Monetary Policy Frameworks And Communication In The Caucasus And Central Asia

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Monetary Policy Frameworks and Communication in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author : Omer Faruk Akbal
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Frameworks and Communication in the Caucasus and Central Asia by : Omer Faruk Akbal

Download or read book Monetary Policy Frameworks and Communication in the Caucasus and Central Asia written by Omer Faruk Akbal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-12-08 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central banks in Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) have been enhancing their monetary policy frameworks in the last decade, and are at different stages of the transition to a type of inflation targeting regimes. This paper documents their progress and the current state of their monetary policy framework, utilizing the IAPOC index developed by Unsal and others (2022) covering Independence and Accountability, Policy and Operational Strategy, and Communications, as well as drawing from central banks’ laws and websites. Additionally, an analysis of press releases from CCA central banks is conducted to evaluate their features, content, and tones. The findings highlight the need for further improvements in the areas of Independence and Accountability, as well as Communications, despite some recent advancements in the latter.

Strengthening Monetary Policy Frameworks in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author : Mr. Tigran Poghosyan
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Strengthening Monetary Policy Frameworks in the Caucasus and Central Asia by : Mr. Tigran Poghosyan

Download or read book Strengthening Monetary Policy Frameworks in the Caucasus and Central Asia written by Mr. Tigran Poghosyan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-08-28 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Amidst a global backdrop of persistent post-COVID inflation and spillovers from Russia’s war in Ukraine, the countries of the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) region have faced strong price pressures in recent years. Inflation is estimated to have peaked in early 2023, but still exceeds central bank targets. In particular, core inflation remains stubbornly high reflecting a combination of second-round effects, surges in global energy and food prices, and domestic demand pressures. More broadly, uncertainty and downside risks also weigh on the economic outlook, including due to regional tensions, financial turmoil related to international monetary policy normalization, and a growth slowdown in key trading partners. In this context, CCA countries’ ability to contain inflationary pressures and anchor inflation expectations hinges on the credibility and effectiveness of their monetary policy frameworks. Since gaining independence in the 1990s, countries in the CCA region have made considerable progress in modernizing their monetary policy frameworks. CCA central banks have strengthened their legal frameworks and established broad de-jure independence. Armenia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, and Uzbekistan are transitioning to inflation targeting regimes, while the central banks of Azerbaijan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan rely on the exchange rate as an operational target. However, the post-COVID surge in inflation has highlighted the limitations of current frameworks and triggered a fresh policy debate on the need to strengthen monetary policy effectiveness in the CCA. This paper reviews the CCA region’s monetary policy landscape, highlights challenges in monetary policy design and implementation, and identifies areas that warrant strengthening. It draws on original surveys of country authorities, IMF country teams, and the work by Unsal and others (2022). It uses novel empirical work to analyze monetary policy transmission, the link between foreign exchange interventions and exchange rate dynamics, the drivers of financial de-dollarization, and the effects of central bank communication in the CCA.

Exchange Rate Developments and Policies in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author : Mr.Mark A Horton
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513543032
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Developments and Policies in the Caucasus and Central Asia by : Mr.Mark A Horton

Download or read book Exchange Rate Developments and Policies in the Caucasus and Central Asia written by Mr.Mark A Horton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-05-16 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since late 2014, exchange rates (ERs) and ER regimes of the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) countries have come under strong pressure. This reflects the decline of oil and other commodity prices, weaker growth in Russia and China, depreciation of the Russian ruble, and appreciation of the U.S. dollar, to which CCA currencies have historically been linked. Weaker fiscal and current account balances and increased dollarization have complicated the picture. CCA countries entered this period with closely managed ER regimes and, in many cases, currencies assessed by IMF staff to be overvalued. CCA central banks have price stability as their main policy objective, and most have relied on ER stability to achieve this objective. Thus, the first policy response involved intervention in local foreign exchange (FX) markets, often with limited communication. In this context, the IMF staff has reviewed ER policy advice and implementation strategies for CCA countries.

The Caucasus and Central Asia

Author : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484305140
Total Pages : 87 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Caucasus and Central Asia by : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Download or read book The Caucasus and Central Asia written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-10 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The countries in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) have recorded significant macroeconomic achievements since independence. These countries have grown more rapidly-—on average by 7 percent over 1996–2011—-than those in many other regions of the world and poverty has declined. Inflation has come down sharply from high rates in the 1990s and interest rates have fallen. Financial sectors have deepened somewhat, as evidenced by higher deposits and lending. Fiscal policies were broadly successful in building buffers prior to the global crisis and those buffers were used effectively by many CCA countries to support growth and protect the most vulnerable as the crisis washed across the region. CCA oil and gas exporters have achieved significant improvements in living standards with the use of their energy wealth.

Opening Up in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author : Mr.Peter J Kunzel
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484362276
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Opening Up in the Caucasus and Central Asia by : Mr.Peter J Kunzel

Download or read book Opening Up in the Caucasus and Central Asia written by Mr.Peter J Kunzel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-06-13 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) countries are at an important juncture in their economic transition. Following significant economic progress during the 2000s, recent external shocks have revealed the underlying vulnerabilities of the current growth model. Lower commodity prices, weaker remittances, and slower growth in key trading partners reduced CCA growth, weakened external and fiscal balances, and raised public debt. the financial sector was also hit hard by large foreign exchange losses. while commodity prices have recovered somewhat since late 2014, to boost its economic potential, the region needs to find new growth drivers, diversify away from natural resources, remittances, and public spending, and generate much stronger private sector-led activity.

How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia?

Author : Mr.Sami Ben Naceur
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513507273
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia? by : Mr.Sami Ben Naceur

Download or read book How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia? written by Mr.Sami Ben Naceur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-09-23 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dollarization rates in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) region are among the highest in the world, with adverse consequences for macroeconomic stability, monetary policy transmission, and financial sector development. Using dynamic panel data models, we find that foreign exchange deposits and loans in the CCA are mainly driven by volatile inflation and exchange rates, low financial depth, and asymmetric exchange rate policies biased toward depreciation. Although there is no unique formula for success, empirical studies and cross-country experiences suggest that credible monetary and exchange rate frameworks, low and stable inflation, and deep domestic financial markets are essential ingredients of any de-dollarization strategy. In implementation, policymakers need to consider proper sequencing of policies, effective communication as well as risks from potential financial disintermediation and instability, and/or capital flight.

Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498344062
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-23 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, many low- and lower-middle income countries (LLMICs) have improved control over fiscal policy, liberalized and deepened financial markets, and stabilized inflation at moderate levels. Monetary policy frameworks that have helped achieve these ends are being challenged by continued financial development and increased exposure to global capital markets. Many policymakers aspire to move beyond the basics of stability to implement monetary policy frameworks that better anchor inflation and promote macroeconomic stability and growth. Many of these LLMICs are thus considering and implementing improvements to their monetary policy frameworks. The recent successes of some LLMICs and the experiences of emerging and advanced economies, both early in their policy modernization process and following the global financial crisis, are valuable in identifying desirable features of such frameworks. This paper draws on those lessons to provide guidance on key elements of effective monetary policy frameworks for LLMICs.

Effectiveness of Central Banks and Their Role in the Global Financial Crisis

Author : Shamshad Akhtar
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292547577
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis Effectiveness of Central Banks and Their Role in the Global Financial Crisis by : Shamshad Akhtar

Download or read book Effectiveness of Central Banks and Their Role in the Global Financial Crisis written by Shamshad Akhtar and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2009-12-01 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the role and performance of central banks in low-income countries that have faced a range of domestic and external fragilities, aggravated by the global financial crisis that started in the United States and other advanced economies. It focuses on a select group of developing member countries of the Asian Development Bank in the Caucasus, Central Asia, and South Asia that have been and will continue to be vulnerable to adverse external developments.

Building Resilient Banking Sectors in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author : MissMercedes Vera Martin
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148436077X
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Building Resilient Banking Sectors in the Caucasus and Central Asia by : MissMercedes Vera Martin

Download or read book Building Resilient Banking Sectors in the Caucasus and Central Asia written by MissMercedes Vera Martin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-06 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: External shocks since 2014—lower oil prices and slower growth in key trading partners—have put financial sectors, mainly banks, in the eight Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) countries under increased stress. Even before the shocks, CCA banking sectors were not at full strength. Asset quality was generally weak, due in part to shortcomings in regulation, supervision, and governance. The economies were highly dollarized. Business practices were affected by lack of competition and, in most countries, connected lending, which undermined banking sector health. Shortcomings in financial regulation and supervision allowed the unsound banking practices to remain unaddressed. The external shocks exacerbated in these underlying vulnerabilities. Strains in CCA banking sectors intensified as liquidity tightened, asset quality deteriorated, and banks became undercapitalized. These challenges have required public intervention in some cases.

Engaging Central Asia

Author : Bhavna Dave
Publisher : CEPS
ISBN 13 : 929079707X
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (97 download)

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Book Synopsis Engaging Central Asia by : Bhavna Dave

Download or read book Engaging Central Asia written by Bhavna Dave and published by CEPS. This book was released on 2008 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In July 2007, the European Union initiated a fundamentally new approach to the countries of Central Asia. The launch of the EU Strategy for Central Asia signals a qualitative shift in the Union's relations with a region of the world that is of growing importance as a supplier of energy, is geographically situated in a politically sensitive area - between China, Russia, Iran, Afghanistan and the south Caucasus - and contains some of the most authoritarian political regimes in the world. In this volume, leading specialists from Europe, the United States and Central Asia explore the key challenges facing the European Union as it seeks to balance its policies between enhancing the Union's energy, business and security interests in the region while strengthening social justice, democratisation efforts and the protection of human rights. With chapters devoted to the Union's bilateral relations with Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan and to the vital issues of security and democratisation, 'Engaging Central Asia' provides the first comprehensive analysis of the EU's strategic initiative in a part of the world that is fast emerging as one of the key regions of the 21st century."--BOOK JACKET.

State-Owned Enterprises in Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia: Size, Costs, and Challenges

Author : Mr. Ernesto Ramirez Rigo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513594087
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis State-Owned Enterprises in Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia: Size, Costs, and Challenges by : Mr. Ernesto Ramirez Rigo

Download or read book State-Owned Enterprises in Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia: Size, Costs, and Challenges written by Mr. Ernesto Ramirez Rigo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-09-20 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prior to the COVID-19 shock, the key challenge facing policymakers in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia region was how to generate strong, sustainable, job-rich, inclusive growth. Post-COVID-19, this challenge has only grown given the additional reduction in fiscal space due to the crisis and the increased need to support the recovery. The sizable state-owned enterprise (SOE) footprint in the region, together with its cost to the government, call for revisiting the SOE sector to help open fiscal space and look for growth opportunities.

Frontiers of Economic Policy Communications

Author : Ms.Olga Ilinichna Stankova
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498311032
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Frontiers of Economic Policy Communications by : Ms.Olga Ilinichna Stankova

Download or read book Frontiers of Economic Policy Communications written by Ms.Olga Ilinichna Stankova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-21 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper provides an overall view of communications across various areas of economic policy, aiming to help country authorities as they increasingly use communications as a policy tool in its own right. The paper identifies frontier communications challenges, drawing on a large body of research on the salient issues. Although communications can never be a substitute for good policies, economic reforms are more likely to fail or even be reversed if they are not understood or accepted by those whom they affect.

Recognizing Reality—Unification of Official and Parallel Market Exchange Rates

Author : Mr.Simon T Gray
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513568639
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Recognizing Reality—Unification of Official and Parallel Market Exchange Rates by : Mr.Simon T Gray

Download or read book Recognizing Reality—Unification of Official and Parallel Market Exchange Rates written by Mr.Simon T Gray and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-05 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some central banks have maintained overvalued official exchange rates, while unable to ensure that supply of foreign exchange meets legitimate demand for current account transactions at that price. A parallel exchange rate market develops, in such circumstances; and when the spread between the official and parallel rates is both substantial and sustained, price levels in the economy typically reflect the parallel market exchange rate. “Recognizing reality” by allowing economic agents to use a market clearing rate benefits economic activity without necessarily leading to more inflation. But a unified, market-clearing exchange rate will not stabilize without a supportive fiscal and monetary context. A number of country case studies are included; my thanks to Jie Ren for pulling together all the data for the country case studies, and the production of the charts.

Exchange Rate Developments and Policies in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author : Mr.Mark A. Horton
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484343867
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Developments and Policies in the Caucasus and Central Asia by : Mr.Mark A. Horton

Download or read book Exchange Rate Developments and Policies in the Caucasus and Central Asia written by Mr.Mark A. Horton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-05-16 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since late 2014, exchange rates (ERs) and ER regimes of the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) countries have come under strong pressure. This reflects the decline of oil and other commodity prices, weaker growth in Russia and China, depreciation of the Russian ruble, and appreciation of the U.S. dollar, to which CCA currencies have historically been linked. Weaker fiscal and current account balances and increased dollarization have complicated the picture. CCA countries entered this period with closely managed ER regimes and, in many cases, currencies assessed by IMF staff to be overvalued. CCA central banks have price stability as their main policy objective, and most have relied on ER stability to achieve this objective. Thus, the first policy response involved intervention in local foreign exchange (FX) markets, often with limited communication. In this context, the IMF staff has reviewed ER policy advice and implementation strategies for CCA countries.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia

Author : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148431252X
Total Pages : 125 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia by : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Download or read book Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-27 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan region (MENAP) are continuing to adjust to lower oil prices, which have dampened growth and contributed to large fiscal and external deficits.

International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2019 Financial Statements

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513511726
Total Pages : 122 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2019 Financial Statements by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2019 Financial Statements written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-10-04 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The audited consolidated financial statements of the International Monetary Fund as of April 30, 2019 and 2018

The Impact of Monetary Policy Communication in an Emerging Economy: The Case of Indonesia

Author : Mr.Calixte Ahokpossi
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513545647
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Monetary Policy Communication in an Emerging Economy: The Case of Indonesia by : Mr.Calixte Ahokpossi

Download or read book The Impact of Monetary Policy Communication in an Emerging Economy: The Case of Indonesia written by Mr.Calixte Ahokpossi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-06-26 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the adoption of the inflation targeting framework by Bank Indonesia (BI), monetary policy communication has played an increasingly important role in BI’s policy toolkit. This paper assesses BI’s monetary policy communication from three perspectives: i) its transparency and clarity, ii) its ability to align market expectation and BI’s policy decisions (predictability), and iii) its impact on financial markets. In particular, we assess the impact of BI’s monetary policy practices by focusing on its monetary policy press releases and monetary policy reports. The results show that Bank Indonesia has made significant progress in the transparency of its communication as well as in the institutional framework to support this. Nonetheless, the results also suggest ways in which the impact of communication can be further improved, including by strengthening the clarity of policy messages, its consistency with the policy framework and the depth of the money market.