparency and communications; aspects of inflation-forecast targeting in Canada, the Czech Republic, India, and the US; and monetary policy challenges faced by low-income countries and how inflation-forecast targeting can provide an anchor in countries with different economic structures and circumstances.

Strengthening the Monetary Policy Framework in Korea

Author : Kevin Clinton
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498312225
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Strengthening the Monetary Policy Framework in Korea by : Kevin Clinton

Download or read book Strengthening the Monetary Policy Framework in Korea written by Kevin Clinton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-10 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Adoption of inflation targeting by the Bank of Korea (BOK) in 1998 contributed to low and stable inflation. However, after the global financial crisis (GFC) monetary policy faced more challenging conditions. Inflation slipped below the target range in 2012 and remains below it despite a cut in the target to 2 percent in 2016. Policy also became more complex with the addition of financial stability to the central bank’s mandate. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a two-pronged approach to strengthen the effectiveness with which monetary policy can meet its objectives: first, enhanced communication on how the target will be achieved over the medium-term, building on a forecasting and policy analysis system; and, second, by clarifying the complementary role of macroprudential policy in containing financial stability risks so that monetary policy can focus on the inflation target. Simulation of a macro model calibrated to Korea illustrates how it can be used to provide this greater medium-term focus on achieving the inflation target and strengthen communication.

Monetary Policy Under Flexible Exchange Rates

Author : Pierre-Richard Agénor
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Under Flexible Exchange Rates by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book Monetary Policy Under Flexible Exchange Rates written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2000 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the past few years, a number of central banks have adopted inflation targeting for monetary policy. The author provides an introduction to inflation targeting, with an emphasis on analytical issues, and the recent experience of middle- and high-income developing countries (which have relatively low inflation to begin with, and reasonably well-functioning financial markets). After presenting a formal analytical framework, the author discusses the basic requirements for inflation targeting, and how such a regime differs from money, and exchange rate targeting regimes. After discussing the operational framework for inflation targeting (including the price index to monitor the time horizon, the forecasting procedures, and the role of asset prices), he examines recent experiences with inflation targets, providing new evidence on the convexity of the Phillips curve for six developing countries. His conclusions: Inflation targeting is a flexible policy framework that allows a country's central bank to exercise some degree of discretion, without putting in jeopardy its main objective of maintaining stable prices. In middle- and high-income developing economies that can refrain from implicit exchange rate targeting, it can improve the design, and performance of monetary policy, compared with other policy approaches that central banks may follow. Not all countries may be able to satisfy the technical requirements (such as adequate price data, adequate understanding of the links between instruments, and targets of monetary policy, and adequate forecasting capabilities), but such requirements should not be overstated. Forecasting capability can never be perfect, and sensible projections always involve qualitative judgment. More important, and often more difficult, is the task of designing, or improving an institutional framework that would allow the central bank to pursue the goal of low, stable inflation, while maintaining the ability to stabilize fluctuations in output.